TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$512,807
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$510,223

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $512,807 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 403 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under44c56,168$24,458 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,709.574,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1f08…c6f5backed Over66c30,979$20,449 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,449.49250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick56cpaid+8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ce…9f80backed Under34c29,500$10,030 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19,469.879551.6%49 W · 46 L+6.6wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+12.9%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed Over58c26,869$15,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,504.533941%16 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4383…4f2bbacked Over0c25,000$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25119.1%1 W · 10 L-1.0wins-0.09per pick18cpaid-86%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over66c18,260$12,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,008.812,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over65c18,056$11,764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,763.692,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under34c14,799$5,032 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,767.4977152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Under34c14,070$4,784 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9,286.0810056%56 W · 44 L+11.6wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over66c13,332$8,799 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,799.1232029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x67ac…edf1backed Under56c13,055$7,305 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,749.5917642%74 W · 102 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-9.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf329…ea10backed Over40c12,500$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,999.995429.6%16 W · 38 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick26cpaid+49.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x784b…2648backed Over66c11,907$7,859 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,858.911747.1%8 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.08per pick55cpaid+3.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xc5d8…a00bbacked Under34c10,475$3,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,913.55771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.28per pick44cpaid+81.5%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1d1a…0df6backed Under33c10,000$3,300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,7009839.8%39 W · 59 L+1.7wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-1.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb7c8…e573backed Over0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107050%35 W · 35 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick44cpaid-1.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x4608…d049backed Under34c10,000$3,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,599.968458.3%49 W · 35 L+9.7wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked Under59c9,733$5,728 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,0059440.4%38 W · 56 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xcb51…d2f5backed Over66c9,003$5,942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,941.82955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-16.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under34c8,376$2,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,536.552,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1305…46d2backed Over66c8,200$5,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,4122972.4%21 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.12per pick61cpaid+22.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over64c7,849$5,019 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,018.648,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29b1…f737backed Over65c7,678$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0001060%6 W · 4 L+0.4wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x224f…514abacked Under34c7,600$2,576 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,023.961,53649.1%754 W · 782 L+32.8wins+0.02per pick47cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Over66c7,500$4,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,95031152.7%164 W · 147 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x34a1…7622backed Under34c6,008$2,043 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,965.2530626.5%81 W · 225 L-7.6wins-0.02per pick29cpaid+1.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed Under34c6,000$2,040 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,96013330.1%40 W · 93 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under34c5,847$1,992 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,854.9497742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under42c5,143$2,141 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,002.021,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under34c5,000$1,700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,30074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xecdb…c4c7backed Under35c5,000$1,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,2503534.3%12 W · 23 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick30cpaid+4.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x31c1…7047backed Over66c4,894$3,230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,2305356.6%30 W · 23 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+6.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under33c4,658$1,552 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,1063,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x043c…f2d9backed Over66c4,545$3,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,0003119.4%6 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf33d…a537backed Over44c4,535$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0008530.6%26 W · 59 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-5.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x10dc…9009backed Over67c4,458$2,974 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,973.83147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick11cpaid-57.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under38c4,456$1,672 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,783.182,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under47c4,438$2,099 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,338.442,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4b5b…529abacked Over67c4,185$2,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,783.953938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+95.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8089…f935backed Under34c4,000$1,360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,639.973327.3%9 W · 24 L+1.5wins+0.04per pick23cpaid-28.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa453…b665backed Over66c3,680$2,429 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,429.122441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.6wins-0.11per pick53cpaid-25.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb69b…e7a8backed Over27c3,533$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.325831%18 W · 40 L-7.0wins-0.12per pick43cpaid-43.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Over14c3,500$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49017636.4%64 W · 112 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under54c3,500$1,890 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,609.9931851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd238…ee03backed Under34c3,352$1,128 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,223.861752.9%9 W · 8 L+1.8wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x9ef6…8437backed Over45c3,260$1,483 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,482.66944.9%31 W · 38 L+3.1wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+33.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cf0…df85backed Over66c3,104$2,048 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,048.4410634%36 W · 70 L+3.6wins+0.03per pick31cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5f62…d989backed Over65c3,000$1,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,949.9912810.9%14 W · 114 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xa83b…0e4abacked Under35c2,857$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,857.144746.8%22 W · 25 L+4.4wins+0.09per pick38cpaid+16.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcde6…228abacked Over55c2,844$1,559 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,558.92333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick67cpaid-52.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x69f6…a5d3backed Under55c2,818$1,550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,268.1850%4 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-8.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e48…a8eabacked Over66c2,765$1,825 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,824.992842.9%12 W · 16 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-18.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x8165…97b8backed Over67c2,547$1,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,697.295440.7%22 W · 32 L-7.6wins-0.14per pick55cpaid-26.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xc14e…39a5backed Under34c2,473$841 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,631.87560%3 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.16per pick44cpaid+45.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x86c8…c867backed Under60c2,456$1,473 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$982.2815459.7%92 W · 62 L+20.0wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+32.7%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x5108…29cbbacked Over69c2,174$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,50037955.7%211 W · 168 L+3.2wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+2.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcfff…d338backed Over66c2,170$1,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,4324047.5%19 W · 21 L-1.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-11.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7f3b…11fbbacked Over66c2,141$1,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,413.377358.9%43 W · 30 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid-2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under35c2,000$695 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,305.213,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under45c2,000$900 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,10056151%286 W · 275 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8953…9b78backed Under54c2,000$1,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$919.981275%9 W · 3 L+1.8wins+0.15per pick60cpaid+20.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x7b10…acabbacked Under60c1,996$1,198 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$798.416357.1%93 W · 70 L+11.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under35c1,947$673 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,274.153,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe9f5…3e7abacked Under60c1,943$1,166 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$777.211558.3%67 W · 48 L+6.8wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+12.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over44c1,888$826 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$825.512,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4156…997ebacked Over59c1,851$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.9621143.1%91 W · 120 L+0.7wins0.00per pick43cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8894…c538backed Over66c1,814$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2001338.5%5 W · 8 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+336.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under33c1,808$605 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,203.361,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under34c1,800$614 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,186.023,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Under56c1,751$980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$771.6578835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over30c1,592$471 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$471.032,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x662c…8b14backed Over67c1,534$1,028 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,028.091952.6%10 W · 9 L-0.9wins-0.05per pick57cpaid-14.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5782…8ce5backed Over66c1,520$1,003 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,003.219062.6%119 W · 71 L+13.0wins+0.07per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbfaa…43e2backed Over66c1,515$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00028134.5%97 W · 184 L-5.1wins-0.02per pick36cpaid-21.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over66c1,515$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x363c…9b0ebacked Over66c1,515$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002516%4 W · 21 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick24cpaid-68.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under34c1,500$510 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$99086452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed Under33c1,500$495 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,004.987834.6%27 W · 51 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x999f…addbbacked Over68c1,471$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002927.6%8 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-24.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed Under33c1,470$492 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$977.763,73151.8%1,931 W · 1,800 L+55.2wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+7.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8adf…48cdbacked Under75c1,460$1,095 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$365.23850%4 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-27.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0a26…1851backed Under72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$389.0913953.2%74 W · 65 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-6.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7d30…e133backed Over66c1,381$912 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$911.74742.9%3 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.15per pick58cpaid-30.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xd7fc…53bfbacked Over66c1,225$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$808.672236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-37%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb72…6532backed Under61c1,208$735 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$472.312161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over45c1,193$537 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$536.8558049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5817…9e6cbacked Over65c1,149$747 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$746.53540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.18per pick58cpaid-35.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Under52c1,077$565 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$512.369752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x52f9…e1c7backed Under47c1,064$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$563.833441.2%14 W · 20 L+2.7wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+32.3%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf482…fe1bbacked Over66c1,061$700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7003265.6%21 W · 11 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid-4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under35c1,024$353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$670.721,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8833…3ea1backed Under34c999.99$340 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$659.9961752%321 W · 296 L-13.4wins-0.02per pick54cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7de3…d59bbacked Under55c999.98$550 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$449.991,20650.2%606 W · 600 L+44.5wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under33c999.97$330 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$669.981,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7aa2…3b2abacked Over66c963.76$636 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$636.082025%5 W · 15 L-2.0wins-0.10per pick35cpaid-1.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over66c954.59$629 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$629.4875729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Over7c944.58$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.424,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over17c900$149 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$148.52,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Over6c884$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040912%49 W · 360 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Under34c882.01$298 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$584.2715054%81 W · 69 L+10.5wins+0.07per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.