TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$463,597
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$459,996

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $463,597 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 361 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe907…cff6backed Over2c98,544$2,413 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,412.888,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf53…d324backed Over0c47,622$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.3310%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d2f…ef1abacked Under24c42,000$10,080 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31,919.6210056%56 W · 44 L+11.6wins+0.12per pick44cpaid+30.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under44c41,616$18,393 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23,223.174,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed Over66c24,026$15,922 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,921.773941%16 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over73c11,989$8,809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,808.652,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x55f5…e2a0backed Over77c11,680$9,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,0004870.8%34 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick68cpaid+4.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over76c11,356$8,613 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,613.382,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under27c11,065$2,954 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,110.733,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x051b…a26ebacked Over76c10,500$7,950 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,949.97933.3%3 W · 6 L-2.4wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-45.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0ca6…5aa7backed Over77c10,352$7,971 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,970.881662.5%10 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.05per pick58cpaid-0.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked Under40c10,253$4,151 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,102.279440.4%38 W · 56 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x06f0…9771backed Over0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$105657.1%32 W · 24 L+5.7wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+13.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under27c9,139$2,478 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,661.421,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b88…5d08backed Over78c7,692$6,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,00010549.5%52 W · 53 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbace…3429backed Over76c7,572$5,784 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,784.124944.9%22 W · 27 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+1.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Over75c7,344$5,541 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,540.922,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over39c5,828$2,253 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,253.372,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6185…2965backed Under22c5,593$1,231 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,362.924858.3%28 W · 20 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+6.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7bd…ebcebacked Under24c5,561$1,335 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,226.296126.2%16 W · 45 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-42.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x1bc8…2f68backed Under24c5,352$1,284 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,067.528938.2%34 W · 55 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-8.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5ae1…77e8backed Over0c5,051$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25728.6%2 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-14.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x310d…d698backed Over79c5,034$3,952 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,951.551040%4 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.22per pick62cpaid-41.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8d32…653ebacked Over76c5,028$3,821 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,821.131330.8%4 W · 9 L-1.4wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-46.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x5564…1b0dbacked Over57c5,000$2,870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,869.995335.8%19 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-2.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under23c4,730$1,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,639.274,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Over43c4,559$1,983 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,982.792,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec59…bb35backed Over56c4,500$2,505 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,504.9843248.4%209 W · 223 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-0.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Under23c4,368$1,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,363.521,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x153c…bf6abacked Over55c4,000$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,199.999053.3%48 W · 42 L+3.1wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+3.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0724…9091backed Under25c3,974$994 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,980.867533.3%25 W · 50 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-17%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under23c3,660$854 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,806.172,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd3fe…46d0backed Over49c3,339$1,648 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,648.053030%9 W · 21 L-1.5wins-0.05per pick35cpaid-48.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xac3f…dc17backed Under54c3,324$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,524.32910.3%3 W · 26 L-1.8wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-81.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x4453…dd3bbacked Over78c3,092$2,400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,40011357.5%65 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Under42c3,058$1,277 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,780.811,55952.4%817 W · 742 L+97.8wins+0.06per pick46cpaid+14.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x69e3…761fbacked Over76c3,057$2,323 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,3234568.9%31 W · 14 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick66cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x583c…b03bbacked Over36c2,763$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001010%1 W · 9 L-2.9wins-0.29per pick39cpaid-81.9%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xb763…cce5backed Under23c2,609$600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,008.73327.3%9 W · 24 L+2.6wins+0.08per pick19cpaid-2.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xaf0f…9f36backed Under23c2,470$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,901.9977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick60cpaid+44.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8dac…9220backed Over2c2,467$53 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53.214122%9 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4417…01eebacked Over43c2,200$956 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9567332.9%24 W · 49 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under28c1,982$556 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,425.671,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xeafc…53ddbacked Over76c1,943$1,476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,476.451741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+50.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x477a…2d8ebacked Over70c1,928$1,346 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,346.224042.5%17 W · 23 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-28.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Under23c1,888$434 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,453.7651315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eab…6a7dbacked Over45c1,672$750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$750.3125643.4%111 W · 145 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcf3a…fbfdbacked Over46c1,666$761 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$761.387754.5%42 W · 35 L+1.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1eef…83aabacked Over57c1,657$942 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$942.167639.5%30 W · 46 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-12.2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under51c1,530$775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.1626841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x94cb…64e3backed Under23c1,500$345 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,154.997834.6%27 W · 51 L+4.6wins+0.06per pick29cpaid+23.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x55ec…ac5bbacked Over76c1,491$1,134 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,133.528720.7%18 W · 69 L-2.3wins-0.03per pick23cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over26c1,408$360 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$359.954,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c2e…b55cbacked Over62c1,400$861 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$86110753.3%57 W · 50 L+2.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+9.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb77…ef9ebacked Over76c1,316$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00030465.1%198 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+0.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa05e…4394backed Over76c1,316$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,000540%2 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick65cpaid-34.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xc3fc…5176backed Under23c1,290$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$993.314344.8%64 W · 79 L-0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd7fc…53bfbacked Over76c1,234$938 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9382236.4%8 W · 14 L-2.2wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-37%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under23c1,228$288 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$939.93,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under23c1,170$269 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$900.8997742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x69bf…c584backed Over66c1,110$734 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$733.54616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.21per pick37cpaid-71.8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6326…6329backed Under54c1,047$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$485.6112853.9%69 W · 59 L+5.0wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+1.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x5c71…bdf6backed Over77c1,039$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8005644.6%25 W · 31 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick46cpaid+16.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb72…6532backed Under47c1,022$480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$541.812161.9%13 W · 8 L+2.7wins+0.13per pick49cpaid+24.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xa7c2…73bfbacked Under25c1,000$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75056151%286 W · 275 L+15.4wins+0.03per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under23c1,000$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7701,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c1a…5cb0backed Over35c1,000$350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35025537.6%96 W · 159 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over58c958.26$556 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$555.792,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04d1…8390backed Over76c946.78$720 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$719.55540%2 W · 3 L-0.9wins-0.17per pick57cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x941d…0839backed Over54c917.19$495 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.282416.7%4 W · 20 L-3.5wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-47.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under24c894.4$215 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$679.743,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ff4…d731backed Under48c890.68$425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$465.242157.1%12 W · 9 L+3.0wins+0.14per pick43cpaid+13%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Over9c878.57$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.1645145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under40c839.29$336 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.5731851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xaf5b…5d3abacked Over61c819.67$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50014568.3%99 W · 46 L+3.1wins+0.02per pick66cpaid-1.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Over2c772.73$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.752,53346.3%1,174 W · 1,359 L+12.3wins0.00per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7045…f6a1backed Over78c769.23$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60011555.7%64 W · 51 L0.0wins0.00per pick56cpaid-8.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf20f…c177backed Over54c751.06$405 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.06933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-29.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ae…004ebacked Over53c709.87$379 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.3313044.6%58 W · 72 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+9.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7aed…df39backed Over76c702$534 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$533.5225638.7%99 W · 157 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid+1.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3f7a…719bbacked Over77c660.99$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$508.595653.6%30 W · 26 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+9.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7714…b814backed Over61c660$403 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$402.63568.6%24 W · 11 L+5.8wins+0.16per pick52cpaid+41.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8bed…85b8backed Over76c657.89$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50012544.8%56 W · 69 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xeb5e…e25dbacked Over76c652$496 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$495.52666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick64cpaid+5.8%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xa199…6232backed Over76c644.74$490 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$490771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick68cpaid+8.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x93bd…bbc5backed Over65c599.99$391 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$390.86714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.3wins-0.33per pick48cpaid-79.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xcccc…05b2backed Over76c551.84$419 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$419.44045%18 W · 22 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+9.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd99c…2efdbacked Over19c527$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10015312.4%19 W · 134 L-8.8wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-34%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7926…0f10backed Over76c526.32$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$400616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.5wins-0.25per pick42cpaid+55.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5844…5bd4backed Over61c520$317 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$317.260%0 W · 6 L-2.7wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x16d6…89d4backed Over77c519.48$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4003435.3%12 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xca38…0b7dbacked Over78c512.82$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40010234.3%35 W · 67 L-13.8wins-0.14per pick48cpaid-41%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x9d5c…46c3backed Over54c508.19$275 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2759348.4%45 W · 48 L+2.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2ff8…8a76backed Under50c500$250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2504141.5%17 W · 24 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-6.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under24c500$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38095739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xed8b…7954backed Over70c488.15$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3407250%36 W · 36 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Over70c482$340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$339.5682537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x081e…f76ebacked Over42c479$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20011645.7%53 W · 63 L-5.8wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa3d3…f2bcbacked Under23c450$104 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$346.516647.6%79 W · 87 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb7b…eac6backed Over76c429.33$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$326.2917459.8%104 W · 70 L+6.5wins+0.04per pick56cpaid+6.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.