Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xda163559797835daba84b4d517e5aafd4bb26e579b74a4ad4bcd394c42d58655
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $15,281
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $14,538
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,281 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x37ac…b3d0backed Over | 1c | 5,001$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.13per pick | 27cpaid | +184.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b38…1dccbacked Under | 51c | 2,120$1,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,038.79 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x195c…fbc3backed Over | 51c | 1,760$900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$900 | 26 | 26.9%7 W · 19 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06f2…1269backed Under | 72c | 1,614$1,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$458.09 | 383 | 33.9%130 W · 253 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under | 47c | 1,193$557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.81 | 580 | 49.1%285 W · 295 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe015…6ffdbacked Under | 51c | 1,004$512 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$491.9 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 51c | 822.67$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.61 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d02…bfecbacked Under | 51c | 686.8$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.87 | 1,475 | 44.9%663 W · 812 L | -4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x76aa…58cebacked Over | 48c | 620.33$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 97 | 60.8%59 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f41…e6aebacked Under | 52c | 260.83$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$125.2 | 88 | 53.4%47 W · 41 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cac…10b3backed Over | 49c | 250.59$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.79 | 125 | 55.2%69 W · 56 L | +5.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6f67…102cbacked Under | 52c | 250$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 412 | 31.6%130 W · 282 L | -5.8wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc86b…6e26backed Over | 49c | 204.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 150 | 40.7%61 W · 89 L | -7.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -19%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf90…e485backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 32 | 25%8 W · 24 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 37cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x16d6…89d4backed Over | 49c | 204.08$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -4.0wins | -0.12per pick | 47cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb855…c1bebacked Over | 49c | 183.67$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 192 | 45.8%88 W · 104 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x233a…ae12backed Over | 55c | 182$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | +1.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb42…6e09backed Over | 49c | 179.59$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88 | 624 | 52.7%329 W · 295 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Under | 51c | 117.74$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.04 | 2,576 | 46.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L | +35.9wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d2…d67bbacked Under | 50c | 111.23$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.72 | 637 | 45.4%289 W · 348 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe3ce…fa8dbacked Over | 49c | 106$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.74 | 235 | 54.9%129 W · 106 L | +3.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce8…c1f1backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 43 | 20.9%9 W · 34 L | -5.5wins | -0.13per pick | 34cpaid | -42%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd590…cec2backed Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | +1.0wins | +0.05per pick | 23cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e55…a3fbbacked Over | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 389 | 33.2%129 W · 260 L | -6.4wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 49c | 99.08$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.36 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Under | 56c | 84.45$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.16 | 2,796 | 56.7%1,585 W · 1,211 L | -9.2wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa21a…9e24backed Over | 44c | 84.45$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0396…4ae7backed Under | 52c | 76.92$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.92 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.1wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +41.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x33bc…37dcbacked Under | 50c | 70.89$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.45 | 1,075 | 45.2%486 W · 589 L | +41.2wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x14e9…c135backed Over | 49c | 61.22$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 137 | 52.6%72 W · 65 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x63e6…ea35backed Over | 50c | 59.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 125 | 49.6%62 W · 63 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Under | 31c | 46.51$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.24 | 2,634 | 32.9%867 W · 1,767 L | +43.3wins | +0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0cea…16c9backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.4wins | -0.25per pick | 53cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9a1b…5975backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 52cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd14…76b4backed Under | 53c | 42.55$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 260 | 37.3%97 W · 163 L | -6.6wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x026f…4614backed Over | 47c | 42.55$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 51.5%17 W · 16 L | +0.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c1b…2898backed Over | 48c | 41.83$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.08 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x47df…2183backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.7wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1af9…0562backed Over | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.29per pick | 46cpaid | -66%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6216…1bd4backed Under | 52c | 39.99$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.2 | 237 | 41.8%99 W · 138 L | +7.6wins | +0.03per pick | 39cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b6…e0a0backed Under | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 74 | 48.6%36 W · 38 L | -3.0wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3e…0f68backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.35per pick | 55cpaid | -66.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9cc1…9556backed Over | 53c | 37.74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -3.2wins | -0.15per pick | 47cpaid | -41.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7a6c…0c0cbacked Over | 48c | 31.04$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 26 | 76.9%20 W · 6 L | +4.8wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +31.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…b1bebacked Over | 49c | 30.37$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.88 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa579…2c60backed Over | 49c | 20.67$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 29 | 62.1%18 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7c35…e874backed Over | 49c | 20.53$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.06 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfae1…fdc1backed Under | 60c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5this page
- Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSpain won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Spain won
- Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Spain won
- Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Spain (-3.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Spain (-4.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Spain (-5.5)Argentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.