TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,614,703
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,566,845

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,614,703 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 645 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under80c451,804$361,057 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$90,747.514,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x669d…c044backed Over24c238,662$57,796 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57,795.56911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.1wins-0.12per pick23cpaid-69.8%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b16…9281backed Over8c121,239$9,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,697.34911.1%1 W · 8 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick22cpaid-81.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Over15c100,000$14,750 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,749.9817840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over22c55,157$12,247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12,246.888,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x870f…6da1backed Over20c54,962$11,181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,180.6422338.1%85 W · 138 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1f90…21fabacked Under77c48,000$36,840 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,159.984057.5%23 W · 17 L+3.8wins+0.10per pick48cpaid+17.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x2e5f…43dabacked Over23c41,000$9,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,5304420.5%9 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+336.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8bf2…6209backed Under77c33,050$25,476 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,573.77757.1%4 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+2.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x613b…823abacked Under77c30,755$23,633 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,121.814250%71 W · 71 L+3.4wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over23c23,652$5,412 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,412.3575729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over19c23,203$4,432 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,432.411,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ae1…378fbacked Over23c21,510$5,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,001.0718929.1%55 W · 134 L-9.4wins-0.05per pick34cpaid-26.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xaf4d…77c6backed Over16c21,378$3,327 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,327.257647.4%36 W · 40 L+13.4wins+0.18per pick30cpaid+80.2%equal weight65+0.13 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over23c17,200$3,999 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,9994932.7%16 W · 33 L-3.5wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-22.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over21c15,934$3,420 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,420.412,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under78c15,438$12,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,367.011,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over23c15,349$3,530 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,530.1942345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3e63…0857backed Over4c14,769$585 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$584.94626.5%4 W · 58 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under77c14,130$10,944 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,186.441,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1ab8…1b4abacked Under79c14,081$11,071 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,010.1839644.7%177 W · 219 L+2.2wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-22.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7414…72a3backed Under77c14,000$10,745 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,254.961070%7 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.11per pick59cpaid+8.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Under77c13,900$10,750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,150.019150.5%46 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under79c13,615$10,810 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,804.0926841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5c72…7e7ebacked Under77c11,000$8,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,557.462650%13 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-23.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe7bd…ebcebacked Under77c10,999$8,442 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,557.226126.2%16 W · 45 L-6.7wins-0.11per pick37cpaid-42.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa613…1bf9backed Over23c10,870$2,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,500128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick22cpaid-49%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x01e6…e7e0backed Under76c10,500$8,006 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,493.7513259.1%78 W · 54 L+3.3wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+7.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under77c10,289$7,942 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,347.381,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Under77c10,162$7,824 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,337.151,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8627…5382backed Under76c10,000$7,625 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,3756259.7%37 W · 25 L+4.2wins+0.07per pick53cpaid+8.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over23c10,000$2,250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,249.9959230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9be0…b5fdbacked Over10c9,527$929 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$928.942552%13 W · 12 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+6.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb184…b6c6backed Over24c9,499$2,256 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,256.086728.4%19 W · 48 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-24.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under78c9,305$7,241 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,063.512,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over12c8,974$1,065 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,065.2237223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x2165…f598backed Under77c8,871$6,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,018.0520724.6%51 W · 156 L-1.4wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1fc8…0729backed Over22c8,825$1,934 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,933.69837.5%3 W · 5 L+0.8wins+0.10per pick27cpaid+54.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over23c8,605$1,967 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,966.951,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9441…98babacked Over23c8,602$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003520%7 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4ed4…e181backed Over23c8,172$1,900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9007416.2%12 W · 62 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick20cpaid+20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe553…c927backed Over23c7,824$1,780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,7802520%5 W · 20 L-5.0wins-0.20per pick40cpaid-61.6%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Under77c7,500$5,775 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,72531152.7%164 W · 147 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked Under78c7,463$5,801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,661.461,94135.5%690 W · 1,251 L-25.4wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-11.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Over23c6,666$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,499.8519037.4%71 W · 119 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdc9b…a77fbacked Under77c6,515$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,514.666100%6 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+172.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x613a…2185backed Over7c5,772$406 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$405.9546230.1%139 W · 323 L-13.8wins-0.03per pick33cpaid-17.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Over5c5,311$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.1577433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under79c5,186$4,092 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.051,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e6f…31aebacked Over15c5,034$745 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7457826.9%21 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.02per pick25cpaid-2.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x17cb…3ab8backed Over22c5,000$1,100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,1008240.2%33 W · 49 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-20.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa7e2…9e36backed Under77c4,736$3,623 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,113.023857.9%22 W · 16 L+3.4wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xdd8e…f023backed Under77c4,500$3,465 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,03514246.5%66 W · 76 L-7.1wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-14.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under78c4,339$3,373 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$965.371,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1dab…c5c1backed Over23c4,301$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001711.8%2 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-80.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over23c4,240$975 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97545428%127 W · 327 L-2.0wins0.00per pick28cpaid-7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked Over23c4,200$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96610849.1%53 W · 55 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbac3…78a5backed Over23c4,188$961 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$961.24847.9%23 W · 25 L+3.2wins+0.07per pick41cpaid+16.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xf837…bd42backed Under77c3,896$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$896.12955.2%16 W · 13 L+0.5wins+0.02per pick54cpaid-10%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf58c…d588backed Over22c3,825$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8504327.9%12 W · 31 L-1.6wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-19%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Over10c3,811$362 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$362.0958530.9%181 W · 404 L-3.4wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-28%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0b21…deb6backed Under77c3,734$2,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$858.82250%1 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x123f…8d5fbacked Over23c3,549$807 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$807.46540%2 W · 3 L+1.3wins+0.26per pick14cpaid+120.9%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x162c…6c47backed Under78c3,536$2,740 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$795.5210555.2%58 W · 47 L+5.1wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under77c3,440$2,640 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$799.7825857.4%148 W · 110 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Over13c3,177$398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39810729%31 W · 76 L+0.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb7c…7c86backed Over18c3,101$571 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$571.215320.8%11 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7758…7125backed Over8c3,000$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22580%0 W · 8 L-1.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2d01…27cbbacked Over18c2,999$532 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$532.3817636.4%64 W · 112 L+10.8wins+0.06per pick30cpaid+35.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under77c2,888$2,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$657.71,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdc93…7687backed Over23c2,838$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$659.731631.3%5 W · 11 L+0.1wins+0.01per pick30cpaid-19%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc869…284fbacked Over6c2,704$157 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1573420.6%7 W · 27 L+3.8wins+0.11per pick9cpaid+55.4%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over7c2,675$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.831,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over13c2,596$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.3237944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdce6…6069backed Over23c2,242$510 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5103743.2%16 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over23c2,198$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010261.8%63 W · 39 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick66cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc20e…642abacked Under77c2,188$1,685 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.2912345.5%56 W · 67 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9c12…487dbacked Under77c2,165$1,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$497.92250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-35.1%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Over23c2,151$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015441.6%64 W · 90 L+12.7wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xee60…9c89backed Over23c2,151$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5006832.4%22 W · 46 L-6.3wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-29.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4dc5…d401backed Over23c2,151$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5003125.8%8 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0a43…fb9bbacked Over23c2,151$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500425%1 W · 3 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick22cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Over3c2,100$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.3369826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under76c2,000$1,522 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$477.4946546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea44…7e91backed Over10c1,969$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2008941.6%37 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over17c1,846$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.322,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4e73…ac97backed Over23c1,739$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40012647.6%60 W · 66 L+0.2wins0.00per pick47cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under78c1,685$1,306 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$378.723,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over18c1,673$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$300.352,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under78c1,629$1,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.671,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e3e…bcadbacked Under77c1,585$1,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$364.992382.6%19 W · 4 L+3.3wins+0.15per pick68cpaid+18.2%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under78c1,532$1,187 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$344.23,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcfc2…37e6backed Over23c1,516$353 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$352.586516.9%11 W · 54 L-3.4wins-0.05per pick22cpaid-38.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x35e7…4a57backed Over24c1,405$332 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$331.51366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.26per pick41cpaid+38.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0dd6…5f62backed Under77c1,396$1,075 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$321.085466.7%36 W · 18 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick65cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3561…f1b7backed Over23c1,373$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$313.4295037.5%356 W · 594 L-1.3wins0.00per pick38cpaid-6.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5978…a870backed Over1c1,338$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.34240%0 W · 24 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Over4c1,333$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040912%49 W · 360 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x982a…2853backed Over23c1,319$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002015%3 W · 17 L-2.5wins-0.13per pick28cpaid-55%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x52d8…100dbacked Over23c1,304$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30032739.1%128 W · 199 L+10.3wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.