TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$25,096
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$23,201

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,096 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 36 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x308f…35cabacked Over57c8,000$4,530 inLost-$4,529.978149.4%40 W · 41 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+3.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37ac…b3d0backed Over1c5,000$50 inLost-$50540%2 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.13per pick27cpaid+184.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x06f2…1269backed Under61c3,683$2,250 inWon+$1,432.6338333.9%130 W · 253 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-34.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e0b…bc0dbacked Under43c3,640$1,565 inWon+$2,074.82100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+102.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1ca2…3ff2backed Under44c1,862$816 inWon+$1,046.321258.3%7 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick58cpaid-10.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd747…076cbacked Under44c909.09$400 inWon+$509.09366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+24.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Under30c747.76$222 inWon+$526.062,63432.9%867 W · 1,767 L+43.3wins+0.02per pick31cpaid-19.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae8d…6db9backed Under44c727.27$320 inWon+$407.272166.7%14 W · 7 L+3.1wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+43.5%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xa8bd…b7aabacked Under43c654.32$281 inWon+$372.968057.5%46 W · 34 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick52cpaid+27.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xbb29…947abacked Under43c387.14$166 inWon+$220.818843.1%81 W · 107 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa76b…f954backed Over75c368.87$277 inLost-$276.6530%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xe015…6ffdbacked Under39c363.74$142 inWon+$221.885352.8%28 W · 25 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf95e…1816backed Under43c356.98$153 inWon+$203.484656.5%26 W · 20 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick56cpaid-1.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x16d6…89d4backed Over61c327.87$200 inLost-$2003435.3%12 W · 22 L-4.0wins-0.12per pick47cpaid-20.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xe3ce…fa8dbacked Over55c181.82$100 inLost-$10023554.9%129 W · 106 L+3.9wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4e20…e3c8backed Under43c178.52$77 inWon+$101.764942.9%21 W · 28 L-0.8wins-0.02per pick45cpaid+11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada1…5fbfbacked Over57c175.44$100 inLost-$100812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.4wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-78.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over58c161.07$93 inLost-$92.718,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x329d…5a92backed Under42c152.14$64 inWon+$88.162,57646.3%1,192 W · 1,384 L+35.9wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-2.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Over56c139.99$78 inLost-$78.392,23149.2%1,098 W · 1,133 L-21.2wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-3.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Under45c129.11$58 inWon+$71.41,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Over56c129$72 inLost-$72.243,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5fb3…88c1backed Over58c110$64 inLost-$63.822058.2%128 W · 92 L+18.8wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+18%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d0e…8d7dbacked Under44c109.48$48 inWon+$61.312231.8%7 W · 15 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-19.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x643f…50acbacked Over61c99.17$60 inLost-$60.122630.8%8 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick28cpaid+36.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under38c88.36$34 inWon+$54.7958049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe692…13a8backed Under44c68$30 inWon+$38.08683.3%5 W · 1 L+1.8wins+0.30per pick54cpaid+58.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x54bd…fd1abacked Over73c62.41$46 inLost-$45.562433.3%8 W · 16 L-2.0wins-0.09per pick42cpaid-44.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0af1…d862backed Over56c53.57$30 inLost-$301127.3%3 W · 8 L-0.6wins-0.05per pick33cpaid+43.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8dac…9220backed Over74c52.73$39 inLost-$39.024122%9 W · 32 L-0.1wins0.00per pick22cpaid-29.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Over56c50$28 inLost-$2846743.3%202 W · 265 L-5.7wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a1b…5975backed Over55c36.36$20 inLost-$20633.3%2 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.19per pick52cpaid-47.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1e3e…0f68backed Over62c32.26$20 inLost-$20520%1 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.35per pick55cpaid-66.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x99b0…1d6bbacked Under43c30$13 inWon+$17.1366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+63%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Over58c28$16 inLost-$16.1682537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb818…d5a2backed Over57c20$11 inLost-$11.41637.5%6 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.