Fifa International · resolved market
Spread: Spain (-3.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbd0f3193c8dbbc4e4c2fa7c71b0e1b0569e0351105adff5a353b19dab26bf78e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Argentinaof Spain, Argentina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $292,029
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $297,319
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $292,029 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc092…0cd9backed Spain | 2c | 30,000$684 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$683.71 | 57 | 29.8%17 W · 40 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb763…cce5backed Spain | 2c | 14,791$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +2.6wins | +0.08per pick | 19cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0f34…7684backed Spain | 2c | 13,287$277 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.86 | 658 | 35%230 W · 428 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d7f…a878backed Spain | 2c | 10,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 67 | 37.3%25 W · 42 L | +3.6wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b7…5ee3backed Spain | 2c | 10,000$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$190 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -40%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Spain | 2c | 9,427$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.17 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9d6e…4018backed Spain | 2c | 9,368$187 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$187.35 | 91 | 14.3%13 W · 78 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -31.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8089…f935backed Spain | 2c | 8,000$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152 | 33 | 27.3%9 W · 24 L | +1.5wins | +0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfde6…7ed6backed Spain | 2c | 6,000$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114 | 427 | 10.3%44 W · 383 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 13cpaid | -42.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d77…bcafbacked Spain | 2c | 5,929$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.59 | 35 | 25.7%9 W · 26 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd61…0002backed Spain | 2c | 5,802$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.64 | 65 | 43.1%28 W · 37 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Spain | 2c | 4,904$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.13 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce20…0b7bbacked Spain | 2c | 4,862$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd753…6053backed Spain | 2c | 4,750$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 302 | 19.9%60 W · 242 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb67c…80edbacked Spain | 2c | 4,651$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.33 | 50 | 22%11 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 21cpaid | +217.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e74…2eacbacked Spain | 2c | 3,777$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.68 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee3…a899backed Spain | 1c | 3,576$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 42 | 35.7%15 W · 27 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Spain | 2c | 2,688$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.39 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e7d…224cbacked Spain | 2c | 2,632$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 15 | 6.7%1 W · 14 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -78%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7259…a6c4backed Spain | 2c | 2,500$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xaacb…90cbbacked Spain | 2c | 2,442$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.58 | 179 | 19%34 W · 145 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 14cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…a576backed Spain | 2c | 2,421$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 451 | 20.6%93 W · 358 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 22cpaid | -7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ca1…3378backed Spain | 2c | 1,700$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.9 | 56 | 30.4%17 W · 39 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -33%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc277…1e7cbacked Spain | 2c | 1,569$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9337…a410backed Spain | 2c | 1,500$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.9 | 118 | 11.9%14 W · 104 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | -40.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadc5…6aa4backed Spain | 2c | 1,497$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 114 | 12.3%14 W · 100 L | -4.8wins | -0.04per pick | 17cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcda7…d089backed Spain | 2c | 1,395$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.46 | 34 | 8.8%3 W · 31 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 15cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e7b…8345backed Spain | 2c | 1,223$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.94 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0097…4a1dbacked Spain | 2c | 1,190$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 29 | 24.1%7 W · 22 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb552…b70cbacked Spain | 2c | 1,133$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.8 | 204 | 27%55 W · 149 L | -4.3wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -26%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc470…c792backed Spain | 2c | 1,053$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 295 | 29.8%88 W · 207 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x98be…5794backed Spain | 2c | 1,027$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 115 | 31.3%36 W · 79 L | -5.9wins | -0.05per pick | 36cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x66bc…25c9backed Spain | 2c | 952.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 332 | 21.7%72 W · 260 L | -8.8wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8cb…e963backed Spain | 2c | 952.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 94 | 14.9%14 W · 80 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 14cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x122c…fbedbacked Spain | 2c | 878.38$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.28 | 312 | 32.4%101 W · 211 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8776…f2efbacked Spain | 2c | 869.57$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Spain | 2c | 864.6$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.25 | 3,286 | 49.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L | +6.2wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7150…6a8abacked Spain | 2c | 600$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 49 | 42.9%21 W · 28 L | +3.5wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa278…3369backed Spain | 2c | 585.22$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.33 | 1,111 | 24.3%270 W · 841 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x991b…50c8backed Spain | 2c | 526.32$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -74.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb438…24a2backed Spain | 2c | 525.67$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 18cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd915…e3f7backed Spain | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 24 | 25%6 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -25.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x92e5…b9c3backed Spain | 2c | 500$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -48.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2837…e9fabacked Spain | 2c | 499.99$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | +1.5wins | +0.06per pick | 22cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4cfd…3d84backed Spain | 2c | 424.01$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 373 | 23.1%86 W · 287 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Spain (-3.5)this page
- Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSpain won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Spain won
- Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Spain won
- Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Spain (-4.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Spain (-5.5)Argentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.