TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$455,667
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$447,631

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $455,667 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 113 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x9032…8717backed Over9c50,000$4,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,499.994042.5%17 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over9c45,831$4,244 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,244.052,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over9c19,605$1,841 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,840.532,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2d61…1fa7backed Over7c16,490$1,099 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,099.19425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-57.6%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9441…98babacked Over10c15,602$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5003520%7 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over6c15,001$889 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$889.042,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdee3…6fe5backed Over9c14,497$1,305 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,304.7312825.8%33 W · 95 L-3.3wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-54.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over9c10,390$895 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.981,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over8c7,960$625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$624.862,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over9c7,338$660 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$660.4659230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x59bb…6d65backed Over8c6,902$587 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$586.532339.1%9 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over7c6,119$441 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$441.254,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over9c5,555$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$499.9532029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Over10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50015441.6%64 W · 90 L+12.7wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Over6c4,765$298 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.3777433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20d7…2c14backed Over9c4,523$407 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$407.130%0 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over4c4,212$175 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.351,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x2d8a…e818backed Over7c3,066$225 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2255322.6%12 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick25cpaid-8.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3d91…a5fdbacked Over9c2,785$251 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$250.654327.9%12 W · 31 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick36cpaid+11.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over6c2,500$140 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.781,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb552…b70cbacked Over9c2,233$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$200.9420427%55 W · 149 L-4.3wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-26%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b1d…d900backed Over9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20090%0 W · 9 L-2.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x8e81…258dbacked Over9c2,222$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2003839.5%15 W · 23 L+1.1wins+0.03per pick37cpaid-6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4266…0e08backed Over10c2,090$209 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$208.98917.7%7 W · 84 L-9.8wins-0.11per pick18cpaid-64.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over9c2,023$179 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.568,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfbd6…6c38backed Over5c2,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002615.4%4 W · 22 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick17cpaid-45.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa47d…2c4abacked Over3c1,923$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50140%0 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xb518…2580backed Over6c1,633$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103650%3 W · 3 L+2.4wins+0.40per pick10cpaid+481.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over9c1,611$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.991,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5415…f764backed Over9c1,549$139 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$139.399428.7%27 W · 67 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xacc9…c790backed Over9c1,500$135 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1354131.7%13 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over9c1,304$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$117.8475729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5299…bb37backed Over8c1,250$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.993221.9%7 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick22cpaid-24.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over8c1,222$98 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.7972722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Over9c1,200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10829813.8%41 W · 257 L+5.7wins+0.02per pick12cpaid+8.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf4ef…e596backed Over10c1,186$118 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1181346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick28cpaid+37.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Over4c1,152$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040912%49 W · 360 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x332e…fd5dbacked Over9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006018.3%11 W · 49 L-5.3wins-0.09per pick27cpaid-48.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdf90…e485backed Over9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003225%8 W · 24 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-45.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc148…71c5backed Over9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10030%0 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd14c…5fbdbacked Over9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100306.7%2 W · 28 L-3.7wins-0.12per pick19cpaid-81.8%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Over9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10019939.2%78 W · 121 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xae05…edbcbacked Over9c1,111$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.9940%0 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over7c1,110$74 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.291,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3905…c8bdbacked Over9c1,057$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$95.1240%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x999f…addbbacked Over10c1,002$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002927.6%8 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-24.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x42a8…7cffbacked Over9c1,000$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9040%0 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc08a…92a4backed Over9c978.22$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$88.049420.2%19 W · 75 L-0.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa87f…4610backed Over9c955.56$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8630%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcdfc…2c43backed Over9c840.44$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.64250%1 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.41per pick9cpaid+426.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1eab…6a7dbacked Over8c810.21$69 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.5225643.4%111 W · 145 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over9c775.75$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$70.531,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5032…d300backed Over10c772.2$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.223813.2%5 W · 33 L-2.8wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-42%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Over9c751.97$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.6851315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8cfc…26debacked Over9c700$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$651520%3 W · 12 L-1.0wins-0.07per pick27cpaid-45.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x12ec…41aebacked Over9c699.99$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$634134.1%14 W · 27 L-2.2wins-0.05per pick40cpaid-21.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x533b…0a9ebacked Over10c630$63 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6323227.6%64 W · 168 L-12.1wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xb575…bea5backed Over10c575.8$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5830%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick20cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe908…0c3cbacked Over9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5020%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0c59…11acbacked Over9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$503112.9%4 W · 27 L0.0wins0.00per pick13cpaid-38.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe981…1859backed Over9c555.56$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010918.3%20 W · 89 L-4.5wins-0.04per pick22cpaid-22.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over7c550.77$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.252,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x228d…a448backed Over7c545.14$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$403511.4%4 W · 31 L-4.5wins-0.13per pick24cpaid-71.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Over9c536.1$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.4978835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3e76…37acbacked Over9c505$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.457610.5%8 W · 68 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick13cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x325f…4511backed Over8c500.79$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.731,62732.1%523 W · 1,104 L+4.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-19.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xde7c…2342backed Over10c500$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5070%0 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xd577…048cbacked Over2c500$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$102123.8%5 W · 16 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick28cpaid-48.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5201…caa2backed Over9c486.56$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4169…fc04backed Over9c444.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40616.7%1 W · 5 L+0.4wins+0.07per pick9cpaid+2.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x2a90…bdffbacked Over9c444.44$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401612.5%2 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.12per pick25cpaid-66%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x4de1…d632backed Over9c412.33$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.111428.6%4 W · 10 L+0.2wins+0.01per pick27cpaid+7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9868…907ebacked Over3c407.1$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.475121.6%11 W · 40 L+1.8wins+0.04per pick18cpaid+21.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7b7f…d56cbacked Over5c353.2$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.6682537.1%306 W · 519 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-19.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe7b…dd04backed Over10c349$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.910%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeecd…4fefbacked Over9c339.02$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.519635.4%34 W · 62 L-2.6wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x65c4…7ac5backed Over3c338.93$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.4910%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ab9…8886backed Over9c333.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302544%11 W · 14 L0.0wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7cd4…0a6fbacked Over9c333.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302850%14 W · 14 L+2.6wins+0.09per pick41cpaid+21.7%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Over6c280$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1715325.5%39 W · 114 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe562…4fa9backed Over9c277.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2529338.2%112 W · 181 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+5.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd979…6340backed Over9c277.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25333.3%1 W · 2 L+0.3wins+0.10per pick23cpaid-27.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5df3…8d9ebacked Over9c277.78$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$251637.5%6 W · 10 L-0.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-22.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe9f…014abacked Over6c258.83$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.445145%203 W · 248 L+22.3wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+6.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xe0fd…fc33backed Over9c250.49$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.5430%0 W · 3 L-0.8wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over9c245.4$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.091,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe35f…f7f8backed Over9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$202634.6%9 W · 17 L+2.0wins+0.08per pick27cpaid+33.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x533c…4883backed Over9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2050%0 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.15per pick15cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0bd…6892backed Over9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe82c…86e1backed Over9c222.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x6435…e868backed Over9c215$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3520014.5%29 W · 171 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xced4…5055backed Over9c200$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$187724.7%19 W · 58 L+7.7wins+0.10per pick15cpaid+56.1%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x51ce…43fabacked Over10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201,38815.1%210 W · 1,178 L-16.0wins-0.01per pick16cpaid-7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1d99…fdf5backed Over10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4868…da56backed Over10c172$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.210%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.10per pick10cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x14af…02f2backed Over9c166.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$156031.7%19 W · 41 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-19.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x608f…3223backed Over9c166.67$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15955.6%5 W · 4 L+1.7wins+0.19per pick36cpaid+31.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8222…17d2backed Over9c155.56$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14850%4 W · 4 L+1.2wins+0.15per pick35cpaid-12.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xab6b…521bbacked Over9c150$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.518426.1%48 W · 136 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick25cpaid-13.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.