TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$505,510
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$487,424

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $505,510 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 108 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x99f0…9495backed Over4c45,487$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,016.4271638.4%275 W · 441 L+8.7wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+12.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e5f…43dabacked Over5c35,340$1,693 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,692.634420.5%9 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+336.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over4c25,094$1,094 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,094.294,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over5c23,636$1,108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,108.028,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over2c20,952$465 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$464.813,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4433…9d34backed Over4c11,411$456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$455.7578835.3%278 W · 510 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-16.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa67d…dbecbacked Over5c10,957$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50031611.4%36 W · 280 L+0.4wins0.00per pick11cpaid-8.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over4c10,173$372 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$371.5637223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xebdf…2176backed Over5c10,158$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc6d…9f36backed Over5c10,054$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$500933.3%3 W · 6 L-0.9wins-0.10per pick43cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Over5c9,113$460 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$459.8519037.4%71 W · 119 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over4c8,038$361 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$360.5775729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over4c6,074$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.152,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1dab…c5c1backed Over5c5,840$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$306.251711.8%2 W · 15 L-3.1wins-0.18per pick30cpaid-80.1%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over4c5,762$252 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$252.012,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe459…7cb2backed Over3c4,972$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1506330.2%19 W · 44 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick32cpaid+7.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b49…1762backed Over5c4,359$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2007220.8%15 W · 57 L+4.5wins+0.06per pick15cpaid+33.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over4c3,849$144 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.3172722.7%165 W · 562 L+6.0wins+0.01per pick22cpaid+3.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcce6…8fafbacked Over5c3,828$180 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.347152.1%37 W · 34 L+5.3wins+0.07per pick45cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x8d48…0d57backed Over5c3,203$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15030%0 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.09per pick9cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf990…88bcbacked Over4c3,000$114 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114128.3%1 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick9cpaid-82.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdce6…6069backed Over5c2,800$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1293743.2%16 W · 21 L0.0wins0.00per pick43cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over4c2,736$107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.7259230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3e63…0857backed Over3c2,586$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.59626.5%4 W · 58 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6314…0183backed Over4c2,500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100190%0 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over5c2,400$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.711,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4247…91c4backed Over1c2,325$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.251228.9%148 W · 364 L+5.0wins+0.01per pick28cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6e0a…db34backed Over4c2,267$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004822.9%11 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4737…a54abacked Over5c2,186$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1001323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick12cpaid+46.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x5c69…51cabacked Over5c2,179$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1005024%12 W · 38 L+1.3wins+0.03per pick21cpaid-23.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1c0a…7fb2backed Over5c2,154$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002920.7%6 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid+15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over4c2,090$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.042,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4dc5…d401backed Over5c2,087$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1003125.8%8 W · 23 L+1.7wins+0.06per pick20cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xadf4…069ebacked Over5c2,023$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10014323.1%33 W · 110 L-6.0wins-0.04per pick27cpaid-7.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x09b2…a017backed Over4c2,000$85 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$859819.4%19 W · 79 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick17cpaid+146.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Over5c1,966$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.7477433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b6e…d361backed Over4c1,951$86 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$85.832425%6 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xbf4d…8cfebacked Over5c1,600$72 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$723318.2%6 W · 27 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick15cpaid+32.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Over5c1,433$67 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6797742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc316…31abbacked Over4c1,220$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.6wins+0.11per pick17cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over2c1,218$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.441,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over5c1,189$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xba16…b3fcbacked Over4c1,136$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50425%1 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.05per pick20cpaid-40.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x779c…b96fbacked Over4c1,136$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5012322%27 W · 96 L0.0wins0.00per pick22cpaid-17.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over4c1,126$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.921,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f21…3d6ebacked Over5c1,087$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5030220.2%61 W · 241 L-15.6wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-17.8%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over5c1,087$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5045120.6%93 W · 358 L-7.3wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf0c2…b793backed Over5c1,087$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$504139%16 W · 25 L+5.7wins+0.14per pick25cpaid+33.8%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xca77…d7a8backed Over4c1,054$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$395839.7%23 W · 35 L-2.1wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-21.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x40e5…e6adbacked Over5c1,050$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.47810.3%8 W · 70 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick8cpaid+58%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0915…67c3backed Over5c1,042$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501225%3 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.06per pick19cpaid+1.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x751f…e4ddbacked Over4c957.5$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8787938.6%339 W · 540 L+8.3wins+0.01per pick38cpaid+4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Over4c946$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$41.6227520.4%56 W · 219 L+1.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over4c919.41$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39.091,11124.3%270 W · 841 L-32.2wins-0.03per pick27cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x945e…e42abacked Over4c909.09$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$406642.4%28 W · 38 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x12c3…a470backed Over5c851.06$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$404613%6 W · 40 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick16cpaid-32.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9a8d…2218backed Over5c770$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.195320.8%11 W · 42 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick20cpaid+25.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8082…facfbacked Over4c768$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.726314.3%9 W · 54 L-0.1wins0.00per pick15cpaid-22.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6a34…c216backed Over4c750$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$308731%27 W · 60 L-2.7wins-0.03per pick34cpaid-35.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over4c725$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2952217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2afc…23c9backed Over4c714.29$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$301942.1%8 W · 11 L+1.1wins+0.06per pick36cpaid-6.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over4c626.2$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.161,42147.8%679 W · 742 L-0.5wins0.00per pick48cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6b36…0d4bbacked Over3c581.82$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3173626.5%195 W · 541 L-0.7wins0.00per pick27cpaid-19.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over4c576.05$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.771,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0bb1…daf7backed Over4c571.82$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.0718821.8%41 W · 147 L-5.0wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-22.1%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c36…f5adbacked Over5c568.96$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.3160%0 W · 6 L-0.8wins-0.14per pick14cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Over5c563.07$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$302429.2%7 W · 17 L-2.8wins-0.12per pick41cpaid-38.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Over4c556.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.981,20632.7%394 W · 812 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2099…3024backed Over3c548.63$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.745232.7%17 W · 35 L+6.4wins+0.12per pick20cpaid+38.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xf4ef…e596backed Over4c512.82$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.3wins+0.18per pick28cpaid+37.6%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x75c5…5bbabacked Over5c510.2$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2540%0 W · 4 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5415…f764backed Over4c505.28$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$209428.7%27 W · 67 L-2.3wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-11.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked Over4c500$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.558926.8%158 W · 431 L-30.5wins-0.05per pick32cpaid-44.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8ba0…89b2backed Over5c500$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.580%0 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.07per pick7cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3db3…9657backed Over5c500$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23633.3%2 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick48cpaid-54.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x197c…9b94backed Over5c500$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2440%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x1ae5…b01abacked Over5c483.96$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.231421.4%3 W · 11 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick34cpaid-57.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x57bb…221fbacked Over3c458.33$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$121729.4%5 W · 12 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick18cpaid+23.9%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xd95c…7dd1backed Over5c437.5$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$215324.5%13 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa7d5…559ebacked Over5c434.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2011925.2%30 W · 89 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick27cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Over4c433.01$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.3232837.2%122 W · 206 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick35cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4adb…e2f4backed Over5c425.96$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.02267.7%2 W · 24 L-3.8wins-0.15per pick22cpaid-51.3%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x71f5…0a02backed Over5c424.03$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206816.2%11 W · 57 L+4.5wins+0.07per pick10cpaid+80.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xfc21…e300backed Over5c416.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2040%0 W · 4 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick27cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x99e9…4df9backed Over5c416.67$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.05per pick5cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c86…abc9backed Over5c408.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20147.1%1 W · 13 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick9cpaid-77.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe78…edacbacked Over5c408.16$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201346.2%6 W · 7 L+2.2wins+0.17per pick29cpaid+166.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x765d…8efbbacked Over4c400$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.6650%3 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.19per pick31cpaid+28.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x8563…3cbabacked Over4c393.68$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17156.7%1 W · 14 L-3.4wins-0.23per pick29cpaid-79%equal weight41-0.09 edge/pick
0xe2bd…eab2backed Over4c340.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151717.6%3 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.10per pick28cpaid-59.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xeedb…f631backed Over4c340.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151533.3%5 W · 10 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-36.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0791…d81fbacked Over5c326.09$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152634.6%9 W · 17 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick38cpaid-21.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x66bc…25c9backed Over5c320$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.3633221.7%72 W · 260 L-8.8wins-0.03per pick24cpaid-13.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x305f…86c0backed Over5c316.88$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.21010%1 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-68%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc7d0…1f8abacked Over4c310.77$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.512,45334.7%850 W · 1,603 L+84.3wins+0.03per pick31cpaid-10.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6334…4dbdbacked Over4c307.69$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b1a…3852backed Over5c300$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.413217.4%23 W · 109 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8f6e…92f1backed Over5c300$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.12445.8%11 W · 13 L+1.7wins+0.07per pick39cpaid+59.5%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7ee1…858ebacked Over5c299.71$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7920%0 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.06per pick6cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Over4c299.47$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.538838.6%34 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.