TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$632,773
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$643,921

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $632,773 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 217 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under76c220,653$167,912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$52,741.254,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa47d…2c4abacked Over0c100,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100140%0 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xec44…c92bbacked Over27c75,000$20,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20,239.868521.2%18 W · 67 L+0.1wins0.00per pick21cpaid+13.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd3e7…ea94backed Over27c74,000$19,980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19,979.9413725.5%35 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over25c55,593$13,899 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,898.5342345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7826…9d51backed Over27c34,481$9,194 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,194.341631.3%5 W · 11 L0.0wins0.00per pick32cpaid-13.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under74c27,834$20,598 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,235.962,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad9f…17bcbacked Over17c27,189$4,695 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,695.041816.7%3 W · 15 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick18cpaid-4.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Under73c24,455$17,852 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,602.8936250%181 W · 181 L+7.7wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x9340…ae1dbacked Over26c20,492$5,328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,327.887416.2%12 W · 62 L-1.4wins-0.02per pick18cpaid-19.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over23c19,583$4,575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,575.478,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over25c13,580$3,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,436.32,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Under74c11,004$8,143 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,861.0324058.8%141 W · 99 L+19.8wins+0.08per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under74c10,102$7,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,676.781,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Over26c10,000$2,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,60019037.4%71 W · 119 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xecaa…77a9backed Under75c6,800$5,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,70031152.7%164 W · 147 L-12.7wins-0.04per pick57cpaid-6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xdc9b…a77fbacked Under76c6,579$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,578.956100%6 W · 0 L+2.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+172.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xa354…22ebbacked Under75c6,000$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,5007358.9%43 W · 30 L-0.2wins0.00per pick59cpaid-4.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1b6d…2f1abacked Over15c5,833$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$90015034.7%52 W · 98 L+1.2wins+0.01per pick34cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9e5c…d8e6backed Over9c5,556$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50028133.1%93 W · 188 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8fa1…792fbacked Under75c5,044$3,783 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,2612751.9%14 W · 13 L0.0wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over6c4,803$292 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$292.1151514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under73c4,118$3,007 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,111.232,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under73c4,081$2,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,090.382,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6a32…0086backed Under73c4,000$2,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08086452.7%455 W · 409 L+26.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Under73c4,000$2,920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,08011755.6%65 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x0de8…6cf3backed Over26c3,575$930 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$929.546930.4%21 W · 48 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick33cpaid+11.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Under75c3,200$2,400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80025857.4%148 W · 110 L+11.0wins+0.04per pick53cpaid+8.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb6d0…9b55backed Over27c3,148$850 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8505952.5%31 W · 28 L-1.7wins-0.03per pick55cpaid-0.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under74c3,137$2,316 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$820.81,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under74c3,000$2,220 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78074447.8%356 W · 388 L+11.3wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+1.2%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x195c…fbc3backed Over23c2,609$600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6002626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick31cpaid+24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc70f…ed45backed Over2c2,400$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$48.6911.1%1 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-14.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under73c2,283$1,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$616.4417748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4fcd…f6d6backed Over26c2,148$558 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$558.44333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid+11.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x274b…d408backed Over27c2,122$573 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$572.8629138.8%113 W · 178 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick36cpaid+40.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under77c2,019$1,545 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$474.391,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over26c1,881$489 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$489.062,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over25c1,862$469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$468.561,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked Under74c1,840$1,356 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$484.583,21347.2%1,517 W · 1,696 L-7.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under73c1,719$1,261 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$457.753,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x17f2…ca6abacked Under75c1,600$1,200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4006749.3%33 W · 34 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xddc3…029cbacked Over25c1,500$375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37522943.7%100 W · 129 L+5.5wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+5.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xae2b…daa8backed Under73c1,370$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$369.8613157.3%75 W · 56 L+6.2wins+0.05per pick53cpaid-1.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under75c1,370$1,029 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$340.571,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x63e3…f341backed Under74c1,351$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$351.358647.7%41 W · 45 L+2.2wins+0.03per pick45cpaid-2.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6558…6d7fbacked Over25c1,313$328 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$328.3710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over14c1,281$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$182.412,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1eab…6a7dbacked Over21c1,162$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.7425643.4%111 W · 145 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x73c0…4aa3backed Over10c1,100$110 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1105330.2%16 W · 37 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick28cpaid-2.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x00c8…9ccdbacked Over26c1,081$281 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$280.991,01931.6%322 W · 697 L-10.2wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-17.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under76c1,054$801 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.0688852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under73c1,048$770 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.731,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf9fe…366bbacked Over25c1,000$250 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2501931.6%6 W · 13 L-2.7wins-0.14per pick46cpaid-43.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x0cee…4191backed Over5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5010347.6%49 W · 54 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe0fc…097ebacked Under75c1,000$750 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2504858.3%28 W · 20 L-1.9wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-13.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under73c1,000$730 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27046546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xacc9…c790backed Over27c999.99$270 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2704131.7%13 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Over27c911.11$246 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24622355.6%124 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f8d…cf69backed Over25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20027742.2%117 W · 160 L-12.9wins-0.05per pick47cpaid-15.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Over25c800$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20019939.2%78 W · 121 L+1.8wins+0.01per pick38cpaid-8.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5811…0976backed Under74c798.29$587 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$211.5597742%410 W · 567 L-6.5wins-0.01per pick43cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4c8c…4495backed Over16c783.16$129 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$128.641926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-39.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x396b…bd2cbacked Over26c769.23$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2006041.7%25 W · 35 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-21.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x2ea7…9d9abacked Over26c765$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.922730.4%69 W · 158 L-2.7wins-0.01per pick32cpaid-6.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2714…960fbacked Under74c675.99$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$175.7621957.5%126 W · 93 L+14.1wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xaf2e…d20fbacked Over26c654.08$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb13b…5f1abacked Under78c641.03$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$141.036320.6%13 W · 50 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick26cpaid-18.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x0ba8…e4e4backed Over4c601.04$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.0450%0 W · 5 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick3cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over15c518.26$78 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$77.852,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc627…47b2backed Under78c512.82$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.821782.4%14 W · 3 L+1.9wins+0.11per pick71cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Under74c511.62$377 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.463,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Over3c500$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.11,25239.2%491 W · 761 L+6.0wins0.00per pick39cpaid-20.1%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x7e34…63f7backed Under75c500$375 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12528164.1%180 W · 101 L+16.0wins+0.06per pick58cpaid+7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa2c3…ac23backed Under73c499.99$365 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13595739.5%378 W · 579 L-18.4wins-0.02per pick41cpaid-0.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8a7e…dd3cbacked Over5c450$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.515325.5%39 W · 114 L-4.5wins-0.03per pick28cpaid-11.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfc4b…c865backed Over26c442.31$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11510042%42 W · 58 L-3.9wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf3d0…2fefbacked Under74c435.79$322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.31546.7%7 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ec…1481backed Over24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1006618.2%12 W · 54 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick19cpaid+5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x976f…ca10backed Over24c416.67$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100175.9%1 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.10per pick16cpaid-83.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Over23c416.06$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8171939.1%281 W · 438 L-4.9wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-33%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7dde…30b1backed Over12c405.47$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.0617356.6%98 W · 75 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+3.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8a3b…5fa5backed Under74c405.41$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.417471.6%53 W · 21 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick69cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x15c2…345abacked Over26c400$104 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1048742.5%37 W · 50 L+0.1wins0.00per pick42cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe734…721fbacked Under75c400$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1008165.4%53 W · 28 L+7.5wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+12.7%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x90e3…6298backed Under74c399.97$296 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$103.9912249.2%60 W · 62 L-1.6wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-22.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x817a…7f1cbacked Over14c399.96$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$55.996232.3%20 W · 42 L-1.8wins-0.03per pick35cpaid+13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xcc77…08a4backed Over28c396.39$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.993016.7%5 W · 25 L-1.0wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x85d8…3cbebacked Over26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10024649.2%121 W · 125 L+2.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x631e…c145backed Over26c384.62$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002218.2%4 W · 18 L-0.5wins-0.02per pick21cpaid-46.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d5f…1171backed Under76c380.46$290 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.971,45953.9%787 W · 672 L-6.3wins0.00per pick54cpaid-6.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1326…fdffbacked Over9c366.67$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3318936%68 W · 121 L+0.4wins0.00per pick36cpaid+12.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x786d…b89bbacked Over27c351.85$95 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9552217.4%91 W · 431 L-11.1wins-0.02per pick20cpaid-19%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4ef4…349fbacked Over24c338.96$81 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$81.3510%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x22da…2866backed Under76c319.09$243 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$76.2963255.7%352 W · 280 L-0.6wins0.00per pick56cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xad57…2fc0backed Over15c318.6$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$47.7913119.1%25 W · 106 L-3.2wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-8.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x200f…7a96backed Under74c306.98$227 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$80.131,68854.4%918 W · 770 L+31.4wins+0.02per pick53cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xea1b…ec19backed Under76c300$228 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$721457.1%8 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick58cpaid-2.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xd170…a9d9backed Over25c300$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7519040.5%77 W · 113 L-4.5wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-0.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf8a5…f089backed Over10c300$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$305213.5%7 W · 45 L-3.6wins-0.07per pick20cpaid-48.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.