Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x8c700112c536c54f2630f7ef6c2af7fda72c122fc7d26aa446f9d5f3ac156b10
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,934,127
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,848,711
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,934,127 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 1,281 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x489c…376bbacked Over | 70c | 697,791$485,313 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485,313.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf031…c80cbacked Under | 30c | 636,030$193,781 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$442,249.01 | 335 | 38.2%128 W · 207 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 36c | 362,719$131,714 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$231,004.19 | 4,595 | 40.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L | -91.3wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x447d…5eeabacked Under | 31c | 217,500$66,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150,618.74 | 74 | 47.3%35 W · 39 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed Over | 23c | 100,000$23,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,000 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cd…2f2cbacked Over | 66c | 100,000$66,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,999.94 | 41 | 78%32 W · 9 L | +5.0wins | +0.12per pick | 66cpaid | +35%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Over | 69c | 91,741$63,603 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63,603.48 | 423 | 45.6%193 W · 230 L | +10.8wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Under | 36c | 88,159$31,755 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56,404.54 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Under | 77c | 77,748$60,238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17,509.83 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ee4…697bbacked Under | 64c | 77,738$50,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27,738.43 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.4wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Over | 69c | 77,232$53,458 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53,457.83 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Over | 47c | 75,643$35,364 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35,364.11 | 3,696 | 36.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L | -44.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Over | 60c | 66,103$39,778 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,777.9 | 2,407 | 37.7%908 W · 1,499 L | -48.7wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under | 42c | 64,043$26,959 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,083.81 | 425 | 41.6%177 W · 248 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Over | 60c | 63,528$38,229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,228.75 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x208c…6b98backed Over | 42c | 63,457$26,493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,493.09 | 98 | 46.9%46 W · 52 L | -4.9wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd04d…bfc2backed Over | 66c | 60,472$39,920 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39,919.84 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +18.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Under | 56c | 56,903$31,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,284.65 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under | 31c | 51,974$15,995 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35,978.55 | 471 | 44.8%211 W · 260 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe4fc…8af7backed Under | 31c | 49,303$15,190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,113.1 | 502 | 43.4%218 W · 284 L | -9.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f5b…e747backed Under | 31c | 49,192$15,156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34,036.19 | 484 | 41.9%203 W · 281 L | -16.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under | 48c | 42,210$20,313 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21,896.9 | 644 | 46.4%299 W · 345 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae73…3801backed Over | 0c | 40,000$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 0cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4572…5e86backed Under | 36c | 39,248$14,287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,960.93 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | +4.6wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +37.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6f…d024backed Under | 42c | 38,972$16,530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22,442.3 | 774 | 33.1%256 W · 518 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x79ae…9a4abacked Under | 31c | 38,908$11,938 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26,969.82 | 75 | 45.3%34 W · 41 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 56c | 37,266$20,692 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,574.66 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…e7a9backed Under | 31c | 36,270$11,169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25,100.92 | 441 | 44%194 W · 247 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1418…6fefbacked Under | 31c | 36,000$11,072 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24,927.51 | 476 | 43.3%206 W · 270 L | -10.9wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -11%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…ea94backed Over | 42c | 35,949$15,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15,000 | 137 | 25.5%35 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x870f…6da1backed Over | 37c | 31,963$11,676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,676.16 | 223 | 38.1%85 W · 138 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Under | 77c | 29,918$23,037 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,881.2 | 747 | 52.2%390 W · 357 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7517…0353backed Over | 37c | 28,748$10,584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,583.57 | 27 | 48.1%13 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 30cpaid | +120.1%equal weight | 61+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…2888backed Over | 60c | 24,657$14,800 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,799.52 | 272 | 27.6%75 W · 197 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa81b…4d36backed Over | 42c | 23,952$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,000 | 64 | 34.4%22 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.05per pick | 29cpaid | +2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 30c | 23,687$7,161 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16,525.74 | 1,560 | 43.8%684 W · 876 L | -4.4wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x361b…74febacked Over | 69c | 19,885$13,777 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13,777.17 | 510 | 32.5%166 W · 344 L | -9.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked Under | 30c | 18,276$5,570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,705.49 | 91 | 50.5%46 W · 45 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x258c…7c23backed Under | 32c | 18,081$5,811 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,269.45 | 29 | 48.3%14 W · 15 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 40cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed Over | 55c | 16,893$9,316 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,315.83 | 235 | 58.3%137 W · 98 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaabb…5554backed Under | 31c | 16,051$4,945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,106.06 | 474 | 42.8%203 W · 271 L | -14.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x09dd…7e13backed Over | 54c | 15,739$8,456 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,455.82 | 379 | 44.1%167 W · 212 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4d…6be9backed Under | 30c | 15,000$4,525 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,475 | 16 | 81.3%13 W · 3 L | +6.2wins | +0.39per pick | 43cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x898b…6c00backed Under | 31c | 14,688$4,516 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,171.66 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Under | 31c | 14,516$4,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,016.04 | 1,044 | 43.7%456 W · 588 L | +20.7wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…ac55backed Over | 70c | 14,400$10,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,008 | 140 | 45.7%64 W · 76 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e78…067ebacked Under | 69c | 13,923$9,631 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,291.02 | 362 | 35.9%130 W · 232 L | -5.3wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4ed4…e181backed Over | 42c | 13,894$5,892 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,891.56 | 74 | 16.2%12 W · 62 L | -2.8wins | -0.04per pick | 20cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Under | 30c | 12,773$3,881 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,892.8 | 1,873 | 48.4%906 W · 967 L | +14.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe18…3be4backed Over | 44c | 12,765$5,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,600 | 68 | 41.2%28 W · 40 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Over | 69c | 12,491$8,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,643.06 | 757 | 29.3%222 W · 535 L | -23.2wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x927c…6633backed Under | 32c | 11,600$3,684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,915.79 | 102 | 51%52 W · 50 L | +7.4wins | +0.07per pick | 44cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdeb8…2fd0backed Over | 42c | 11,597$4,827 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,827.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 57cpaid | -49.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked Under | 56c | 11,557$6,450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,107.23 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05e3…4b87backed Over | 50c | 11,438$5,719 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,719 | 144 | 45.8%66 W · 78 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over | 46c | 11,153$5,107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,106.67 | 2,307 | 37.6%867 W · 1,440 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78fa…4be3backed Over | 1c | 10,840$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb11c…db67backed Over | 20c | 10,228$2,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,074.94 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -40.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4608…d049backed Under | 30c | 10,000$3,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,975 | 84 | 58.3%49 W · 35 L | +9.7wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked Under | 30c | 10,000$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,999.97 | 224 | 51.3%115 W · 109 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed Under | 36c | 9,842$3,534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,307.23 | 1,702 | 36.7%625 W · 1,077 L | -31.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Under | 69c | 9,170$6,322 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,848.67 | 445 | 39.6%176 W · 269 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc289…ab37backed Over | 23c | 8,694$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over | 29c | 8,613$2,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,491.2 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ef4…f90abacked Over | 45c | 8,606$3,873 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,872.61 | 79 | 30.4%24 W · 55 L | -9.0wins | -0.11per pick | 42cpaid | -35.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked Over | 69c | 8,383$5,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,748.8 | 2,603 | 37.8%984 W · 1,619 L | -40.7wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8ff…473dbacked Under | 65c | 8,108$5,275 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,832.98 | 94 | 40.4%38 W · 56 L | -4.7wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecf1…c33dbacked Over | 42c | 8,000$3,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,389.99 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.15per pick | 51cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf0c2…fa8bbacked Over | 52c | 7,729$3,984 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,983.92 | 42 | 71.4%30 W · 12 L | +3.9wins | +0.09per pick | 62cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x69c0…30f9backed Over | 9c | 7,665$715 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$714.72 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee11…cc8cbacked Over | 70c | 7,532$5,235 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,235.04 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8be4…b795backed Over | 69c | 7,227$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 66 | 33.3%22 W · 44 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7795…9a17backed Over | 70c | 7,194$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 109 | 27.5%30 W · 79 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x512b…a14ebacked Over | 70c | 7,194$5,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,000 | 22 | 27.3%6 W · 16 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 40cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdaef…54e9backed Over | 14c | 7,117$1,001 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,001.5 | 188 | 37.2%70 W · 118 L | -6.6wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Under | 37c | 6,763$2,486 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,276.45 | 268 | 41.8%112 W · 156 L | -4.7wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xea44…7e91backed Over | 29c | 6,723$1,960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,960 | 89 | 41.6%37 W · 52 L | -4.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7bb6…8c80backed Under | 31c | 6,504$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,504.07 | 55 | 23.6%13 W · 42 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 20cpaid | +58.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe533…ab29backed Over | 31c | 6,500$2,016 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,016.25 | 116 | 38.8%45 W · 71 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +19.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbd16…d24dbacked Over | 10c | 6,493$622 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$621.83 | 107 | 29%31 W · 76 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c95…10f5backed Under | 31c | 6,452$2,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,451.61 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | +6.2wins | +0.15per pick | 34cpaid | +30.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xfa69…02c1backed Under | 60c | 6,200$3,737 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,462.94 | 437 | 37.8%165 W · 272 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5deb…ccddbacked Under | 54c | 6,059$3,256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,803.06 | 350 | 34.3%120 W · 230 L | -24.0wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x10e4…b019backed Over | 70c | 6,000$4,200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,200 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -2.7wins | -0.17per pick | 29cpaid | -83.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb113…8bc6backed Under | 42c | 5,889$2,464 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,424.53 | 318 | 51.9%165 W · 153 L | +16.3wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf81a…5d86backed Over | 47c | 5,773$2,731 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,731.47 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa700…102bbacked Over | 6c | 5,708$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.12 | 515 | 14.2%73 W · 442 L | +6.2wins | +0.01per pick | 13cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…d67abacked Over | 40c | 5,597$2,224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,224.49 | 698 | 26.1%182 W · 516 L | -21.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…7c8cbacked Over | 10c | 5,000$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 43 | 11.6%5 W · 38 L | -4.1wins | -0.09per pick | 21cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x559b…4959backed Under | 57c | 5,000$2,875 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,125 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +23.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95f5…779fbacked Under | 74c | 4,973$3,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,296.57 | 372 | 23.4%87 W · 285 L | -25.7wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -58.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8397…a04dbacked Under | 66c | 4,767$3,127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,640.76 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Over | 47c | 4,764$2,258 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,257.63 | 4,027 | 38.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L | -26.6wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x37f4…49afbacked Under | 32c | 4,738$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,237.74 | 190 | 37.4%71 W · 119 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x373b…1107backed Over | 43c | 4,667$1,995 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,994.98 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfec6…b86cbacked Under | 65c | 4,610$3,004 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,606.17 | 376 | 50.8%191 W · 185 L | -12.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3e63…0857backed Over | 5c | 4,606$247 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$246.73 | 62 | 6.5%4 W · 58 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 5cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54ea…f74abacked Over | 42c | 4,600$1,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,909 | 108 | 49.1%53 W · 55 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeb5d…0c35backed Over | 42c | 4,517$1,897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,896.94 | 64 | 35.9%23 W · 41 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e2…df57backed Under | 32c | 4,500$1,417 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,082.49 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5this page
- Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSpain won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Spain won
- Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Spain won
- Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Spain (-3.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Spain (-4.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Spain (-5.5)Argentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.