TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$3,934,127
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$3,848,711

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,934,127 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 1,281 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x489c…376bbacked Over70c697,791$485,313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$485,313.34450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf031…c80cbacked Under30c636,030$193,781 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$442,249.0133538.2%128 W · 207 L+9.7wins+0.03per pick35cpaid+14.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under36c362,719$131,714 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$231,004.194,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x447d…5eeabacked Under31c217,500$66,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$150,618.747447.3%35 W · 39 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-16.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9854…6bf2backed Over23c100,000$23,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,00017840.4%72 W · 106 L-0.2wins0.00per pick41cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa6cd…2f2cbacked Over66c100,000$66,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65,999.944178%32 W · 9 L+5.0wins+0.12per pick66cpaid+35%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Over69c91,741$63,603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63,603.4842345.6%193 W · 230 L+10.8wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+1.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Under36c88,159$31,755 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56,404.542,27139.5%896 W · 1,375 L+10.1wins0.00per pick39cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Under77c77,748$60,238 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17,509.832,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9ee4…697bbacked Under64c77,738$50,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27,738.434100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over69c77,232$53,458 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$53,457.831,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Over47c75,643$35,364 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$35,364.113,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0346…52a5backed Over60c66,103$39,778 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,777.92,40737.7%908 W · 1,499 L-48.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-25.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f3a…e8fdbacked Under42c64,043$26,959 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37,083.8142541.6%177 W · 248 L+1.8wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over60c63,528$38,229 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,228.758,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x208c…6b98backed Over42c63,457$26,493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26,493.099846.9%46 W · 52 L-4.9wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd04d…bfc2backed Over66c60,472$39,920 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$39,919.844252.4%22 W · 20 L+2.3wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+18.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Under56c56,903$31,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,284.6577152.8%407 W · 364 L+17.7wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x60ba…3c6cbacked Under31c51,974$15,995 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35,978.5547144.8%211 W · 260 L-4.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4fc…8af7backed Under31c49,303$15,190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,113.150243.4%218 W · 284 L-9.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-9.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f5b…e747backed Under31c49,192$15,156 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$34,036.1948441.9%203 W · 281 L-16.8wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x10a6…4d8bbacked Under48c42,210$20,313 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21,896.964446.4%299 W · 345 L-6.2wins-0.01per pick47cpaid+0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae73…3801backed Over0c40,000$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10010%0 W · 1 L0.0wins0.00per pick0cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4572…5e86backed Under36c39,248$14,287 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,960.9311642.2%49 W · 67 L+4.6wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+37.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Under42c38,972$16,530 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22,442.377433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x79ae…9a4abacked Under31c38,908$11,938 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26,969.827545.3%34 W · 41 L+2.0wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Under56c37,266$20,692 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,574.661,14439.2%448 W · 696 L-8.4wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-14.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…e7a9backed Under31c36,270$11,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25,100.9244144%194 W · 247 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1418…6fefbacked Under31c36,000$11,072 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,927.5147643.3%206 W · 270 L-10.9wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-11%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd3e7…ea94backed Over42c35,949$15,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15,00013725.5%35 W · 102 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick27cpaid-32.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x870f…6da1backed Over37c31,963$11,676 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,676.1622338.1%85 W · 138 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-7.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Under77c29,918$23,037 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,881.274752.2%390 W · 357 L+2.4wins0.00per pick52cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7517…0353backed Over37c28,748$10,584 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,583.572748.1%13 W · 14 L+4.9wins+0.18per pick30cpaid+120.1%equal weight61+0.09 edge/pick
0xcc72…2888backed Over60c24,657$14,800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,799.5227227.6%75 W · 197 L-0.8wins0.00per pick28cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa81b…4d36backed Over42c23,952$10,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,0006434.4%22 W · 42 L+3.2wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under30c23,687$7,161 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16,525.741,56043.8%684 W · 876 L-4.4wins0.00per pick44cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x361b…74febacked Over69c19,885$13,777 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13,777.1751032.5%166 W · 344 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked Under30c18,276$5,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,705.499150.5%46 W · 45 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick47cpaid+12.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x258c…7c23backed Under32c18,081$5,811 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,269.452948.3%14 W · 15 L+2.5wins+0.08per pick40cpaid+7.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x3e9f…3988backed Over55c16,893$9,316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,315.8323558.3%137 W · 98 L-8.7wins-0.04per pick62cpaid-9.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xaabb…5554backed Under31c16,051$4,945 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,106.0647442.8%203 W · 271 L-14.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x09dd…7e13backed Over54c15,739$8,456 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,455.8237944.1%167 W · 212 L+0.7wins0.00per pick44cpaid-12.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9d4d…6be9backed Under30c15,000$4,525 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,4751681.3%13 W · 3 L+6.2wins+0.39per pick43cpaid+92.3%equal weight67+0.15 edge/pick
0x898b…6c00backed Under31c14,688$4,516 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,171.663056.7%17 W · 13 L+3.6wins+0.12per pick45cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under31c14,516$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10,016.041,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf070…ac55backed Over70c14,400$10,008 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,00814045.7%64 W · 76 L+0.6wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e78…067ebacked Under69c13,923$9,631 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,291.0236235.9%130 W · 232 L-5.3wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-16.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4ed4…e181backed Over42c13,894$5,892 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,891.567416.2%12 W · 62 L-2.8wins-0.04per pick20cpaid+20.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under30c12,773$3,881 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,892.81,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbe18…3be4backed Over44c12,765$5,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,6006841.2%28 W · 40 L-2.1wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over69c12,491$8,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,643.0675729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x927c…6633backed Under32c11,600$3,684 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,915.7910251%52 W · 50 L+7.4wins+0.07per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xdeb8…2fd0backed Over42c11,597$4,827 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,827.5333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.7wins-0.23per pick57cpaid-49.5%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x56d8…1ccebacked Under56c11,557$6,450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,107.2323540.4%95 W · 140 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick38cpaid-3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x05e3…4b87backed Over50c11,438$5,719 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,71914445.8%66 W · 78 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-0.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over46c11,153$5,107 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,106.672,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78fa…4be3backed Over1c10,840$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12610%0 W · 1 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb11c…db67backed Over20c10,228$2,075 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,074.942138.1%8 W · 13 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-40.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4608…d049backed Under30c10,000$3,025 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,9758458.3%49 W · 35 L+9.7wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+19.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under30c10,000$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,999.9722451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under36c9,842$3,534 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,307.231,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2ec5…fd53backed Under69c9,170$6,322 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,848.6744539.6%176 W · 269 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc289…ab37backed Over23c8,694$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,00016947.3%80 W · 89 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-12.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Over29c8,613$2,491 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,491.21,22443.4%531 W · 693 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0ef4…f90abacked Over45c8,606$3,873 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,872.617930.4%24 W · 55 L-9.0wins-0.11per pick42cpaid-35.3%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over69c8,383$5,749 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,748.82,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd8ff…473dbacked Under65c8,108$5,275 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,832.989440.4%38 W · 56 L-4.7wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xecf1…c33dbacked Over42c8,000$3,390 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,389.991136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.6wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-29.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xf0c2…fa8bbacked Over52c7,729$3,984 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,983.924271.4%30 W · 12 L+3.9wins+0.09per pick62cpaid+11.7%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x69c0…30f9backed Over9c7,665$715 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$714.7212343.9%54 W · 69 L-7.1wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-14.9%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xee11…cc8cbacked Over70c7,532$5,235 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,235.041145.5%5 W · 6 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-15.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8be4…b795backed Over69c7,227$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0006633.3%22 W · 44 L-0.1wins0.00per pick33cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7795…9a17backed Over70c7,194$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,00010927.5%30 W · 79 L-1.7wins-0.02per pick29cpaid-20.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x512b…a14ebacked Over70c7,194$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0002227.3%6 W · 16 L-2.9wins-0.13per pick40cpaid+5.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdaef…54e9backed Over14c7,117$1,001 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,001.518837.2%70 W · 118 L-6.6wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-15.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under37c6,763$2,486 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,276.4526841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xea44…7e91backed Over29c6,723$1,960 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,9608941.6%37 W · 52 L-4.0wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-25.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x7bb6…8c80backed Under31c6,504$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,504.075523.6%13 W · 42 L+1.8wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+58.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xe533…ab29backed Over31c6,500$2,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,016.2511638.8%45 W · 71 L+4.7wins+0.04per pick35cpaid+19.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Over10c6,493$622 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$621.8310729%31 W · 76 L+0.5wins0.00per pick28cpaid-0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0c95…10f5backed Under31c6,452$2,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,451.614148.8%20 W · 21 L+6.2wins+0.15per pick34cpaid+30.4%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfa69…02c1backed Under60c6,200$3,737 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,462.9443737.8%165 W · 272 L-0.9wins0.00per pick38cpaid-16.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5deb…ccddbacked Under54c6,059$3,256 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,803.0635034.3%120 W · 230 L-24.0wins-0.07per pick41cpaid-33.1%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x10e4…b019backed Over70c6,000$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,2001612.5%2 W · 14 L-2.7wins-0.17per pick29cpaid-83.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xb113…8bc6backed Under42c5,889$2,464 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,424.5331851.9%165 W · 153 L+16.3wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+9.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf81a…5d86backed Over47c5,773$2,731 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,731.471656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.4wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+22.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa700…102bbacked Over6c5,708$333 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$333.1251514.2%73 W · 442 L+6.2wins+0.01per pick13cpaid+9.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…d67abacked Over40c5,597$2,224 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,224.4969826.1%182 W · 516 L-21.7wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-25.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x5d34…7c8cbacked Over10c5,000$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5004311.6%5 W · 38 L-4.1wins-0.09per pick21cpaid-59.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x559b…4959backed Under57c5,000$2,875 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,125955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+23.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Under74c4,973$3,677 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,296.5737223.4%87 W · 285 L-25.7wins-0.07per pick30cpaid-58.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8397…a04dbacked Under66c4,767$3,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,640.761838.9%7 W · 11 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick37cpaid-26.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over47c4,764$2,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,257.634,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Under32c4,738$1,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,237.7419037.4%71 W · 119 L+1.5wins+0.01per pick37cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x373b…1107backed Over43c4,667$1,995 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,994.982339.1%9 W · 14 L-1.6wins-0.07per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfec6…b86cbacked Under65c4,610$3,004 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,606.1737650.8%191 W · 185 L-12.2wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x3e63…0857backed Over5c4,606$247 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$246.73626.5%4 W · 58 L+1.0wins+0.02per pick5cpaid+8.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x54ea…f74abacked Over42c4,600$1,909 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,90910849.1%53 W · 55 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeb5d…0c35backed Over42c4,517$1,897 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,896.946435.9%23 W · 41 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick37cpaid-15.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x31e2…df57backed Under32c4,500$1,417 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,082.493452.9%18 W · 16 L+2.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+1.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.