TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$373,762
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$403,476

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $373,762 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2005…75eabacked Over1c23,715$176 inLost-$176.213,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over1c23,028$224 inLost-$223.778,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2e5f…43dabacked Over1c13,000$117 inLost-$1174420.5%9 W · 35 L-0.9wins-0.02per pick22cpaid+336.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e1c…b3abbacked Over1c12,005$86 inLost-$85.9227520.4%56 W · 219 L+1.2wins0.00per pick20cpaid-11.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf305…b3d2backed Over0c11,585$35 inLost-$35.2830%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x160d…6f25backed Over1c10,773$66 inLost-$65.6978317.4%136 W · 647 L-0.1wins0.00per pick17cpaid+6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4f1d…8de2backed Over1c9,150$66 inLost-$65.691,13540.2%456 W · 679 L+5.2wins0.00per pick40cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x46f8…68ccbacked Over1c8,041$80 inLost-$79.621,24043.7%542 W · 698 L+13.2wins+0.01per pick43cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6314…0183backed Over1c6,836$64 inLost-$64.34190%0 W · 19 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4737…a54abacked Over2c6,548$100 inLost-$1001323.1%3 W · 10 L+1.5wins+0.11per pick12cpaid+46.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x89be…ebb4backed Over1c6,472$69 inLost-$69.16175.9%1 W · 16 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-38.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x37f0…04f3backed Over1c5,675$50 inLost-$50593.4%2 W · 57 L0.0wins0.00per pick3cpaid-77.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e0a…db34backed Over2c5,549$100 inLost-$1004822.9%11 W · 37 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-28.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5b6e…d361backed Over1c4,814$34 inLost-$33.72425%6 W · 18 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-58.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc094…c8d4backed Over1c4,517$30 inLost-$29.7833729.1%98 W · 239 L+1.0wins0.00per pick29cpaid+7.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd995…2b51backed Over1c4,500$41 inLost-$40.5466.5%3 W · 43 L-4.3wins-0.09per pick16cpaid-88.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xbb7c…7c86backed Over0c4,295$13 inLost-$12.895320.8%11 W · 42 L-1.0wins-0.02per pick23cpaid-10.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8aac…0e7abacked Over1c3,941$25 inLost-$25.3745627.9%127 W · 329 L-3.0wins-0.01per pick29cpaid+6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over1c3,135$26 inLost-$25.775729.3%222 W · 535 L-23.2wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-27.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x945e…e42abacked Over1c2,428$20 inLost-$206642.4%28 W · 38 L+2.1wins+0.03per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7842…06b9backed Over1c2,340$25 inLost-$2560%0 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.08per pick8cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5e83…3bb7backed Over1c2,000$20 inLost-$201,20632.7%394 W · 812 L-8.0wins-0.01per pick33cpaid-13.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1c0a…7fb2backed Over1c1,935$18 inLost-$18.112920.7%6 W · 23 L+0.1wins0.00per pick20cpaid+15.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcf2f…06bebacked Over1c1,744$18 inLost-$184513.3%6 W · 39 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick20cpaid-32.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xd95c…7dd1backed Over1c1,589$16 inLost-$165324.5%13 W · 40 L+0.9wins+0.02per pick23cpaid-16.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x305f…86c0backed Over1c1,500$15 inLost-$151010%1 W · 9 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick13cpaid-68%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44d6…eea7backed Over1c1,250$10 inLost-$103724.3%9 W · 28 L-0.2wins0.00per pick25cpaid-10.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa265…bd3ebacked Over1c1,010$11 inLost-$1130%0 W · 3 L0.0wins-0.01per pick1cpaid-100%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.