TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$714,636
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$718,477

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $714,636 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 309 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x204f…5e14backed Under74c241,206$178,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$62,539.664,59540.3%1,850 W · 2,745 L-91.3wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-23.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over30c72,005$21,436 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,435.888,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Under69c60,000$41,600 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18,40015950.3%80 W · 79 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Over28c50,027$14,016 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14,016.192,60337.8%984 W · 1,619 L-40.7wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-9.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Over28c39,990$11,145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,145.322,43929%707 W · 1,732 L-65.3wins-0.03per pick32cpaid-21%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd88…dadbbacked Over29c30,867$9,052 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,052.4923942.3%101 W · 138 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x5faf…1183backed Over28c30,000$8,375 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,375.029823.5%23 W · 75 L-5.0wins-0.05per pick29cpaid-33.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x5f62…d989backed Over28c27,953$7,697 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,697.2812810.9%14 W · 114 L-7.9wins-0.06per pick17cpaid-39.7%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0520…e4e0backed Under72c20,728$14,991 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,736.7225336.8%93 W · 160 L+0.9wins0.00per pick36cpaid-4.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9441…98babacked Over29c17,169$5,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,0003520%7 W · 28 L+1.7wins+0.05per pick15cpaid+18.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Over18c15,131$2,727 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,726.542,62641.1%1,080 W · 1,546 L-11.6wins0.00per pick42cpaid-17.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Under72c12,865$9,258 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,607.41,87348.4%906 W · 967 L+14.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xef8d…b115backed Over22c12,706$2,758 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,757.9910224.5%25 W · 77 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick25cpaid+1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5fd8…ce32backed Under72c12,500$9,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,50013330.1%40 W · 93 L-4.7wins-0.04per pick34cpaid-35.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over28c10,891$3,049 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,049.482,17138.2%829 W · 1,342 L-36.7wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Under72c10,306$7,425 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,880.781,04443.7%456 W · 588 L+20.7wins+0.02per pick42cpaid+14.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x23c7…ebd6backed Over28c10,158$2,874 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,873.571931.6%6 W · 13 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick36cpaid-30.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe54d…6818backed Over0c10,000$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1070%0 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick4cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb10b…0b04backed Over29c9,999$2,855 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,855.2732029.4%94 W · 226 L-2.6wins-0.01per pick30cpaid-11.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xae2d…2bc4backed Under76c9,450$7,175 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,275.469752.6%51 W · 46 L+2.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa613…1bf9backed Over29c7,921$2,318 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,317.79128.3%1 W · 11 L-1.6wins-0.14per pick22cpaid-49%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Over23c7,714$1,801 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,800.944,02738.9%1,568 W · 2,459 L-26.6wins-0.01per pick40cpaid-23.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Over25c7,686$1,940 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,940.232,30737.6%867 W · 1,440 L-16.7wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-27.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x043c…f2d9backed Over28c7,143$2,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,0003119.4%6 W · 25 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick20cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6db9…4ab5backed Over23c6,486$1,513 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,513.1813122.1%29 W · 102 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick22cpaid-28.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Under72c4,359$3,146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,213.32,81944.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L-36.2wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe0db…f44ebacked Under72c4,167$3,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,166.7322451.3%115 W · 109 L0.0wins0.00per pick51cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5652…00c9backed Under72c4,000$2,860 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,14011755.6%65 W · 52 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xfbf3…b218backed Over20c3,986$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$80015441.6%64 W · 90 L+12.7wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Under71c3,930$2,804 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,125.932,80555.1%1,546 W · 1,259 L+70.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Under72c3,860$2,763 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,096.541,70236.7%625 W · 1,077 L-31.2wins-0.02per pick39cpaid-12.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Under73c3,780$2,744 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,036.334,45737.2%1,657 W · 2,800 L+31.0wins+0.01per pick36cpaid-8.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xc266…2f2fbacked Over28c3,571$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0002020%4 W · 16 L-1.1wins-0.06per pick26cpaid+17.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe84a…5baabacked Over28c3,447$965 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.18825%2 W · 6 L-0.6wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-38.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc23d…82c8backed Under78c3,422$2,667 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$755.0832656.1%183 W · 143 L+29.5wins+0.09per pick47cpaid+29.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0844…f46abacked Under70c3,214$2,246 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$968.646546.7%217 W · 248 L+9.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa645…0be6backed Over32c2,964$963 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$962.898530.6%26 W · 59 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-17.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x37e2…4b92backed Over28c2,857$800 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8004528.9%13 W · 32 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick27cpaid-17%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Over26c2,664$703 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$703.177433.1%256 W · 518 L-0.9wins0.00per pick33cpaid-15%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Under74c2,650$1,958 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$692.0726841.8%112 W · 156 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x59bb…6d65backed Over25c2,619$652 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$652.422339.1%9 W · 14 L+2.7wins+0.12per pick27cpaid+31.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x1610…ae49backed Over18c2,573$463 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$463.143941%16 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-9.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb2ed…4418backed Over29c2,274$650 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65012428.2%35 W · 89 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick27cpaid-6.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x1d93…4f26backed Over29c2,086$605 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6052544%11 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.05per pick39cpaid+7.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed Over28c2,000$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$560.53,07747%1,447 W · 1,630 L-11.5wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7164…7ff7backed Over29c1,961$561 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$561.086648.5%32 W · 34 L+7.6wins+0.11per pick37cpaid+107.9%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0fce…63d5backed Under76c1,953$1,480 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$473.741,31348.9%642 W · 671 L+12.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+3.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Under72c1,798$1,294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$503.811,94542.7%831 W · 1,114 L-11.2wins-0.01per pick43cpaid+6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa09c…8d5dbacked Over29c1,724$500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50080%0 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked Over18c1,609$289 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$288.521,66941.6%694 W · 975 L+15.9wins+0.01per pick41cpaid-7.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x78c1…473ebacked Over28c1,482$415 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$414.9651315.6%80 W · 433 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick15cpaid-13.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdf3c…1c3dbacked Over28c1,434$402 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$401.612020%4 W · 16 L-1.0wins-0.05per pick25cpaid-26%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Under80c1,430$1,139 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$291.742,97328%831 W · 2,142 L-132.5wins-0.04per pick32cpaid-39%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x198f…c419backed Under72c1,389$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$388.8917748%85 W · 92 L+7.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+24.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x87ce…212abacked Over29c1,286$373 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3736317.5%11 W · 52 L-1.5wins-0.02per pick20cpaid+5.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Over12c1,268$152 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152.1658049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x42ef…1576backed Under72c1,263$909 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$353.647458.1%43 W · 31 L-0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid+1.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83d9…10d9backed Under74c1,197$883 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$313.931,39046.3%644 W · 746 L+20.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid+2.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd360…2eabbacked Under73c1,145$836 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$309.2122355.6%124 W · 99 L+6.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+2.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2f26…0d8fbacked Over19c1,128$214 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$213.541,49241%612 W · 880 L-1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked Under77c1,118$866 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$251.8888852.7%468 W · 420 L+13.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7d6f…3d1abacked Over28c1,118$313 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$312.931020%2 W · 8 L-1.8wins-0.18per pick38cpaid-48.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Over28c1,107$310 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$309.968838.6%34 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xacc9…c790backed Over28c1,100$308 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3084131.7%13 W · 28 L+2.4wins+0.06per pick26cpaid+0.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Under72c1,098$792 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$306.233,28649.2%1,616 W · 1,670 L+6.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6136…f535backed Over28c1,071$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3002050%10 W · 10 L+1.3wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+16.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x1c9a…51e8backed Over29c1,034$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001926.3%5 W · 14 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick27cpaid+5.8%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Under73c1,029$751 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$277.831,98532.5%645 W · 1,340 L-47.7wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xc423…03b9backed Over5c1,000$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5040912%49 W · 360 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick13cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x33bc…37dcbacked Under70c1,000$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3001,07545.2%486 W · 589 L+41.2wins+0.04per pick41cpaid+16.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked Under72c999.99$720 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28030345.2%137 W · 166 L+4.6wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xf369…8283backed Under73c958.9$700 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$258.925937.5%97 W · 162 L+4.0wins+0.02per pick36cpaid+7.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x7300…e52cbacked Under70c932.42$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279.7377845%350 W · 428 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+6.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Under70c922.55$648 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274.433,69636.9%1,364 W · 2,332 L-44.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-23.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3d01…ccfbbacked Over14c892.86$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1251346.2%6 W · 7 L+0.6wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+58.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1eab…6a7dbacked Over28c838.86$234 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$234.525643.4%111 W · 145 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-25.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x533b…0a9ebacked Over28c833.92$233 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$233.523227.6%64 W · 168 L-12.1wins-0.05per pick33cpaid-21.7%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x459a…bf86backed Over28c810.68$227 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$226.999237%34 W · 58 L+4.9wins+0.05per pick32cpaid+19.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xeb81…1f15backed Under71c800$568 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23224045.4%109 W · 131 L+1.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+4.9%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x8916…0562backed Over22c799.98$173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1731040%4 W · 6 L-0.2wins-0.02per pick42cpaid+33.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b76…3a40backed Over13c794.15$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.243710.8%4 W · 33 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick14cpaid-31.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa47d…2c4abacked Over13c769.23$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100140%0 W · 14 L-1.7wins-0.12per pick12cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over27c744.97$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.1459230.1%178 W · 414 L-6.8wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-12.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xea8c…3234backed Over13c738.46$96 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96728.6%2 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick25cpaid+54.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a80…11c5backed Over28c720.69$199 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$199.0987237.8%330 W · 542 L-39.9wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-28.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over29c700$203 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20310718.7%20 W · 87 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick18cpaid+14.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xaf2f…d9e3backed Over29c689.66$200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2001338.5%5 W · 8 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick39cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ad2…efb2backed Over28c683.32$191 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$191.331540%6 W · 9 L-1.1wins-0.07per pick47cpaid-23.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7815…9579backed Over28c673.07$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$188.67250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.07per pick43cpaid-13.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3905…c8bdbacked Over28c668.15$189 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$189.3740%0 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.22per pick22cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Over23c655.39$148 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$147.92,80446.2%1,295 W · 1,509 L-27.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-14.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf5ea…8caabacked Over27c629.97$170 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$170.093821.1%8 W · 30 L-2.1wins-0.06per pick27cpaid-15.2%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7666…dac4backed Over16c625$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100911.1%1 W · 8 L-2.2wins-0.25per pick36cpaid-72.4%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xe8e0…7eecbacked Over27c600$164 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$163.573536.3%267 W · 468 L-32.3wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-26.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xffdc…f0bdbacked Over29c567.01$163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162.941030%3 W · 7 L0.0wins0.00per pick30cpaid-29.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6d38…3af6backed Under72c554.98$400 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$155.39450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-28.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb77b…1ca9backed Over28c551.25$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.353737.8%14 W · 23 L-3.2wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-9.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over28c550.69$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154.191,68620.6%347 W · 1,339 L-28.4wins-0.02per pick22cpaid-16.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over19c550.42$105 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$104.587122.5%16 W · 55 L-0.2wins0.00per pick23cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4e39…9afabacked Over20c500$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10040%0 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.