Fifa International · resolved market
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advance
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4b045e092c3166aa29d4864c11dffe7e316daafdac5677f11aa5cd16065fd042
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Spainof Spain, Argentina
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,352,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $46,023,371
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,352,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 16,525 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e25…d49ebacked Spain | 59c | 3,426,845$2,019,942 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,406,902.86 | 33 | 60.6%20 W · 13 L | +3.2wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +20%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x669d…c044backed Argentina | 41c | 3,062,488$1,266,054 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,266,053.51 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.12per pick | 23cpaid | -69.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b4e…0232backed Spain | 59c | 2,840,927$1,682,145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,158,782.52 | 33 | 54.5%18 W · 15 L | +2.0wins | +0.06per pick | 48cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x709e…66f5backed Argentina | 41c | 1,192,629$492,064 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492,063.51 | 116 | 42.2%49 W · 67 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f2f…2ca8backed Argentina | 41c | 1,101,209$452,002 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$452,001.63 | 91 | 42.9%39 W · 52 L | -3.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x76ad…c939backed Spain | 59c | 1,095,000$647,863 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$447,137.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -43.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ac…b964backed Argentina | 41c | 994,957$402,958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$402,957.58 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | -1.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa49b…4c40backed Argentina | 41c | 980,848$398,618 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$398,618.42 | 74 | 33.8%25 W · 49 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -40%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc58d…9373backed Argentina | 41c | 747,063$304,428 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$304,427.98 | 53 | 34%18 W · 35 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | +7.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Argentina | 41c | 743,015$302,903 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302,903.08 | 53 | 22.6%12 W · 41 L | -5.0wins | -0.10per pick | 32cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7583…4df2backed Spain | 59c | 730,000$431,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298,925 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…4affbacked Argentina | 41c | 588,863$242,156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$242,155.97 | 40 | 40%16 W · 24 L | -4.2wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Spain | 60c | 588,426$354,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234,257.7 | 2,271 | 39.5%896 W · 1,375 L | +10.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Argentina | 35c | 586,978$204,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204,337.3 | 2,439 | 29%707 W · 1,732 L | -65.3wins | -0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x134a…9e42backed Argentina | 41c | 456,572$185,353 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$185,352.57 | 14 | 7.1%1 W · 13 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 17cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5257…3e2abacked Spain | 65c | 445,021$288,518 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156,502.76 | 99 | 48.5%48 W · 51 L | +3.6wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3fe2…56e9backed Argentina | 41c | 434,582$177,955 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$177,955.15 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8325…19ccbacked Argentina | 9c | 406,408$38,565 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,564.8 | 668 | 46.7%312 W · 356 L | +45.9wins | +0.07per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Spain | 59c | 383,312$226,770 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156,541.89 | 702 | 44.6%313 W · 389 L | +13.8wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7e…fce4backed Argentina | 41c | 355,534$145,152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145,151.79 | 105 | 48.6%51 W · 54 L | +11.1wins | +0.11per pick | 38cpaid | +24%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9854…6bf2backed Argentina | 10c | 350,273$36,417 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36,416.98 | 178 | 40.4%72 W · 106 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Argentina | 41c | 350,000$143,630 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143,629.52 | 1,985 | 32.5%645 W · 1,340 L | -47.7wins | -0.02per pick | 35cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d4f…e5f3backed Spain | 59c | 347,003$202,997 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144,006.28 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87b9…2084backed Spain | 59c | 340,000$200,600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139,400 | 22 | 18.2%4 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.13per pick | 32cpaid | -73.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc8ec…e8f1backed Spain | 60c | 318,043$190,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$128,043.45 | 65 | 24.6%16 W · 49 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 24cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c78…77f1backed Spain | 59c | 308,859$181,137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127,722.38 | 60 | 48.3%29 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe221…06f6backed Argentina | 37c | 307,777$114,126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114,125.84 | 82 | 46.3%38 W · 44 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 42cpaid | +2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…eb43backed Spain | 74c | 301,568$224,360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77,208.53 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd961…35debacked Argentina | 40c | 299,104$120,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120,788.01 | 240 | 28.8%69 W · 171 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -12%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc41d…74fdbacked Spain | 64c | 288,041$182,984 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105,057.01 | 141 | 39%55 W · 86 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ddd…c933backed Spain | 58c | 285,178$166,160 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119,018.01 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.16per pick | 60cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Argentina | 39c | 284,999$111,056 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111,055.64 | 387 | 34.4%133 W · 254 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d81…b71ebacked Spain | 60c | 279,865$167,219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112,645.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.05per pick | 62cpaid | +13%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fbb…9a17backed Argentina | 41c | 278,126$113,174 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113,173.54 | 174 | 52.3%91 W · 83 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Spain | 71c | 276,582$195,677 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80,904.94 | 27 | 29.6%8 W · 19 L | -3.6wins | -0.13per pick | 43cpaid | -40.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe72b…b0a0backed Spain | 69c | 242,452$168,273 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74,178.92 | 221 | 39.8%88 W · 133 L | -8.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2092…b6d8backed Argentina | 41c | 235,872$96,707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96,707.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0b…9e5cbacked Argentina | 41c | 232,425$95,970 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95,969.99 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.14per pick | 20cpaid | +102%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…5088backed Spain | 73c | 220,248$160,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59,915.21 | 369 | 39.6%146 W · 223 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -24.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…8882backed Argentina | 41c | 219,477$88,902 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88,901.88 | 218 | 36.2%79 W · 139 L | -19.0wins | -0.09per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8ca5…fd56backed Argentina | 20c | 214,638$42,391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,391.48 | 22 | 22.7%5 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5dab…22e1backed Spain | 59c | 203,539$120,585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82,953.59 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -2.2wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -35.1%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Spain | 59c | 203,298$119,726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83,572.33 | 1,144 | 39.2%448 W · 696 L | -8.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7b21…a178backed Argentina | 39c | 200,000$78,745 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78,745.43 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b9a…5f69backed Argentina | 1c | 195,000$1,112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,112.5 | 146 | 8.2%12 W · 134 L | +8.4wins | +0.06per pick | 2cpaid | +90.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf020…3212backed Argentina | 38c | 185,574$70,222 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70,222.18 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Spain | 62c | 163,947$101,872 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62,074.72 | 1,224 | 43.4%531 W · 693 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85bb…9adabacked Argentina | 30c | 163,920$48,620 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,619.95 | 324 | 29.9%97 W · 227 L | +10.4wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe558…dcd2backed Argentina | 41c | 159,999$65,999 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65,999.49 | 158 | 43%68 W · 90 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f00…73cebacked Argentina | 9c | 158,652$14,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,290.95 | 57 | 28.1%16 W · 41 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9097…0ef0backed Argentina | 6c | 157,559$10,092 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,092.24 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5fae…4079backed Argentina | 41c | 150,049$61,518 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61,517.94 | 68 | 33.8%23 W · 45 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8a5…122bbacked Spain | 63c | 141,125$88,671 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52,454.01 | 79 | 41.8%33 W · 46 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1610…ae49backed Spain | 67c | 140,019$93,730 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,288.48 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -1.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56d8…1ccebacked Spain | 77c | 138,166$105,898 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32,268.28 | 235 | 40.4%95 W · 140 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d20…a165backed Spain | 60c | 136,566$81,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54,967.7 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.0wins | +0.15per pick | 46cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Argentina | 29c | 131,517$38,046 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,046.49 | 792 | 31.1%246 W · 546 L | -4.2wins | -0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ebd…38cfbacked Argentina | 4c | 130,000$4,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,600 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 22cpaid | +157.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…ea94backed Spain | 71c | 127,151$89,952 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,199.35 | 137 | 25.5%35 W · 102 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 27cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Argentina | 36c | 122,068$43,643 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43,643.41 | 771 | 52.8%407 W · 364 L | +17.7wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c1e…bab3backed Spain | 58c | 120,608$69,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,655.32 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Spain | 58c | 119,996$69,598 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50,398.46 | 159 | 50.3%80 W · 79 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa88…7f0ebacked Argentina | 41c | 119,881$48,552 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,551.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e77…6325backed Argentina | 41c | 117,914$48,491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48,490.79 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c0d…c476backed Argentina | 41c | 113,332$46,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46,465.97 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x440a…035abacked Argentina | 34c | 112,521$38,533 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,533.48 | 14 | 14.3%2 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 24cpaid | -54.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d18…24a6backed Spain | 59c | 112,334$66,277 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46,056.83 | 24 | 66.7%16 W · 8 L | +2.5wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9f41…8f27backed Argentina | 41c | 107,925$44,291 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44,290.96 | 402 | 39.8%160 W · 242 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076b…57afbacked Argentina | 41c | 104,036$42,463 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42,463.32 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd849…6ac7backed Spain | 59c | 103,179$61,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,045.47 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 69cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f90…21fabacked Spain | 64c | 102,794$65,423 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,371.31 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd776…ffebbacked Spain | 63c | 100,035$62,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,250.18 | 99 | 43.4%43 W · 56 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x379f…7d70backed Argentina | 41c | 100,000$41,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40,999.94 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.13per pick | 47cpaid | -42.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x68df…4815backed Spain | 60c | 98,220$58,962 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39,258.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7ea4backed Argentina | 40c | 95,000$38,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38,337.35 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -0.9wins | -0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3da4…367ebacked Argentina | 23c | 94,341$21,874 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,874.08 | 69 | 43.5%30 W · 39 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc2de…6781backed Argentina | 34c | 86,047$29,390 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,389.62 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.9wins | -0.24per pick | 36cpaid | -78.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd273…17eabacked Argentina | 9c | 84,390$7,472 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,472.08 | 42 | 28.6%12 W · 30 L | -0.6wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed Argentina | 39c | 82,012$31,961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,960.7 | 106 | 53.8%57 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfc0c…cfc9backed Argentina | 39c | 81,852$32,214 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32,214.3 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -7.2wins | -0.22per pick | 43cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 36-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1136…0c2ebacked Spain | 59c | 80,000$46,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33,199.9 | 66 | 27.3%18 W · 48 L | -3.2wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -44.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…e03cbacked Spain | 74c | 78,772$57,953 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,818.23 | 15 | 80%12 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 70cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x56f4…9ec5backed Argentina | 22c | 78,546$17,466 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17,466.49 | 413 | 31%128 W · 285 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -35.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…e272backed Spain | 59c | 77,970$46,333 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31,637.62 | 91 | 61.5%56 W · 35 L | +9.0wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +18.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc88e…f3e1backed Argentina | 41c | 77,781$31,890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31,890.07 | 71 | 14.1%10 W · 61 L | -1.7wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb9…32f2backed Argentina | 15c | 76,247$11,437 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,436.65 | 250 | 38.8%97 W · 153 L | +6.0wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Argentina | 16c | 75,351$12,302 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12,302.17 | 8,614 | 29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L | -166.6wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f47…d66ebacked Spain | 74c | 74,457$55,353 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,103.93 | 45 | 66.7%30 W · 15 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc289…ab37backed Argentina | 34c | 73,536$25,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,000 | 169 | 47.3%80 W · 89 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x05a0…0df2backed Spain | 58c | 72,629$42,460 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30,168.95 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +71%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x335d…8c00backed Argentina | 41c | 72,366$29,670 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29,670 | 45 | 73.3%33 W · 12 L | +5.8wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4c23…d48fbacked Spain | 60c | 72,250$43,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,655.32 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.4wins | +0.27per pick | 62cpaid | +60.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6c80…6ff1backed Spain | 70c | 70,945$50,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,934.68 | 284 | 39.1%111 W · 173 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x57db…85efbacked Argentina | 41c | 70,000$28,700 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,699.85 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x02fa…04d4backed Argentina | 34c | 69,315$23,861 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,861.12 | 19 | 26.3%5 W · 14 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 22cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c58…a5a1backed Argentina | 41c | 68,704$28,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,340.28 | 25 | 20%5 W · 20 L | -4.7wins | -0.19per pick | 39cpaid | -59.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xcbba…dbffbacked Argentina | 41c | 68,333$27,683 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,683.2 | 37 | 18.9%7 W · 30 L | -2.1wins | -0.06per pick | 25cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x442f…e7a2backed Argentina | 41c | 68,098$28,090 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28,090.3 | 110 | 38.2%42 W · 68 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 32cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdb85…152fbacked Spain | 59c | 68,085$40,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,085.11 | 187 | 40.6%76 W · 111 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7011…c6dabacked Argentina | 41c | 67,764$27,725 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,725.13 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spain vs. Argentina: Team to Advancethis page
- Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 1.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
- Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
- Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Spain won
- Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Spain won
- Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Spain won
- Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Spain won
- Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Spain won
- Spread: Spain (-1.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Spain (-2.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Spain (-3.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Spain (-4.5)Argentina won
- Spread: Spain (-5.5)Argentina won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.