TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Fifa International · resolved market

Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Underof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$10,808
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$10,376

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,808 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xfbf3…b218backed Over17c2,086$345 inLost-$344.5715441.6%64 W · 90 L+12.7wins+0.08per pick33cpaid+23.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x195c…fbc3backed Over19c1,346$256 inLost-$255.662626.9%7 W · 19 L-1.0wins-0.04per pick31cpaid+24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd0e1…99dbbacked Under77c1,273$981 inWon+$292.4958049.1%285 W · 295 L+7.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2e4e…23ccbacked Over23c1,241$285 inLost-$285.4630%0 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4acb…e264backed Over15c655.01$100 inLost-$1004723.4%11 W · 36 L+1.5wins+0.03per pick20cpaid+6.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1921…e47dbacked Over15c492.94$75 inLost-$74.55333.3%1 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.02per pick32cpaid-38.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdf90…e485backed Over20c492.56$100 inLost-$1003225%8 W · 24 L-3.9wins-0.12per pick37cpaid-45.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x999f…addbbacked Over15c466.67$70 inLost-$702927.6%8 W · 21 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick24cpaid-24.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Over18c300$54 inLost-$548838.6%34 W · 54 L+6.4wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+16.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over15c295.63$45 inLost-$45.28,61429.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L-166.6wins-0.02per pick31cpaid-32.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc6c5…6f9cbacked Over15c266.67$40 inLost-$4013021.5%28 W · 102 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick22cpaid-21.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4d02…bfecbacked Over18c157.9$28 inLost-$28.211,47544.9%663 W · 812 L-4.8wins0.00per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x171f…7dd0backed Over15c133.33$20 inLost-$202814.3%4 W · 24 L0.0wins0.00per pick14cpaid+30.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8ce8…c1f1backed Over15c133.33$20 inLost-$204320.9%9 W · 34 L-5.5wins-0.13per pick34cpaid-42%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xbcaa…79a9backed Over15c100$15 inLost-$151428.6%4 W · 10 L+1.1wins+0.08per pick21cpaid-3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x567d…f2d5backed Over12c95.2$12 inLost-$11.7850%0 W · 5 L-1.2wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.