Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5

https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb1876c5b40e321d4efbd20415eb84c4c72b501894c6449cf609236c1401463e6

Rebuilt 17 hours ago.

Winning outcome: Underof Over, Under
Resolved: Jul 19, 2026, EDTUS/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in: Fifa Internationalevery record on this page is that Category’s

Volume Polymarket published: $1,312,679
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed: $1,315,803

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,312,679 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 188 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Fifa International is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this market					This wallet’s whole record in Fifa International
Wallet	Entry	Position	Result	P/L held	Qualified picks	Win rate	vs expected	Realizable edge	Avg entry	ROI per pick	Tail Score
0x669d…c044backed Over	12c	300,000$34,500 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$34,499.96	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.1wins	-0.12per pick	23cpaid	-69.8%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x8b16…9281backed Over	5c	154,091$8,384 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$8,384.22	9	11.1%1 W · 8 L	-1.0wins	-0.11per pick	22cpaid	-81.4%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Over	11c	54,426$6,102 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$6,101.68	8,614	29.2%2,518 W · 6,096 L	-166.6wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-32.3%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8d48…0d57backed Over	11c	41,273$4,550 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$4,550	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.3wins	-0.09per pick	9cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8d79…1c29backed Over	3c	16,000$505 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$505	46	56.5%26 W · 20 L	+6.4wins	+0.14per pick	43cpaid	+24.1%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0x1b56…715ebacked Over	11c	13,105$1,458 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,457.77	77	40.3%31 W · 46 L	-2.8wins	-0.04per pick	44cpaid	-15.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x37f4…49afbacked Over	11c	12,664$1,405 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,404.71	190	37.4%71 W · 119 L	+1.5wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	+31.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe5f0…dc1dbacked Over	11c	11,462$1,232 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,232.13	592	30.1%178 W · 414 L	-6.8wins	-0.01per pick	31cpaid	-12.2%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xadad…f309backed Over	0c	11,000$47 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.5	2	50%1 W · 1 L	+1.0wins	+0.49per pick	1cpaid	+2,259.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdd5e…9040backed Over	11c	10,901$1,192 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,191.58	2,171	38.2%829 W · 1,342 L	-36.7wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9e3e…f882backed Over	11c	10,200$1,103 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,102.7	757	29.3%222 W · 535 L	-23.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-27.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xba6f…fd5bbacked Over	12c	8,628$1,014 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$1,013.78	49	32.7%16 W · 33 L	-3.5wins	-0.07per pick	40cpaid	-22.5%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe553…c927backed Over	11c	5,837$644 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$644	25	20%5 W · 20 L	-5.0wins	-0.20per pick	40cpaid	-61.6%equal weight	39-0.10 edge/pick
0xa278…3369backed Over	11c	5,820$649 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$649.24	1,111	24.3%270 W · 841 L	-32.2wins	-0.03per pick	27cpaid	-23.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x56f4…9ec5backed Over	1c	5,000$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	413	31%128 W · 285 L	+0.8wins	0.00per pick	31cpaid	-35.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb15…8393backed Over	11c	4,750$522 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$521.82	148	29.7%44 W · 104 L	-3.1wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-19.4%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3e63…0857backed Over	2c	4,581$92 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$91.61	62	6.5%4 W · 58 L	+1.0wins	+0.02per pick	5cpaid	+8.6%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8493…8db4backed Over	11c	4,299$473 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$472.85	18	22.2%4 W · 14 L	-0.9wins	-0.05per pick	27cpaid	-3.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdce6…6069backed Over	11c	4,107$461 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$461.39	37	43.2%16 W · 21 L	0.0wins	0.00per pick	43cpaid	-15.1%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x95f5…779fbacked Over	8c	3,709$282 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$282.13	372	23.4%87 W · 285 L	-25.7wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-58.7%equal weight	43-0.06 edge/pick
0x014c…820cbacked Over	3c	3,521$105 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.25	71	26.8%19 W · 52 L	-4.8wins	-0.07per pick	34cpaid	-46.9%equal weight	44-0.05 edge/pick
0xfc6d…9f36backed Over	12c	3,397$396 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$395.72	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	-0.9wins	-0.10per pick	43cpaid	-20.7%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa6a2…b64ebacked Over	9c	3,003$262 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$262	25	36%9 W · 16 L	+1.0wins	+0.04per pick	32cpaid	+24%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3a95…343bbacked Over	11c	3,000$330 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$330	59	11.9%7 W · 52 L	+3.1wins	+0.05per pick	7cpaid	+220.1%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x633e…d305backed Over	11c	2,801$315 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$314.93	383	29.8%114 W · 269 L	-9.5wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-23.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0xf918…ad52backed Over	11c	2,765$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.2wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4dc5…d401backed Over	11c	2,674$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	31	25.8%8 W · 23 L	+1.7wins	+0.06per pick	20cpaid	+3.4%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x4f42…8bbcbacked Over	12c	2,500$300 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$300	454	28%127 W · 327 L	-2.0wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-7.5%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x0e64…336dbacked Over	12c	2,500$294 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$293.75	135	50.4%68 W · 67 L	+4.3wins	+0.03per pick	47cpaid	+0.9%equal weight	53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed Over	10c	2,439$244 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$243.9	747	52.2%390 W · 357 L	+2.4wins	0.00per pick	52cpaid	-1.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x5415…f764backed Over	10c	2,295$237 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$236.71	94	28.7%27 W · 67 L	-2.3wins	-0.02per pick	31cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9ed1…27fcbacked Over	12c	2,128$250 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$250	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-1.0wins	-0.20per pick	20cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x3078…0389backed Over	11c	2,010$215 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$215.05	1,686	20.6%347 W · 1,339 L	-28.4wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-16.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1bb1…eac3backed Over	11c	2,000$225 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$225	159	20.1%32 W · 127 L	+3.3wins	+0.02per pick	18cpaid	-4.6%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x54b5…4b31backed Over	11c	2,000$220 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$220	214	44.4%95 W · 119 L	+8.5wins	+0.04per pick	40cpaid	+3.3%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4f6f…d024backed Over	11c	1,981$214 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$213.9	774	33.1%256 W · 518 L	-0.9wins	0.00per pick	33cpaid	-15%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xea44…7e91backed Over	3c	1,952$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	89	41.6%37 W · 52 L	-4.0wins	-0.04per pick	46cpaid	-25.4%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x6ebb…8220backed Over	11c	1,818$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	282	24.1%68 W · 214 L	-4.3wins	-0.02per pick	26cpaid	-13.8%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x982a…2853backed Over	11c	1,818$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$200	20	15%3 W · 17 L	-2.5wins	-0.13per pick	28cpaid	-55%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b6e…d361backed Over	12c	1,700$200 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$199.75	24	25%6 W · 18 L	-1.2wins	-0.05per pick	30cpaid	-58.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x67d3…0af2backed Over	11c	1,500$165 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$165	62	12.9%8 W · 54 L	-2.1wins	-0.03per pick	16cpaid	-22.1%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0c67…d062backed Over	11c	1,364$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$150	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-0.9wins	-0.07per pick	30cpaid	-46.3%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed Over	11c	1,362$150 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$149.82	1,985	32.5%645 W · 1,340 L	-47.7wins	-0.02per pick	35cpaid	-13.4%equal weight	47-0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed Over	11c	1,345$149 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$148.55	1,702	36.7%625 W · 1,077 L	-31.2wins	-0.02per pick	39cpaid	-12.5%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x41f7…c4e4backed Over	11c	1,302$137 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$136.73	727	22.7%165 W · 562 L	+6.0wins	+0.01per pick	22cpaid	+3.9%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x83c5…9a7ebacked Over	11c	1,200$132 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$132	9	33.3%3 W · 6 L	+1.6wins	+0.17per pick	16cpaid	+84.9%equal weight	55+0.05 edge/pick
0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Over	9c	1,197$112 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$111.79	300	39.3%118 W · 182 L	-1.3wins	0.00per pick	40cpaid	-35.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Over	9c	1,111$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100.06	2,819	44.5%1,255 W · 1,564 L	-36.2wins	-0.01per pick	46cpaid	-9.8%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9646…2dcdbacked Over	11c	1,067$120 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$120	26	19.2%5 W · 21 L	-0.7wins	-0.03per pick	22cpaid	-28.5%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x70ca…2443backed Over	11c	1,047$115 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$115.12	350	41.1%144 W · 206 L	+1.7wins	0.00per pick	41cpaid	-2.3%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x13f7…85d5backed Over	11c	999.99$109 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$109	298	13.8%41 W · 257 L	+5.7wins	+0.02per pick	12cpaid	+8.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x91d7…0dfcbacked Over	4c	999$39 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$39.17	585	30.9%181 W · 404 L	-3.4wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-28%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xab21…d255backed Over	11c	982.66$106 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$105.74	13	15.4%2 W · 11 L	-1.2wins	-0.09per pick	25cpaid	-15.3%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0xeb2e…7821backed Over	11c	976.6$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$104.15	1,421	47.8%679 W · 742 L	-0.5wins	0.00per pick	48cpaid	+0.8%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x6e0a…db34backed Over	10c	952.38$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	48	22.9%11 W · 37 L	-1.6wins	-0.03per pick	26cpaid	-28.1%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x38ec…d00dbacked Over	11c	931.26$104 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$103.92	32	37.5%12 W · 20 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-9.7%equal weight	52+0.01 edge/pick
0x10b0…9b5ebacked Over	11c	930.23$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	55	21.8%12 W · 43 L	-0.4wins	-0.01per pick	23cpaid	-12%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0xbb84…6080backed Over	12c	920.77$110 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$110	18	38.9%7 W · 11 L	-0.8wins	-0.04per pick	43cpaid	+6.8%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x2f2b…d743backed Over	11c	909.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	71	22.5%16 W · 55 L	-0.2wins	0.00per pick	23cpaid	-13.9%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xd34c…10b4backed Over	11c	909.09$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	724	24.7%179 W · 545 L	-9.4wins	-0.01per pick	26cpaid	-12.3%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf0c2…b793backed Over	11c	888.89$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	41	39%16 W · 25 L	+5.7wins	+0.14per pick	25cpaid	+33.8%equal weight	60+0.09 edge/pick
0xfc62…d224backed Over	11c	870.82$96 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.79	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xf0e7…5a84backed Over	11c	861.58$95 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$95.04	1	0%0 W · 1 L	-0.1wins	-0.11per pick	11cpaid	-100%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xde3d…6b1fbacked Over	12c	851.06$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	92	19.6%18 W · 74 L	-3.5wins	-0.04per pick	23cpaid	-10.9%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8539…5813backed Over	12c	851.06$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	18	11.1%2 W · 16 L	-2.0wins	-0.11per pick	22cpaid	-58.1%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7020…d655backed Over	12c	833.33$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	199	39.2%78 W · 121 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	38cpaid	-8.7%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8225…c4a8backed Over	11c	820.99$90 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$90.31	2	0%0 W · 2 L	-0.1wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x387a…8eaebacked Over	11c	800$88 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$88	329	28%92 W · 237 L	-5.2wins	-0.02per pick	30cpaid	-2.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x9a8e…9408backed Over	13c	773.48$100 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$100	24	29.2%7 W · 17 L	-2.8wins	-0.12per pick	41cpaid	-38.8%equal weight	44-0.06 edge/pick
0xbd16…d24dbacked Over	10c	729$73 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$72.9	107	29%31 W · 76 L	+0.5wins	0.00per pick	28cpaid	-0.4%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0x9fda…6c62backed Over	8c	707.35$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$59.64	5	0%0 W · 5 L	-0.3wins	-0.07per pick	7cpaid	-100%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1859…a421backed Over	11c	705.99$75 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$74.7	78	37.2%29 W · 49 L	+2.3wins	+0.03per pick	34cpaid	-0.2%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0x8c3a…eb16backed Over	11c	600.31$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.53	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-0.6wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0d42…f124backed Over	11c	598.61$65 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$65.1	88	38.6%34 W · 54 L	+6.4wins	+0.07per pick	31cpaid	+16.6%equal weight	56+0.06 edge/pick
0x6b9e…d362backed Over	11c	583.45$64 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$64.18	114	36.8%42 W · 72 L	+7.2wins	+0.06per pick	31cpaid	+11.1%equal weight	56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa8d5…99f3backed Over	11c	521.74$60 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$60	13	23.1%3 W · 10 L	-1.4wins	-0.10per pick	33cpaid	-53.1%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x98be…5794backed Over	11c	500$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	115	31.3%36 W · 79 L	-5.9wins	-0.05per pick	36cpaid	-35.2%equal weight	45-0.04 edge/pick
0x197c…9b94backed Over	11c	500$55 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$55	4	0%0 W · 4 L	-1.1wins	-0.27per pick	27cpaid	-100%equal weight	46-0.04 edge/pick
0x2b34…a23dbacked Over	3c	500$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.75	49	55.1%27 W · 22 L	+0.4wins	+0.01per pick	54cpaid	-3.7%equal weight	510.00 edge/pick
0xdb2a…e923backed Over	11c	499.97$54 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$53.75	201	38.3%77 W · 124 L	+1.8wins	+0.01per pick	37cpaid	-8.1%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9637…a576backed Over	10c	487.8$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	451	20.6%93 W · 358 L	-7.3wins	-0.02per pick	22cpaid	-7%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0bd9…56cfbacked Over	11c	480$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.4	23	21.7%5 W · 18 L	-1.7wins	-0.07per pick	29cpaid	-37.2%equal weight	46-0.03 edge/pick
0x945e…e42abacked Over	10c	476.19$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	66	42.4%28 W · 38 L	+2.1wins	+0.03per pick	39cpaid	-5.4%equal weight	53+0.02 edge/pick
0xeefa…f400backed Over	5c	467$23 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$23.35	197	37.6%74 W · 123 L	-4.1wins	-0.02per pick	40cpaid	-15.6%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1597…6edebacked Over	3c	466.67$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$14	470	29.1%137 W · 333 L	-14.2wins	-0.03per pick	32cpaid	-10.8%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd490…a6d7backed Over	11c	465.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	4	50%2 W · 2 L	+1.0wins	+0.25per pick	25cpaid	+69.4%equal weight	54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf1b4…8383backed Over	11c	465.12$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	27	18.5%5 W · 22 L	-0.2wins	-0.01per pick	19cpaid	-17.5%equal weight	490.00 edge/pick
0x1a2f…647abacked Over	11c	462.99$51 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50.93	753	35.6%268 W · 485 L	+0.3wins	0.00per pick	36cpaid	-30.6%equal weight	500.00 edge/pick
0xad77…61e8backed Over	11c	454.55$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	49	46.9%23 W · 26 L	+0.5wins	+0.01per pick	46cpaid	+9.2%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c36…f5adbacked Over	11c	454.55$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	6	0%0 W · 6 L	-0.8wins	-0.14per pick	14cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick
0x4d1b…8379backed Over	11c	445.21$48 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$47.86	3	0%0 W · 3 L	-0.4wins	-0.15per pick	15cpaid	-100%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1e39…77f3backed Over	11c	444.44$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	84	31%26 W · 58 L	-0.8wins	-0.01per pick	32cpaid	-16.7%equal weight	49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbe78…edacbacked Over	11c	434.78$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	13	46.2%6 W · 7 L	+2.2wins	+0.17per pick	29cpaid	+166.1%equal weight	57+0.06 edge/pick
0xd6ee…5513backed Over	12c	434$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$49.91	38	15.8%6 W · 32 L	+0.8wins	+0.02per pick	14cpaid	+13.5%equal weight	51+0.01 edge/pick
0xee0e…38bbbacked Over	12c	425.53$50 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$50	235	29.8%70 W · 165 L	-4.6wins	-0.02per pick	32cpaid	-15.9%equal weight	48-0.02 edge/pick
0x29a5…a3c4backed Over	10c	408.48$42 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.12	373	48.3%180 W · 193 L	-5.6wins	-0.01per pick	50cpaid	-11.2%equal weight	48-0.01 edge/pick
0x533b…0a9ebacked Over	11c	396$43 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$42.57	232	27.6%64 W · 168 L	-12.1wins	-0.05per pick	33cpaid	-21.7%equal weight	45-0.05 edge/pick
0xe481…d138backed Over	11c	385.97$41 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$41.07	328	37.2%122 W · 206 L	+7.7wins	+0.02per pick	35cpaid	-0.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb28a…6d4abacked Over	4c	367$14 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$13.76	87	13.8%12 W · 75 L	+2.5wins	+0.03per pick	11cpaid	-11.8%equal weight	52+0.02 edge/pick
0xab97…70bbbacked Over	7c	363.64$25 in	Lost — open this pick on its own page	-$25	7	0%0 W · 7 L	-0.9wins	-0.12per pick	12cpaid	-100%equal weight	47-0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Fifa International and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 45 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5this page
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: 1st Half O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: 2nd Half O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in First HalfNo won
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Score in Second HalfNo won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 5.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 6.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 7.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 8.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 1st Half O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 1st Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 2nd Half O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain 2nd Half O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 0.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 1.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Spain O/U 2.5Under won
Spain vs. Argentina: Team to AdvanceSpain won
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to Extra Time?Yes won
Spain vs. Argentina: Will the Match Go to a Penalty Shootout?No won
Spread: Argentina (-1.5)Spain won
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)Spain won
Spread: Argentina (-3.5)Spain won
Spread: Argentina (-4.5)Spain won
Spread: Argentina (-5.5)Spain won
Spread: Spain (-1.5)Argentina won
Spread: Spain (-2.5)Argentina won
Spread: Spain (-3.5)Argentina won
Spread: Spain (-4.5)Argentina won
Spread: Spain (-5.5)Argentina won

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

The market traded at least $500.
The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.

Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5

What this market resolved to

Who was on this market

The rest of this event