TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x70ca…2443

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
519
Categories scored
29
Categories below 50
21

Best Category: Commodities, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Commodities at 57 out of 100; worst Middle East at 38.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT35041.1%144 W · 206 L+1.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 350 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will South America (CONMEBOL) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.25
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$258Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$257.76
Will Europe (UEFA) win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$29.23
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$638Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+307.5%+$1,962.58
Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group H?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$54Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$204.74
Will Spain win the World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$118Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$82.08
Will a player representing France be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$296Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$214.5
Will Kylian Mbappe be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+124.7%+$113.36
Will England score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)4c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+2,432.9%+$4,851.09
Will France score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.27
Will a player representing Argentina be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$202Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$202.41
Will Argentina score the most goals at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$1,052Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$1,051.93
Will the 2026 FIFA World Cup champion be a nation from Group J?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$215Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$214.76
Will Lionel Messi be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$378Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$377.67
Spain vs. Argentina: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$76.22
Spain vs. Argentina: Argentina O/U 0.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$47.38
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.12
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+225.2%+$114.77
Spain vs. Argentina: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$120Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$119.6
Will England win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$277Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$277.28
Will the final be ESP vs ARG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$104Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+400%+$416.66
Will England reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$205Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$205.5
Will the final be ESP vs ENG at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$109.32
Will Argentina reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+384.6%+$160.95
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$470Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$469.51
Showing 25 of 350 picks, newest first.
Middle Eastlast resolved Aug 18, 2026, EDT3023.3%7 W · 23 L-5.7wins-0.19per pick42cpaid-56.3%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick
Middle East — the 30 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by August 15?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$43Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$43
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by July 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$19
Will Iran announce withdrawal from MOU negotiations by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.52
Will Donald Trump attend NATO Summit?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.9
Kurds declare independence from Iran?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.15
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.82
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.5
Will Jared Kushner attend the next US x Iran diplomatic meeting?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+102.4%+$25.3
Will Steve Witkoff have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.6
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.2
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.06
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.32
Iran x Oman Strait of Hormuz agreement by June 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$397Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT+26%+$103.2
US x Iran permanent peace deal by December 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$313.4
US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$346Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$346.4
US x Iran permanent peace deal by July 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
US and Iran sign an agreement by June 22, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$57Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$43
Will JD Vance sign a U.S. x Iran deal by July 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$15.6
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.03
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$141Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$141
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$53.2
Will Trump agree to Iranian oil sanction relief by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32.69
US-Iran nuclear deal by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.7
Will Trump agree to unfreeze Iranian assets by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$13.85
Showing 25 of 30 picks, newest first.
Lollast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT2853.6%15 W · 13 L+3.0wins+0.11per pick43cpaid+28.1%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 28 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$453Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$453.33
Game Handicap: G2 (-1.5) vs GIANTX (+1.5)backed G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
LoL: GIANTX vs G2 Esports - Game 2 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
LoL: Natus Vincere vs Fnatic (BO3) - LEC Regular Seasonbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$156Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+160.9%+$250.37
LoL: BNK FearX Youth vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-Inbacked BNK FearX Youth · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$10.96
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 4 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$40
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (BO5) - LCK Challengers League Play-Inbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+57.4%+$62
Game Handicap: DNS.C (-1.5) vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers (+1.5)backed DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+135.3%+$57.5
LoL: DN SOOPers Challengers vs Kiwoom DRX Challengers - Game 1 Winnerbacked DN SOOPers Challengers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+46.8%+$89.2
Game Handicap: FNC (-1.5) vs Shifters (+1.5)backed Shifters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.99
LoL: JD Gaming vs Top Esports (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked JD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+149.8%+$135.18
LoL: DN SOOPers vs Kiwoom DRX (BO3) - LCK Round 3-4 Rise Groupbacked DN SOOPers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$963Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+36.2%+$348.44
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Invictus Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Nirvanabacked Ninjas in Pyjamas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+172%+$24.24
LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Vitality · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$135Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$135.28
LoL: Team Vitality vs Natus Vincere - Game 1 Winnerbacked Natus Vincere · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$169Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$168.67
LoL: Team Heretics vs SK Gaming - Game 2 Winnerbacked Team Heretics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$58
LoL: ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix vs Team Heretics Academy (BO5) - LES Playoffsbacked ⁠Movistar KOI Fénix · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+73.3%+$43.2
LoL: Solary vs Skillcamp Esport (BO3) - LFL Playoffsbacked Skillcamp Esport · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT+270.4%+$37.59
LoL: LGD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascendbacked LGD Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$188Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$187.69
LoL: Gen.G vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Dplus KIA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+300%+$77.92
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked Movistar KOI · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$35.47
LoL: Gen.G vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Esports World Cup Group Bbacked Karmine Corp · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.18
LoL: Eintracht Frankfurt vs E WIE EINFACH E-SPORTS (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked Eintracht Frankfurt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.04
LoL: VfB eSports vs BIG (BO1) - Prime League 1st Division Regular Seasonbacked VfB eSports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$34.24
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Hanwha Life Esports (BO5) - Mid-Season Invitational Playoffsbacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT+140.6%+$262.99
Showing 25 of 28 picks, newest first.
Tennislast resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1833.3%6 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick35cpaid-13.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Tennis — the 18 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Kingston 2: Alvaro Guillen Meza vs Andrew Fentybacked Alvaro Guillen Meza · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$44.26
US Open, Qualification WTA: Angela Fita Boluda vs Lin Zhubacked Angela Fita Boluda · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+566.7%+$177.53
US Open, Qualification WTA: Jazmin Ortenzi vs Himeno Sakatsumebacked Jazmin Ortenzi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.93
US Open, Qualification WTA: Mia Ristic vs Ayana Aklibacked Mia Ristic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$27.75
US Open, Qualification WTA: Polina Iatcenko vs Julie Struplovabacked Julie Struplova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)6c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.49
US Open, Qualification ATP: Vilius Gaubas vs Kilian Feldbauschbacked Kilian Feldbausch · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.63
US Open, Qualification ATP: Luka Pavlovic vs Juan Pablo Varillasbacked Juan Pablo Varillas · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$42.5
US Open, Qualification ATP: Kimmer Coppejans vs Jurij Rodionovbacked Kimmer Coppejans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$68.99
Swedish Open: Stefano Travaglia vs Martin Krumichbacked Martin Krumich · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$107.85
Swedish Open: Jan Choinski vs Nikoloz Basilashvilibacked Jan Choinski · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Bunschoten: Mika Brunold vs Ryan Nijboerbacked Mika Brunold · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
Swedish Open: Dalibor Svrcina vs Grigor Dimitrovbacked Dalibor Svrcina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$156.43
Wimbledon ATP: Jannik Sinner vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.63
Will Aryna Sabalenka be the 2026 Women’s Wimbledon Winner?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$55.21
Wimbledon WTA: Nikola Bartunkova vs Barbora Krejcikovabacked Barbora Krejcikova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38.44
Wimbledon WTA: Ekaterina Alexandrova vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$47
Wimbledon WTA: Kamilla Rakhimova vs Maria Sakkaribacked Maria Sakkari · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 2, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$33.33
Grass Court Championships: Madison Keys vs Karolina Muchovabacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41
All 18 picks, newest first.
CS2last resolved Aug 24, 2026, EDT1546.7%7 W · 8 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+14.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
CS2 — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs ex-Zero Tenacity (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked CYBERSHOKE Prospects · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$511Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+96.3%+$491.94
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Phantom Academy (BO3) - United21 Group Dbacked Alliance · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$311Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$310.82
Counter-Strike: GenOne vs Leo Team (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Group Stagebacked Leo Team · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 24, 2026, EDT+126.5%+$251.75
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$26.51
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs FUT Esports (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FUT Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT+151.3%+$34.94
Counter-Strike: Team Nemesis vs Color (BO3) - Moscow Cyber Games European Qualifier Group Stagebacked Color · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$63Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$62.5
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$761Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$455.53
Counter-Strike: Vitality vs Spirit - Map 1 Winnerbacked Spirit · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+100%+$51.28
Counter-Strike: Legacy vs Team Falcons (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked Legacy · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$47Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 21, 2026, EDT+157%+$73.3
Counter-Strike: Leo Team vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Series #7 Group Stagebacked Bushido Wildcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$134Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$134.22
Counter-Strike: G2 vs FURIA (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked G2 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$299Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$299.15
Counter-Strike: FaZe vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Playoffsbacked FaZe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$195Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$195
Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - Esports World Cup Group Cbacked B8 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 14, 2026, EDT+331%+$79.86
Will Team Spirit win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.56
Will Vitality win IEM Cologne Major 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$51Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$50.76
All 15 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 20, 2026, EDT1118.2%2 W · 9 L-3.0wins-0.27per pick45cpaid-47%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will no next Prime Minister of the United Kingdom be appointed in 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$148Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 20, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$52
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.3
Will Iván Cepeda Castro place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$45.01
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 1st in Bogotá in the second round of the 2026 Colombia presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)1c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$155.97
Will Ivan Cepeda Castro win the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.38
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$364Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$363.79
Will Abelardo de la Espriella place 2nd in the 1st round of the 2026 Colombian presidential election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
Will Chong Won-oh win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral Electionbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$228Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+347.9%+$793.56
Will Kim Kyung-soo win the 2026 Gyeongsangnam Province Gubernatorial Election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.06
Will Kim Boo-kyum win the 2026 Daegu mayoral election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.15
Will Caroline Elliott win the 2026 Conservative Party of British Columbia leadership election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.05
All 11 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT785.7%6 W · 1 L+2.0wins+0.29per pick57cpaid+54.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
Commodities — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Dota2last resolved Aug 22, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid-11.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-2.2wins-0.36per pick53cpaid-70.8%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
MLB — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-46.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
AI — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved Jul 31, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.06per pick56cpaid-26.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Midtermslast resolved Aug 12, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.4wins-0.11per pick36cpaid-12.9%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick46cpaid+129.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.04per pick37cpaid-14.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 19, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.20per pick53cpaid-45.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Valorantlast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Valorant — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.7wins+0.36per pick65cpaid+56.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41.51
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$45.39
All 2 picks, newest first.
Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick56cpaid-15.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.98
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-20?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$41.51
All 2 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-5.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.38per pick38cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Weather — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Ebola case in the US by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$44Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$43.74
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$153Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$153.1
All 2 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Aug 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Petal" - Ariana Grande first week album sales be between 250k and 300k?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$73Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 7, 2026, EDT+38.2%+$27.99
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fed Rates Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.18per pick18cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Fed Rates — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fed Rates, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.32per pick32cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$33Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$33.12
All 1 picks, newest first.
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Jun 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.54per pick54cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Stocks — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$184Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$184.19
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Jul 5, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.58per pick58cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-07-05?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.11
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.70per pick70cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture all of Pokrovsk by May 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Jul 16, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will China GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 4.6% and 4.9%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$79.84
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.