MLB · resolved market
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa6f18041a9e4db4936e9da82108169296ade7b2d7c9f0bcf2aec7402db9bfd3b
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Baltimore Orioles, Boston Red Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $1,423,909
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $1,456,031
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,423,909 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 450 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2c33…0563backed Baltimore Orioles | 0c | 223,914$1,062 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,062.38 | 856 | 45.3%388 W · 468 L | +18.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dfb…abafbacked Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 173,333$81,867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81,866.51 | 1,385 | 49.5%685 W · 700 L | -4.9wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf152…64aabacked Boston Red Sox | 54c | 135,000$73,366 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61,634.49 | 770 | 53.9%415 W · 355 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcd30…f316backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 106,800$55,727 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51,072.4 | 54 | 40.7%22 W · 32 L | -4.1wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 93,704$45,648 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45,647.8 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4bff…fc26backed Boston Red Sox | 51c | 86,876$44,307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42,569.11 | 436 | 47%205 W · 231 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16bb…8492backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 65,954$37,188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28,765.56 | 865 | 48.7%421 W · 444 L | -8.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf668…5c69backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 58,000$27,260 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27,259.99 | 52 | 76.9%40 W · 12 L | +11.8wins | +0.23per pick | 54cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 67+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 55,661$26,717 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,717.17 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 55,567$23,909 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23,909.38 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x684b…8409backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 55,139$32,081 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,057.23 | 260 | 54.2%141 W · 119 L | +8.0wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 53,912$21,650 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,650.19 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xabb8…bba3backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 50,000$20,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20,000 | 981 | 49.9%490 W · 491 L | -17.6wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 50,000$30,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19,999.99 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x20b9…4affbacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 50,000$26,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23,999.99 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.15per pick | 65cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3c3…eec8backed Baltimore Orioles | 22c | 37,500$8,125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,125 | 489 | 52.8%258 W · 231 L | +16.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7542…7a20backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 26,756$15,786 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,970.1 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Baltimore Orioles | 41c | 23,872$9,749 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,748.61 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox | 66c | 22,337$14,723 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,614.35 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x30c1…9f91backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 22,045$10,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,999.99 | 123 | 43.1%53 W · 70 L | -5.0wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Baltimore Orioles | 9c | 19,768$1,755 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,755.1 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ac…edf1backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 16,549$8,605 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,943.39 | 45 | 64.4%29 W · 16 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf4e1…34a5backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 14,449$5,780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,779.73 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +58.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb939…da70backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 13,333$8,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,333.33 | 30 | 46.7%14 W · 16 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7414…72a3backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 13,000$6,890 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,110 | 14 | 71.4%10 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.21per pick | 51cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Boston Red Sox | 73c | 10,488$7,706 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,782.29 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f1b…f28abacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 10,261$5,028 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,027.79 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 10,061$5,595 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,465.68 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb272…5030backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 10,000$4,300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,300 | 362 | 46.1%167 W · 195 L | -8.1wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa804…2a75backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 9,086$4,361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,361.3 | 291 | 47.1%137 W · 154 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 17c | 8,331$1,395 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,394.57 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 7,500$3,600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,600 | 1,292 | 50.2%648 W · 644 L | +18.2wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f1c…82c6backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 6,499$3,445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,054.62 | 89 | 50.6%45 W · 44 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 6,158$3,263 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,894.04 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x198f…c419backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 5,556$2,667 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,666.66 | 115 | 40%46 W · 69 L | -7.1wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f3c…2f57backed Baltimore Orioles | 36c | 5,376$1,912 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,912 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3d7f…7b8abacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 5,375$2,849 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,526.24 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.17per pick | 50cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc323…0171backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 5,138$3,134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,003.83 | 194 | 53.6%104 W · 90 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1b8f…cca7backed Baltimore Orioles | 3c | 5,000$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$140 | 246 | 39%96 W · 150 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e64…336dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 42c | 5,000$2,097 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,097.34 | 449 | 45.4%204 W · 245 L | -13.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc0df…5974backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 4,310$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,810.34 | 222 | 57.2%127 W · 95 L | +8.1wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc38…3c4cbacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 4,240$2,205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,035.2 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.31per pick | 44cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ff…ed99backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 4,143$2,299 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,844.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.45per pick | 55cpaid | +80.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x519d…37a1backed Baltimore Orioles | 0c | 3,871$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.34 | 585 | 2.1%12 W · 573 L | -1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01e6…e7e0backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 3,809$2,285 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,523.58 | 76 | 51.3%39 W · 37 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4b1…d21fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 44c | 3,563$1,568 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,567.79 | 76 | 42.1%32 W · 44 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2792…c4f6backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 3,028$1,634 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,393.4 | 739 | 49.8%368 W · 371 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Baltimore Orioles | 17c | 2,985$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.74 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x300b…f636backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 2,632$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,131.58 | 233 | 57.9%135 W · 98 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9c98…f4f4backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 2,542$1,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,042.37 | 67 | 49.3%33 W · 34 L | -2.0wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9e64…89c3backed Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6451…b57abacked Baltimore Orioles | 40c | 2,500$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 148 | 41.2%61 W · 87 L | -5.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 2,245$1,227 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,017.5 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7e0b…bc0dbacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 2,150$1,118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,032 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.30per pick | 45cpaid | +70.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe98c…8792backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 2,112$1,035 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,034.82 | 35 | 57.1%20 W · 15 L | +2.2wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd255…4676backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 78 | 52.6%41 W · 37 L | +4.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58b9…ee8bbacked Boston Red Sox | 56c | 2,000$1,120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$880 | 752 | 48.8%367 W · 385 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked Boston Red Sox | 52c | 2,000$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$969.99 | 168 | 48.2%81 W · 87 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67ed…085abacked Baltimore Orioles | 37c | 1,993$737 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$737.41 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.21per pick | 39cpaid | +37%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,965$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$854.88 | 2,290 | 51%1,167 W · 1,123 L | +23.9wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 1,853$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$822.63 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 1,742$784 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$783.85 | 694 | 53.6%372 W · 322 L | +14.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdb25…eb12backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 1,700$727 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$726.8 | 575 | 48%276 W · 299 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed Boston Red Sox | 59c | 1,695$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$695.4 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2225…8509backed Boston Red Sox | 55c | 1,652$909 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$743.58 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.25per pick | 50cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9f03…766dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 1,531$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 1,500$645 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$645 | 619 | 47.7%295 W · 324 L | -1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x224f…514abacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 1,375$729 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.34 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1713…1986backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 1,339$750 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$589.29 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x75f5…6070backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,300$741 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$559 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.16per pick | 56cpaid | -28.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 1,300$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.97 | 68 | 55.9%38 W · 30 L | +4.8wins | +0.07per pick | 49cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa7e8…5c8cbacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 1,293$685 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$607.89 | 110 | 57.3%63 W · 47 L | +6.2wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1a93backed Baltimore Orioles | 49c | 1,273$624 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$623.97 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.3wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75b1…e2e8backed Baltimore Orioles | 43c | 1,250$538 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$537.5 | 78 | 53.8%42 W · 36 L | +4.2wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Boston Red Sox | 67c | 1,237$829 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$407.32 | 58 | 53.4%31 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x42ab…0d2dbacked Boston Red Sox | 60c | 1,195$717 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Boston Red Sox | 53c | 1,184$627 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.26 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09af…9728backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 1,146$596 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$550 | 891 | 53.5%477 W · 414 L | +24.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Baltimore Orioles | 18c | 1,089$196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$196.02 | 3,457 | 51.3%1,772 W · 1,685 L | +108.1wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x36e6…ad16backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 1,071$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$471.43 | 75 | 64%48 W · 27 L | +5.5wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd23e…e4a3backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 1,044$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$443.56 | 117 | 50.4%59 W · 58 L | -3.0wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 1,042$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$464.11 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93ac…2761backed Boston Red Sox | 54c | 1,019$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$468.51 | 2,583 | 61.4%1,587 W · 996 L | +70.9wins | +0.03per pick | 59cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b62…d87fbacked Boston Red Sox | 53c | 1,000$530 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$470 | 1,836 | 50.8%932 W · 904 L | -3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x70a6…a2ebbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd942…f9d3backed Baltimore Orioles | 45c | 1,000$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 121 | 52.9%64 W · 57 L | +3.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8565…0c43backed Boston Red Sox | 58c | 1,000$580 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420 | 116 | 55.2%64 W · 52 L | -6.2wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64ef…befcbacked Baltimore Orioles | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$480 | 290 | 46.6%135 W · 155 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81f5…70afbacked Boston Red Sox | 51c | 1,000$510 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$490 | 169 | 45%76 W · 93 L | -2.9wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5811…0976backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 975$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$456.75 | 1,555 | 48.9%761 W · 794 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Baltimore Orioles | 47c | 968.98$455 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$455.42 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa577…91e3backed Boston Red Sox | 52c | 961.54$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$461.54 | 58 | 55.2%32 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb797…e779backed Baltimore Orioles | 46c | 934.98$426 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$426.24 | 90 | 48.9%44 W · 46 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Baltimore Orioles | 9c | 925.9$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.28 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0351…2858backed Boston Red Sox | 56c | 893$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfd52…aa25backed Boston Red Sox | 60c | 833.33$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$333.33 | 281 | 52%146 W · 135 L | -5.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4a3f…4333backed Boston Red Sox | 61c | 823$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$320.97 | 562 | 53.2%299 W · 263 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x09c6…291ebacked Boston Red Sox | 61c | 819.67$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.67 | 25 | 48%12 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.10per pick | 58cpaid | -17%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x965f…c5b7backed Boston Red Sox | 57c | 812.81$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.81 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b63…bdd3backed Baltimore Orioles | 5c | 800$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 45 | 8.9%4 W · 41 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -62.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxthis page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 12.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)Boston Red Sox won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-4.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.