TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Boston Red Soxof Boston Red Sox, Baltimore Orioles
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$36,017
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$38,458

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,017 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x224f…514abacked Boston Red Sox34c4,742$1,618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,124.545748.6%222 W · 235 L-11.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-3.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x83d7…36e7backed Baltimore Orioles66c4,251$2,805 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,805.48450%2 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-8.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x78cc…a081backed Baltimore Orioles66c3,045$2,009 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,009.416446.9%30 W · 34 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-5.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Baltimore Orioles62c3,000$1,860 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,859.991,06348.2%512 W · 551 L-11.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Baltimore Orioles59c2,549$1,498 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,498.411,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked Boston Red Sox38c2,460$935 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,525.271650.7%363 W · 353 L+9.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa080…234fbacked Baltimore Orioles65c2,166$1,408 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,407.582544%11 W · 14 L-2.1wins-0.08per pick52cpaid-15%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x18d4…69a9backed Boston Red Sox35c2,074$726 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,348.293450%17 W · 17 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xa0f2…1848backed Boston Red Sox78c2,000$1,562 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$437.8579442.4%337 W · 457 L-13.1wins-0.02per pick44cpaid-18%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8753…85adbacked Baltimore Orioles57c1,742$993 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$993.161,90953.5%1,021 W · 888 L+29.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles64c1,393$898 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$898.392,96948.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L-5.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid-11.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f1…7aefbacked Boston Red Sox39c1,198$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$731.0639953.6%214 W · 185 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3453…8524backed Boston Red Sox40c1,176$467 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$708.1538551.4%198 W · 187 L+6.9wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe6fb…ee11backed Boston Red Sox34c1,161$395 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$766.2465549.3%323 W · 332 L+1.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Baltimore Orioles64c1,026$657 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$656.524,47848.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L-47.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x63ec…3b76backed Boston Red Sox44c1,023$450 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$572.7310750.5%54 W · 53 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x228b…af4cbacked Baltimore Orioles62c1,011$627 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$626.532,01251.2%1,031 W · 981 L+43.6wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-6.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Baltimore Orioles63c723.27$457 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$457.218,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x18a4…3a31backed Boston Red Sox38c465$177 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$288.32,14750.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L+27.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles64c420.8$269 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$269.3112,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles63c382.25$241 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$240.825,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox35c330.6$114 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$216.516,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5b8d…bb92backed Boston Red Sox37c300$111 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18958652.7%309 W · 277 L+14.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+5.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed Baltimore Orioles57c300$171 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1711,00148.3%483 W · 518 L-15.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-2.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x4fd9…932fbacked Boston Red Sox40c298.81$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$178.9813357.9%77 W · 56 L+9.1wins+0.07per pick51cpaid+12.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xd619…c461backed Baltimore Orioles60c297.05$178 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$178.2364452.2%336 W · 308 L+26.1wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+9.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed Baltimore Orioles57c290.89$166 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$165.814,27947.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L-83.5wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked Boston Red Sox36c277.78$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$177.7843247%203 W · 229 L-19.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0daf…17a9backed Boston Red Sox38c263.15$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.1514559.3%86 W · 59 L+13.4wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+19.5%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9437…235ebacked Boston Red Sox38c245.85$94 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$151.597243.1%31 W · 41 L-3.2wins-0.04per pick48cpaid-10.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x656a…6077backed Baltimore Orioles64c226.44$145 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$144.923545.7%16 W · 19 L-2.2wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xba8d…009dbacked Baltimore Orioles16c201.43$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.239837.8%37 W · 61 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick38cpaid+29.7%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Baltimore Orioles10c200$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2043954.7%240 W · 199 L+30.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x7677…37c0backed Boston Red Sox39c200$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12232850%164 W · 164 L+0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8d0c…c90abacked Boston Red Sox35c199.99$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$129.992,37649.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L+17.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x35fa…2bd4backed Boston Red Sox46c190$87 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102.617348%83 W · 90 L-7.4wins-0.04per pick52cpaid-12.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed Baltimore Orioles51c189$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$97.161,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3a0b…d29dbacked Baltimore Orioles62c186.91$117 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$116.7818151.9%94 W · 87 L+4.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+0.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed Boston Red Sox39c185.69$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.7666448.2%320 W · 344 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Boston Red Sox38c176.5$67 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$109.432,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x985c…e5d2backed Boston Red Sox43c162.79$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$92.7954455.1%300 W · 244 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xf213…a627backed Boston Red Sox41c150$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.568942.2%291 W · 398 L+18.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+9.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbafe…33a6backed Boston Red Sox36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.891154.5%6 W · 5 L0.0wins0.00per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1621…f040backed Baltimore Orioles15c134.1$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.96614.9%3 W · 58 L-0.8wins-0.01per pick6cpaid-41.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Boston Red Sox37c124.42$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.383,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x72f3…d396backed Baltimore Orioles63c119.99$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$75.5950647%238 W · 268 L-21.3wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.6%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf876…1deebacked Boston Red Sox43c118.16$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$67.351485.7%12 W · 2 L+5.7wins+0.41per pick45cpaid+100.5%equal weight66+0.15 edge/pick
0x1a6a…56bdbacked Boston Red Sox35c112$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.5513345.9%61 W · 72 L-0.6wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa3c2…df3dbacked Baltimore Orioles64c106.81$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.222,80049.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L+0.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xea6e…7c46backed Baltimore Orioles66c106.06$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7067449.4%333 W · 341 L-28.0wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-8.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xab8b…24ffbacked Baltimore Orioles63c104.97$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.9124843.5%108 W · 140 L-13.2wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xea60…e977backed Baltimore Orioles58c99.99$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.992133.3%7 W · 14 L-3.8wins-0.18per pick51cpaid-32.5%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x2b35…0bfebacked Boston Red Sox35c99.99$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$64.9999447.3%470 W · 524 L-6.3wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-0.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9b11…5375backed Baltimore Orioles60c99.95$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.021,77749.5%880 W · 897 L+25.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.1%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8c58…e330backed Boston Red Sox70c95.95$68 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.3888053.8%473 W · 407 L+41.0wins+0.05per pick49cpaid+10.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb1a3…d760backed Boston Red Sox41c85.95$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.9524444.7%109 W · 135 L+7.4wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Boston Red Sox36c83.33$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.3361346.3%284 W · 329 L+7.3wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked Baltimore Orioles57c80$46 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.65,78643.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L-192.2wins-0.03per pick47cpaid-19.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xea6f…6572backed Boston Red Sox36c79.58$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.0610058%58 W · 42 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick56cpaid-4.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox75c78.46$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2010,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x256b…97bbbacked Boston Red Sox43c69.77$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.7739149.1%192 W · 199 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4bf2…d280backed Baltimore Orioles65c67.84$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.095352.8%28 W · 25 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbbe2…6158backed Baltimore Orioles65c61.54$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4046659.7%278 W · 188 L+1.9wins0.00per pick59cpaid+2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf655…7f1abacked Boston Red Sox38c60$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$37.241236.7%151 W · 261 L-16.5wins-0.04per pick41cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xfb0c…8c72backed Boston Red Sox34c58.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$38.61,20653.7%648 W · 558 L+29.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdc41…dd7ebacked Baltimore Orioles61c55$34 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$33.551,29151%658 W · 633 L-15.5wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-2.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Boston Red Sox44c54.82$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.832,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x6676…22f3backed Baltimore Orioles61c49.18$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3052947.4%251 W · 278 L-24.8wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-9.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa032…2090backed Boston Red Sox34c47.99$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.5495252.9%504 W · 448 L+17.8wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc730…c568backed Boston Red Sox34c46.79$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.8835747.6%170 W · 187 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+14.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0df0…1376backed Baltimore Orioles65c46.15$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$307644.7%34 W · 42 L-3.5wins-0.05per pick49cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x5659…7a6bbacked Baltimore Orioles62c39.09$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.2354642.5%232 W · 314 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Baltimore Orioles27c38.44$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.458,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2e80…6910backed Boston Red Sox42c38.19$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.15771.4%5 W · 2 L+0.7wins+0.10per pick61cpaid+28.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x6efa…a0a7backed Boston Red Sox43c35.44$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.21369.2%9 W · 4 L+3.4wins+0.26per pick43cpaid+100.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xde36…f41cbacked Baltimore Orioles65c30.77$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2015841.8%66 W · 92 L-12.7wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x589a…7690backed Boston Red Sox40c30.35$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$18.341457.1%8 W · 6 L+1.0wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+18.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec66…e58fbacked Baltimore Orioles67c30.02$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2031250%156 W · 156 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2892…e9d7backed Baltimore Orioles65c30$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.3534846.8%163 W · 185 L-12.9wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.5%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xad6f…cc7cbacked Baltimore Orioles58c27.47$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.078051.3%41 W · 39 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick56cpaid-17.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x38ef…8800backed Baltimore Orioles56c25.78$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.4442448.1%204 W · 220 L-9.3wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x67af…61eebacked Baltimore Orioles63c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.751,81449.1%891 W · 923 L-26.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-12%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xd819…2d80backed Baltimore Orioles64c25$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1610452.9%55 W · 49 L+1.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+5.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1790…30f7backed Baltimore Orioles58c24.98$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.491533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.6wins-0.24per pick57cpaid-37.8%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x5d63…9075backed Baltimore Orioles65c21.03$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.6773355.3%405 W · 328 L+22.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5b89…23fbbacked Baltimore Orioles64c20$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.88237.8%31 W · 51 L-9.6wins-0.12per pick50cpaid-28.6%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xf766…9251backed Baltimore Orioles66c15.5$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.231,46463.5%929 W · 535 L-10.1wins-0.01per pick64cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Boston Red Sox76c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3.658,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.