MLB · resolved market
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5f8572697a9b224cdc73ae44a99a13c4878166e06899e20535b7a0d0859100bb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Boston Red Soxof Boston Red Sox, Baltimore Orioles
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,017
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $38,458
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,017 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x224f…514abacked Boston Red Sox | 34c | 4,742$1,618 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,124.5 | 457 | 48.6%222 W · 235 L | -11.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x83d7…36e7backed Baltimore Orioles | 66c | 4,251$2,805 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,805.48 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x78cc…a081backed Baltimore Orioles | 66c | 3,045$2,009 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,009.41 | 64 | 46.9%30 W · 34 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 3,000$1,860 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,859.99 | 1,063 | 48.2%512 W · 551 L | -11.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 59c | 2,549$1,498 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,498.4 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ac…d77ebacked Boston Red Sox | 38c | 2,460$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,525.2 | 716 | 50.7%363 W · 353 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa080…234fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 2,166$1,408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,407.58 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x18d4…69a9backed Boston Red Sox | 35c | 2,074$726 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,348.29 | 34 | 50%17 W · 17 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa0f2…1848backed Boston Red Sox | 78c | 2,000$1,562 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$437.85 | 794 | 42.4%337 W · 457 L | -13.1wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -18%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8753…85adbacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 1,742$993 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$993.16 | 1,909 | 53.5%1,021 W · 888 L | +29.1wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 1,393$898 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$898.39 | 2,969 | 48.4%1,436 W · 1,533 L | -5.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f1…7aefbacked Boston Red Sox | 39c | 1,198$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$731.06 | 399 | 53.6%214 W · 185 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3453…8524backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 1,176$467 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$708.15 | 385 | 51.4%198 W · 187 L | +6.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…ee11backed Boston Red Sox | 34c | 1,161$395 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$766.24 | 655 | 49.3%323 W · 332 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 1,026$657 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$656.52 | 4,478 | 48.8%2,186 W · 2,292 L | -47.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x63ec…3b76backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 1,023$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$572.73 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x228b…af4cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 1,011$627 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$626.53 | 2,012 | 51.2%1,031 W · 981 L | +43.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 723.27$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.21 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18a4…3a31backed Boston Red Sox | 38c | 465$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$288.3 | 2,147 | 50.2%1,078 W · 1,069 L | +27.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 420.8$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$269.31 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 382.25$241 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$240.82 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Boston Red Sox | 35c | 330.6$114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216.51 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Boston Red Sox | 37c | 300$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189 | 586 | 52.7%309 W · 277 L | +14.7wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 300$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$171 | 1,001 | 48.3%483 W · 518 L | -15.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4fd9…932fbacked Boston Red Sox | 40c | 298.81$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.98 | 133 | 57.9%77 W · 56 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 297.05$178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$178.23 | 644 | 52.2%336 W · 308 L | +26.1wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x224a…a3d5backed Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 290.89$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.81 | 4,279 | 47.3%2,024 W · 2,255 L | -83.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked Boston Red Sox | 36c | 277.78$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.78 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0daf…17a9backed Boston Red Sox | 38c | 263.15$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.15 | 145 | 59.3%86 W · 59 L | +13.4wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9437…235ebacked Boston Red Sox | 38c | 245.85$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$151.59 | 72 | 43.1%31 W · 41 L | -3.2wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x656a…6077backed Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 226.44$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.92 | 35 | 45.7%16 W · 19 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 16c | 201.43$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.23 | 98 | 37.8%37 W · 61 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +29.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a21…9318backed Baltimore Orioles | 10c | 200$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 439 | 54.7%240 W · 199 L | +30.6wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7677…37c0backed Boston Red Sox | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 328 | 50%164 W · 164 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d0c…c90abacked Boston Red Sox | 35c | 199.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.99 | 2,376 | 49.7%1,182 W · 1,194 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35fa…2bd4backed Boston Red Sox | 46c | 190$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.6 | 173 | 48%83 W · 90 L | -7.4wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Baltimore Orioles | 51c | 189$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.16 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0b…d29dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 186.91$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.78 | 181 | 51.9%94 W · 87 L | +4.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed Boston Red Sox | 39c | 185.69$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.76 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Boston Red Sox | 38c | 176.5$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$109.43 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed Boston Red Sox | 43c | 162.79$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.79 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf213…a627backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 150$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.5 | 689 | 42.2%291 W · 398 L | +18.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbafe…33a6backed Boston Red Sox | 36c | 138.89$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.89 | 11 | 54.5%6 W · 5 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1621…f040backed Baltimore Orioles | 15c | 134.1$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 61 | 4.9%3 W · 58 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 6cpaid | -41.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x066f…b576backed Boston Red Sox | 37c | 124.42$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.38 | 3,832 | 42.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x72f3…d396backed Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 119.99$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.59 | 506 | 47%238 W · 268 L | -21.3wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf876…1deebacked Boston Red Sox | 43c | 118.16$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.35 | 14 | 85.7%12 W · 2 L | +5.7wins | +0.41per pick | 45cpaid | +100.5%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Boston Red Sox | 35c | 112$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.55 | 133 | 45.9%61 W · 72 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa3c2…df3dbacked Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 106.81$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.22 | 2,800 | 49.3%1,381 W · 1,419 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea6e…7c46backed Baltimore Orioles | 66c | 106.06$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 674 | 49.4%333 W · 341 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…24ffbacked Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 104.97$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.91 | 248 | 43.5%108 W · 140 L | -13.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea60…e977backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 99.99$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.99 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -3.8wins | -0.18per pick | 51cpaid | -32.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Boston Red Sox | 35c | 99.99$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.99 | 994 | 47.3%470 W · 524 L | -6.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b11…5375backed Baltimore Orioles | 60c | 99.95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.02 | 1,777 | 49.5%880 W · 897 L | +25.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c58…e330backed Boston Red Sox | 70c | 95.95$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 880 | 53.8%473 W · 407 L | +41.0wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb1a3…d760backed Boston Red Sox | 41c | 85.95$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.95 | 244 | 44.7%109 W · 135 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc3ec…e987backed Boston Red Sox | 36c | 83.33$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.33 | 613 | 46.3%284 W · 329 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 57c | 80$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.6 | 5,786 | 43.6%2,524 W · 3,262 L | -192.2wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xea6f…6572backed Boston Red Sox | 36c | 79.58$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.06 | 100 | 58%58 W · 42 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Boston Red Sox | 75c | 78.46$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x256b…97bbbacked Boston Red Sox | 43c | 69.77$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.77 | 391 | 49.1%192 W · 199 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4bf2…d280backed Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 67.84$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.09 | 53 | 52.8%28 W · 25 L | +2.1wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbbe2…6158backed Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 61.54$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 466 | 59.7%278 W · 188 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…7f1abacked Boston Red Sox | 38c | 60$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.2 | 412 | 36.7%151 W · 261 L | -16.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Boston Red Sox | 34c | 58.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 1,206 | 53.7%648 W · 558 L | +29.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc41…dd7ebacked Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 55$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.55 | 1,291 | 51%658 W · 633 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Boston Red Sox | 44c | 54.82$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.83 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6676…22f3backed Baltimore Orioles | 61c | 49.18$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 529 | 47.4%251 W · 278 L | -24.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa032…2090backed Boston Red Sox | 34c | 47.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.54 | 952 | 52.9%504 W · 448 L | +17.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc730…c568backed Boston Red Sox | 34c | 46.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.88 | 357 | 47.6%170 W · 187 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0df0…1376backed Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 76 | 44.7%34 W · 42 L | -3.5wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Baltimore Orioles | 62c | 39.09$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.23 | 546 | 42.5%232 W · 314 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Baltimore Orioles | 27c | 38.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.45 | 8,086 | 46.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L | +29.9wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e80…6910backed Boston Red Sox | 42c | 38.19$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.15 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 61cpaid | +28.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6efa…a0a7backed Boston Red Sox | 43c | 35.44$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.2 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +3.4wins | +0.26per pick | 43cpaid | +100.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xde36…f41cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 30.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 158 | 41.8%66 W · 92 L | -12.7wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x589a…7690backed Boston Red Sox | 40c | 30.35$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.34 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec66…e58fbacked Baltimore Orioles | 67c | 30.02$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 312 | 50%156 W · 156 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2892…e9d7backed Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 30$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.35 | 348 | 46.8%163 W · 185 L | -12.9wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xad6f…cc7cbacked Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 27.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.07 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Baltimore Orioles | 56c | 25.78$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.44 | 424 | 48.1%204 W · 220 L | -9.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Baltimore Orioles | 63c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 1,814 | 49.1%891 W · 923 L | -26.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd819…2d80backed Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 104 | 52.9%55 W · 49 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1790…30f7backed Baltimore Orioles | 58c | 24.98$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.49 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.6wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -37.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Baltimore Orioles | 65c | 21.03$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 733 | 55.3%405 W · 328 L | +22.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b89…23fbbacked Baltimore Orioles | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 82 | 37.8%31 W · 51 L | -9.6wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf766…9251backed Baltimore Orioles | 66c | 15.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.23 | 1,464 | 63.5%929 W · 535 L | -10.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Boston Red Sox | 76c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.65 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 10 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)this page
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red SoxBoston Red Sox won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: 1st 5 Innings O/U 3.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: 1st 5 Innings O/U 4.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 10.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 12.5Under won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 8.5Over won
- Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Sox: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Boston Red Sox (-4.5)Baltimore Orioles won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red SoxYes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.