TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x965f…c5b7

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
31
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
6

Best Category: Asian League, grading 57 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Asian League at 57 out of 100; worst Fifa International at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Aug 8, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+2.3wins+0.25per pick42cpaid+67.1%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Asian League — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Yunnan Yukun FC win on 2026-08-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$300Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$300
Spread: Sanfrecce Hiroshima (-1.5)backed Sanfrecce Hiroshima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 8, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$282.86
Zhejiang Zhiye FC vs. Dalian Yingbo FC: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$127.27
Spread: Beijing Guoan FC (-1.5)backed Chengdu Rongcheng FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$200Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+148.2%+$296.37
Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-07-26?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$136Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$136.47
Will FC Seoul win on 2026-07-22?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+166%+$166.01
FC Seoul vs. Pohang Steelers FC: 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$94Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+97.3%+$91.83
All 9 picks, newest first.
Premier Leaguelast resolved Aug 23, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+40.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 20, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.07per pick32cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Mls — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-1.1wins-0.27per pick52cpaid-57.2%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+1.1wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Sandefjord Fotball vs. FK Bodø/Glimt: Both Teams to Scorebacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+156.7%+$108.14
Spread: FK Bodø/Glimt (-1.5)backed FK Bodø/Glimt · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$193Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$209.08
All 2 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 24, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.07per pick57cpaid-12.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
MLB — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
New York Yankees vs. Philadelphia Philliesbacked Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
Baltimore Orioles vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$465Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+74.8%+$347.81
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jul 26, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Estoril Open: Luca Van Assche vs Alexander Blockxbacked Luca Van Assche · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 26, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$60
All 1 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Fluminense FC win on 2026-07-29?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$65Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$65
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Jul 21, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: Hanwha Life Esports vs DN SOOPers (BO1) - KeSPA Cup Group Stagebacked Hanwha Life Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.41
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Jul 22, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will AS Omónoia Leukosías win on 2026-07-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$200Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$200
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.