Mls · resolved market
Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-08-19?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5484c7b8fa1f5fcdf52df80651f9ac6f84f73aa4ef5be1b7222059ad4229efbf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $102,986
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $99,597
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $102,986 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 163 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Mls | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 65c | 20,270$13,231 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,039.43 | 1,444 | 36.8%532 W · 912 L | -12.0wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 36c | 11,309$4,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,113.61 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed No | 65c | 5,827$3,793 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,034.17 | 993 | 40.1%398 W · 595 L | +11.8wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f0f…0e48backed No | 57c | 5,366$3,056 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,310.12 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | +2.9wins | +0.07per pick | 31cpaid | +197%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb619…5068backed Yes | 34c | 5,064$1,722 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,721.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd619…c461backed Yes | 29c | 4,800$1,376 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,376 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -3.1wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 62c | 3,783$2,358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,425.81 | 3,012 | 43.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L | -29.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Yes | 30c | 3,521$1,072 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,072.43 | 126 | 54%68 W · 58 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 61c | 3,471$2,116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,354.27 | 1,880 | 36.6%688 W · 1,192 L | -7.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfdc8…c678backed No | 77c | 3,274$2,514 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$760.7 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.04per pick | 71cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07c…11a0backed Yes | 28c | 3,261$921 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$921.17 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.28per pick | 28cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e59…7b8bbacked Yes | 32c | 2,957$960 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$960.13 | 80 | 32.5%26 W · 54 L | -2.4wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +15.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99aa…6c5abacked Yes | 36c | 2,800$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,008 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.36per pick | 36cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x511f…cbe1backed No | 72c | 2,698$1,943 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$755.44 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.08per pick | 65cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Yes | 23c | 2,500$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575 | 177 | 40.7%72 W · 105 L | -4.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed Yes | 31c | 2,500$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | +3.6wins | +0.08per pick | 43cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked Yes | 47c | 2,370$1,114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,114 | 100 | 43%43 W · 57 L | -6.1wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked No | 77c | 2,098$1,615 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$482.54 | 333 | 46.8%156 W · 177 L | -14.0wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed No | 77c | 2,063$1,588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$474.48 | 328 | 48.8%160 W · 168 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dab…55dabacked Yes | 28c | 2,000$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$560 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec56…1816backed Yes | 20c | 1,431$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.73 | 164 | 37.2%61 W · 103 L | -11.4wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 71c | 1,331$947 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$383.39 | 714 | 43.7%312 W · 402 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 70c | 1,250$877 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$372.79 | 971 | 46.1%448 W · 523 L | -6.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 68c | 1,081$738 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$343.37 | 728 | 50.7%369 W · 359 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 43c | 1,065$453 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$453.1 | 166 | 57.2%95 W · 71 L | +12.4wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +18.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x55b9…a814backed No | 66c | 1,019$674 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$345.29 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 32c | 1,017$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$325.78 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 22cpaid | +28.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Yes | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$470 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -4.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -26.6%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x191f…4a8dbacked No | 53c | 995$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.65 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 38c | 960.05$363 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$363.4 | 229 | 46.7%107 W · 122 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8ce7…3150backed Yes | 33c | 909.09$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -1.8wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fa9…a36dbacked Yes | 47c | 851.06$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.37per pick | 37cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Yes | 31c | 828.62$257 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$256.87 | 530 | 46.4%246 W · 284 L | -15.2wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Yes | 42c | 746.99$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.4 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 68c | 701.3$479 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.05 | 702 | 49.7%349 W · 353 L | -7.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4348…f08abacked No | 46c | 699.67$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.52 | 54 | 50%27 W · 27 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc785…4ef2backed Yes | 43c | 657.75$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.96 | 172 | 44.8%77 W · 95 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ec5…fd53backed Yes | 44c | 655.47$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.2 | 63 | 39.7%25 W · 38 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 42c | 648.99$271 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$270.79 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 66c | 638.23$421 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217 | 989 | 45.4%449 W · 540 L | -23.9wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 50c | 600$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$300 | 196 | 45.9%90 W · 106 L | +10.5wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 36c | 572.4$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207.95 | 1,262 | 45.2%571 W · 691 L | -28.1wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c4…395dbacked Yes | 33c | 572$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.76 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +17.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed No | 51c | 570.92$291 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.39 | 270 | 58.9%159 W · 111 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1cb…2345backed Yes | 32c | 517.51$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.6 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | -4.7wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -52.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1d60…453dbacked Yes | 45c | 502.57$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$225.32 | 127 | 51.2%65 W · 62 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe95…1a93backed Yes | 33c | 501.82$166 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.6 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -3.8wins | -0.42per pick | 53cpaid | -84.5%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Yes | 39c | 500$193 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192.5 | 132 | 28.8%38 W · 94 L | +6.1wins | +0.05per pick | 24cpaid | +38.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 33c | 473.36$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.9 | 352 | 47.7%168 W · 184 L | -6.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -10.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x06a9…1a49backed Yes | 27c | 468.87$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.86 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa442…3b25backed Yes | 28c | 464.68$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.11 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f29…f03dbacked Yes | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 38 | 65.8%25 W · 13 L | +5.7wins | +0.15per pick | 51cpaid | +35.5%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 25c | 440.65$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.15 | 314 | 46.5%146 W · 168 L | -10.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 24c | 416.54$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.6 | 734 | 38.1%280 W · 454 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x65b5…aa71backed No | 53c | 402.17$213 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.02 | 140 | 62.1%87 W · 53 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 62cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 33c | 389$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.83 | 444 | 47.3%210 W · 234 L | -1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7039…4a7dbacked No | 68c | 358.1$244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.59 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x545b…7e82backed Yes | 44c | 340.91$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 68c | 317.03$215 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.71 | 803 | 58%466 W · 337 L | +5.9wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 40c | 316.24$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.99 | 923 | 46.6%430 W · 493 L | -9.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc905…850bbacked Yes | 38c | 315.79$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.24per pick | 49cpaid | -58.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed No | 61c | 305.74$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.87 | 196 | 41.3%81 W · 115 L | -4.6wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 33c | 303.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 196 | 42.9%84 W · 112 L | -9.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x965f…c5b7backed Yes | 37c | 269.03$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Yes | 24c | 250$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 243 | 26.3%64 W · 179 L | -7.7wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 76c | 246.91$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.36 | 685 | 50.5%346 W · 339 L | +10.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5659…7a6bbacked Yes | 32c | 243.97$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.43 | 529 | 23.8%126 W · 403 L | -25.8wins | -0.05per pick | 29cpaid | -18%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9930…696ebacked No | 66c | 239.36$158 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.38 | 74 | 60.8%45 W · 29 L | +12.8wins | +0.17per pick | 44cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 22c | 225.11$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.19 | 483 | 44.9%217 W · 266 L | -6.7wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x81a9…df08backed Yes | 33c | 222$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.26 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 32c | 219.32$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.76 | 366 | 46.7%171 W · 195 L | -7.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee3e…f651backed Yes | 23c | 217.39$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -55.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1715…a049backed Yes | 28c | 212.54$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.45 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 56cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x74bf…f43dbacked Yes | 26c | 211.72$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.69 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x30f6…004fbacked Yes | 43c | 200$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -3.1wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf762…d55fbacked No | 56c | 200$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.63 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +2.8wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +21.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x91fe…c1c6backed No | 72c | 198$143 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.3 | 382 | 46.1%176 W · 206 L | +13.2wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaaca…f5d5backed No | 72c | 187$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.36 | 51 | 54.9%28 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc33d…0d40backed Yes | 36c | 183.22$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.16 | 102 | 49%50 W · 52 L | +3.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd249…e74cbacked No | 68c | 177.13$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed Yes | 30c | 173.1$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.78 | 256 | 52.3%134 W · 122 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2396…9485backed Yes | 33c | 171.6$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.63 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -2.9wins | -0.08per pick | 52cpaid | -20%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb7ab…16d0backed Yes | 39c | 170.68$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.19 | 63 | 52.4%33 W · 30 L | +0.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa797…dedebacked Yes | 31c | 169.76$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.77 | 146 | 57.5%84 W · 62 L | +14.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2f57…37d2backed Yes | 48c | 163.26$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.36 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 71c | 156.9$111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.71 | 915 | 53%485 W · 430 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad57…2fc0backed Yes | 42c | 150$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.4 | 15 | 20%3 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 28cpaid | -15.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x976a…e8ecbacked Yes | 43c | 146$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.78 | 239 | 53.6%128 W · 111 L | +14.7wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x664a…fc5fbacked Yes | 42c | 146$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.32 | 108 | 40.7%44 W · 64 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x162c…6c47backed Yes | 47c | 144.75$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.09 | 41 | 48.8%20 W · 21 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x125a…df71backed No | 45c | 143.31$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.82 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba5e…153bbacked Yes | 27c | 119.34$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -6.3wins | -0.09per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x430b…f9e0backed No | 66c | 117.21$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 10 | 80%8 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 61cpaid | +31.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd75a…d264backed Yes | 41c | 117$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.97 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x47ba…1388backed Yes | 27c | 111.11$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.14per pick | 36cpaid | -50%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x16c8…1badbacked Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed No | 72c | 101.1$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 238 | 58%138 W · 100 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3b24…11efbacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 18 | 83.3%15 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.15per pick | 68cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x36cf…d3aebacked Yes | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 33 | 36.4%12 W · 21 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.54 | 73 | 41.1%30 W · 43 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will San Jose Earthquakes win on 2026-08-19?this page
- Will Los Angeles Galaxy vs. San Jose Earthquakes end in a draw?No won
- Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-08-19?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.