TailMyPicks
Market

Mls · resolved market

Will Los Angeles Galaxy win on 2026-08-19?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Yesof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Mlsevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$1,564,573
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$1,586,092

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $1,564,573 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

The 100 largest positions, of 306 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Mls is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Mls
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc2e7…be51backed Yes57c853,253$486,169 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$367,083.762070%14 W · 6 L+4.3wins+0.21per pick49cpaid+44.7%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x224a…a3d5backed No43c619,119$266,217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$266,216.9312951.2%66 W · 63 L+0.2wins0.00per pick51cpaid-3.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0cbe…1f4ebacked Yes55c370,522$204,652 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$165,870.082365.2%15 W · 8 L+3.5wins+0.15per pick50cpaid+32.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x709e…66f5backed No43c89,825$38,625 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38,624.75540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.10per pick50cpaid-35%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc660…bd28backed No48c75,672$36,221 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36,220.852441.7%10 W · 14 L-2.0wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-15.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2a69…d2f7backed No44c59,026$25,994 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25,993.841,44436.8%532 W · 912 L-12.0wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-17.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed No45c49,431$22,119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22,118.573,01243.5%1,311 W · 1,701 L-29.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-9.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed No46c47,768$21,914 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,914.254348.8%21 W · 22 L+1.7wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-9.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe72b…b0a0backed No43c27,838$11,970 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,970.34714.3%1 W · 6 L-2.2wins-0.32per pick46cpaid-73%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked No45c26,150$11,884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,883.6726345.2%119 W · 144 L-1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid-1.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4956…e2c7backed Yes51c25,436$12,985 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,451.771435.7%5 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.17per pick53cpaid-33.9%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa18c…d792backed Yes51c25,083$12,902 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12,180.461330.8%4 W · 9 L-2.4wins-0.18per pick49cpaid-41.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed No45c24,302$11,024 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11,024.4899340.1%398 W · 595 L+11.8wins+0.01per pick39cpaid-5.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed No50c20,626$10,398 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10,397.8912654%68 W · 58 L+1.9wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+11.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x52d9…fb1abacked No43c20,394$8,771 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8,771.2171443.7%312 W · 402 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-6.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x191f…4a8dbacked No45c19,900$9,040 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,04014652.1%76 W · 70 L+5.6wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+4.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf751…fec8backed Yes50c15,960$7,980 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7,979.761100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+100%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked No49c14,892$7,297 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,297.081,00946.2%466 W · 543 L+11.2wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-7.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed No49c14,700$7,257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,256.991,27048%610 W · 660 L-7.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1171…98dcbacked No48c13,546$6,570 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,569.54333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed No44c12,385$5,417 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,416.991,88036.6%688 W · 1,192 L-7.3wins0.00per pick37cpaid-8.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x99f0…9495backed No45c11,220$5,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,040.8620043%86 W · 114 L+7.3wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x8fba…d08abacked No57c10,000$5,700 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,699.922920.7%6 W · 23 L-4.0wins-0.14per pick34cpaid-40.4%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked No44c9,253$4,042 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,042.1297146.1%448 W · 523 L-6.1wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-5.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x16e5…c50abacked No43c8,950$3,849 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,848.5425%1 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.16per pick41cpaid-44.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9c3c…e8c9backed Yes56c8,929$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,928.571553.3%8 W · 7 L+0.4wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x381b…4d74backed No43c8,400$3,612 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,612450%2 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-19.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2c33…0563backed No50c8,062$4,031 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,030.794845.8%22 W · 26 L-2.4wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9a3f…914abacked Yes53c8,000$4,230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,770560%3 W · 2 L0.0wins+0.01per pick59cpaid-6.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xefac…c9a1backed No48c7,500$3,600 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,6002536%9 W · 16 L-2.5wins-0.10per pick46cpaid-27.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xc3c3…eec8backed No56c7,500$4,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,199.9910945%49 W · 60 L+2.4wins+0.02per pick43cpaid+3.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x56ac…d77ebacked No46c7,412$3,409 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,409.386349.2%31 W · 32 L0.0wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x076d…8d4cbacked Yes42c6,120$2,570 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,549.4622841.7%95 W · 133 L+4.2wins+0.02per pick40cpaid-4.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7e59…7b8bbacked No49c5,971$2,926 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,925.798032.5%26 W · 54 L-2.4wins-0.03per pick36cpaid+15.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed No47c5,569$2,638 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,638.1121547.9%103 W · 112 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9f15…bdb3backed No45c5,267$2,370 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,370.276250%31 W · 31 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+4.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xcc42…6bd4backed No43c5,250$2,258 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,257.510%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed No48c5,143$2,469 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,468.725056%28 W · 22 L+3.5wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed No43c4,484$1,917 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,916.8752639.5%208 W · 318 L-11.9wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-13.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x4bc5…e563backed No17c3,606$610 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$610.126341.3%26 W · 37 L-2.6wins-0.04per pick45cpaid-28.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed No47c3,511$1,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,634.827058.9%159 W · 111 L+5.2wins+0.02per pick57cpaid+0.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xaaca…f5d5backed No45c3,477$1,576 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,576.395154.9%28 W · 23 L+2.7wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+11.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1262…056fbacked No43c3,116$1,340 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,339.881346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xabf5…cfebbacked No43c3,000$1,290 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,2905147.1%24 W · 27 L-2.6wins-0.05per pick52cpaid-14%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xee0b…e6d4backed No44c2,970$1,307 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,306.820%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0a77…9d74backed No44c2,727$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,199.8813347.4%63 W · 70 L-0.6wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked No50c2,700$1,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,35036247.2%171 W · 191 L-3.1wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x511f…cbe1backed No48c2,698$1,295 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,295.041172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.9wins+0.08per pick65cpaid+22.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xd01c…7f9dbacked No45c2,616$1,186 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,186.255750.1%279 W · 278 L+5.7wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9c76…c926backed No48c2,500$1,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,20011854.2%64 W · 54 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xfb07…e2ccbacked No54c2,500$1,345 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,3454751.1%24 W · 23 L-0.4wins-0.01per pick52cpaid+7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x32b4…8b21backed No50c2,500$1,262 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,262.54751.1%24 W · 23 L+3.6wins+0.08per pick43cpaid+33.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x4488…e319backed Yes44c2,500$1,100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,40017740.7%72 W · 105 L-4.1wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-11.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x972b…78babacked No45c2,344$1,061 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,060.5737649.7%187 W · 189 L+1.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdebb…eedbbacked Yes47c2,312$1,086 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,225.154949%24 W · 25 L+1.9wins+0.04per pick45cpaid-1.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdc4f…9804backed No45c2,259$1,011 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,011.4535149.6%174 W · 177 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x29b1…f737backed No45c2,222$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0001250%6 W · 6 L-0.4wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed No44c2,218$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$980.1273438.1%280 W · 454 L-7.5wins-0.01per pick39cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc5d8…a00bbacked No49c2,180$1,068 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,068.2333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.11per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa8bd…b7aabacked No45c2,133$954 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$953.9560%3 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.11per pick49cpaid+21.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x895d…f2a3backed No49c2,070$1,014 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,014.3771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.7wins+0.24per pick47cpaid+49.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No49c2,000$980 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$98053046.4%246 W · 284 L-15.2wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7236…ea53backed No54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,08017258.1%100 W · 72 L+6.2wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+7.7%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb6e0…ff0fbacked No54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0804334.9%15 W · 28 L-5.9wins-0.14per pick49cpaid-32.7%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0xfd9e…8f17backed No50c2,000$1,000 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,00020%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x73f6…a10abacked No54c2,000$1,080 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,0803141.9%13 W · 18 L-2.5wins-0.08per pick50cpaid-12.6%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xfdc8…c678backed Yes72c1,869$1,353 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$516.01475%3 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.04per pick71cpaid-1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb797…e779backed Yes57c1,800$1,026 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7743751.4%19 W · 18 L+0.6wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+7.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4658…4131backed No50c1,730$865 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$864.99854.1%53 W · 45 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x547f…2937backed Yes51c1,628$830 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$797.761752.9%9 W · 8 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x47c7…cac7backed No54c1,568$847 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$846.729457.4%54 W · 40 L+3.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x2117…5c26backed No50c1,503$752 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$751.53540%14 W · 21 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick52cpaid-22%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x968b…87f6backed No45c1,500$675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67510%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd786…59b8backed No52c1,500$780 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7803040%12 W · 18 L-0.9wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-27.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x3f0f…0e48backed No3c1,498$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.953938.5%15 W · 24 L+2.9wins+0.07per pick31cpaid+197%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed No44c1,476$647 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$647.071,26245.2%571 W · 691 L-28.1wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9b78…473dbacked Yes74c1,392$1,033 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$359.0722269.4%154 W · 68 L+31.4wins+0.14per pick55cpaid+33.1%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed No12c1,384$161 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.8648344.9%217 W · 266 L-6.7wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a6b…96e1backed No22c1,350$294 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$294.012222.7%5 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick24cpaid-23.9%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x2d6a…8addbacked No53c1,339$713 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$712.6272850.7%369 W · 359 L-4.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-5.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x55b9…a814backed No40c1,291$519 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$518.95954.2%32 W · 27 L+5.3wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+18.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x115a…a690backed No44c1,255$552 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$552.0610%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xec56…1816backed Yes35c1,248$441 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$806.2816437.2%61 W · 103 L-11.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-34.3%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x7d0c…a3b7backed No49c1,235$603 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603.1791553%485 W · 430 L+4.7wins+0.01per pick52cpaid-0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x50e5…e39fbacked No45c1,138$509 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$509.2718456.5%104 W · 80 L+5.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x2978…b511backed Yes71c1,129$800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$328.96333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-53%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x3740…a935backed Yes70c1,100$767 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$333.34868.8%33 W · 15 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick65cpaid+4.5%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1d60…453dbacked No65c1,095$710 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$709.812751.2%65 W · 62 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick53cpaid+0.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcf73…0215backed No54c1,064$575 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$574.7570249.7%349 W · 353 L-7.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-3.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4348…f08abacked No23c1,034$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.765450%27 W · 27 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid-5.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x26d6…caccbacked Yes72c1,026$736 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$290.1522946.7%107 W · 122 L-7.9wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-29.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xb88a…f6adbacked Yes43c1,013$436 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$577.411540%6 W · 9 L-0.8wins-0.06per pick46cpaid+6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x64ef…befcbacked No54c999.99$540 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5403441.2%14 W · 20 L-3.1wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-18.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xcb4c…612bbacked No77c986.36$764 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$764.051172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.8wins+0.07per pick66cpaid+17.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x03c6…3dd2backed Yes51c980.39$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$480.392955.2%16 W · 13 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick57cpaid-5.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3654…1b78backed No45c934.03$421 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$421.3110257.8%59 W · 43 L+0.1wins0.00per pick58cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8e90…4f65backed No44c895.88$397 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$397.059345.2%42 W · 51 L-7.3wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-19.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x664a…fc5fbacked No16c895.56$143 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$143.3510840.7%44 W · 64 L-5.4wins-0.05per pick46cpaid+10.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1f62…76f6backed No46c895$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$416.1768550.5%346 W · 339 L+10.9wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xc785…4ef2backed No48c880$422 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$422.417244.8%77 W · 95 L-3.7wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-21.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Mls and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.