Asian League · resolved market
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-08-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9aa8ab2ee007c7de280ebe1fc3d4da1becfbd577d9e4beec1d8ea2d59922b227
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $59,793
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $61,308
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $59,793 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 71 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 12c | 7,050$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$832.78 | 5,910 | 46.2%2,730 W · 3,180 L | +50.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 65c | 6,326$4,095 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,095.39 | 2,467 | 40.3%993 W · 1,474 L | -15.5wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 5c | 5,386$276 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$276.36 | 922 | 35.1%324 W · 598 L | -20.3wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 34c | 3,323$1,125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,198.31 | 825 | 42.4%350 W · 475 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 61c | 1,940$1,178 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,178.08 | 395 | 49.9%197 W · 198 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 25c | 1,561$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$391.05 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 62c | 1,479$913 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$913 | 387 | 49.6%192 W · 195 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8b9…775dbacked Yes | 35c | 1,235$433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$802.61 | 31 | 29%9 W · 22 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 10c | 1,101$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.36 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad0b…a514backed Yes | 39c | 896.99$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$547.16 | 86 | 55.8%48 W · 38 L | +7.1wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x13e4…8b89backed No | 3c | 845.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.37 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | +2.6wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +39.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed Yes | 39c | 841$328 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$513.01 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 26c | 716.24$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$183.16 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4337…661abacked Yes | 34c | 693.67$233 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$460.79 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.8wins | +0.21per pick | 29cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 41c | 625.64$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$369.41 | 735 | 38.6%284 W · 451 L | +19.3wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c8…fe7fbacked No | 7c | 500$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 146 | 46.6%68 W · 78 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x09b0…a3b6backed No | 3c | 485.05$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.95 | 56 | 69.6%39 W · 17 L | +10.2wins | +0.18per pick | 51cpaid | +49.3%equal weight | 64+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xa2fc…b1b4backed Yes | 42c | 446.44$188 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.93 | 18 | 44.4%8 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 4c | 432.94$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.69 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x965f…c5b7backed Yes | 28c | 392.86$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$282.86 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.25per pick | 42cpaid | +67.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…6555backed Yes | 38c | 357.87$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.88 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x94fb…ab54backed Yes | 38c | 357.87$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.38per pick | 42cpaid | +73.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 12c | 312.05$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.51 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b50…87fbbacked Yes | 38c | 263.71$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.71 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00fd…32a0backed No | 10c | 238$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.1 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | +2.0wins | +0.08per pick | 36cpaid | +78.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed Yes | 39c | 200$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa212…9161backed Yes | 39c | 200$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +2.9wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28c5…5ad1backed No | 27c | 198.89$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.7 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeeaa…15cebacked Yes | 36c | 166.67$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.67 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +23%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed No | 60c | 158.72$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.23 | 1,434 | 35.2%505 W · 929 L | -36.2wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219a…a647backed No | 64c | 156.25$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2458…bd24backed Yes | 39c | 153.85$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.85 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5968…96f0backed No | 67c | 145.39$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.41 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.43per pick | 68cpaid | -64.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed No | 68c | 141.41$96 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.16 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 71cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dea…774cbacked No | 63c | 127.59$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.38 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.20per pick | 49cpaid | -44.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 19c | 121.59$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.02 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 39c | 115.38$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.38 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 63c | 112.76$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.55 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 12c | 111.47$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.49 | 582 | 43%250 W · 332 L | -26.2wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x58c9…ed71backed Yes | 41c | 102.44$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.44 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…7533backed Yes | 43c | 100$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +0.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7e80…1c47backed No | 10c | 100$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.28per pick | 22cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked No | 31c | 99.36$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 67c | 97.04$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.02 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x633e…d305backed Yes | 41c | 95.23$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.19 | 82 | 43.9%36 W · 46 L | +3.0wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed No | 67c | 84.79$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.95 | 1,053 | 41.9%441 W · 612 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa92b…a4dcbacked Yes | 78c | 84.62$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6297…1302backed Yes | 37c | 81.08$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.08 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 31cpaid | +45.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Yes | 41c | 75.35$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.81 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 63c | 75.14$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 236 | 60.2%142 W · 94 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked Yes | 37c | 74$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.84 | 189 | 55%104 W · 85 L | +6.7wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked No | 61c | 65.83$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.16 | 164 | 54.3%89 W · 75 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1337…2b45backed Yes | 30c | 63.99$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.79 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 36cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 57c | 61.99$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.33 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f4…6794backed Yes | 43c | 61.99$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.33 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…233abacked Yes | 40c | 61.75$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.86 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 27c | 60.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.42 | 126 | 55.6%70 W · 56 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb730…e9c2backed Yes | 39c | 51.28$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.28 | 59 | 39%23 W · 36 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +47.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e95…2bb7backed Yes | 32c | 46.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.3 | 41 | 41.5%17 W · 24 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 37c | 44.91$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.3 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e5b…292bbacked No | 68c | 43.63$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.67 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 33c | 41$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.49 | 261 | 47.9%125 W · 136 L | -3.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed No | 61c | 39.34$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 153 | 52.9%81 W · 72 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed Yes | 37c | 35.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.1 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked Yes | 54c | 29.63$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.77 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed Yes | 53c | 26.15$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.2 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1040…ac10backed Yes | 77c | 25.51$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.87 | 22 | 86.4%19 W · 3 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 74cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked Yes | 54c | 25.49$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.85 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2568…ef92backed No | 61c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.23 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 62cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 65c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 173 | 61.3%106 W · 67 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6db…3155backed No | 59c | 18.87$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.13 | 192 | 56.8%109 W · 83 L | +14.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-08-01?this page
- Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-08-01?No won
- Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.