Asian League · resolved market
Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x011cda793e196166f44d482830fdd5f271c6bbac3a11bbdac7237348928636bf
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,273
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $9,163
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,273 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 62c | 1,907$1,175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$732.22 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 27c | 1,228$332 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$331.72 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 41c | 1,227$501 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500.55 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 11c | 1,200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2117…5c26backed No | 73c | 1,200$878 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$321.56 | 36 | 44.4%16 W · 20 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 75c | 375.44$282 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.22 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 29c | 334.28$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.94 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 71c | 322.64$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.56 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 29c | 256.08$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.26 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Yes | 21c | 228.57$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 125 | 35.2%44 W · 81 L | +3.2wins | +0.03per pick | 33cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed Yes | 34c | 207.74$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.63 | 20 | 50%10 W · 10 L | +1.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 71c | 204.03$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.17 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1743…3d6fbacked Yes | 29c | 165.52$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Yes | 26c | 158.29$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.16 | 99 | 44.4%44 W · 55 L | -6.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe01b…fa88backed Yes | 22c | 136.36$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed No | 78c | 128.2$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0977…53ccbacked Yes | 28c | 103.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 76 | 47.4%36 W · 40 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked No | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.3 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Yes | 26c | 90.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 86 | 30.2%26 W · 60 L | -2.7wins | -0.03per pick | 33cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 27c | 74$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.96 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Yes | 42c | 72.27$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.62 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 68c | 68.48$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.13 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed Yes | 43c | 63.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed Yes | 43c | 63.05$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.38 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed Yes | 42c | 61.85$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.2 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 65c | 55.46$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.31 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1dc…48fabacked Yes | 29c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed Yes | 44c | 45.77$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.06 | 240 | 61.7%148 W · 92 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbe9f…014abacked Yes | 35c | 45.71$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 50 | 46%23 W · 27 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0acbbacked Yes | 29c | 44.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 111 | 41.4%46 W · 65 L | -6.5wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed Yes | 43c | 44.82$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.46 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x50b8…0469backed Yes | 45c | 43.96$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked No | 66c | 40.55$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.79 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 28c | 40$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.2 | 74 | 28.4%21 W · 53 L | -10.1wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -32%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x02bc…1fd2backed Yes | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 340 | 50.9%173 W · 167 L | +19.3wins | +0.06per pick | 45cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…5dedbacked No | 72c | 34.72$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.72 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked No | 72c | 21$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.8 | 129 | 56.6%73 W · 56 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-08-01?No won
- Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-08-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.