Asian League · resolved market
Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-08-01?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x74247c5969f97ce3946c7809db686f8f9f4f06c75c5b4341ff3774dce28b043a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $28,871
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,469
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,871 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 67 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Yes | 3c | 7,053$197 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$197.16 | 828 | 42.4%351 W · 477 L | +19.4wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed Yes | 26c | 5,646$1,485 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,485.39 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed No | 71c | 4,396$3,114 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,282.11 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2978…b511backed Yes | 32c | 3,136$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 18 | 27.8%5 W · 13 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 27cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9e3e…f882backed Yes | 32c | 1,438$457 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$457.02 | 747 | 39.4%294 W · 453 L | +23.1wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +11.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked No | 68c | 1,385$945 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$439.46 | 396 | 49.7%197 W · 199 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 71c | 1,341$946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.36 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ef…2864backed Yes | 34c | 1,029$347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$346.69 | 77 | 49.4%38 W · 39 L | +5.7wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 68c | 993.75$676 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 71c | 861.86$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.94 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 77c | 843.67$646 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.35 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf58d…1fadbacked No | 66c | 606.06$400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.06 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.52per pick | 48cpaid | +143.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf851…ef53backed Yes | 26c | 557.96$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.07 | 35 | 34.3%12 W · 23 L | -2.6wins | -0.07per pick | 42cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8cfa…faa4backed Yes | 24c | 484.75$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.34 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 31c | 420.01$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.76 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x235e…5673backed Yes | 34c | 399.99$136 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 36cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 70c | 311.8$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.23 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed No | 72c | 257.6$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.03 | 192 | 61.5%118 W · 74 L | +17.1wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x84d4…77a9backed No | 71c | 256.28$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.77 | 132 | 46.2%61 W · 71 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…4511backed Yes | 29c | 245.61$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.05 | 1,063 | 42%446 W · 617 L | -12.6wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6f39…e279backed Yes | 28c | 220.16$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.64 | 38 | 34.2%13 W · 25 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 43cpaid | -6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4bf…60f8backed No | 71c | 212.43$152 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.56 | 240 | 61.7%148 W · 92 L | +17.2wins | +0.07per pick | 55cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5d63…9075backed No | 73c | 212.11$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.97 | 371 | 53.9%200 W · 171 L | +3.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9028…8608backed No | 73c | 211.88$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.63 | 251 | 55.8%140 W · 111 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf73…0215backed No | 66c | 191.36$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.02 | 388 | 49.5%192 W · 196 L | +4.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe84f…b777backed No | 72c | 166.37$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.45 | 238 | 59.7%142 W · 96 L | +16.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xda6f…1e46backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 73 | 49.3%36 W · 37 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb1aa…16cfbacked No | 75c | 133.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.12per pick | 72cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29d4…5d18backed No | 73c | 119.67$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.23 | 27 | 70.4%19 W · 8 L | +3.1wins | +0.11per pick | 59cpaid | +22%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed No | 67c | 116.61$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.72 | 357 | 51%182 W · 175 L | +9.3wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e62…fd00backed Yes | 31c | 112.31$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.12 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbbdd…bd60backed No | 68c | 108.82$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 94 | 39.4%37 W · 57 L | -6.5wins | -0.07per pick | 46cpaid | -18.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb476…6eacbacked No | 73c | 107.34$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.98 | 52 | 42.3%22 W · 30 L | -2.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3995…f71dbacked Yes | 24c | 100$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +1.0wins | +0.06per pick | 37cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Yes | 26c | 100$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.83 | 144 | 40.3%58 W · 86 L | -6.6wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd770…209dbacked Yes | 26c | 98.36$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.78 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +27%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xecae…c544backed No | 67c | 93$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.69 | 35 | 74.3%26 W · 9 L | +5.2wins | +0.15per pick | 59cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x789c…0d10backed Yes | 29c | 92.6$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.85 | 149 | 48.3%72 W · 77 L | -4.1wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 67c | 85.45$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.2 | 1,764 | 50.2%886 W · 878 L | +31.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff4b…6555backed No | 67c | 80.33$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.77 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +1.9wins | +0.10per pick | 37cpaid | +12.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…8517backed Yes | 33c | 78.79$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfeef…4b1fbacked No | 73c | 74.95$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.25 | 109 | 60.6%66 W · 43 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 26c | 73.25$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.33 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x50e5…e39fbacked No | 71c | 73$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.84 | 193 | 54.4%105 W · 88 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a6…e544backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 30c | 60$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.8 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce32…c4cbbacked Yes | 34c | 58.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0e…4f01backed Yes | 32c | 50$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0e50…2609backed Yes | 34c | 43.4$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.76 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b8…233abacked Yes | 32c | 42.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 42 | 38.1%16 W · 26 L | -2.4wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Yes | 28c | 42.78$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.98 | 74 | 28.4%21 W · 53 L | -10.1wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -32%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x42c7…c415backed No | 71c | 42.71$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 40 | 55%22 W · 18 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 271 | 48%130 W · 141 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Yes | 29c | 40$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.6 | 233 | 47.6%111 W · 122 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4b9b…7a9fbacked No | 72c | 38.15$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 60cpaid | +22%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2167…5dedbacked No | 68c | 36.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.76 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 68cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e1…b1aebacked No | 72c | 33.14$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.25 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -30%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd8fa…581fbacked No | 72c | 32.57$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.24 | 75 | 70.7%53 W · 22 L | +10.3wins | +0.14per pick | 57cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5537…bb93backed Yes | 32c | 31.25$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 26cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3654…1b78backed No | 73c | 30$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.2 | 181 | 61.9%112 W · 69 L | +9.4wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 66c | 29.71$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.1 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5e50…c665backed Yes | 34c | 29.71$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.1 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | +2.2wins | +0.09per pick | 45cpaid | +26.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3267…da9ebacked No | 69c | 28.99$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.99 | 30 | 56.7%17 W · 13 L | -2.7wins | -0.09per pick | 66cpaid | -15%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x62e8…a242backed No | 73c | 22.27$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.09 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 66cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 78c | 21.95$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.8 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4f…9804backed No | 68c | 16.75$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.36 | 405 | 50.6%205 W · 200 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9cb4…8285backed No | 68c | 15.96$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.11 | 471 | 55.8%263 W · 208 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Chongqing Tonglianglong FC win on 2026-08-01?this page
- Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Shenzhen Xinpengcheng FC win on 2026-08-01?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.