TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1743…3d6f

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
184
Categories scored
14
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: NHL, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category NHL at 59 out of 100; worst WNBA at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 19, 2026, EDT11250%56 W · 56 L+9.0wins+0.08per pick42cpaid+26.2%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 112 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$400Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$400
Will Spain win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)15c$772Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT+547.5%+$4,227.8
Will Spain win on 2026-07-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$287Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$287
France vs. England: Team to Winbacked France · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$27
France vs. England: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$485Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$592.78
England vs. Argentina: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$343Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT+153.2%+$525.35
Will France vs. Spain end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$199
Argentina vs. Switzerland: Team to Advancebacked Switzerland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$39
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-11?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$346Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT+131.2%+$454
Will England win on 2026-07-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$390Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$390
Spain vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$350Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 10, 2026, EDT+84.3%+$295.16
France vs. Morocco: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$199Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$199
Will Switzerland vs. Colombia end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+194.1%+$159.18
Will Colombia win on 2026-07-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$166.67
Argentina vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$388Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$403.84
Romelu Lukaku: 1+ goalsbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$127.89
United States vs. Belgium: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$236.58
Will Spain win on 2026-07-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$250Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 6, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$230.77
Will England win on 2026-07-05?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$227.72
Brazil vs. Norway: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$198Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 5, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$143.65
Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$99
Colombia vs. Ghana: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$197Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$196.75
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Argentina vs. Cabo Verde: Team to Advancebacked Cabo Verde · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.55
Spread: Argentina (-2.5)backed Argentina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$203Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$203
Showing 25 of 112 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jul 18, 2026, EDT1625%4 W · 12 L-3.1wins-0.19per pick44cpaid-52.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
WNBA — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: New York Liberty (-1.5)backed New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$77.41
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$109Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$108.65
Spread: Las Vegas Aces (-5.5)backed Las Vegas Aces · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.72
Minnesota Lynx vs. Connecticut Sun: O/U 166.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$56
Spread: Indiana Fever (-5.5)backed Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Indiana Fever vs. Atlanta Dreambacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.8
Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Feverbacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$153Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$147
Indiana Fever vs. New York Libertybacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Dallas Wings vs. Los Angeles Sparksbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Golden State Valkyries vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Atlanta Dream vs. Indiana Feverbacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Spread: Phoenix Mercury (-7.5)backed Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$42
PortlandFire vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$73.3
Minnesota Lynx vs. Phoenix Mercurybacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$70.97
Indiana Fever vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked Golden State Valkyries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$90Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$76.67
All 16 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 13, 2026, EDT966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.6wins+0.18per pick48cpaid+55%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mlslast resolved Aug 15, 2026, EDT955.6%5 W · 4 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick49cpaid+5.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Houston Dynamo vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$38Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$38
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-08-01?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$96Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 2, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$99.92
Inter Miami CF vs. Columbus Crew: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 1, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Will New York City FC win on 2026-07-31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$148Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$148
MLS All-Stars vs. Liga MX All-Stars: O/U 4.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$84Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 29, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$68.4
Columbus Crew vs. FC Cincinnati: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$99Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.6
San Jose Earthquakes vs. Orlando City SC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 23, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$73.1
Inter Miami CF vs. Chicago Fire FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$107Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 22, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$103.12
Will CF Montréal win on 2026-07-16?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 16, 2026, EDT-100%-$96
All 9 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Jun 14, 2026, EDT875%6 W · 2 L+2.6wins+0.32per pick43cpaid+46.6%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
NHL — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Jul 29, 2026, EDT633.3%2 W · 4 L0.0wins0.00per pick33cpaid+33.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT616.7%1 W · 5 L-0.9wins-0.15per pick31cpaid-71.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Champions League — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.05per pick30cpaid-49%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT40%0 W · 4 L-1.8wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian Leaguelast resolved Aug 14, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.06per pick39cpaid-35.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.2wins-0.07per pick40cpaid-33.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
UFC — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference Leaguelast resolved Aug 13, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AS Omónoia Leukosías vs. Lincoln Red Imps FC: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageAug 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$99.59
Spread: AFC Ajax (-2.5)backed AFC Ajax · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$149Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 30, 2026, EDT+125.3%+$186.3
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.26per pick26cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the United States win the most medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Jul 25, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: Nongshim RedForce vs Global Esports (BO3) - VCT Pacific Group Alphabacked Global Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.25
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.