WNBA · resolved market
PortlandFire vs. Golden State Valkyries
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0a598ab20749ad795144b2ee340734825302317c981aa3944a4b9da79471326
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden State Valkyriesof PortlandFire, Golden State Valkyries
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $235,829
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $282,166
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $235,829 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcd65…ee96backed Golden State Valkyries | 78c | 32,112$25,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,112.02 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed PortlandFire | 22c | 20,466$4,503 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,502.52 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed PortlandFire | 25c | 16,151$4,118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,117.91 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed PortlandFire | 1c | 15,001$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.01 | 457 | 15.8%72 W · 385 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb3cf…0ebdbacked PortlandFire | 2c | 14,294$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261.72 | 112 | 25%28 W · 84 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -45.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 75c | 9,145$6,830 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,315.34 | 1,803 | 51.8%934 W · 869 L | +56.0wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x96a9…e073backed PortlandFire | 25c | 7,893$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,999.89 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea80…7296backed PortlandFire | 2c | 7,063$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.07 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 13cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed PortlandFire | 3c | 3,966$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.99 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed PortlandFire | 8c | 3,787$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$285.7 | 1,025 | 47.8%490 W · 535 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb4e6…4a4dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 77c | 2,991$2,303 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.93 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 68cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x90ba…63f3backed PortlandFire | 25c | 2,651$656 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$655.64 | 239 | 31.8%76 W · 163 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 27cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcb01…7dfbbacked PortlandFire | 1c | 2,650$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.36 | 55 | 7.3%4 W · 51 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 9cpaid | -55.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked PortlandFire | 1c | 2,185$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.06 | 62 | 4.8%3 W · 59 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 9cpaid | -44.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed PortlandFire | 23c | 2,128$481 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$481.41 | 414 | 51%211 W · 203 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed PortlandFire | 12c | 2,080$255 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$254.7 | 132 | 24.2%32 W · 100 L | +3.0wins | +0.02per pick | 22cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdfa6…6c6cbacked PortlandFire | 26c | 2,000$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 44 | 38.6%17 W · 27 L | -5.5wins | -0.12per pick | 51cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked PortlandFire | 3c | 1,940$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.87 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbc65…96c8backed PortlandFire | 26c | 1,923$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$500 | 72 | 36.1%26 W · 46 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Golden State Valkyries | 74c | 1,908$1,412 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$496.19 | 475 | 46.7%222 W · 253 L | -2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed PortlandFire | 23c | 1,810$416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$416.25 | 50 | 44%22 W · 28 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked PortlandFire | 1c | 1,777$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.05 | 520 | 52.9%275 W · 245 L | +19.2wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x52ed…8db7backed Golden State Valkyries | 74c | 1,654$1,223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$430.34 | 17 | 70.6%12 W · 5 L | +2.9wins | +0.17per pick | 54cpaid | +37.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Golden State Valkyries | 75c | 1,481$1,111 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$370.33 | 38 | 44.7%17 W · 21 L | -3.3wins | -0.09per pick | 53cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6262…b5c0backed PortlandFire | 17c | 1,361$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234.2 | 20 | 15%3 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 22cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6027…4320backed Golden State Valkyries | 75c | 1,316$987 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$328.89 | 301 | 54.2%163 W · 138 L | +11.0wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8778…fe54backed PortlandFire | 26c | 1,305$339 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$339.08 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed PortlandFire | 24c | 1,250$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed PortlandFire | 22c | 1,250$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Golden State Valkyries | 76c | 1,236$933 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.6 | 913 | 49.3%450 W · 463 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed PortlandFire | 23c | 1,186$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.14 | 29 | 34.5%10 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed PortlandFire | 10c | 1,177$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.91 | 1,635 | 50.2%820 W · 815 L | +36.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2b…9030backed Golden State Valkyries | 77c | 1,169$900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$269.34 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +44.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…0f14backed PortlandFire | 25c | 1,147$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.72 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf709…7697backed PortlandFire | 7c | 1,081$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.11per pick | 11cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0373…4057backed PortlandFire | 25c | 1,020$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 87 | 33.3%29 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…e238backed PortlandFire | 5c | 1,000$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Golden State Valkyries | 75c | 993$749 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$244.48 | 369 | 54.2%200 W · 169 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5984…76ebbacked PortlandFire | 25c | 991.3$244 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.78 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.3wins | -0.08per pick | 33cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Golden State Valkyries | 75c | 949.09$713 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$235.78 | 262 | 47.7%125 W · 137 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 78c | 894.59$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.59 | 238 | 67.2%160 W · 78 L | +10.8wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked PortlandFire | 2c | 892.88$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 92 | 8.7%8 W · 84 L | -2.8wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3090…be73backed PortlandFire | 19c | 781.82$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.47 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -32.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Golden State Valkyries | 72c | 716.83$517 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.43 | 197 | 57.9%114 W · 83 L | +12.6wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc249…8a61backed Golden State Valkyries | 74c | 653.37$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.41 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | +4.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +13%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 71c | 630$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.7 | 68 | 47.1%32 W · 36 L | -2.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2934…0b51backed PortlandFire | 23c | 625$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$143.75 | 103 | 37.9%39 W · 64 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4e61…0e06backed PortlandFire | 10c | 600$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 40 | 27.5%11 W · 29 L | -3.4wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed PortlandFire | 19c | 599.06$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.82 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf7f0…912cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 76c | 582.95$441 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.71 | 944 | 48.3%456 W · 488 L | +5.5wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked PortlandFire | 26c | 570.84$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.14 | 326 | 48.5%158 W · 168 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x424e…263bbacked Golden State Valkyries | 75c | 534$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.13 | 28 | 60.7%17 W · 11 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1491…11d3backed Golden State Valkyries | 71c | 519$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.49 | 16 | 75%12 W · 4 L | +2.5wins | +0.16per pick | 59cpaid | +24.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa664…f849backed PortlandFire | 23c | 500$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3484…8b93backed PortlandFire | 20c | 497.83$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.20per pick | 20cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe231…93a5backed Golden State Valkyries | 74c | 487.21$361 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$126.67 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +50.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc16c…a3aabacked Golden State Valkyries | 79c | 464$367 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.49 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed PortlandFire | 22c | 444.65$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 138 | 22.5%31 W · 107 L | -8.3wins | -0.06per pick | 28cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3c8bbacked Golden State Valkyries | 76c | 430$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.2 | 12 | 83.3%10 W · 2 L | +3.3wins | +0.27per pick | 56cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9025…b67abacked PortlandFire | 26c | 418.4$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0a…629dbacked PortlandFire | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb4fe…b350backed PortlandFire | 25c | 400$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.9 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 76c | 390$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.51 | 153 | 51%78 W · 75 L | +1.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Golden State Valkyries | 75c | 389.77$294 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.58 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked PortlandFire | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1655…08e1backed PortlandFire | 26c | 384.62$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | -38.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9706…13b9backed PortlandFire | 26c | 383.63$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x41f7…c4e4backed PortlandFire | 25c | 379.37$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.29 | 39 | 41%16 W · 23 L | -2.1wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -25.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x860d…3c72backed Golden State Valkyries | 73c | 348$254 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.06 | 48 | 66.7%32 W · 16 L | +3.7wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +16.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed Golden State Valkyries | 75c | 305.23$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.23 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked PortlandFire | 25c | 305$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.65 | 330 | 49.7%164 W · 166 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x76f1…f655backed PortlandFire | 22c | 282.77$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.43 | 54 | 31.5%17 W · 37 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x72be…c534backed PortlandFire | 25c | 282.59$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 96 | 35.4%34 W · 62 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b2b…e5e7backed Golden State Valkyries | 74c | 269.21$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.21 | 44 | 54.5%24 W · 20 L | -1.6wins | -0.04per pick | 58cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Golden State Valkyries | 74c | 251.25$187 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.7 | 107 | 50.5%54 W · 53 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed PortlandFire | 26c | 242.46$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.59 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a69…48c1backed Golden State Valkyries | 75c | 233.4$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Golden State Valkyries | 76c | 233$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.92 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcc16…4b2fbacked Golden State Valkyries | 77c | 231.33$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.25 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0941…b254backed PortlandFire | 24c | 224$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.76 | 7 | 0%0 W · 7 L | -2.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed PortlandFire | 20c | 222$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.62 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1743…3d6fbacked PortlandFire | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -3.1wins | -0.19per pick | 44cpaid | -52.1%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1ef9…6e00backed PortlandFire | 24c | 199.99$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 40cpaid | -64.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…6b85backed Golden State Valkyries | 75c | 198.67$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.67 | 69 | 55.1%38 W · 31 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Golden State Valkyries | 74c | 197.54$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.94 | 397 | 50.1%199 W · 198 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8443…2988backed PortlandFire | 25c | 196$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.3wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -46%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb488…1320backed Golden State Valkyries | 76c | 192$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.24per pick | 76cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e0a…e207backed PortlandFire | 9c | 186.47$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8a63…ceabbacked PortlandFire | 26c | 186.13$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.04 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7a9…87e2backed Golden State Valkyries | 74c | 185.62$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.26 | 77 | 59.7%46 W · 31 L | +9.0wins | +0.12per pick | 48cpaid | +17.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x25a1…3f2ebacked Golden State Valkyries | 75c | 185.19$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Golden State Valkyries | 76c | 181$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.44 | 114 | 57.9%66 W · 48 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed Golden State Valkyries | 75c | 178.48$134 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.62 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54d1…13f4backed Golden State Valkyries | 75c | 175.44$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.86 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +22%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8f14…ca5abacked PortlandFire | 12c | 147.5$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.3 | 109 | 35.8%39 W · 70 L | -13.8wins | -0.13per pick | 48cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked PortlandFire | 28c | 141$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.83 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed PortlandFire | 24c | 140.71$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.77 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0612…559abacked Golden State Valkyries | 75c | 133$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6ad8…b8dbbacked Golden State Valkyries | 75c | 133$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc131…1a8abacked PortlandFire | 24c | 124.99$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.75 | 103 | 35.9%37 W · 66 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PortlandFire vs. Golden State Valkyriesthis page
- PortlandFire vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 158.5Over won
- PortlandFire vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 159.5Over won
- PortlandFire vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 160.5Over won
- PortlandFire vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 161.5Over won
- PortlandFire vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 162.5Over won
- PortlandFire vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 163.5Over won
- PortlandFire vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 164.5Over won
- PortlandFire vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 165.5Over won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-10.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-9.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.