TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-9.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Golden State Valkyriesof Golden State Valkyries, PortlandFire
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$27,298
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$31,063

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,298 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xdfa6…6c6cbacked PortlandFire53c8,232$4,363 inLost-$4,362.994438.6%17 W · 27 L-5.5wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-26.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x93ab…9723backed PortlandFire52c6,276$3,264 inLost-$3,263.554540%18 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0e4a…311cbacked Golden State Valkyries48c6,150$2,952 inWon+$3,198366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick40cpaid+70.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc920…7914backed Golden State Valkyries49c3,094$1,504 inWon+$1,590.062343.5%10 W · 13 L-1.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-4.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Golden State Valkyries47c2,853$1,341 inWon+$1,512.1429654.4%161 W · 135 L+11.5wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+6.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xb946…2671backed Golden State Valkyries47c2,804$1,326 inWon+$1,478.1310151.5%52 W · 49 L+2.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+3.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Golden State Valkyries47c1,313$616 inWon+$696.491,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x617b…a499backed PortlandFire52c1,200$624 inLost-$623.9814060%84 W · 56 L+13.7wins+0.10per pick50cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked PortlandFire52c1,156$601 inLost-$601.282860.7%17 W · 11 L+1.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+8.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcc5b…5443backed Golden State Valkyries48c1,042$500 inWon+$541.674951%25 W · 24 L-0.6wins-0.01per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4ad…795cbacked Golden State Valkyries60c999.93$600 inWon+$399.9322967.7%155 W · 74 L+11.5wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+8.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xae60…1f06backed Golden State Valkyries48c351.04$168 inWon+$182.54366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.18per pick49cpaid+33.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x36b3…e421backed Golden State Valkyries48c242.21$116 inWon+$125.9534448%165 W · 179 L-1.9wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-1.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed Golden State Valkyries47c240$113 inWon+$127.216745.5%76 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9a12…cba0backed Golden State Valkyries48c208.33$100 inWon+$108.33580%4 W · 1 L+1.5wins+0.31per pick49cpaid+61.7%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x5f9f…da7bbacked Golden State Valkyries48c208.33$100 inWon+$108.331968.4%13 W · 6 L+3.4wins+0.18per pick51cpaid+36.4%equal weight58+0.08 edge/pick
0xc42c…42a1backed Golden State Valkyries48c195$94 inWon+$101.411156.8%63 W · 48 L+7.2wins+0.07per pick50cpaid+15.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xd696…8a49backed Golden State Valkyries48c180.31$87 inWon+$93.765360.4%32 W · 21 L+6.2wins+0.12per pick49cpaid+25.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed PortlandFire26c171.7$45 inLost-$44.581,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x35e7…8331backed PortlandFire53c150$80 inLost-$79.59651%49 W · 47 L+3.4wins+0.04per pick48cpaid+1.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x72be…c534backed PortlandFire54c129.63$70 inLost-$709635.4%34 W · 62 L-0.7wins-0.01per pick36cpaid+2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe026…0404backed PortlandFire52c129.48$67 inLost-$67.331533.3%5 W · 10 L-1.9wins-0.13per pick46cpaid-29.1%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x5b20…99e9backed Golden State Valkyries48c93.75$45 inWon+$48.752462.5%15 W · 9 L+3.4wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+31.5%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Golden State Valkyries47c86.17$40 inWon+$45.674852.1%25 W · 23 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5e30…acbfbacked Golden State Valkyries47c74$35 inWon+$39.2221150.2%106 W · 105 L+3.2wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+0.5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xe2df…ca29backed Golden State Valkyries47c64$30 inWon+$33.925444.4%24 W · 30 L-1.9wins-0.03per pick48cpaid-12.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x0152…b455backed Golden State Valkyries47c63.83$30 inWon+$33.834854.2%26 W · 22 L+2.2wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf7f0…912cbacked Golden State Valkyries47c60$28 inWon+$31.892248.8%450 W · 472 L+9.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe907…cff6backed Golden State Valkyries48c58.21$28 inWon+$30.2764152%333 W · 308 L+6.1wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked Golden State Valkyries47c53.19$25 inWon+$28.1912045%54 W · 66 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed PortlandFire53c50.34$27 inLost-$26.685141.2%21 W · 30 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8d10…940abacked Golden State Valkyries47c45$21 inWon+$23.854052.5%21 W · 19 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x375f…b494backed Golden State Valkyries47c42.55$20 inWon+$22.55560%3 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.17per pick43cpaid+19.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.