WNBA · resolved market
Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xbc3c097da8b601205dde6f42f06fd1b3f1255d4c101dfd608ba58121e342d4e4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Golden State Valkyriesof Golden State Valkyries, PortlandFire
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $86,408
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $86,829
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $86,408 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 100 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9495…9a27backed PortlandFire | 48c | 30,787$14,771 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,771.41 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f7…44b0backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 26,768$13,919 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12,848.64 | 361 | 54%195 W · 166 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed PortlandFire | 48c | 20,401$9,792 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,792.33 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04e6…3914backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 17,230$8,960 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,270.62 | 104 | 63.5%66 W · 38 L | +9.2wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2579…9d48backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 10,456$5,437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,018.77 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4852…67c4backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 8,450$4,394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,056 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0db…f44ebacked PortlandFire | 48c | 6,000$2,880 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,880 | 36 | 47.2%17 W · 19 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1117…3532backed PortlandFire | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,400 | 139 | 50.4%70 W · 69 L | +2.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 3,972$2,041 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,930.9 | 1,765 | 51.7%912 W · 853 L | +53.4wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed PortlandFire | 48c | 3,177$1,525 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,524.74 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 3,000$1,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.9wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5054…0aafbacked Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 2,857$1,543 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,314.29 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed PortlandFire | 48c | 2,222$1,067 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,066.55 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +17.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb946…2671backed PortlandFire | 48c | 2,020$961 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$961.32 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x40ce…bf90backed PortlandFire | 48c | 1,500$720 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$720 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed PortlandFire | 37c | 1,454$534 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$533.74 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb915…8da5backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 1,429$757 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.52 | 68 | 48.5%33 W · 35 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed PortlandFire | 48c | 1,250$600 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$600 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x617b…a499backed PortlandFire | 48c | 1,200$576 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.99 | 140 | 60%84 W · 56 L | +13.7wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9c3c…e8c9backed PortlandFire | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$499.99 | 143 | 53.8%77 W · 66 L | +7.4wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ad…795cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 56c | 975.76$550 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425.76 | 229 | 67.7%155 W · 74 L | +11.5wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x32f1…c96ebacked Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 799.77$408 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$391.89 | 113 | 49.6%56 W · 57 L | -2.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b6d…dbbbbacked PortlandFire | 49c | 749.99$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$367.49 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | -0.3wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe0a2…40d5backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 584.35$298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.33 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed PortlandFire | 45c | 540.18$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.08 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc37e…9e64backed PortlandFire | 46c | 492.35$228 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$228.39 | 29 | 44.8%13 W · 16 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1950…1bf4backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 439.79$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.1 | 138 | 50.7%70 W · 68 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc197…7246backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 423.08$220 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203.08 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.48per pick | 52cpaid | +92.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1748…a816backed Golden State Valkyries | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 35 | 42.9%15 W · 20 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbd38…99d4backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 400$208 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.12per pick | 55cpaid | -17%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x889c…e375backed PortlandFire | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 95 | 54.7%52 W · 43 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a7c…8964backed Golden State Valkyries | 54c | 387.67$209 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.33 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0310…4745backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 385$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.8 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +47.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc16…4b2fbacked Golden State Valkyries | 55c | 363.64$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.64 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 61cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae60…1f06backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 326.4$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.67 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +33.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd3e7…bf64backed PortlandFire | 48c | 300$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 64 | 40.6%26 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb002…103dbacked PortlandFire | 46c | 300$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked PortlandFire | 46c | 295.75$137 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$136.68 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8351…9bebbacked Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 294.12$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.12 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | -9.4wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -15%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ad…6979backed PortlandFire | 49c | 284.96$140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.63 | 51 | 41.2%21 W · 30 L | -3.4wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36b3…e421backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 242.17$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.24 | 344 | 48%165 W · 179 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa99f…164bbacked PortlandFire | 49c | 227.63$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd296…084dbacked PortlandFire | 48c | 210$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.8 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 53cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdf50…2dd8backed PortlandFire | 49c | 201.29$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.63 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6569…a053backed PortlandFire | 12c | 201.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.15 | 34 | 32.4%11 W · 23 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8ab…e495backed PortlandFire | 49c | 199.65$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.83 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.6wins | -0.18per pick | 40cpaid | -58%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc1b5…c8f8backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 181.23$94 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.1 | 131 | 43.5%57 W · 74 L | -6.4wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 165.25$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.97 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfeec…ff83backed PortlandFire | 49c | 162.53$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.64 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 154.95$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.93 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +3.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6808…899bbacked Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 152.88$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.38 | 17 | 52.9%9 W · 8 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed PortlandFire | 48c | 150$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72 | 96 | 51%49 W · 47 L | +3.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked PortlandFire | 27c | 145$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.15 | 134 | 40.3%54 W · 80 L | +3.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6932…6878backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 139.98$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.59 | 60 | 30%18 W · 42 L | -7.1wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -19.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8d10…940abacked PortlandFire | 46c | 135.43$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.5 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1edb…a60bbacked PortlandFire | 48c | 134.99$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.62 | 29 | 55.2%16 W · 13 L | +1.4wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +12.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x083c…a6edbacked PortlandFire | 46c | 130.43$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 124.48$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.75 | 90 | 44.4%40 W · 50 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0267…7f7ebacked Golden State Valkyries | 55c | 122$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.9 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.3wins | +0.14per pick | 45cpaid | +34.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed PortlandFire | 48c | 105.99$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.88 | 164 | 50%82 W · 82 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2342…12d6backed PortlandFire | 49c | 103$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.47 | 16 | 62.5%10 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 53cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe619…1927backed PortlandFire | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.1wins | -0.22per pick | 62cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64e9…9324backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 101.46$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.7 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.1wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +25.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xaf58…2bf4backed PortlandFire | 49c | 100.97$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.48 | 39 | 43.6%17 W · 22 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd0ad…b23ebacked Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 100$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 93 | 55.9%52 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b8d…bb92backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 100$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49 | 73 | 50.7%37 W · 36 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8c76…06acbacked PortlandFire | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6210…4fb1backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.08 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -3.1wins | -0.22per pick | 51cpaid | -44.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9f5…0688backed Golden State Valkyries | 53c | 93.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.17 | 61 | 45.9%28 W · 33 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9a0c…14cebacked Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 93.33$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.8 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -7.0wins | -0.24per pick | 52cpaid | -49%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x23bc…5487backed PortlandFire | 46c | 82.61$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x07cd…fbebbacked PortlandFire | 46c | 66.45$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.57 | 133 | 46.6%62 W · 71 L | -9.0wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe2df…ca29backed Golden State Valkyries | 51c | 63.99$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.36 | 54 | 44.4%24 W · 30 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed PortlandFire | 47c | 61.2$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.73 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed PortlandFire | 46c | 60.65$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.9 | 329 | 48.6%160 W · 169 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0152…b455backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 57.69$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.69 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9896…c430backed PortlandFire | 49c | 57.31$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.08 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -5.1wins | -0.21per pick | 50cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd932…af3cbacked Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 57.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.17per pick | 50cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15db…1da8backed Golden State Valkyries | 55c | 54.55$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.55 | 37 | 45.9%17 W · 20 L | -2.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd589…27c2backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 54$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.92 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -6.3wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b2a…0a73backed PortlandFire | 49c | 40.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 99 | 55.6%55 W · 44 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x95fa…bf35backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.7wins | +0.19per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 36$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.28 | 132 | 56.1%74 W · 58 L | +5.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cc…28a0backed PortlandFire | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -3.8wins | -0.48per pick | 60cpaid | -82%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9a81…9070backed PortlandFire | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.8wins | -0.10per pick | 52cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa85b…eb0ebacked PortlandFire | 46c | 34.52$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.88 | 50 | 42%21 W · 29 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked PortlandFire | 48c | 34$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.32 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -2.4wins | -0.12per pick | 50cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa028…0031backed PortlandFire | 49c | 30.88$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.13 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -3.8wins | -0.26per pick | 52cpaid | -52%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed PortlandFire | 45c | 30$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 103 | 49.5%51 W · 52 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed PortlandFire | 49c | 30$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.7 | 236 | 44.9%106 W · 130 L | -9.3wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x449e…f0a9backed PortlandFire | 49c | 29.06$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe026…0404backed PortlandFire | 48c | 28.48$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.67 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.13per pick | 46cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x409b…21e8backed PortlandFire | 49c | 27.55$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.20per pick | 54cpaid | -47.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…c3b9backed PortlandFire | 49c | 27$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -34.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12 | 615 | 47%289 W · 326 L | -19.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x375f…b494backed Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 23.08$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.08 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.17per pick | 43cpaid | +19.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e9e…a436backed PortlandFire | 48c | 22.9$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd155…8250backed PortlandFire | 48c | 21.84$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb390…642bbacked PortlandFire | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 149 | 44.3%66 W · 83 L | -10.4wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc56b…772abacked Golden State Valkyries | 52c | 19.41$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.32 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.3wins | +0.18per pick | 53cpaid | +33.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 13 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-8.5)this page
- PortlandFire vs. Golden State ValkyriesGolden State Valkyries won
- PortlandFire vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 158.5Over won
- PortlandFire vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 159.5Over won
- PortlandFire vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 160.5Over won
- PortlandFire vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 161.5Over won
- PortlandFire vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 162.5Over won
- PortlandFire vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 163.5Over won
- PortlandFire vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 164.5Over won
- PortlandFire vs. Golden State Valkyries: O/U 165.5Over won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-10.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-7.5)Golden State Valkyries won
- Spread: Golden State Valkyries (-9.5)Golden State Valkyries won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.