TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x8e0a…629d

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
99
Categories scored
8
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: WNBA, grading 59 out of 100 (+0.08 per pick).

Best Category WNBA at 59 out of 100; worst Cricket at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT6342.9%27 W · 36 L+1.7wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+15.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Roland Garros WTA: Diana Shnaider vs Maja Chwalinskabacked Diana Shnaider · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$580Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$580
Roland Garros WTA: Marta Kostyuk vs Mirra Andreevabacked Marta Kostyuk · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$186Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$186.31
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobollibacked Flavio Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$56.95
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Joao Fonsecabacked Joao Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$660Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$660
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Marta Kostyukbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$85Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$84.95
Roland Garros ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Matteo Arnaldibacked Matteo Arnaldi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$704Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+111.3%+$782.93
Roland Garros WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Naomi Osakabacked Naomi Osaka · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$210Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$210
Roland Garros ATP: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Matteo Berrettinibacked Matteo Berrettini · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$726Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$282.37
Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Alejandro Tabilobacked Alejandro Tabilo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)9c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Roland Garros WTA: Maja Chwalinska vs Diane Parrybacked Diane Parry · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$76Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.42
Roland Garros WTA: Madison Keys vs Diana Shnaiderbacked Madison Keys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$313Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$312.84
Roland Garros ATP: Jakub Mensik vs Andrey Rublevbacked Andrey Rublev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$74.97
Andreeva vs. Teichmann: Match O/U 21.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$121.09
Roland Garros ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Alexander Zverevbacked Jesper de Jong · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)8c$41Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.14
Roland Garros ATP: Rafael Jodar vs Pablo Carreno Bustabacked Rafael Jodar · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$87Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$115.98
Roland Garros WTA: Elina Svitolina vs Belinda Bencicbacked Elina Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$102.33
Roland Garros ATP: Jaime Faria vs Frances Tiafoebacked Frances Tiafoe · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$38Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+426.3%+$162
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Madison Keysbacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$54
Roland Garros WTA: Diane Parry vs Amanda Anisimovabacked Amanda Anisimova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$90Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$90
Roland Garros ATP: Casper Ruud vs Tommy Paulbacked Casper Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$106Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$94
Roland Garros ATP: Joao Fonseca vs Novak Djokovicbacked Novak Djokovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$114
Roland Garros ATP: Karen Khachanov vs Jesper de Jongbacked Karen Khachanov · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$106Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$105.99
Roland Garros ATP: Luca Van Assche vs Brandon Nakashimabacked Brandon Nakashima · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$138Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$162
Roland Garros WTA: Victoria Mboko vs Katerina Siniakovabacked Victoria Mboko · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$147Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$152.98
Roland Garros ATP: Raphael Collignon vs Ben Sheltonbacked Ben Shelton · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$126Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$126
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
WNBA Inactivelast resolved Jun 4, 2026, EDT1957.9%11 W · 8 L+3.4wins+0.18per pick40cpaid+37.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
WNBA — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in WNBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Phoenix Mercury vs. Seattle Stormbacked Phoenix Mercury · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 4, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$125
PortlandFire vs. Golden State Valkyriesbacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Chicago Sky vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$191Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$215.42
Seattle Storm vs. Dallas Wingsbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$140Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$140
Atlanta Dream vs. PortlandFirebacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$94.95
Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$361Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+39.4%+$142.16
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Washington Mysticsbacked Washington Mystics · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$165Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$165
Connecticut Sun vs. PortlandFirebacked Connecticut Sun · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$66
Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$39Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$39.03
Atlanta Dream vs. Minnesota Lynxbacked Atlanta Dream · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$82Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$82
Toronto Tempo vs. Chicago Skybacked Toronto Tempo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$189Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+58.8%+$111.05
Phoenix Mercury vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$170Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+76.7%+$130.2
PortlandFire vs. New York Libertybacked PortlandFire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+455.6%+$227.78
Washington Mystics vs. Seattle Stormbacked Seattle Storm · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+170.3%+$170.27
Dallas Wings vs. New York Libertybacked New York Liberty · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Los Angeles Sparks vs. Las Vegas Acesbacked Los Angeles Sparks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+300.4%+$150.2
Portland Fire vs. Toronto Tempobacked Portland Fire · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$156.41
Minnesota Lynx vs. Chicago Skybacked Minnesota Lynx · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+47.5%+$47.5
Golden State Valkyries vs. Indiana Feverbacked Indiana Fever · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$53.79
All 19 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT742.9%3 W · 4 L+0.1wins+0.02per pick41cpaid+8.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NBA — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MLB Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.7wins+0.22per pick45cpaid+72.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
MLB — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+257.1%+$51.43
Pittsburgh Pirates vs. Toronto Blue Jaysbacked Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Reds: O/U 9.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$62Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+61.3%+$38
All 3 picks, newest first.
Cricket Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.34per pick34cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Cricket — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Cricket, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-26.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-05-30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$500Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$235.2
Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-04-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.88
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
All 1 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Apr 11, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.67per pick67cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.6
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.