WNBA · resolved market
PortlandFire vs. New York Liberty
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x5784b181474c2c92ad94a15131ed49681d5d21ef263bf7eec5541b1a132bc8ac
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- PortlandFireof PortlandFire, New York Liberty
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $315,109
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $328,341
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $315,109 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 167 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in WNBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x6dab…e5c0backed New York Liberty | 0c | 73,675$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.74 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | -27.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed New York Liberty | 70c | 37,033$25,887 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25,887.07 | 995 | 48.1%479 W · 516 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked PortlandFire | 30c | 29,908$9,047 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20,861.41 | 68 | 51.5%35 W · 33 L | +3.9wins | +0.06per pick | 46cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x74e4…72b4backed New York Liberty | 1c | 21,258$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.85 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.08per pick | 8cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8cff…eeb8backed New York Liberty | 1c | 20,256$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.31 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | +0.8wins | +0.06per pick | 23cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked PortlandFire | 28c | 10,000$2,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,199.99 | 161 | 52.2%84 W · 77 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf68a…5b1bbacked New York Liberty | 72c | 9,420$6,782 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,782.31 | 144 | 50.7%73 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked New York Liberty | 70c | 7,231$5,084 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,083.9 | 367 | 50.7%186 W · 181 L | +15.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed PortlandFire | 16c | 6,903$1,094 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,809.73 | 232 | 45.7%106 W · 126 L | -5.9wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf658…655ebacked New York Liberty | 72c | 6,800$4,900 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,900 | 87 | 62.1%54 W · 33 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xae30…079ebacked PortlandFire | 37c | 6,715$2,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,215.41 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xacf8…e791backed PortlandFire | 33c | 5,744$1,883 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,861.05 | 48 | 29.2%14 W · 34 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed PortlandFire | 29c | 5,624$1,642 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,982.42 | 1,611 | 50.2%809 W · 802 L | +37.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked PortlandFire | 32c | 4,650$1,509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,140.72 | 261 | 47.1%123 W · 138 L | +15.7wins | +0.06per pick | 41cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed PortlandFire | 37c | 3,908$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,445.23 | 310 | 43.2%134 W · 176 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26b4…b8a9backed New York Liberty | 67c | 3,749$2,505 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,504.93 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -1.5wins | -0.06per pick | 45cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0844…f46abacked New York Liberty | 70c | 3,572$2,492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,492.21 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed PortlandFire | 35c | 3,555$1,244 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,311.02 | 135 | 38.5%52 W · 83 L | -5.5wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked PortlandFire | 53c | 2,266$1,193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,072.27 | 153 | 46.4%71 W · 82 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed PortlandFire | 31c | 2,135$654 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,481.86 | 227 | 48.5%110 W · 117 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86fb…03d4backed PortlandFire | 27c | 1,803$489 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,313.58 | 48 | 47.9%23 W · 25 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed New York Liberty | 71c | 1,617$1,151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,151.34 | 112 | 53.6%60 W · 52 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5fe6…a99fbacked New York Liberty | 2c | 1,527$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 90 | 8.9%8 W · 82 L | -2.6wins | -0.03per pick | 12cpaid | -54%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f56…348abacked PortlandFire | 57c | 1,515$865 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$650.17 | 48 | 54.2%26 W · 22 L | +3.8wins | +0.08per pick | 46cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfdf…8e02backed New York Liberty | 64c | 1,400$896 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$895.99 | 85 | 51.8%44 W · 41 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x661d…4dc6backed PortlandFire | 53c | 1,357$716 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$640.56 | 120 | 45%54 W · 66 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x803a…1856backed PortlandFire | 24c | 1,311$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.05 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked PortlandFire | 53c | 1,289$684 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$604.73 | 248 | 52.4%130 W · 118 L | +10.9wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed New York Liberty | 68c | 1,279$867 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$866.79 | 194 | 58.2%113 W · 81 L | +12.5wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf706…f685backed New York Liberty | 45c | 1,258$562 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$561.89 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.8wins | -0.16per pick | 61cpaid | -24.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xeba4…69fbbacked New York Liberty | 62c | 1,250$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +38.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked PortlandFire | 30c | 1,228$370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$858.33 | 239 | 55.2%132 W · 107 L | +12.1wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked New York Liberty | 10c | 1,213$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$125.26 | 149 | 36.9%55 W · 94 L | -4.3wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked PortlandFire | 36c | 1,200$430 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 37 | 32.4%12 W · 25 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 42cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed PortlandFire | 30c | 1,194$356 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$838.41 | 364 | 54.1%197 W · 167 L | +15.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | 0%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked New York Liberty | 21c | 1,170$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$249.69 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x429e…41bdbacked New York Liberty | 79c | 1,131$894 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$893.58 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.17per pick | 54cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3f09…11d6backed New York Liberty | 45c | 1,091$491 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$491.06 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.45per pick | 45cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked New York Liberty | 19c | 1,047$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.59 | 314 | 48.4%152 W · 162 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed New York Liberty | 76c | 1,039$790 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$789.89 | 893 | 49.4%441 W · 452 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed New York Liberty | 1c | 1,000$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 449 | 15.6%70 W · 379 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 15cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…6fbabacked PortlandFire | 36c | 998.25$364 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$634.62 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32b4…8b21backed New York Liberty | 71c | 888.65$629 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$628.89 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1250…8f99backed New York Liberty | 69c | 822.8$569 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$569.04 | 38 | 42.1%16 W · 22 L | -5.7wins | -0.15per pick | 57cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7bbb…4a56backed New York Liberty | 65c | 799.99$520 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$519.99 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked New York Liberty | 2c | 784.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 96 | 0%0 W · 96 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 1cpaid | -100%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed New York Liberty | 74c | 702.91$517 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$516.64 | 62 | 37.1%23 W · 39 L | -6.6wins | -0.11per pick | 48cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1a2f…647abacked New York Liberty | 36c | 700$253 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$253.01 | 108 | 38.9%42 W · 66 L | +6.8wins | +0.06per pick | 33cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x032e…2a9ebacked PortlandFire | 18c | 692$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$569.97 | 320 | 49.4%158 W · 162 L | -4.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed PortlandFire | 31c | 655.16$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$452.06 | 60 | 51.7%31 W · 29 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x93ab…9723backed PortlandFire | 18c | 650.74$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$533.6 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | -3.4wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0eb7…1f17backed PortlandFire | 37c | 648.65$240 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$408.65 | 230 | 49.6%114 W · 116 L | -13.8wins | -0.06per pick | 56cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc0d…8bcabacked PortlandFire | 21c | 643.55$135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$508.25 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +4.1wins | +0.38per pick | 35cpaid | +111.3%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0f43…3ec1backed New York Liberty | 75c | 600$450 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$450 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -1.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xca43…b369backed New York Liberty | 31c | 588.96$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ada…2f28backed New York Liberty | 27c | 569.5$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.92 | 96 | 42.7%41 W · 55 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7120…7c4ebacked New York Liberty | 8c | 537.3$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.35 | 82 | 28%23 W · 59 L | +2.1wins | +0.03per pick | 25cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed New York Liberty | 78c | 513.69$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.83 | 462 | 47%217 W · 245 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d93…b34dbacked PortlandFire | 20c | 500.98$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$400.98 | 60 | 55%33 W · 27 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8aa6…83f9backed New York Liberty | 64c | 500$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.5wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x36a6…52c7backed PortlandFire | 15c | 500$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$425 | 21 | 28.6%6 W · 15 L | +1.5wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0167…d002backed PortlandFire | 19c | 500$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$405 | 30 | 53.3%16 W · 14 L | +6.4wins | +0.21per pick | 32cpaid | +68.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd9e0…05f2backed New York Liberty | 58c | 492.96$287 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$287.46 | 318 | 47.8%152 W · 166 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8927…f5c6backed PortlandFire | 20c | 483.58$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$384.8 | 130 | 24.6%32 W · 98 L | +3.3wins | +0.03per pick | 22cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32e3…3a5cbacked New York Liberty | 78c | 459.96$359 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$358.77 | 67 | 46.3%31 W · 36 L | -2.6wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed New York Liberty | 65c | 455.09$296 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$295.81 | 209 | 47.4%99 W · 110 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0182…301cbacked PortlandFire | 33c | 453.05$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$302.05 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6858…7d47backed PortlandFire | 16c | 450$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$378 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +5.2wins | +0.23per pick | 42cpaid | +76.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x0eab…d4bfbacked PortlandFire | 18c | 433.76$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$355.65 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 35cpaid | +54.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6cb1…1002backed PortlandFire | 16c | 420$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.8 | 26 | 61.5%16 W · 10 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0362…449ebacked New York Liberty | 77c | 400$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 18 | 50%9 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3a86…ad8cbacked New York Liberty | 80c | 389.3$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -3.6wins | -0.52per pick | 66cpaid | -78.7%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed New York Liberty | 46c | 341.19$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.47 | 166 | 33.1%55 W · 111 L | -10.1wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -39.3%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked New York Liberty | 44c | 330.58$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.64 | 190 | 31.1%59 W · 131 L | -14.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked PortlandFire | 32c | 312.5$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$212.5 | 79 | 46.8%37 W · 42 L | +2.9wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc1d7…47a4backed New York Liberty | 66c | 303.03$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 95 | 49.5%47 W · 48 L | -3.1wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…8ca3backed New York Liberty | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 214 | 40.7%87 W · 127 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed New York Liberty | 39c | 299.36$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.81 | 610 | 42.5%259 W · 351 L | -31.0wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked PortlandFire | 34c | 299.1$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$197.87 | 378 | 50%189 W · 189 L | +9.1wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked PortlandFire | 69c | 287$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.7 | 152 | 50.7%77 W · 75 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed PortlandFire | 24c | 280.8$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.04 | 91 | 29.7%27 W · 64 L | -3.3wins | -0.04per pick | 33cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2025…13c0backed PortlandFire | 36c | 279.28$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$178.74 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.64per pick | 36cpaid | +177.8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a15…e238backed PortlandFire | 18c | 278.06$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$228.06 | 85 | 50.6%43 W · 42 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0a…629dbacked PortlandFire | 18c | 277.78$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.78 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | +3.4wins | +0.18per pick | 40cpaid | +37.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed PortlandFire | 24c | 275.04$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.52 | 506 | 46.8%237 W · 269 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbe8b…5e62backed PortlandFire | 32c | 270.38$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.25 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +2.9wins | +0.33per pick | 34cpaid | +104.4%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x8a63…ceabbacked PortlandFire | 20c | 266.8$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.17 | 91 | 46.2%42 W · 49 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24fd…1250backed PortlandFire | 32c | 250$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.68per pick | 32cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked PortlandFire | 43c | 236.18$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.06 | 387 | 44.7%173 W · 214 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1341…0853backed PortlandFire | 19c | 229.68$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$186.04 | 27 | 63%17 W · 10 L | +4.9wins | +0.18per pick | 45cpaid | +47.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked PortlandFire | 47c | 228.02$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.17 | 376 | 50.3%189 W · 187 L | +8.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8eb6…8e13backed PortlandFire | 46c | 223.58$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.46 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -30%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…79bebacked PortlandFire | 16c | 213.31$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.18 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 7cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked PortlandFire | 15c | 208.25$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$177.01 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed PortlandFire | 24c | 186.73$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.7 | 167 | 45.5%76 W · 91 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf095…58c6backed PortlandFire | 17c | 173.91$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.56 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 47cpaid | +45%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed PortlandFire | 36c | 169.44$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.44 | 25 | 52%13 W · 12 L | +1.8wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9f6b…b245backed PortlandFire | 31c | 161.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.29 | 14 | 28.6%4 W · 10 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xaba5…4e0ebacked New York Liberty | 69c | 159.72$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.9wins | -0.17per pick | 57cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed New York Liberty | 71c | 158.46$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.97 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +26%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- PortlandFire vs. New York Libertythis page
- PortlandFire vs. New York Liberty: O/U 172.5Under won
- PortlandFire vs. New York Liberty: O/U 174.5Under won
- PortlandFire vs. New York Liberty: O/U 176.5Under won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-10.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-11.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-12.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-13.5)PortlandFire won
- Spread: New York Liberty (-14.5)PortlandFire won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.