TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

WNBA · resolved market

Spread: New York Liberty (-11.5)

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
PortlandFireof New York Liberty, PortlandFire
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
WNBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$20,637
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,386

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,637 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in WNBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in WNBA
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x93ab…9723backed PortlandFire51c6,734$3,436 inWon+$3,298.074540%18 W · 27 L-3.4wins-0.08per pick48cpaid-13.2%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed New York Liberty46c4,226$1,941 inLost-$1,940.7522748.5%110 W · 117 L+2.8wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+1.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked New York Liberty46c3,213$1,468 inLost-$1,468.471,76551.7%912 W · 853 L+53.4wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x254b…e8abbacked New York Liberty49c1,815$889 inLost-$888.5930%0 W · 3 L-1.5wins-0.49per pick49cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x21f3…35e3backed New York Liberty44c1,519$669 inLost-$668.546247%217 W · 245 L-0.9wins0.00per pick47cpaid-1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6982…a165backed PortlandFire73c1,321$962 inWon+$358.285466.7%36 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick66cpaid-3.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Liberty36c1,153$410 inLost-$410.461,61150.2%809 W · 802 L+37.9wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xdfa6…6c6cbacked PortlandFire52c830.3$432 inWon+$398.554438.6%17 W · 27 L-5.5wins-0.12per pick51cpaid-26.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xa0dc…586cbacked New York Liberty47c568.46$270 inLost-$2706237.1%23 W · 39 L-4.4wins-0.07per pick44cpaid-19.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x021c…232fbacked New York Liberty49c400.01$196 inLost-$1965945.8%27 W · 32 L-3.2wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-11.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed PortlandFire63c317.46$200 inWon+$117.4610144.6%45 W · 56 L-13.5wins-0.13per pick58cpaid-25%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0xdc0d…8bcabacked New York Liberty32c271.18$88 inLost-$87.851172.7%8 W · 3 L+4.1wins+0.38per pick35cpaid+111.3%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0xda77…683fbacked New York Liberty31c233.83$71 inLost-$71.4237650.3%189 W · 187 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid-12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7a5d…54dbbacked New York Liberty28c226.05$63 inLost-$63.338744.7%173 W · 214 L+1.5wins0.00per pick44cpaid-5.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeef3…0547backed PortlandFire60c200$120 inWon+$80966.7%6 W · 3 L+1.1wins+0.12per pick55cpaid+17.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x8351…9bebbacked New York Liberty49c183.67$90 inLost-$9012045%54 W · 66 L-9.4wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-15%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed PortlandFire55c104.33$57 inWon+$47.336043.3%26 W · 34 L-3.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xc4fe…601fbacked New York Liberty28c90.73$26 inLost-$25.741147%193 W · 218 L+2.1wins+0.01per pick46cpaid-11.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x05d3…c06abacked PortlandFire52c85.12$44 inWon+$40.8610657.5%61 W · 45 L+4.1wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+8.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed New York Liberty45c69.3$31 inLost-$31.1889349.4%441 W · 452 L+5.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf1ad…6979backed PortlandFire53c68.46$37 inWon+$31.95141.2%21 W · 30 L-3.4wins-0.07per pick48cpaid-14.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x255a…3435backed New York Liberty43c62.8$27 inLost-$27.2212745.7%58 W · 69 L+6.7wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+13.4%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc6d…31cebacked New York Liberty27c58.8$16 inLost-$15.861741.2%7 W · 10 L+1.2wins+0.07per pick34cpaid+23.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed New York Liberty30c56.73$17 inLost-$17.0620947.4%99 W · 110 L-2.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xedf7…4003backed New York Liberty48c50$24 inLost-$2416745.5%76 W · 91 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa5fc…faedbacked New York Liberty47c50$24 inLost-$23.51136.4%4 W · 7 L-1.5wins-0.14per pick50cpaid-32.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x0d46…b09bbacked PortlandFire55c45$25 inWon+$20.251566.7%10 W · 5 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick52cpaid+22%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xca29…a1d0backed New York Liberty45c44.36$20 inLost-$19.962552%13 W · 12 L+0.7wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x803a…1856backed PortlandFire58c44$26 inWon+$18.481250%6 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.13per pick37cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1dd2…9e07backed New York Liberty47c43.09$20 inLost-$20.2532948.6%160 W · 169 L+3.6wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbf1c…ec86backed New York Liberty47c41.87$20 inLost-$19.68742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa0c5…4291backed PortlandFire52c39.99$21 inWon+$19.23636.1%13 W · 23 L-5.4wins-0.15per pick51cpaid-32%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x86a0…bb4ebacked New York Liberty48c37.15$18 inLost-$17.751741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.6wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-17.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xf02f…1ed8backed PortlandFire54c33.65$18 inWon+$15.483351.5%17 W · 16 L+0.9wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+8.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x948b…a188backed New York Liberty48c26.25$13 inLost-$12.69743.3%42 W · 55 L-6.2wins-0.06per pick50cpaid-11.1%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0576…6232backed New York Liberty48c22$11 inLost-$10.5642649.3%210 W · 216 L-3.5wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9896…c430backed PortlandFire54c19.5$11 inWon+$8.972429.2%7 W · 17 L-5.1wins-0.21per pick50cpaid-47.4%equal weight38-0.10 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in WNBA and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 9 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.