Asian League · resolved market
Will Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC end in a draw?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x128d7a4716a31581d959a6b4150df567b7883a99de1df11c5c41efb64d09f01d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $55,277
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $60,376
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $55,277 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 53 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 25c | 4,828$1,208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,208.12 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Yes | 10c | 3,862$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.39 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 18c | 3,128$570 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$570 | 285 | 32.3%92 W · 193 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked No | 33c | 3,000$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,000.31 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd9dd…b525backed Yes | 67c | 2,000$1,340 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,340.1 | 81 | 32.1%26 W · 55 L | -1.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Yes | 1c | 1,635$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.35 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f3a…e8fdbacked No | 37c | 1,117$413 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$703.99 | 172 | 49.4%85 W · 87 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2398…8894backed Yes | 23c | 964.74$225 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.61 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -1.4wins | -0.13per pick | 58cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed No | 75c | 780.07$588 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.06 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 20c | 621.75$126 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.36 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab77…be6abacked Yes | 65c | 557.14$361 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$361.08 | 10 | 30%3 W · 7 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 59cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes | 17c | 441.18$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed No | 56c | 419.91$234 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185.84 | 770 | 56.2%433 W · 337 L | +40.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb5db…5800backed Yes | 70c | 357.43$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 70cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…2b18backed Yes | 61c | 327.87$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa24d…38b2backed Yes | 21c | 327.37$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70 | 47 | 34%16 W · 31 L | +1.1wins | +0.02per pick | 32cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked Yes | 16c | 300$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked No | 72c | 278.42$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.2 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 14c | 251.38$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.37 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e41…b875backed Yes | 66c | 151.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 58cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked Yes | 20c | 146.45$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x784a…06c3backed Yes | 67c | 141.2$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$94.17 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.08per pick | 60cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Yes | 23c | 130.17$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.94 | 1,443 | 35.3%509 W · 934 L | -36.4wins | -0.03per pick | 38cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7c30…7673backed Yes | 68c | 129.99$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.69 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed No | 78c | 117$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.27 | 543 | 54.9%298 W · 245 L | -12.9wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked No | 76c | 116$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.67 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 22c | 110.18$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.24 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 76c | 108.79$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.05 | 1,254 | 51.4%644 W · 610 L | +9.7wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb269…6adebacked Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 77c | 106.96$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.6 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 39c | 102.56$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.56 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…6253backed Yes | 10c | 100.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe897…0b3bbacked Yes | 69c | 95.48$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.88 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 67cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 20c | 95$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 21c | 91.1$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.99 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | +17.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x8e0a…629dbacked Yes | 64c | 78.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 50c | 73.11$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.69 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb9e0…808abacked Yes | 46c | 65.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed No | 56c | 60$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.7 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 33c | 55.3$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.88 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked No | 66c | 52.72$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.02 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3234…8b1abacked Yes | 66c | 52.64$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.74 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.25per pick | 58cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd101…d32bbacked Yes | 65c | 46.15$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.15per pick | 65cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c3e…3c4cbacked No | 70c | 45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.67 | 199 | 65.3%130 W · 69 L | +27.3wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +39.5%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed No | 51c | 41.94$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.34 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfdef…7f96backed Yes | 39c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.8wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -55.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9310…5e55backed Yes | 25c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 83 | 50.6%42 W · 41 L | +3.1wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked No | 78c | 37.28$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.09 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed No | 76c | 32.67$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.72 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +3.3wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes | 43c | 28.19$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 59cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x15ac…f3babacked Yes | 58c | 25$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.5 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | +3.9wins | +0.08per pick | 44cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked No | 75c | 18$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 1,309 | 56.8%743 W · 566 L | +66.1wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc6fa…51e5backed No | 76c | 14$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.36 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -3.3wins | -0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC end in a draw?this page
- Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-23?No won
- Will Henan FC win on 2026-05-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.