Asian League · resolved market
Will Henan FC win on 2026-05-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x9ffd8e40c25606941e032bdcb4925cf4d92d76b37c89838c212aa7fa6f624a31
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Yesof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $90,487
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $101,022
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $90,487 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 60 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc718…64a8backed No | 3c | 16,442$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$485.54 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 14c | 4,927$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$665.92 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 22c | 1,734$386 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$386.47 | 2,499 | 42.3%1,057 W · 1,442 L | +52.8wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 29c | 1,286$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$378.98 | 1,617 | 36.3%587 W · 1,030 L | -34.1wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8adc…7a1bbacked Yes | 7c | 1,071$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$996.43 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 16cpaid | +58.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc686…5a55backed Yes | 18c | 1,000$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$820 | 283 | 32.5%92 W · 191 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 74c | 989.32$735 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.16 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked No | 16c | 766.56$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.8 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 70c | 658.73$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.16 | 876 | 45.1%395 W · 481 L | -7.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x48ec…8f36backed No | 25c | 597$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.85 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +3.3wins | +0.10per pick | 24cpaid | +51.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 2c | 553.42$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.58 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 72c | 549.77$396 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.85 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked Yes | 19c | 526.32$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.32 | 125 | 50.4%63 W · 62 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 61c | 505.72$309 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$308.86 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed No | 80c | 491$393 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.8 | 1,707 | 50.6%863 W · 844 L | +27.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 54c | 468.26$255 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.12 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8640…cdf1backed Yes | 20c | 450$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$360 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.24per pick | 26cpaid | +133.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbd93…56c0backed Yes | 69c | 447$307 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.48 | 207 | 69.6%144 W · 63 L | +31.9wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +34.1%equal weight | 65+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xf2d2…a1cdbacked Yes | 74c | 298.27$221 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.55 | 56 | 55.4%31 W · 25 L | +1.8wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +20.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed No | 18c | 276.52$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.45 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25c7…9179backed Yes | 21c | 271.43$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.43 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.2wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd1a6…1507backed No | 8c | 250$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.6wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -22%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3b4e…12aebacked Yes | 76c | 242.78$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.86 | 57 | 38.6%22 W · 35 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -10%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14c2…7d55backed Yes | 5c | 219.25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.29 | 78 | 38.5%30 W · 48 L | +7.1wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +42.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 79c | 208.06$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.81 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7cbc…2b18backed Yes | 80c | 205.82$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.19 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 65cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xca89…7bc4backed No | 80c | 199.81$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.85 | 151 | 50.3%76 W · 75 L | -5.2wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x867b…9fbabacked Yes | 20c | 177.9$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.9 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.32per pick | 34cpaid | +192.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 79c | 170.29$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.53 | 1,101 | 49.7%547 W · 554 L | +3.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c7…1942backed Yes | 13c | 159.19$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.19 | 82 | 14.6%12 W · 70 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 19cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4060…e63cbacked Yes | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.89 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd868…7f60backed Yes | 19c | 157.11$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$127.26 | 74 | 9.5%7 W · 67 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 13cpaid | -53.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9e6f…7248backed No | 16c | 152$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.47 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -30%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x32de…6253backed Yes | 8c | 146.2$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$135.1 | 21 | 9.5%2 W · 19 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed No | 79c | 131.12$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.69 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4676…1639backed Yes | 21c | 119.05$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.05 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70ec…81bebacked No | 26c | 113.86$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.49 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09c4…9b44backed Yes | 79c | 100.38$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.5 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.22per pick | 78cpaid | +28.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x25e3…ab76backed No | 26c | 83.81$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc08…267abacked Yes | 20c | 75$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | +2.5wins | +0.12per pick | 40cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x03ed…8f34backed Yes | 74c | 69.99$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.19 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 29cpaid | +38.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbecc…f560backed No | 26c | 69.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.1 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | +1.2wins | +0.07per pick | 28cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc482…b505backed Yes | 80c | 62.5$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 92 | 68.5%63 W · 29 L | +4.5wins | +0.05per pick | 64cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0739…aba8backed Yes | 67c | 55$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.07 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x48e2…6d30backed Yes | 20c | 50.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | +1.5wins | +0.05per pick | 30cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3555…ba40backed No | 78c | 50.35$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.4 | 24 | 58.3%14 W · 10 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xed5d…2668backed Yes | 20c | 50$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | +4.4wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +7.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7f57…2282backed Yes | 78c | 46.15$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.15 | 13 | 76.9%10 W · 3 L | +2.3wins | +0.18per pick | 59cpaid | +69.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4aa1…f0b2backed Yes | 77c | 38.81$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.81 | 30 | 36.7%11 W · 19 L | -1.8wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 70c | 26.73$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.71 | 1,214 | 50.2%610 W · 604 L | +12.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfbdf…f7d1backed Yes | 78c | 25.64$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.64 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +0.9wins | +0.31per pick | 69cpaid | +49.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac03…f019backed Yes | 79c | 25.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.38 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 69cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 80c | 24.2$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.36 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe022…7d0fbacked Yes | 78c | 23.33$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.13 | 15 | 66.7%10 W · 5 L | +3.3wins | +0.22per pick | 44cpaid | +52.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5ffc…4664backed Yes | 74c | 20.23$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.26 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.7wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +61.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa574…0559backed Yes | 80c | 19.17$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.87 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -3.1wins | -0.38per pick | 63cpaid | -64.6%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe7e0…a433backed Yes | 79c | 17.02$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.59 | 64 | 42.2%27 W · 37 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Yes | 70c | 14.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.29 | 150 | 68%102 W · 48 L | +16.7wins | +0.11per pick | 57cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb4f7…1bd5backed Yes | 79c | 13.89$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.89 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Henan FC win on 2026-05-23?this page
- Will Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-23?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.