Asian League · resolved market
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-23?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd8225e3063e955ff2cfef26fc0ff2d20e601df151e5547431d250adc38a8a6e0
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Asian Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $239,450
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $206,880
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $239,450 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 140 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Asian League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Asian League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x44c5…8d45backed No | 29c | 53,087$15,456 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37,631.1 | 177 | 53.1%94 W · 83 L | +17.3wins | +0.10per pick | 43cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa1e4…4f8abacked No | 23c | 17,172$4,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13,171.5 | 33 | 21.2%7 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -31%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73c5…2f80backed Yes | 67c | 17,046$11,482 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11,482.18 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -41.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0346…52a5backed No | 22c | 13,789$3,025 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10,764.51 | 2,491 | 40%997 W · 1,494 L | -18.8wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed No | 24c | 9,616$2,316 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7,300.12 | 1,647 | 36.2%596 W · 1,051 L | -34.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Yes | 71c | 3,797$2,714 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,714.36 | 968 | 46.1%446 W · 522 L | +6.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Yes | 72c | 3,363$2,416 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,416.17 | 229 | 49.8%114 W · 115 L | +6.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Yes | 76c | 2,831$2,154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,154.14 | 2,522 | 42.3%1,067 W · 1,455 L | +54.6wins | +0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 75c | 2,783$2,080 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,080.09 | 5,946 | 46.1%2,743 W · 3,203 L | +50.5wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb8c4…7385backed No | 42c | 2,155$905 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,250 | 196 | 33.2%65 W · 131 L | -11.2wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x564f…d93bbacked No | 6c | 2,037$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,913.72 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +133.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbc71…2c40backed No | 4c | 1,895$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,819.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.96per pick | 4cpaid | +2,400%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed Yes | 70c | 1,714$1,196 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,196.1 | 843 | 47.7%402 W · 441 L | +15.0wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cb7…3644backed Yes | 76c | 1,311$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -2.5wins | -0.31per pick | 56cpaid | -60.7%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3c23…ed23backed Yes | 58c | 964.79$560 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$559.58 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.26per pick | 60cpaid | -47.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc718…64a8backed Yes | 73c | 961.37$697 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$697.26 | 304 | 64.8%197 W · 107 L | +6.1wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Yes | 59c | 658.46$389 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$389.44 | 305 | 48.5%148 W · 157 L | -5.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x58bf…0740backed No | 23c | 656.06$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.31 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | +36.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x75fc…0a4cbacked Yes | 29c | 618$179 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$179.22 | 19 | 21.1%4 W · 15 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 21cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed No | 59c | 590.62$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.17 | 928 | 35%325 W · 603 L | -22.9wins | -0.02per pick | 37cpaid | -33.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdf95…5c3ebacked No | 41c | 503.43$205 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$298.13 | 19 | 57.9%11 W · 8 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe550…6f6ebacked Yes | 76c | 500$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.2wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x64f9…7c37backed No | 32c | 481.77$156 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325.65 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.1wins | +0.35per pick | 32cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Yes | 57c | 477.59$272 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$272.23 | 1,725 | 50.6%873 W · 852 L | +28.5wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed No | 41c | 454.26$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.01 | 300 | 49.7%149 W · 151 L | +5.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 22c | 427.45$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$334.82 | 2,424 | 38%920 W · 1,504 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked Yes | 72c | 346.6$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$248.31 | 133 | 49.6%66 W · 67 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…f138backed Yes | 59c | 337.29$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -1.0wins | -0.16per pick | 50cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Yes | 70c | 318.73$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.4 | 708 | 42.5%301 W · 407 L | -26.0wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed No | 32c | 301.88$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.75 | 1,221 | 50.2%613 W · 608 L | +12.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x40f7…1f5ebacked Yes | 57c | 299.43$171 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$170.68 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -0.6wins | -0.06per pick | 46cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba8d…009dbacked No | 25c | 279.1$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.03 | 106 | 26.4%28 W · 78 L | -4.5wins | -0.04per pick | 31cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d6a…4adabacked Yes | 75c | 266.66$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 128 | 61.7%79 W · 49 L | +10.0wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +20.5%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2843…0ac5backed Yes | 78c | 256.41$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 27 | 33.3%9 W · 18 L | -2.9wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8790…010bbacked No | 33c | 253.5$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.45 | 131 | 53.4%70 W · 61 L | +14.1wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Yes | 68c | 245.02$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.14 | 188 | 51.6%97 W · 91 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9079…b19bbacked Yes | 79c | 239.67$188 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.22 | 147 | 45.6%67 W · 80 L | -4.9wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x88bf…0933backed No | 26c | 230.29$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.73 | 32 | 56.3%18 W · 14 L | +2.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe471…34c0backed Yes | 58c | 224.14$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.5wins | -0.11per pick | 65cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2b39…bc0dbacked Yes | 60c | 216.67$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.9wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b9…5ba7backed No | 43c | 200.52$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c07…4529backed Yes | 24c | 200$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48 | 67 | 38.8%26 W · 41 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52d9…fb1abacked No | 54c | 194.56$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.06 | 892 | 45%401 W · 491 L | -5.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Yes | 74c | 183.87$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.26 | 820 | 53.8%441 W · 379 L | +25.2wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa5b4…6f5bbacked No | 43c | 182.85$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.22 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b23…04a3backed No | 9c | 182.55$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.73 | 245 | 48.6%119 W · 126 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x510c…6a61backed No | 27c | 180.18$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.53 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 22cpaid | +756.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes | 66c | 178.44$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.49 | 1,028 | 41.7%429 W · 599 L | -31.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37c1…8de1backed No | 17c | 176.47$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.47 | 211 | 44.5%94 W · 117 L | +6.0wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +17.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 76c | 175.98$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.04 | 721 | 44.1%318 W · 403 L | -29.6wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Yes | 57c | 173.93$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 31 | 41.9%13 W · 18 L | -1.6wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…10c0backed Yes | 58c | 172.41$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -18%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc06e…5796backed Yes | 60c | 166.67$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4214…105dbacked Yes | 29c | 151$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.29 | 21 | 57.1%12 W · 9 L | +1.6wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9de1…f272backed No | 43c | 150$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xde7d…499ebacked No | 77c | 148.74$115 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.21 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 44cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…624ebacked Yes | 58c | 145.96$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Yes | 59c | 144.44$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.19 | 256 | 53.5%137 W · 119 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4798…1920backed Yes | 58c | 142.75$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Yes | 75c | 137$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.16 | 585 | 42.7%250 W · 335 L | -27.4wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x886d…a8f2backed No | 43c | 135.58$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77.28 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d5f…1171backed Yes | 78c | 130.68$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.03 | 166 | 59.6%99 W · 67 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 62cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6882…6f08backed Yes | 78c | 128.3$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 92 | 69.6%64 W · 28 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Yes | 78c | 128.21$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.7wins | -0.04per pick | 65cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5768…e453backed Yes | 58c | 127.66$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.04 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 40c | 127.64$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.59 | 1,110 | 49.5%549 W · 561 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ddf…d8c4backed Yes | 58c | 127.63$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.03 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xba12…60bbbacked No | 43c | 122.12$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.61 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Yes | 58c | 119.97$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.59 | 171 | 51.5%88 W · 83 L | +1.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed Yes | 59c | 115.71$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.27 | 1,651 | 50.9%840 W · 811 L | +5.8wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9445…5a2abacked Yes | 58c | 112.96$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb891…969bbacked No | 42c | 110.99$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$64.37 | 150 | 35.3%53 W · 97 L | -6.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5043…84b5backed No | 43c | 106.43$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.67 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e19…ba6cbacked Yes | 58c | 105.43$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x24a4…4120backed No | 43c | 102.41$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.37 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Yes | 68c | 100.62$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.33 | 282 | 51.4%145 W · 137 L | +5.4wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00b4…87bfbacked Yes | 58c | 100$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 32 | 31.3%10 W · 22 L | -8.8wins | -0.28per pick | 59cpaid | -33.6%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x468d…cf23backed Yes | 25c | 100$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -26.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x420b…965bbacked Yes | 56c | 99.99$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.99 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x86a0…bb4ebacked No | 25c | 99.21$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.42 | 22 | 54.5%12 W · 10 L | +0.2wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed No | 30c | 98.25$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.72 | 738 | 50.3%371 W · 367 L | -2.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddf1…a604backed Yes | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -33.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7790…427abacked Yes | 77c | 89.61$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 74cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd12f…e80dbacked Yes | 77c | 89.61$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 28 | 35.7%10 W · 18 L | -2.2wins | -0.08per pick | 43cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9fd7…d5a3backed No | 29c | 88.44$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.48 | 110 | 53.6%59 W · 51 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57a4…f0c0backed Yes | 57c | 87.72$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 44 | 63.6%28 W · 16 L | +4.7wins | +0.11per pick | 53cpaid | +24.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xddf0…18d5backed Yes | 58c | 87.52$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.58per pick | 58cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de6…8b3cbacked No | 30c | 84.03$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 126 | 60.3%76 W · 50 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7e1b…106cbacked Yes | 75c | 81.47$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.34 | 42 | 73.8%31 W · 11 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 72cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Yes | 63c | 80$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.22 | 151 | 60.9%92 W · 59 L | +9.7wins | +0.06per pick | 55cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8ea9…5b98backed Yes | 76c | 78.3$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 45 | 60%27 W · 18 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Yes | 68c | 75$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.25 | 441 | 52.4%231 W · 210 L | +1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe76c…1c3cbacked Yes | 60c | 75$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | -4.4wins | -0.11per pick | 53cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd81f…6b75backed Yes | 59c | 66.07$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.98 | 399 | 54.6%218 W · 181 L | +16.5wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb428…74c8backed No | 43c | 65.12$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 118 | 39.8%47 W · 71 L | -3.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bf…f0ccbacked Yes | 62c | 58.92$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.32 | 123 | 62.6%77 W · 46 L | +17.0wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +41.5%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2b81…88e7backed Yes | 74c | 55.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.01 | 38 | 47.4%18 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x089c…4dc4backed Yes | 62c | 55.36$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.51 | 244 | 48.4%118 W · 126 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e6d…2671backed No | 28c | 55.16$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.46 | 36 | 63.9%23 W · 13 L | +3.0wins | +0.08per pick | 56cpaid | +20%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2c97…c20bbacked Yes | 58c | 51.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 34 | 44.1%15 W · 19 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Asian League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-05-23?this page
- Will Beijing Guoan FC vs. Henan FC end in a draw?No won
- Will Henan FC win on 2026-05-23?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.