TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x7e79…10c0

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
121
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: NBA, grading 62 out of 100 (+0.10 per pick).

Best Category NBA at 62 out of 100; worst Premier League at 43.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT6369.8%44 W · 19 L+8.9wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+26.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
MLB — the 63 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$124Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$124.39
Seattle Mariners vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Miami Marlins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$58.64
KBO: LG Twins vs. Samsung Lionsbacked Samsung Lions · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$185Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$128.29
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.17
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$82Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 7, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$52.16
Tampa Bay Rays vs. Miami Marlinsbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$64Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$63.64
San Francisco Giants vs. Chicago Cubsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$52.1
Kansas City Royals vs. Minnesota Twinsbacked Minnesota Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$71.95
Baltimore Orioles vs. Toronto Blue Jays: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 6, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$52.12
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Angelsbacked Los Angeles Angels · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$89
Detroit Tigers vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+96.4%+$189.93
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$197Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$189.27
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Los Angeles Angels vs. Tampa Bay Raysbacked Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$65.33
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$73.18
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Milwaukee Brewers vs. Houston Astrosbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$91.38
Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: Minnesota Twins vs. Pittsburgh Piratesbacked No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$98
KBO: LG Twins vs. Lotte Giantsbacked LG Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$163Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+70.4%+$114.74
Atlanta Braves vs. Boston Red Soxbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+78.6%+$77.79
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)backed Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$139.59
KBO: LG Twins vs. Lotte Giantsbacked LG Twins · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
KBO: Kia Tigers vs. Kiwoom Heroesbacked Kia Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$68.65
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-2.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$122Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$65.69
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$108.33
Showing 25 of 63 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 28, 2026, EDT2378.3%18 W · 5 L+5.0wins+0.22per pick57cpaid+38.9%equal weight62+0.10 edge/pick
NBA — the 23 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$66
De'Aaron Fox: Rebounds O/U 3.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$40.09
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.75
Chet Holmgren: Rebounds O/U 7.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$48.4
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 219.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$150Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$150
Spurs vs. Thunder: 1H Moneylinebacked Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$31.97
Donovan Mitchell: Points O/U 26.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$58.91
Jalen Brunson: Assists O/U 7.5backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+59.8%+$43.08
Spread: Knicks (-2.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$103Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+62.9%+$64.76
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Assists O/U 7.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$49Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$49
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 218.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$95Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$95
Victor Wembanyama: Points O/U 24.5backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$34.05
Thunder vs. Spursbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$71.08
Knicks vs. Cavaliers: O/U 214.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$63.69
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$69Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$84.33
Thunder vs. Spurs: O/U 217.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$88.68
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 216.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$190Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+63.8%+$121.34
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 213.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$98Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$62.66
Spread: Thunder (-8.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+72.4%+$36.21
Spurs vs. Thunder: O/U 222.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 204.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$92.31
All 23 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1637.5%6 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 16 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC vs. Everton FC end in a draw?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$28Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$28
Manchester City FC vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$55Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+52.3%+$28.76
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.5
Crystal Palace FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$24.63
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$72Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$66.46
Will Hull City AFC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT+354.5%+$264.14
Will Middlesbrough FC win on 2026-05-23?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$128Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$128.5
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$138Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$138
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-05-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$109.95
Viktor Gyokeres: Anytime Goalscorerbacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Arsenal FC vs. Burnley FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$96.08
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$97Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$97.22
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$114Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$114.38
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$149Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$148.97
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$52.46
Crystal Palace FC leading at halftime?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
All 16 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 21, 2026, EDT5100%5 W · 0 L+2.5wins+0.50per pick50cpaid+106.1%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L+0.4wins+0.10per pick40cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT450%2 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.10per pick60cpaid-18%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+112.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Crystal Palace FC win on 2026-05-27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$100.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved May 25, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Los Angeles FC vs. Seattle Sounders FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$99Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT+63.9%+$63.3
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Argentina win on 2026-07-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$283Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$99.38
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 20, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.23per pick77cpaid+29.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 25°C or higher on May 18?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$137Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT+29.7%+$40.74
All 1 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 23, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.46per pick46cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Serie A — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Internazionale Milano win on 2026-05-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$98Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$98.5
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.65per pick65cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.