TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Kansas City Royals
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$87,310
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$102,654

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,310 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc807…c12bbacked Kansas City Royals53c39,775$21,081 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21,080.850153.5%268 W · 233 L+8.2wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+3.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb6d6…be17backed New York Yankees47c21,277$10,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,276.62040%8 W · 12 L-2.8wins-0.14per pick54cpaid-24.2%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked New York Yankees47c10,638$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,638.361351.5%316 W · 297 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees47c9,844$4,662 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,182.564,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Kansas City Royals53c6,000$3,160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,159.982,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals55c4,464$2,452 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,451.5310,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7634…600dbacked New York Yankees64c4,000$2,560 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,44060350.1%302 W · 301 L-10.0wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees49c3,654$1,800 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,854.7112,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Kansas City Royals58c2,700$1,566 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,565.9966050.2%331 W · 329 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Kansas City Royals52c2,237$1,163 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,163.12,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0cbb…f8a3backed New York Yankees47c2,199$1,044 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,155.0830242.4%128 W · 174 L-1.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid+3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca28…49debacked New York Yankees47c2,127$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,127.245050%25 W · 25 L-0.1wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7616…dd8cbacked New York Yankees48c2,104$1,010 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,094.22837.5%3 W · 5 L-0.7wins-0.09per pick47cpaid-17.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x8b88…8f33backed New York Yankees47c2,000$940 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,06044851.6%231 W · 217 L+0.7wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x61f6…e497backed New York Yankees45c1,720$773 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$946.721,87940.6%763 W · 1,116 L-39.9wins-0.02per pick43cpaid-17.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas City Royals52c1,700$884 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884.115,40150.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L+17.6wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals53c1,600$843 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$843.196,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x04b9…79e0backed Kansas City Royals53c1,536$809 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$809.0255052.4%288 W · 262 L+5.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Kansas City Royals36c1,389$497 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$496.8211,35752.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L+209.9wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x7138…8c89backed New York Yankees47c1,050$494 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$556.573748.4%357 W · 380 L-7.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4259…77c1backed Kansas City Royals49c808.45$400 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$399.942,24357.6%1,293 W · 950 L+37.1wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+2.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Kansas City Royals52c740.22$385 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$384.912,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9621…0a73backed New York Yankees47c638.3$300 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.318658.6%109 W · 77 L+5.0wins+0.03per pick56cpaid+5.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Kansas City Royals53c597.9$315 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$315.1489053.1%473 W · 417 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Kansas City Royals54c556.91$299 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$298.643,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees47c500$235 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2659,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8656…bd69backed New York Yankees48c464.94$223 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$241.772100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+96.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2d14…ff3ebacked New York Yankees47c425.53$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$225.5312845.3%58 W · 70 L-2.5wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc291…5d74backed Kansas City Royals52c387$201 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$201.242,29649.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L+37.8wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+3.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Yankees47c344.19$162 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$182.428,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Kansas City Royals22c338.08$73 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$73.038,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xdbca…ca8dbacked New York Yankees48c312.5$150 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$162.543247%203 W · 229 L-19.2wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-8.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x8133…3109backed New York Yankees47c311.09$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$164.882142.9%9 W · 12 L-1.8wins-0.09per pick51cpaid-15.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad88…3c1ebacked Kansas City Royals53c290$154 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153.748354.7%264 W · 219 L+20.8wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+8.3%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x211d…3ab7backed New York Yankees47c251.06$118 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.06475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+46.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x3b6b…6b56backed New York Yankees47c214$101 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.422937.9%11 W · 18 L-4.2wins-0.14per pick52cpaid-28.1%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x7e79…10c0backed New York Yankees48c208.33$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.336369.8%44 W · 19 L+8.9wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+26.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Kansas City Royals53c200.09$106 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$106.051,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xda77…ca73backed Kansas City Royals54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002450%12 W · 12 L-1.9wins-0.08per pick58cpaid-14.5%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa623…a4febacked New York Yankees45c162$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$89.11,11945.5%509 W · 610 L+16.9wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+5.6%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x83a3…6292backed Kansas City Royals54c148.15$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$8066551.1%340 W · 325 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick54cpaid-4.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe8cf…e4a2backed New York Yankees48c145.83$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.837450%37 W · 37 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc546…058ebacked Kansas City Royals52c138.16$71 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$71.245,12754.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L+232.0wins+0.05per pick50cpaid+7.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xffc4…b347backed New York Yankees80c137.93$110 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.597268.1%49 W · 23 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick67cpaid-0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x8c39…d10bbacked New York Yankees46c130.11$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$70.263050%15 W · 15 L+1.2wins+0.04per pick46cpaid+57.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcc23…a9f2backed New York Yankees47c110$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.346854.5%255 W · 213 L+12.3wins+0.03per pick52cpaid+6.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x1719…ec68backed New York Yankees47c110$52 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.372154.2%391 W · 330 L+20.8wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+144.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec14…7fafbacked New York Yankees47c106.38$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.3847849%234 W · 244 L+14.0wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+5.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xec6d…804bbacked New York Yankees48c104.17$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.175349.1%26 W · 27 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick46cpaid+8.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5530…d38dbacked New York Yankees47c101.61$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53.852,20350.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L+29.6wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4193…4853backed New York Yankees48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5284651.5%436 W · 410 L+1.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid0%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Kansas City Royals52c97.27$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.5877951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadaa…7e29backed Kansas City Royals26c96.15$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25425%1 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.13per pick38cpaid-50%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xb052…7adabacked New York Yankees48c93.75$45 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.752450%12 W · 12 L-0.4wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2160…bcb3backed New York Yankees47c93.3$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$49.4566448.2%320 W · 344 L-1.0wins0.00per pick48cpaid+1.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1831…6c99backed New York Yankees72c85$61 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.0347589.1%423 W · 52 L+84.9wins+0.18per pick71cpaid+25%equal weight69+0.17 edge/pick
0xb81e…8ab9backed Kansas City Royals53c77$41 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$40.8147848.5%232 W · 246 L-15.3wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-6.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1e3b…e232backed Kansas City Royals53c71.55$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.222,94751.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L-34.0wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa188…62eabacked New York Yankees47c63.83$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.8324248.8%118 W · 124 L+3.5wins+0.01per pick47cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x12de…bb0fbacked New York Yankees48c62.5$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$32.57045.7%32 W · 38 L-6.6wins-0.09per pick55cpaid-17.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x36aa…a683backed Kansas City Royals54c61.01$33 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$32.9544347.9%212 W · 231 L-5.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Kansas City Royals53c60.55$32 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$31.921,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0f50…069bbacked New York Yankees48c59.99$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1916345.4%74 W · 89 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+6.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x68cc…e8c8backed Kansas City Royals53c56.6$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3032647.9%156 W · 170 L-8.0wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed New York Yankees30c56$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.23,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x976f…8a71backed New York Yankees47c54.35$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.811533.3%5 W · 10 L-3.7wins-0.24per pick58cpaid-48.5%equal weight40-0.09 edge/pick
0x1607…2c65backed New York Yankees47c53.19$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.1921954.8%120 W · 99 L-3.5wins-0.02per pick56cpaid-2.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Kansas City Royals51c53.1$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.166,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xca96…06f6backed New York Yankees48c52.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.081241.7%5 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-13.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed New York Yankees47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.51,66143.5%722 W · 939 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x54d5…77d4backed New York Yankees47c41.28$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.08933.3%3 W · 6 L-1.0wins-0.11per pick44cpaid-36.3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x8a38…d420backed Kansas City Royals36c40$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.44953.1%26 W · 23 L+3.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf593…9553backed Kansas City Royals52c38.98$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.272,94547.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L+3.8wins0.00per pick47cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83ce…835cbacked New York Yankees47c38$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.1450748.7%247 W · 260 L-17.2wins-0.03per pick52cpaid-9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x476b…0afabacked New York Yankees47c36.19$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.185757.9%33 W · 24 L+5.2wins+0.09per pick49cpaid+18.9%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x1641…a37fbacked Kansas City Royals39c33.15$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.771838.9%7 W · 11 L-1.5wins-0.08per pick47cpaid-19.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x985c…e5d2backed New York Yankees47c31.91$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.9154455.1%300 W · 244 L+13.9wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x5079…e560backed New York Yankees48c31.25$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.257454.1%40 W · 34 L+0.7wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Kansas City Royals54c31$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.741,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d02…8c5dbacked New York Yankees64c30.3$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.913070%21 W · 9 L+3.1wins+0.10per pick60cpaid+17.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x8232…e71dbacked New York Yankees42c28.81$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.714542.2%19 W · 26 L-3.3wins-0.07per pick50cpaid-23%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x26a8…8a98backed Kansas City Royals53c27.91$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.794546.7%21 W · 24 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-3.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1044…8cebbacked New York Yankees47c27.31$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.471741.2%7 W · 10 L-2.5wins-0.15per pick56cpaid-18.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x973e…22ebbacked Kansas City Royals53c26.42$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1489950.6%455 W · 444 L-24.6wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-5.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa1d7…a311backed Kansas City Royals55c25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.754658.7%27 W · 19 L+4.2wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xcee6…0a45backed Kansas City Royals54c24$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.9678155.6%434 W · 347 L+28.9wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+7.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Kansas City Royals57c21.98$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.5369447.6%330 W · 364 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0xeb94…6ef0backed New York Yankees72c20.81$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.831172.7%8 W · 3 L+0.2wins+0.02per pick71cpaid+2.7%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xb97d…5456backed Kansas City Royals53c20.08$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.64812.5%1 W · 7 L-1.8wins-0.23per pick35cpaid-79.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x5b63…11a4backed Kansas City Royals54c19.74$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.662,02139.5%798 W · 1,223 L-25.7wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-14.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.