MLB · resolved market
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xf0f6af54d51b91a842ea7ee4fd6723542e2b126090ee5ebc7dfe85a638fecdeb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New York Yankeesof New York Yankees, Kansas City Royals
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $87,310
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $102,654
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $87,310 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 90 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc807…c12bbacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 39,775$21,081 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21,080.8 | 501 | 53.5%268 W · 233 L | +8.2wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6d6…be17backed New York Yankees | 47c | 21,277$10,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11,276.6 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | -2.8wins | -0.14per pick | 54cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8a26…937ebacked New York Yankees | 47c | 10,638$5,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,638.3 | 613 | 51.5%316 W · 297 L | +4.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84cf…2f63backed New York Yankees | 47c | 9,844$4,662 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,182.56 | 4,553 | 49.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L | -9.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xebe6…9278backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 6,000$3,160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,159.98 | 2,104 | 51.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L | +11.9wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 4,464$2,452 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,451.53 | 10,846 | 51.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L | +137.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7634…600dbacked New York Yankees | 64c | 4,000$2,560 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,440 | 603 | 50.1%302 W · 301 L | -10.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed New York Yankees | 49c | 3,654$1,800 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,854.71 | 12,247 | 46.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L | -68.6wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcba5…cd88backed Kansas City Royals | 58c | 2,700$1,566 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,565.99 | 660 | 50.2%331 W · 329 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9495…9a27backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 2,237$1,163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,163.1 | 2,293 | 48.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L | -24.0wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0cbb…f8a3backed New York Yankees | 47c | 2,199$1,044 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,155.08 | 302 | 42.4%128 W · 174 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xca28…49debacked New York Yankees | 47c | 2,127$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.24 | 50 | 50%25 W · 25 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7616…dd8cbacked New York Yankees | 48c | 2,104$1,010 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,094.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 47cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8b88…8f33backed New York Yankees | 47c | 2,000$940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,060 | 448 | 51.6%231 W · 217 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed New York Yankees | 45c | 1,720$773 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$946.72 | 1,879 | 40.6%763 W · 1,116 L | -39.9wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 1,700$884 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$884.11 | 5,401 | 50.5%2,726 W · 2,675 L | +17.6wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa697…59d5backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 1,600$843 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$843.19 | 6,899 | 50.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L | -7.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x04b9…79e0backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 1,536$809 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$809.02 | 550 | 52.4%288 W · 262 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Kansas City Royals | 36c | 1,389$497 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.82 | 11,357 | 52.9%6,003 W · 5,354 L | +209.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7138…8c89backed New York Yankees | 47c | 1,050$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.5 | 737 | 48.4%357 W · 380 L | -7.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4259…77c1backed Kansas City Royals | 49c | 808.45$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$399.94 | 2,243 | 57.6%1,293 W · 950 L | +37.1wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 740.22$385 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$384.91 | 2,407 | 48.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L | -62.3wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9621…0a73backed New York Yankees | 47c | 638.3$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.3 | 186 | 58.6%109 W · 77 L | +5.0wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc235…99f8backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 597.9$315 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$315.14 | 890 | 53.1%473 W · 417 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9703…69c2backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 556.91$299 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$298.64 | 3,453 | 51.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L | +58.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed New York Yankees | 47c | 500$235 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8656…bd69backed New York Yankees | 48c | 464.94$223 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.77 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.0wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2d14…ff3ebacked New York Yankees | 47c | 425.53$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$225.53 | 128 | 45.3%58 W · 70 L | -2.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 387$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$201.24 | 2,296 | 49.7%1,141 W · 1,155 L | +37.8wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed New York Yankees | 47c | 344.19$162 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$182.42 | 8,295 | 47.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L | +72.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbca0…9705backed Kansas City Royals | 22c | 338.08$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.03 | 8,470 | 52.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L | +510.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbca…ca8dbacked New York Yankees | 48c | 312.5$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$162.5 | 432 | 47%203 W · 229 L | -19.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8133…3109backed New York Yankees | 47c | 311.09$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.88 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.8wins | -0.09per pick | 51cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xad88…3c1ebacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 290$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$153.7 | 483 | 54.7%264 W · 219 L | +20.8wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x211d…3ab7backed New York Yankees | 47c | 251.06$118 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$133.06 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.9wins | +0.22per pick | 53cpaid | +46.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3b6b…6b56backed New York Yankees | 47c | 214$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.42 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -4.2wins | -0.14per pick | 52cpaid | -28.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7e79…10c0backed New York Yankees | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 63 | 69.8%44 W · 19 L | +8.9wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x8482…3f7abacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 200.09$106 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.05 | 1,062 | 49.2%523 W · 539 L | -11.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…ca73backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 185.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -1.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa623…a4febacked New York Yankees | 45c | 162$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.1 | 1,119 | 45.5%509 W · 610 L | +16.9wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83a3…6292backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 148.15$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 665 | 51.1%340 W · 325 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe8cf…e4a2backed New York Yankees | 48c | 145.83$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.83 | 74 | 50%37 W · 37 L | +5.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc546…058ebacked Kansas City Royals | 52c | 138.16$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.24 | 5,127 | 54.7%2,805 W · 2,322 L | +232.0wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xffc4…b347backed New York Yankees | 80c | 137.93$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.59 | 72 | 68.1%49 W · 23 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8c39…d10bbacked New York Yankees | 46c | 130.11$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.26 | 30 | 50%15 W · 15 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +57.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc23…a9f2backed New York Yankees | 47c | 110$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 468 | 54.5%255 W · 213 L | +12.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1719…ec68backed New York Yankees | 47c | 110$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.3 | 721 | 54.2%391 W · 330 L | +20.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +144.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec14…7fafbacked New York Yankees | 47c | 106.38$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.38 | 478 | 49%234 W · 244 L | +14.0wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xec6d…804bbacked New York Yankees | 48c | 104.17$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.17 | 53 | 49.1%26 W · 27 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5530…d38dbacked New York Yankees | 47c | 101.61$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.85 | 2,203 | 50.3%1,108 W · 1,095 L | +29.6wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4193…4853backed New York Yankees | 48c | 100$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52 | 846 | 51.5%436 W · 410 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4379…2e16backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 97.27$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.58 | 779 | 51.1%398 W · 381 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadaa…7e29backed Kansas City Royals | 26c | 96.15$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.5wins | -0.13per pick | 38cpaid | -50%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb052…7adabacked New York Yankees | 48c | 93.75$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.75 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2160…bcb3backed New York Yankees | 47c | 93.3$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.45 | 664 | 48.2%320 W · 344 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1831…6c99backed New York Yankees | 72c | 85$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.03 | 475 | 89.1%423 W · 52 L | +84.9wins | +0.18per pick | 71cpaid | +25%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xb81e…8ab9backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 77$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.81 | 478 | 48.5%232 W · 246 L | -15.3wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3b…e232backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 71.55$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.22 | 2,947 | 51.9%1,529 W · 1,418 L | -34.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa188…62eabacked New York Yankees | 47c | 63.83$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.83 | 242 | 48.8%118 W · 124 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12de…bb0fbacked New York Yankees | 48c | 62.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.5 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | -6.6wins | -0.09per pick | 55cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x36aa…a683backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 61.01$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.95 | 443 | 47.9%212 W · 231 L | -5.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 60.55$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.92 | 1,056 | 48.3%510 W · 546 L | -16.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0f50…069bbacked New York Yankees | 48c | 59.99$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.19 | 163 | 45.4%74 W · 89 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x68cc…e8c8backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 56.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 326 | 47.9%156 W · 170 L | -8.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39fc…e2f2backed New York Yankees | 30c | 56$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.2 | 3,208 | 51.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L | +146.6wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x976f…8a71backed New York Yankees | 47c | 54.35$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.81 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -3.7wins | -0.24per pick | 58cpaid | -48.5%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1607…2c65backed New York Yankees | 47c | 53.19$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.19 | 219 | 54.8%120 W · 99 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x32ed…f960backed Kansas City Royals | 51c | 53.1$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.16 | 6,116 | 55.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L | +344.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xca96…06f6backed New York Yankees | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0905…e5c0backed New York Yankees | 47c | 50$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.5 | 1,661 | 43.5%722 W · 939 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54d5…77d4backed New York Yankees | 47c | 41.28$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.08 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8a38…d420backed Kansas City Royals | 36c | 40$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.4 | 49 | 53.1%26 W · 23 L | +3.0wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf593…9553backed Kansas City Royals | 52c | 38.98$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.27 | 2,945 | 47.6%1,401 W · 1,544 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x83ce…835cbacked New York Yankees | 47c | 38$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.14 | 507 | 48.7%247 W · 260 L | -17.2wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x476b…0afabacked New York Yankees | 47c | 36.19$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.18 | 57 | 57.9%33 W · 24 L | +5.2wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1641…a37fbacked Kansas City Royals | 39c | 33.15$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.77 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x985c…e5d2backed New York Yankees | 47c | 31.91$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.91 | 544 | 55.1%300 W · 244 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5079…e560backed New York Yankees | 48c | 31.25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.25 | 74 | 54.1%40 W · 34 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x09ee…90a4backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 31$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.74 | 1,569 | 51.1%801 W · 768 L | +15.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d02…8c5dbacked New York Yankees | 64c | 30.3$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.91 | 30 | 70%21 W · 9 L | +3.1wins | +0.10per pick | 60cpaid | +17.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8232…e71dbacked New York Yankees | 42c | 28.81$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.71 | 45 | 42.2%19 W · 26 L | -3.3wins | -0.07per pick | 50cpaid | -23%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x26a8…8a98backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 27.91$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1044…8cebbacked New York Yankees | 47c | 27.31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.47 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -2.5wins | -0.15per pick | 56cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x973e…22ebbacked Kansas City Royals | 53c | 26.42$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 899 | 50.6%455 W · 444 L | -24.6wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa1d7…a311backed Kansas City Royals | 55c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.75 | 46 | 58.7%27 W · 19 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xcee6…0a45backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 24$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.96 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +28.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc86…7e77backed Kansas City Royals | 57c | 21.98$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.53 | 694 | 47.6%330 W · 364 L | -9.8wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb94…6ef0backed New York Yankees | 72c | 20.81$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.83 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb97d…5456backed Kansas City Royals | 53c | 20.08$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.64 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.23per pick | 35cpaid | -79.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Kansas City Royals | 54c | 19.74$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 2,021 | 39.5%798 W · 1,223 L | -25.7wins | -0.01per pick | 41cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)this page
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City RoyalsNew York Yankees won
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 4.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 5.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 6.5Over won
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 7.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 8.5Under won
- New York Yankees vs. Kansas City Royals: O/U 9.5Under won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-1.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: Kansas City Royals (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-2.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-3.5)New York Yankees won
- Spread: New York Yankees (-4.5)New York Yankees won
- Will there be a run scored in the first inning?: New York Yankees vs. Kansas City RoyalsNo won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.