TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xe8cf…e4a2

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
175
Categories scored
10
Categories below 50
4

Best Category: MLB, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.05 per pick).

Best Category MLB at 56 out of 100; worst Premier League at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Tennis Inactivelast resolved Jun 2, 2026, EDT8057.5%46 W · 34 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick55cpaid0%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Tennis — the 80 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tennis, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Set Handicap: Fonseca (-1.5) vs Mensik (+1.5)backed Fonseca · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Set 1 Winner: Ruud vs Fonsecabacked Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Teichmann (+1.5)backed Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$22.46
Set Handicap: Cirstea (-1.5) vs Wang (+1.5)backed Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+66.7%+$26.67
Set 1 Winner: Svitolina vs Bencicbacked Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$45
Marta Kostyuk vs. Iga Swiatek: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Roland Garros WTA: Coco Gauff vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+316.7%+$110.83
Set Handicap: Sabalenka (-1.5) vs Kasatkina (+1.5)backed Kasatkina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
Set Handicap: Ruud (-1.5) vs Navone (+1.5)backed Ruud · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$50
Casper Ruud vs. Luciano Darderi: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Bordeaux: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Roman Andres Burruchagabacked Juan Manuel Cerundolo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+67.8%+$10.17
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Martin Landaluce vs Daniil Medvedevbacked Martin Landaluce · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Sorana Cirstea vs Coco Gauffbacked Sorana Cirstea · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$37
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Luciano Darderi vs Alexander Zverevbacked Alexander Zverev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)7c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
Set Handicap: Rybakina (-1.5) vs Pliskova (+1.5)backed Rybakina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$4.94
Set Handicap: Swiatek (-1.5) vs Osaka (+1.5)backed Swiatek · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$15.96
Set Handicap: Cobolli (-1.5) vs Tirante (+1.5)backed Cobolli · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Tunis: Maxim Mrva vs Federico Cinabacked Federico Cina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$60Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+35.6%+$21.37
Set Handicap: Medvedev (-1.5) vs Ruiz (+1.5)backed Medvedev · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Jessica Pegula vs Anastasia Potapovabacked Anastasia Potapova · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Mariano Navone vs Hamad Medjedovicbacked Mariano Navone · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Set Handicap: Svitolina (-1.5) vs Bartunkova (+1.5)backed Svitolina · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+49.6%+$9.93
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Coco Gauff vs Iva Jovicbacked Iva Jovic · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Set Handicap: Andreeva (-1.5) vs Mertens (+1.5)backed Andreeva · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$10.57
Andrey Rublev vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina: Total Sets O/U 2.5backed Over 2.5 · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Showing 25 of 80 picks, newest first.
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jul 8, 2026, EDT7450%37 W · 37 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
MLB — the 74 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Milwaukee Brewers vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Milwaukee Brewers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 8, 2026, EDT+72.9%+$72.93
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Spread: Colorado Rockies (-1.5)backed Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Cincinnati Reds (-1.5)backed Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Washington Nationals (-1.5)backed Washington Nationals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$100.88
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$50Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+117%+$58.49
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$81.25
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Los Angeles Dodgers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$112.77
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Spread: Houston Astros (-1.5)backed Houston Astros · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$101Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+203%+$205.06
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$160Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$195.56
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$150Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$169.15
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$122.32
Colorado Rockies vs. Los Angeles Dodgersbacked Colorado Rockies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
Spread: New York Yankees (-1.5)backed New York Yankees · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$70Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT+108.3%+$75.83
Spread: Tampa Bay Rays (-1.5)backed Tampa Bay Rays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Spread: San Diego Padres (-1.5)backed San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Spread: Toronto Blue Jays (-1.5)backed Toronto Blue Jays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$75Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$133.33
Spread: Cleveland Guardians (-1.5)backed Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$75Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT-100%-$75
Spread: Atlanta Braves (-1.5)backed Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Boston Red Sox (-1.5)backed Boston Red Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Spread: Chicago Cubs (-1.5)backed Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$70Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$70
Showing 25 of 74 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.7wins-0.34per pick54cpaid-46.8%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
Premier League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.4wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+59.8%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 10, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.19per pick48cpaid+65.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hertha BSC win on 2026-05-10?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+259.7%+$51.93
Spread: BV Borussia 09 Dortmund (-1.5)backed BV Borussia 09 Dortmund · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will 1. FC Kaiserslautern win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$36.99
All 3 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 14, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick53cpaid-3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved May 18, 2026, EDT30%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
NBA — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Thunder (-14.5)backed Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
All 3 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved May 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Racing Club de Lens win on 2026-05-08?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$115Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+31.5%+$36.23
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.37per pick37cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-05-06?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 15, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.79per pick79cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Spread: Spain (-1.5)backed Spain · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$3,976Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$3,975.51
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.