TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

MLB · resolved market

Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Los Angeles Dodgersof Los Angeles Dodgers, Philadelphia Phillies
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$201,492
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$275,001

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $201,492 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 89 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in MLB
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe73e…74febacked Los Angeles Dodgers52c50,174$26,091 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24,083.551957.9%11 W · 8 L+0.3wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+3.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x72d8…5213backed Philadelphia Phillies48c49,240$23,635 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23,634.976662.1%41 W · 25 L+9.2wins+0.14per pick48cpaid+27.3%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x9495…9a27backed Philadelphia Phillies47c16,932$7,959 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,958.962,29348.1%1,103 W · 1,190 L-24.0wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x3dfb…abafbacked Philadelphia Phillies50c13,702$6,783 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,783.391,38549.5%685 W · 700 L-4.9wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x84cf…2f63backed Los Angeles Dodgers51c10,910$5,548 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5,362.494,55349.2%2,238 W · 2,315 L-9.6wins0.00per pick49cpaid-2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x5268…135dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers52c10,185$5,293 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,892.0711,35652.9%6,002 W · 5,354 L+209.6wins+0.02per pick51cpaid-0.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcd65…ee96backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c9,434$5,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,433.9623846.6%111 W · 127 L+0.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb7f5…c669backed Philadelphia Phillies49c9,000$4,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,409.9947953.2%255 W · 224 L+18.0wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x1467…4372backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c8,495$4,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,995.3613045.4%59 W · 71 L-5.0wins-0.04per pick49cpaid-11%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xfe78…0319backed Philadelphia Phillies53c6,825$3,643 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,642.6410,84651.6%5,594 W · 5,252 L+137.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid-0.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x032e…2a9ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers51c6,531$3,332 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3,199.152,29152.5%1,202 W · 1,089 L+24.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+3.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf429…969ebacked Philadelphia Phillies37c4,100$1,517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,51719842.9%85 W · 113 L-10.1wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-7.4%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xebe6…9278backed Philadelphia Phillies50c3,000$1,500 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,5002,10451.9%1,092 W · 1,012 L+11.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa697…59d5backed Philadelphia Phillies49c2,900$1,410 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,409.846,89950.4%3,478 W · 3,421 L-7.1wins0.00per pick51cpaid-0.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9703…69c2backed Los Angeles Dodgers51c2,856$1,457 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,399.433,45351.2%1,767 W · 1,686 L+58.1wins+0.02per pick49cpaid+3.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xcb1b…69f2backed Philadelphia Phillies49c2,510$1,240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,239.891,05648.3%510 W · 546 L-16.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-0.8%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd81e…e3d0backed Los Angeles Dodgers50c2,071$1,036 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,035.5332251.6%166 W · 156 L+8.5wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8a26…937ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers51c1,961$1,000 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$960.7861351.5%316 W · 297 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+0.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x424e…263bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers51c1,641$837 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$804.091,76951.6%912 W · 857 L+16.9wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+2.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Los Angeles Dodgers59c1,534$912 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$622.0812,24746.4%5,687 W · 6,560 L-68.6wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-9.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xff34…694bbacked Philadelphia Phillies44c1,200$528 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5285,23456.8%2,971 W · 2,263 L+130.4wins+0.02per pick54cpaid+2.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1fe…f03dbacked Philadelphia Phillies47c1,100$517 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5172657.7%15 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x209e…8bb4backed Los Angeles Dodgers51c1,100$561 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$53912850%64 W · 64 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5375…aeeabacked Los Angeles Dodgers61c1,071$653 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$417.691,38148.1%664 W · 717 L-13.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-13.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc235…99f8backed Philadelphia Phillies48c1,060$512 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51289053.1%473 W · 417 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick53cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb459…3efdbacked Los Angeles Dodgers52c792.79$412 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$380.541764.7%11 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.09per pick56cpaid+20.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2542…7821backed Los Angeles Dodgers70c717.14$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$217.144647.8%22 W · 24 L-5.2wins-0.11per pick59cpaid-20.9%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x2f4e…1fb8backed Philadelphia Phillies45c574.59$257 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$257.113,79245.8%1,738 W · 2,054 L-5.5wins0.00per pick46cpaid-6.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Philadelphia Phillies18c520.73$92 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$92.118,08646.1%3,728 W · 4,358 L+29.9wins0.00per pick46cpaid-7.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Los Angeles Dodgers42c500$210 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2909,72846.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L+32.8wins0.00per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe922…39b3backed Los Angeles Dodgers48c478.98$230 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$249.0720455.9%114 W · 90 L+0.5wins0.00per pick56cpaid+1.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdb83…1e50backed Los Angeles Dodgers51c410.8$209 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$201.754,47748.8%2,186 W · 2,291 L-47.4wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe80f…b81bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers51c392.16$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$192.167361.6%45 W · 28 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick61cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7e79…10c0backed Los Angeles Dodgers51c386.93$197 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$189.936369.8%44 W · 19 L+8.9wins+0.14per pick56cpaid+26.4%equal weight61+0.10 edge/pick
0x886f…aa8fbacked Los Angeles Dodgers52c384.62$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$184.6211951.3%61 W · 58 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+1.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x768f…8a9bbacked Los Angeles Dodgers60c334.32$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$134.7212253.3%65 W · 57 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick52cpaid+4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcba5…cd88backed Philadelphia Phillies48c315$151 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151.266050.2%331 W · 329 L-3.3wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0xe722…57c5backed Philadelphia Phillies49c306.12$150 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15094549%463 W · 482 L-38.2wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-8%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xbe05…c67cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers50c298.46$149 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$149.233447.1%16 W · 18 L-4.2wins-0.12per pick59cpaid-24.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xa77a…e6f9backed Los Angeles Dodgers52c268.56$140 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$128.919346.2%43 W · 50 L-1.6wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x39fc…e2f2backed Los Angeles Dodgers58c262.26$152 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$110.223,20851.2%1,642 W · 1,566 L+146.6wins+0.05per pick47cpaid+8.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x8482…3f7abacked Philadelphia Phillies48c260.2$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.51,06249.2%523 W · 539 L-11.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-4.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x09ee…90a4backed Philadelphia Phillies48c248$119 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$119.041,56951.1%801 W · 768 L+15.6wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xac24…576ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers53c239.62$127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$112.6222948%110 W · 119 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbca0…9705backed Philadelphia Phillies44c235.43$103 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$103.178,47052.6%4,459 W · 4,011 L+510.0wins+0.06per pick47cpaid+5.3%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked Los Angeles Dodgers51c221.63$113 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.62,40748.5%1,167 W · 1,240 L-62.3wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x32ed…f960backed Philadelphia Phillies52c220.75$115 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$114.796,11655.3%3,385 W · 2,731 L+344.6wins+0.06per pick50cpaid+8.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe8cf…e4a2backed Los Angeles Dodgers51c205.88$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$100.887450%37 W · 37 L+5.4wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+15.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xce00…7d1dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers49c204.12$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.1217952.5%94 W · 85 L-2.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid-4.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xb79f…88e8backed Los Angeles Dodgers51c147.06$75 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$72.065653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick52cpaid+4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4379…2e16backed Philadelphia Phillies48c142.36$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$68.3377951.1%398 W · 381 L+6.5wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdcc0…6872backed Philadelphia Phillies48c100$48 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4814549%71 W · 74 L-0.3wins0.00per pick49cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3010…d5edbacked Los Angeles Dodgers51c100$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$493455.9%19 W · 15 L+1.3wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x86fb…03d4backed Philadelphia Phillies48c96.94$47 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$46.531,21547.6%578 W · 637 L-19.4wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-5.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x93ac…2761backed Philadelphia Phillies54c95.65$52 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$51.642,58361.4%1,587 W · 996 L+70.9wins+0.03per pick59cpaid+4.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed Los Angeles Dodgers46c82.91$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$44.771968.4%13 W · 6 L+2.7wins+0.14per pick54cpaid+32.2%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x7810…b011backed Los Angeles Dodgers52c74.83$39 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.926149.2%30 W · 31 L-0.2wins0.00per pick49cpaid-6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x20c7…bc23backed Philadelphia Phillies22c70$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.410536.2%38 W · 67 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x09b5…fd79backed Los Angeles Dodgers49c61.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.2218556.2%104 W · 81 L+5.6wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0954…012abacked Los Angeles Dodgers50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$301,19753.9%645 W · 552 L+42.4wins+0.04per pick50cpaid+3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x67d2…a008backed Los Angeles Dodgers50c60$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3013565.2%88 W · 47 L+9.8wins+0.07per pick58cpaid+15.1%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x86a0…bb4ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers51c58.67$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.926746.3%31 W · 36 L-2.5wins-0.04per pick50cpaid-16.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Los Angeles Dodgers52c56.73$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.2370455%387 W · 317 L+4.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0925…dda4backed Los Angeles Dodgers61c55.74$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.745459.3%32 W · 22 L+2.1wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xaf58…2bf4backed Philadelphia Phillies49c55.25$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.0740148.1%193 W · 208 L-4.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-4.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf898…e720backed Los Angeles Dodgers47c55$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$29.146,30248.3%3,041 W · 3,261 L+181.9wins+0.03per pick45cpaid+0.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xf8c9…9aaebacked Los Angeles Dodgers65c50.77$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$17.7711257.1%64 W · 48 L+0.2wins0.00per pick57cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3ad8…5004backed Los Angeles Dodgers59c50.62$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.7518855.3%104 W · 84 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick54cpaid+0.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0905…e5c0backed Los Angeles Dodgers51c50$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.51,66143.5%722 W · 939 L-0.5wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc37e…9e64backed Philadelphia Phillies49c50$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.529553.2%157 W · 138 L+7.9wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x0c42…93bfbacked Los Angeles Dodgers51c49.02$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.022259.1%13 W · 9 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick52cpaid+14.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xb3ff…ec82backed Los Angeles Dodgers52c48.08$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.0821554.9%118 W · 97 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x7d0e…4f01backed Philadelphia Phillies50c46.34$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.1755643.9%244 W · 312 L-38.6wins-0.07per pick51cpaid-13.6%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0x4836…859bbacked Philadelphia Phillies49c45$22 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.051,17249.1%575 W · 597 L-7.7wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc718…64a8backed Los Angeles Dodgers53c43.18$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.341,08356.3%610 W · 473 L+13.7wins+0.01per pick55cpaid+0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x237f…e76ebacked Philadelphia Phillies55c41.6$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.8817255.8%96 W · 76 L+8.1wins+0.05per pick51cpaid+10.8%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Los Angeles Dodgers45c41.6$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$22.8829547.1%139 W · 156 L+9.3wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+6.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcf27…f35fbacked Philadelphia Phillies51c39.22$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010066%66 W · 34 L+10.4wins+0.10per pick56cpaid+17.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x0d2d…7ff5backed Philadelphia Phillies48c38.97$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.718,29547.8%3,966 W · 4,329 L+72.4wins+0.01per pick47cpaid-4.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa25a…04b7backed Philadelphia Phillies51c36.96$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.8514546.2%67 W · 78 L-6.4wins-0.04per pick51cpaid-7.3%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xad60…bbe5backed Philadelphia Phillies49c36.73$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18771.4%5 W · 2 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick54cpaid+30.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Philadelphia Phillies48c34.12$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.3169447.6%330 W · 364 L-9.8wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-7.8%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x1a98…639dbacked Los Angeles Dodgers50c30$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1530960.2%186 W · 123 L+16.8wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+10.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x7511…582ebacked Los Angeles Dodgers79c29.29$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.1570154.2%380 W · 321 L+4.8wins+0.01per pick54cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb46…56e7backed Los Angeles Dodgers51c25.99$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.6759749.9%298 W · 299 L+19.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+8.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5a21…9318backed Los Angeles Dodgers61c24.42$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.5143954.7%240 W · 199 L+30.6wins+0.07per pick48cpaid+13.9%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0x066f…b576backed Philadelphia Phillies50c22.02$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.013,83242.2%1,619 W · 2,213 L+0.5wins0.00per pick42cpaid+0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf6c7…a5e3backed Los Angeles Dodgers50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$102748.1%13 W · 14 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-8.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x73bd…b576backed Los Angeles Dodgers50c20$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1027557.1%157 W · 118 L+8.2wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 14 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.