TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x20c7…bc23

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
260
Categories scored
21
Categories below 50
8

Best Category: Lol, grading 56 out of 100 (+0.06 per pick).

Best Category Lol at 56 out of 100; worst Europa Conference League at 42.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
MLB Inactivelast resolved Jun 25, 2026, EDT10536.2%38 W · 67 L-8.4wins-0.08per pick44cpaid-18.6%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
MLB — the 105 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in MLB, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
KBO: Doosan Bears vs. Hanwha Eaglesbacked Hanwha Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Lotte Giantsbacked Lotte Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.99
Chicago Cubs vs. New York Metsbacked New York Mets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
KBO: NC Dinos vs. Lotte Giantsbacked NC Dinos · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$18.93
Boston Red Sox vs. Colorado Rockies: O/U 12.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.61
Atlanta Braves vs. San Diego Padresbacked Atlanta Braves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Spread: Baltimore Orioles (-1.5)backed Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$11
KBO: Lotte Giants vs. LG Twinsbacked Lotte Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$25.11
Spread: Chicago White Sox (-1.5)backed Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Spread: Los Angeles Dodgers (-1.5)backed Philadelphia Phillies · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.4
Spread: St. Louis Cardinals (-1.5)backed St. Louis Cardinals · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$19.5
Boston Red Sox vs. Cleveland Guardiansbacked Cleveland Guardians · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$29Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$29
Chicago Cubs vs. St. Louis Cardinalsbacked Chicago Cubs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 31, 2026, EDT-100%-$35
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)34c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Oriolesbacked Baltimore Orioles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$33.83
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Detroit Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.4
KBO: SSG Landers vs. Hanwha Eaglesbacked SSG Landers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$26
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Seattle Marinersbacked Arizona Diamondbacks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Soxbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$15.3
San Diego Padres vs. Washington Nationalsbacked San Diego Padres · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 29, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$25.5
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked San Francisco Giants · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Detroit Tigers vs. Baltimore Orioles: O/U 9.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
St. Louis Cardinals vs. Cincinnati Redsbacked Cincinnati Reds · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Chicago White Sox vs. San Francisco Giantsbacked Chicago White Sox · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Showing 25 of 105 picks, newest first.
NBA Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT3348.5%16 W · 17 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick46cpaid+7.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
NBA — the 33 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
1H Spread: Thunder (-1.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$31.2
Spread: Thunder (-6.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
Spread: Thunder (-4.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 26, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$20.74
Knicks vs. Cavaliersbacked Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$72Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$72
Spread: Knicks (-6.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT+112.4%+$76.44
Spread: Thunder (-5.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$48
Spread: Knicks (-5.5)backed Cavaliers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Cavaliers vs. Knicks: O/U 217.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$55
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$51Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$79.3
Cavaliers vs. Pistonsbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Spread: Spurs (-10.5)backed Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$59Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$61.41
Spread: Cavaliers (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$100Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$100
Pistons vs. Cavaliers: O/U 212.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$54Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$53.9
Pistons vs. Cavaliersbacked Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$40Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$40
Spread: Knicks (-1.5)backed Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$23.06
Spurs vs. Timberwolvesbacked Spurs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$80Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$80
Knicks vs. 76ersbacked Knicks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT+127.3%+$19.09
Lakers vs. Thunderbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)10c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
1H Spread: Thunder (-9.5)backed Thunder · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$20.2
Spread: Pistons (-3.5)backed Pistons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.45
Nuggets vs. Grizzlies: O/U 225.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 19, 2026, EDT+117.4%+$17.6
Cavaliers vs. Magic: O/U 226.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+100%+$17
Timberwolves vs. Lakersbacked Lakers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+185.7%+$35.29
Hornets vs. Trail Blazersbacked Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$20Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+171.6%+$34.32
Rockets vs. Heatbacked Heat · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+127.3%+$17.82
Showing 25 of 33 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT2245.5%10 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick45cpaid-3.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
NHL — the 22 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Canadiens: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche: O/U 7.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
Spread: Golden Knights (-1.5)backed Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Sabres vs. Canadiens: O/U 5.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Golden Knights vs. Ducksbacked Golden Knights · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$13.45
Hurricanes vs. Flyersbacked Flyers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Avalanche vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
Rangers vs. Jets: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+150.6%+$25.61
Ducks vs. Jets: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Flames vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$18.01
Rangers vs. Flyersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+127.8%+$20.45
Islanders vs. Kings: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+150%+$16.5
Islanders vs. Ducksbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Panthers vs. Devils: O/U 5.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+85.2%+$16.19
Hurricanes vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST+156.4%+$17.21
Blue Jackets vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 3, 2026, EST-100%-$30
Red Wings vs. Predatorsbacked Predators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$20
Flames vs. Ducksbacked Flames · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$11
Canucks vs. Krakenbacked Kraken · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$8.34
Penguins vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$11Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+112.8%+$12.4
Flyers vs. Rangersbacked Rangers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$15
Avalanche vs. Senators: O/U 6.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 29, 2026, EST+88.7%+$14.37
All 22 picks, newest first.
UFC Inactivelast resolved Jul 12, 2026, EDT2045%9 W · 11 L+2.4wins+0.12per pick33cpaid+50.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
UFC — the 20 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in UFC, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UFC 329: Max Holloway vs. Conor McGregor (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Conor McGregor · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
UFC Freedom 250: Justin Gaethje vs. Ilia Topuria (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Justin Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+400%+$100
UFC Freedom 250: Derrick Lewis vs. Josh Hokit (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Derrick Lewis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Song Yadong vs. Deiveson Figueiredo (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Deiveson Figueiredo · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
UFC Fight Night: Luis Felipe Dias vs. Yi Sak Lee (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Yi Sak Lee · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
UFC Fight Night: Arnold Allen vs. Melquizael Costa (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Melquizael Costa · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$13
UFC Fight Night: Dooho Choi vs. Daniel Santos (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Dooho Choi · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$120Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$188.47
UFC Fight Night: Malcolm Wellmaker vs. Juan Diaz (Bantamweight, Main Card)backed Juan Diaz · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT+212.5%+$31.88
UFC Fight Night: Cody Brundage vs. Andre Petroski (Middleweight, Prelims)backed Cody Brundage · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+150%+$45
UFC 328: Joaquin Buckley vs. Sean Brady (Welterweight, Main Card)backed Sean Brady · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+91.7%+$71.5
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)backed Sean Strickland · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)20c$68Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+411.9%+$280.95
UFC 328: Jeremy Stephens vs. King Green (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Jeremy Stephens · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$19
UFC 328: Tatsuro Taira vs. Joshua Van (Flyweight, Main Card)backed Joshua Van · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT+179.6%+$57.48
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)backed Waldo Cortes-Acosta · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$14
UFC 328: Yaroslav Amosov vs. Joel Álvarez (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Joel Álvarez · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: Chris Curtis vs. Myktybek Orolbai (Welterweight, Prelims)backed Chris Curtis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
UFC Fight Night: SuYoung You vs. Elijah Smith (Bantamweight, Prelims)backed SuYoung You · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$18
UFC Fight Night: King Green vs. Daniel Zellhuber (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Green · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+300%+$48
UFC 325: Volkanovski vs. Lopes (Featherweight, Main Card)backed Lopes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$16
UFC 324: Gaethje vs. Pimblett (Lightweight, Main Card)backed Gaethje · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$23Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+203.6%+$46.12
All 20 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jul 7, 2026, EDT1735.3%6 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick31cpaid-20%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)3c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 7, 2026, EDT-100%-$23.8
Will Cape Verde win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Will Germany win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)5c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$15.12
Will Japan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)2c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 29, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.58
Will South Korea win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)0c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 28, 2026, EDT-100%-$41.6
South Africa vs. Korea Republic: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$20
Switzerland vs. Canada: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 24, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$16.5
Will Norway win on 2026-06-22?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$21
Argentina vs. Austria: Austria 1st Half O/U 0.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$22.4
New Zealand vs. Egypt: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+112.8%+$13.53
Uruguay vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$24Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$29.33
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.6
Spain vs. Saudi Arabia: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$14.7
IR Iran vs. New Zealand: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT+156.4%+$18.3
Spread: Belgium (-1.5)backed Belgium · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)37c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$14.8
Spain vs. Cabo Verde: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 15, 2026, EDT-100%-$23
United States vs. Paraguay: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT+150%+$24
All 17 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 24, 2026, EDT1560%9 W · 6 L+2.1wins+0.14per pick46cpaid+32.9%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Premier League — the 15 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-05-24?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 24, 2026, EDT-100%-$30
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-05-19?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$91Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+148%+$134.67
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-17?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$69Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$69
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$26Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 15, 2026, EDT+203%+$53.6
Will Tottenham Hotspur FC win on 2026-05-11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$53Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$53
West Ham United FC vs. Arsenal FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$60Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$60
Oxford United FC vs. Charlton Athletic FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-03-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$22.1
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$10Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+150%+$15
Manchester United FC vs. Crystal Palace FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+69.5%+$24.32
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+74.1%+$22.24
Will Wrexham AFC win on 2026-02-24?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+112.8%+$16.91
Sunderland AFC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+122.2%+$18.33
Manchester City FC vs. Fulham FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+75.4%+$10.56
Everton FC vs. Leeds United FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 26, 2026, EST-100%-$15
All 15 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT1020%2 W · 8 L-2.3wins-0.23per pick43cpaid-54%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
Asian League — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Pohang Steelers FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)39c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.3
Will Ulsan HD FC win on 2026-05-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$10.8
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+122.2%+$42.78
Bucheon FC 1995 vs. Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$17
Will Gimcheon Sangmu FC win on 2026-05-13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$10
Incheon United FC vs. Pohang Steelers FC: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$24
Gwangju FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$46Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$46
Jeju SK FC vs. FC Seoul: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 9, 2026, EDT+138.1%+$20.71
Daejeon Hana Citizen FC vs. FC Anyang: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$18
Jeju SK FC vs. Gwangju FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$17
All 10 picks, newest first.
Serie A Inactivelast resolved May 11, 2026, EDT580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+70.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
Serie A — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Mls Inactivelast resolved May 17, 2026, EDT540%2 W · 3 L-0.5wins-0.11per pick51cpaid-28.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Mls — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Europa Conference League Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT50%0 W · 5 L-2.1wins-0.42per pick42cpaid-100%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
Europa Conference League — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Europa Conference League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Lol Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT4100%4 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.42per pick58cpaid+77.6%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
Lol — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 30, 2026, EDT425%1 W · 3 L-0.7wins-0.18per pick43cpaid-56.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.21per pick45cpaid+49.1%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.6wins+0.30per pick20cpaid+163.2%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$15Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$15
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+426.3%+$63.95
All 2 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved May 12, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-7.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CA Osasuna vs. Club Atlético de Madrid: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)54c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 12, 2026, EDT+85.2%+$13.63
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-05-10?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$25
All 2 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Mar 14, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Angers SCO vs. OGC Nice: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$12
Lille OSC vs. FC Nantes: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$20Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$20
All 2 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-1.3wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.43per pick57cpaid+75.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
FC Twente '65 vs. FC Groningen: Both Teams to Scorebacked Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+75.4%+$9.81
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Jan 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.39per pick61cpaid+63.9%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Patriots vs. Broncosbacked Patriots · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)61c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageJan 25, 2026, EST+63.9%+$7.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved May 6, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.37per pick63cpaid+58.7%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 20°C on May 6?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 6, 2026, EDT+58.7%+$20.1
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia join the Board of Peace?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.2
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.