TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Serie A · resolved market

Bologna FC 1909 vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$125,919

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,919 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Serie A
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x1433…56a0backed Under56c16,691$9,347 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$9,346.791050%5 W · 5 L+0.3wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-2.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Over47c16,112$7,500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$8,612.455438.9%21 W · 33 L-2.2wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-7.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x1455…e5cdbacked Over45c11,724$5,276 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6,448.222348.4%108 W · 115 L-10.4wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-7.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xe20a…e469backed Under55c10,919$6,006 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,005.7219549.7%97 W · 98 L-1.8wins-0.01per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed Under54c9,273$5,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5,019.6816838.1%64 W · 104 L-4.4wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-29.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Over44c5,113$2,250 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2,863.2840447.3%191 W · 213 L+0.6wins0.00per pick47cpaid-8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under54c3,150$1,701 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,70133148.6%161 W · 170 L+3.3wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under66c2,713$1,788 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,787.552,53845.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L+13.8wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-12.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x683a…274ebacked Over35c2,700$950 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,749.663023.3%7 W · 23 L-0.8wins-0.03per pick26cpaid-29.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Over45c2,523$1,135 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,387.7145547%214 W · 241 L+5.3wins+0.01per pick46cpaid+2.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4133…5e70backed Over44c1,700$748 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$952.0696942.3%410 W · 559 L-13.0wins-0.01per pick44cpaid-14.4%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4a86…d3e0backed Under54c1,600$870 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$870.0940549.6%201 W · 204 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x12d9…01bbbacked Over43c1,445$621 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$823.653228.1%9 W · 23 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick26cpaid-20.9%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x8dcb…8709backed Over45c1,400$630 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$770933.3%3 W · 6 L+0.8wins+0.09per pick25cpaid-21.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over44c1,299$573 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$726.2498544.9%442 W · 543 L-17.3wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-3.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x219e…14d9backed Over46c1,088$500 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$587.623167.7%21 W · 10 L+0.4wins+0.01per pick66cpaid-0.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over33c998.97$327 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$671.5220544.9%92 W · 113 L+0.2wins0.00per pick45cpaid-1.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa374…9709backed Over45c800$360 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4404242.9%18 W · 24 L+0.3wins+0.01per pick42cpaid+0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x127f…8a29backed Over18c700$126 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5745518.2%10 W · 45 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick17cpaid+12.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5487…a014backed Under55c690$380 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$379.537250.5%188 W · 184 L+2.0wins+0.01per pick50cpaid+1.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf971…0a57backed Over43c596.99$259 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$338.095632.1%18 W · 38 L+1.2wins+0.02per pick30cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4cbb…c561backed Over18c555.56$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$455.562236.4%8 W · 14 L+1.2wins+0.06per pick31cpaid+2.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x71da…bc9ebacked Over46c414.24$190 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$224.249154.9%50 W · 41 L+7.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+23.4%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xa35f…b58fbacked Over45c320.48$144 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$176.269937.4%37 W · 62 L+2.0wins+0.02per pick35cpaid+8.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xd410…3a1bbacked Under54c300$162 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16212649.2%62 W · 64 L-1.3wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Under65c279.06$181 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$180.9749850.6%252 W · 246 L+10.0wins+0.02per pick49cpaid-12.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x6619…703ebacked Over45c260.39$117 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$143.397464.9%48 W · 26 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick66cpaid+1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4924…3782backed Under55c258.91$142 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$142.42450%12 W · 12 L0.0wins0.00per pick50cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xab8b…87acbacked Over45c240$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1321656.3%9 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.13per pick44cpaid+41%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x2d5c…1768backed Under54c200$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1082853.6%15 W · 13 L-0.1wins0.00per pick54cpaid+9.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x0189…cab8backed Over46c199.73$92 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$108.091650%8 W · 8 L-0.5wins-0.03per pick53cpaid+2.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Under55c196$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.88042.5%34 W · 46 L+0.8wins+0.01per pick41cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under32c187.5$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$603435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.4wins-0.10per pick45cpaid-23.7%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Under65c166.97$108 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$107.8293252%485 W · 447 L+11.4wins+0.01per pick51cpaid-4.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xb61f…976abacked Under63c158.73$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002673.1%19 W · 7 L+4.1wins+0.16per pick57cpaid+30.8%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9075…cfe8backed Over23c147.83$34 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$113.8318055%99 W · 81 L+15.9wins+0.09per pick46cpaid+20.2%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9ae2…20a3backed Under73c136.99$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1002653.8%14 W · 12 L-1.2wins-0.05per pick59cpaid-13%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x216b…fe46backed Over37c135.43$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$84.736956.5%39 W · 30 L+6.9wins+0.10per pick47cpaid+12.1%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xbf57…ecc4backed Under63c121.75$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.829750.5%49 W · 48 L-1.9wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-4.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x322f…65a5backed Under55c118.33$65 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65742.9%3 W · 4 L-0.4wins-0.06per pick49cpaid-9.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x9f7e…c230backed Over46c108.7$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.711348.7%55 W · 58 L+4.8wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+12.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed Under62c102.94$64 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$63.984136.6%15 W · 26 L-3.7wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-24.4%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf009…19e9backed Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5412232%39 W · 83 L-2.1wins-0.02per pick34cpaid+7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x55e4…f67dbacked Over46c100$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$545749.1%28 W · 29 L+1.4wins+0.03per pick47cpaid+1.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x50e9…5efebacked Under55c100$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.919257.6%53 W · 39 L+5.9wins+0.06per pick51cpaid+13.3%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xefff…c0efbacked Under55c90.88$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$501346.2%6 W · 7 L-1.3wins-0.10per pick56cpaid-23.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xefb9…e74fbacked Under55c90.03$49 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$49.123638.9%14 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-27.7%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x1c77…8f06backed Over45c87.93$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$47.932576%19 W · 6 L+3.6wins+0.15per pick61cpaid+29%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x2c93…0fb8backed Under67c84.67$57 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.736245.2%28 W · 34 L-4.7wins-0.08per pick53cpaid-6.2%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x3248…8ba9backed Over71c84.51$60 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.512152.4%11 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.06per pick59cpaid-9.1%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d20…f812backed Over30c83.33$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.3338739.8%154 W · 233 L-1.9wins0.00per pick40cpaid-7.3%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x0644…05debacked Over26c82.55$21 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.234261.9%26 W · 16 L+5.2wins+0.12per pick50cpaid+29.3%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over37c82.03$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$51.6611460.5%69 W · 45 L+14.9wins+0.13per pick47cpaid+27.8%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Over38c81$31 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.2215041.3%62 W · 88 L-6.3wins-0.04per pick46cpaid-15.4%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Over32c80$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$54.83100%3 W · 0 L+1.7wins+0.55per pick45cpaid+136.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x402a…bf33backed Under55c77.07$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.322347.8%11 W · 12 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-9.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb06c…6961backed Under65c76.92$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506960.9%42 W · 27 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick60cpaid+10.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xe831…e4dabacked Over46c65.22$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.2210242.2%43 W · 59 L+4.4wins+0.04per pick38cpaid+10.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x217d…737ebacked Under31c64.52$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2030%0 W · 3 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x9952…ceb2backed Over44c63.66$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.472536%9 W · 16 L-1.6wins-0.06per pick42cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xf10a…d6c2backed Over33c60.61$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.611741.2%7 W · 10 L-1.3wins-0.08per pick49cpaid+7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x21c2…6749backed Over54c60$32 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.618858.5%110 W · 78 L+16.6wins+0.09per pick50cpaid+12.7%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Over44c59.65$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.4149137.5%184 W · 307 L-17.0wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-31.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x9b89…99e2backed Over45c56.6$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.1319542.6%83 W · 112 L-10.3wins-0.05per pick48cpaid-14.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under55c55.54$31 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30.5526040%104 W · 156 L-13.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-12.5%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x2b85…bf37backed Over46c51.5$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.898940.4%36 W · 53 L-5.7wins-0.06per pick47cpaid-17.4%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xf2ba…4028backed Over44c50$22 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2826747.2%126 W · 141 L+7.7wins+0.03per pick44cpaid+3.4%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x13b5…2c2cbacked Over46c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$274740.4%19 W · 28 L-1.6wins-0.03per pick44cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x86a8…d0e7backed Over42c47.62$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.625653.6%30 W · 26 L+1.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+1.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x079f…a9d1backed Over54c46$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.22330.4%7 W · 16 L-3.8wins-0.16per pick47cpaid-36.3%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xee07…3573backed Over45c44.54$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.544362.8%27 W · 16 L+8.0wins+0.19per pick44cpaid+41%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x96b4…c2f1backed Over45c44.44$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$24.446937.7%26 W · 43 L-2.9wins-0.04per pick42cpaid-14.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x20c7…bc23backed Over46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.48580%4 W · 1 L+1.6wins+0.32per pick48cpaid+70.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xa639…f5e8backed Over46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.4811955.5%66 W · 53 L+12.4wins+0.10per pick45cpaid+25.2%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xb5d2…6e5dbacked Over46c43.48$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.481346.2%6 W · 7 L+1.8wins+0.14per pick32cpaid+34.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xbf07…4a12backed Over46c40$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.611255.4%62 W · 50 L+15.5wins+0.14per pick42cpaid+40.9%equal weight63+0.11 edge/pick
0x5654…3fa2backed Over37c37.94$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.947100%7 W · 0 L+3.5wins+0.49per pick51cpaid+115.5%equal weight62+0.11 edge/pick
0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over41c36.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.592250%11 W · 11 L+1.6wins+0.07per pick43cpaid+26%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc6ad…e759backed Under63c36.51$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$231936.8%7 W · 12 L-2.3wins-0.12per pick49cpaid-23.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x8df3…9d6bbacked Under56c35.78$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.56per pick56cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x77bc…b91bbacked Under54c31.28$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.8991043.3%394 W · 516 L-14.1wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-18.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x7cc3…1e73backed Under56c30$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.83458.8%20 W · 14 L+0.8wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.4%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x66b2…5165backed Over37c30$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191145.5%5 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.11per pick34cpaid+38.6%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xc770…8dbbbacked Over46c30$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.224660.9%28 W · 18 L+0.1wins0.00per pick61cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe8a0…e5ccbacked Over45c26.67$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.671250%6 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.04per pick54cpaid-2.3%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x19cf…5636backed Under55c24.94$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.69666.7%4 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.15per pick52cpaid+29.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x6505…524abacked Under55c24.91$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.7333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.31per pick64cpaid-56.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xca2d…39edbacked Over44c23.74$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.299857.1%56 W · 42 L+7.5wins+0.08per pick49cpaid+15.8%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x206c…4c2ebacked Over46c23.51$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.26per pick51cpaid-45.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xe824…65b4backed Under55c18.2$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.014751.1%24 W · 23 L-1.4wins-0.03per pick54cpaid+11.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd154…9265backed Under56c18.18$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.1630%0 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.43per pick43cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x0484…79febacked Under64c15.63$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1010%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.64per pick64cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.