Serie A · resolved market
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xee9a49cf8308edf2c820e9a72fe1dd6bc93c313b8d3c8ea177f0ca6a4e0e0313
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $125,919
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $125,919 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 92 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1433…56a0backed Under | 56c | 16,691$9,347 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,346.79 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a6c…0b3fbacked Over | 47c | 16,112$7,500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,612.45 | 54 | 38.9%21 W · 33 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1455…e5cdbacked Over | 45c | 11,724$5,276 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,448.2 | 223 | 48.4%108 W · 115 L | -10.4wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe20a…e469backed Under | 55c | 10,919$6,006 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,005.72 | 195 | 49.7%97 W · 98 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 54c | 9,273$5,020 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$5,019.68 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x160b…4296backed Over | 44c | 5,113$2,250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,863.28 | 404 | 47.3%191 W · 213 L | +0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Under | 54c | 3,150$1,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,701 | 331 | 48.6%161 W · 170 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 66c | 2,713$1,788 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,787.55 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x683a…274ebacked Over | 35c | 2,700$950 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,749.66 | 30 | 23.3%7 W · 23 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -29.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Over | 45c | 2,523$1,135 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,387.71 | 455 | 47%214 W · 241 L | +5.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Over | 44c | 1,700$748 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.06 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4a86…d3e0backed Under | 54c | 1,600$870 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$870.09 | 405 | 49.6%201 W · 204 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x12d9…01bbbacked Over | 43c | 1,445$621 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$823.65 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8dcb…8709backed Over | 45c | 1,400$630 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$770 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 25cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 44c | 1,299$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$726.24 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 46c | 1,088$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$587.62 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Over | 33c | 998.97$327 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$671.52 | 205 | 44.9%92 W · 113 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa374…9709backed Over | 45c | 800$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$440 | 42 | 42.9%18 W · 24 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x127f…8a29backed Over | 18c | 700$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$574 | 55 | 18.2%10 W · 45 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5487…a014backed Under | 55c | 690$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.5 | 372 | 50.5%188 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 43c | 596.99$259 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$338.09 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbb…c561backed Over | 18c | 555.56$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$455.56 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x71da…bc9ebacked Over | 46c | 414.24$190 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.24 | 91 | 54.9%50 W · 41 L | +7.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +23.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa35f…b58fbacked Over | 45c | 320.48$144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$176.26 | 99 | 37.4%37 W · 62 L | +2.0wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked Under | 54c | 300$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162 | 126 | 49.2%62 W · 64 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Under | 65c | 279.06$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.97 | 498 | 50.6%252 W · 246 L | +10.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 45c | 260.39$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$143.39 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4924…3782backed Under | 55c | 258.91$142 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.4 | 24 | 50%12 W · 12 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xab8b…87acbacked Over | 45c | 240$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d5c…1768backed Under | 54c | 200$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108 | 28 | 53.6%15 W · 13 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0189…cab8backed Over | 46c | 199.73$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.09 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Under | 55c | 196$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.8 | 80 | 42.5%34 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86a6…1b3ebacked Under | 32c | 187.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 34 | 35.3%12 W · 22 L | -3.4wins | -0.10per pick | 45cpaid | -23.7%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 65c | 166.97$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.82 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb61f…976abacked Under | 63c | 158.73$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 73.1%19 W · 7 L | +4.1wins | +0.16per pick | 57cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 23c | 147.83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.83 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae2…20a3backed Under | 73c | 136.99$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -1.2wins | -0.05per pick | 59cpaid | -13%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x216b…fe46backed Over | 37c | 135.43$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.73 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | +6.9wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Under | 63c | 121.75$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.82 | 97 | 50.5%49 W · 48 L | -1.9wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x322f…65a5backed Under | 55c | 118.33$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9f7e…c230backed Over | 46c | 108.7$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.7 | 113 | 48.7%55 W · 58 L | +4.8wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | +12.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 62c | 102.94$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.98 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf009…19e9backed Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 122 | 32%39 W · 83 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | +7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55e4…f67dbacked Over | 46c | 100$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 57 | 49.1%28 W · 29 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x50e9…5efebacked Under | 55c | 100$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.91 | 92 | 57.6%53 W · 39 L | +5.9wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefff…c0efbacked Under | 55c | 90.88$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.3wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xefb9…e74fbacked Under | 55c | 90.03$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.12 | 36 | 38.9%14 W · 22 L | -3.9wins | -0.11per pick | 50cpaid | -27.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1c77…8f06backed Over | 45c | 87.93$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.93 | 25 | 76%19 W · 6 L | +3.6wins | +0.15per pick | 61cpaid | +29%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Under | 67c | 84.67$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.73 | 62 | 45.2%28 W · 34 L | -4.7wins | -0.08per pick | 53cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed Over | 71c | 84.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.51 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0d20…f812backed Over | 30c | 83.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.33 | 387 | 39.8%154 W · 233 L | -1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0644…05debacked Over | 26c | 82.55$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$61.23 | 42 | 61.9%26 W · 16 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd9c0…7fc1backed Over | 37c | 82.03$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.66 | 114 | 60.5%69 W · 45 L | +14.9wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 38c | 81$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.22 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9cd7…ec7cbacked Over | 32c | 80$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.8 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +136.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x402a…bf33backed Under | 55c | 77.07$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb06c…6961backed Under | 65c | 76.92$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 69 | 60.9%42 W · 27 L | +0.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe831…e4dabacked Over | 46c | 65.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.22 | 102 | 42.2%43 W · 59 L | +4.4wins | +0.04per pick | 38cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x217d…737ebacked Under | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9952…ceb2backed Over | 44c | 63.66$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.47 | 25 | 36%9 W · 16 L | -1.6wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf10a…d6c2backed Over | 33c | 60.61$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.61 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Over | 54c | 60$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.6 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +16.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Over | 44c | 59.65$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.41 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Over | 45c | 56.6$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.13 | 195 | 42.6%83 W · 112 L | -10.3wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Under | 55c | 55.54$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.55 | 260 | 40%104 W · 156 L | -13.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed Over | 46c | 51.5$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.89 | 89 | 40.4%36 W · 53 L | -5.7wins | -0.06per pick | 47cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 44c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…2c2cbacked Over | 46c | 50$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27 | 47 | 40.4%19 W · 28 L | -1.6wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x86a8…d0e7backed Over | 42c | 47.62$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.62 | 56 | 53.6%30 W · 26 L | +1.6wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Over | 54c | 46$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.2 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xee07…3573backed Over | 45c | 44.54$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.54 | 43 | 62.8%27 W · 16 L | +8.0wins | +0.19per pick | 44cpaid | +41%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x96b4…c2f1backed Over | 45c | 44.44$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.44 | 69 | 37.7%26 W · 43 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20c7…bc23backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +70.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa639…f5e8backed Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +12.4wins | +0.10per pick | 45cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xb5d2…6e5dbacked Over | 46c | 43.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.48 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.14per pick | 32cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf07…4a12backed Over | 46c | 40$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.6 | 112 | 55.4%62 W · 50 L | +15.5wins | +0.14per pick | 42cpaid | +40.9%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x5654…3fa2backed Over | 37c | 37.94$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.94 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x3b7f…7aecbacked Over | 41c | 36.59$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.59 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.6wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | +26%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ad…e759backed Under | 63c | 36.51$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -2.3wins | -0.12per pick | 49cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8df3…9d6bbacked Under | 56c | 35.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 54c | 31.28$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.89 | 910 | 43.3%394 W · 516 L | -14.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cc3…1e73backed Under | 56c | 30$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66b2…5165backed Over | 37c | 30$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 34cpaid | +38.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 46c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.22 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe8a0…e5ccbacked Over | 45c | 26.67$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.67 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x19cf…5636backed Under | 55c | 24.94$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.69 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +29.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6505…524abacked Under | 55c | 24.91$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.7 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.31per pick | 64cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca2d…39edbacked Over | 44c | 23.74$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 98 | 57.1%56 W · 42 L | +7.5wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +15.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x206c…4c2ebacked Over | 46c | 23.51$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.7 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.0wins | -0.26per pick | 51cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 55c | 18.2$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.01 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd154…9265backed Under | 56c | 18.18$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0484…79febacked Under | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.64per pick | 64cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5this page
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5Over won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)Hellas Verona FC won
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-2.5)Hellas Verona FC won
- Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-1.5)Bologna FC 1909 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.