Serie A · resolved market
Bologna FC 1909 vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb05b4530d9e4bf026be44c79edcf9b6ef2065f18c07c6563728f649f2326e5cc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Serie Aevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,812
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $26,812 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 59 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Serie A is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Serie A | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Under | 45c | 2,549$1,143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,142.63 | 2,538 | 45.9%1,164 W · 1,374 L | +13.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x219e…14d9backed Over | 72c | 2,088$1,503 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$584.64 | 31 | 67.7%21 W · 10 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed Under | 28c | 1,657$464 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$463.77 | 969 | 42.3%410 W · 559 L | -13.0wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Under | 43c | 1,575$672 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$671.9 | 168 | 38.1%64 W · 104 L | -4.4wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 1,503$704 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$703.64 | 932 | 52%485 W · 447 L | +11.4wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x86f4…40d5backed Over | 71c | 999.98$710 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$289.99 | 50 | 64%32 W · 18 L | +4.8wins | +0.10per pick | 54cpaid | +20.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8e5a…154cbacked Over | 44c | 809.11$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$456.7 | 75 | 52%39 W · 36 L | +2.3wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x357b…0b65backed Over | 72c | 694.44$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.44 | 23 | 60.9%14 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 70cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4e3b…4afdbacked Over | 43c | 692.39$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$392.39 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +3.6wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +26.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xce2b…08fabacked Over | 70c | 642.86$450 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.86 | 89 | 57.3%51 W · 38 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1a6…afa6backed Under | 60c | 500.03$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4cbb…c561backed Over | 44c | 454.55$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.55 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | +1.2wins | +0.06per pick | 31cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34a9…d343backed Over | 44c | 422.73$186 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$236.73 | 29 | 37.9%11 W · 18 L | -2.3wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6619…703ebacked Over | 72c | 416.67$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.67 | 74 | 64.9%48 W · 26 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Over | 43c | 339.39$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.07 | 56 | 32.1%18 W · 38 L | +1.2wins | +0.02per pick | 30cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9db0…0f6abacked Over | 49c | 300$147 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153 | 150 | 42%63 W · 87 L | -3.2wins | -0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fcd…42f2backed Over | 63c | 299.98$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.99 | 25 | 84%21 W · 4 L | +4.4wins | +0.18per pick | 66cpaid | +27.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x15a6…bf5dbacked Under | 37c | 281.66$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.21 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +29.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee8f…9f44backed Over | 56c | 269.33$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.64 | 28 | 71.4%20 W · 8 L | +3.8wins | +0.14per pick | 58cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Under | 48c | 264.75$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.01 | 152 | 59.9%91 W · 61 L | +7.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x21c2…6749backed Over | 53c | 255$136 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.49 | 188 | 58.5%110 W · 78 L | +16.6wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x079f…a9d1backed Over | 52c | 210$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100.03 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.8wins | -0.16per pick | 47cpaid | -36.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ad…c898backed Over | 44c | 199.99$89 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.1 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +12.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f3f…959bbacked Under | 28c | 178.57$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 41 | 31.7%13 W · 28 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3248…8ba9backed Over | 59c | 169.49$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.49 | 21 | 52.4%11 W · 10 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 59cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Under | 28c | 145.18$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.65 | 985 | 44.9%442 W · 543 L | -17.3wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Under | 44c | 122.67$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.69 | 41 | 36.6%15 W · 26 L | -3.7wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -24.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3999…c2bbbacked Over | 72c | 113.89$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.89 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -6.3wins | -0.15per pick | 50cpaid | -37%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x6562…4e48backed Over | 44c | 113.64$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.64 | 143 | 51%73 W · 70 L | -10.8wins | -0.08per pick | 59cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfe83…3b00backed Over | 50c | 109.97$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.51 | 8 | 87.5%7 W · 1 L | +1.5wins | +0.19per pick | 68cpaid | +31.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc519…348abacked Over | 65c | 103$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.05 | 150 | 41.3%62 W · 88 L | -6.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd235…6eebbacked Over | 44c | 93.18$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.18 | 152 | 38.8%59 W · 93 L | +3.1wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeef3…0547backed Under | 55c | 90.91$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +44.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9075…cfe8backed Over | 61c | 81.97$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.97 | 180 | 55%99 W · 81 L | +15.9wins | +0.09per pick | 46cpaid | +20.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4a4b…bbcabacked Over | 49c | 80$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.8 | 345 | 53.9%186 W · 159 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a1f…5ea8backed Over | 55c | 72.73$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.73 | 54 | 48.1%26 W · 28 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Under | 28c | 72.01$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.03 | 491 | 37.5%184 W · 307 L | -17.0wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -31.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x418b…a741backed Over | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.44 | 179 | 58.7%105 W · 74 L | -6.9wins | -0.04per pick | 63cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb51f…b7dbbacked Under | 29c | 68.97$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 17 | 41.2%7 W · 10 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 37cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Under | 47c | 63.54$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc32…00bfbacked Over | 56c | 62.5$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.5 | 81 | 58%47 W · 34 L | +6.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd5f2…2512backed Over | 44c | 50.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +3.3wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +19.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc770…8dbbbacked Over | 72c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 61cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 71c | 50$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 267 | 47.2%126 W · 141 L | +7.7wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfaa0…441abacked Over | 43c | 50$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Over | 72c | 47.15$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.2 | 119 | 64.7%77 W · 42 L | +15.1wins | +0.13per pick | 52cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 62+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xb18c…df51backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +2.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +16%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8816…7082backed Over | 44c | 45.45$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.45 | 109 | 51.4%56 W · 53 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf877…77e1backed Over | 73c | 44$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.88 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +0.1wins | +0.03per pick | 72cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1813…4dfebacked Under | 30c | 38.01$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 145 | 53.1%77 W · 68 L | +6.7wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe824…65b4backed Under | 29c | 37.2$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.79 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +11.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 42c | 36.84$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.3 | 163 | 40.5%66 W · 97 L | -14.5wins | -0.09per pick | 49cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3590…68f1backed Under | 29c | 35.17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.2 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.08per pick | 47cpaid | -17.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfc87…d938backed Over | 57c | 35.09$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.09 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +1.4wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Under | 56c | 30.46$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.03 | 346 | 43.4%150 W · 196 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5654…3fa2backed Over | 62c | 29.26$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.26 | 7 | 100%7 W · 0 L | +3.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +115.5%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x2c46…dac9backed Over | 72c | 27.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.64 | 319 | 58.3%186 W · 133 L | +26.1wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4359…1260backed Over | 58c | 25.86$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.86 | 41 | 58.5%24 W · 17 L | -1.5wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a93…36babacked Over | 65c | 21.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.54 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.7wins | -0.22per pick | 59cpaid | -39.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Serie A and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 1.5this page
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Hellas Verona FC: Both Teams to ScoreYes won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 2.5Over won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 3.5Under won
- Bologna FC 1909 vs. Hellas Verona FC: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-1.5)Hellas Verona FC won
- Spread: Bologna FC 1909 (-2.5)Hellas Verona FC won
- Spread: Hellas Verona FC (-1.5)Bologna FC 1909 won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.