TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xf877…77e1

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
117
Categories scored
23
Categories below 50
9

Best Category: Stocks, grading 60 out of 100 (+0.09 per pick).

Best Category Stocks at 60 out of 100; worst Middle East at 45.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Stocks Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT2986.2%25 W · 4 L+4.8wins+0.16per pick70cpaid+24.9%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
Stocks — the 29 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Stocks, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.88
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $5.00-$6.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$6.84
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of March 16 above $5.00?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.4
Will Opendoor (OPEN) finish week of March 16 above $5.50?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$12.18
Will Google (GOOGL) close at >$320 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+26.6%+$7.77
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of March 16 above $162?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$4.76
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 16 above $415?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$9.92
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of March 16 above $190?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$7.56
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 16 above $385?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$27.2
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of March 16 above $420?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$4.56
Will Russell 2000 (RUT) close over 2,600 on Friday of the week of Mar 16 – Mar 20?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)65c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+53.8%+$8.05
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of March 9 above $151?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 14, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
Will Tesla (TSLA) close at <$385 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+75.4%+$25.64
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of March 9 above $157?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)59c$25Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+69.5%+$17.22
Will Palantir (PLTR) finish week of March 9 above $159?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$18.02
Will Opendoor (OPEN) close at $4.00-$5.00 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+92.3%+$32.16
Will Microsoft (MSFT) close at $400-$410 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.4
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 9 above $400?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$8.36
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $90-$100 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$16.32
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of March 9 above $395?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$15Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+47.1%+$7.04
Will Netflix (NFLX) close at $100-$110 on the final day of trading of the week of Mar 9 – Mar 13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+25%+$8.6
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of March 9 above $205?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$40Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$13.25
Will Google (GOOGL) finish week of March 9 above $305?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$29Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$12.6
Will Amazon (AMZN) finish week of March 9 above $215?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$6.51
Will Google (GOOGL) close above $305 on March 11?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT+37%+$11.88
Showing 25 of 29 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1369.2%9 W · 4 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick76cpaid-9.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Telstar 1963 win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$19.44
Will Fortuna Sittard vs. Telstar 1963 end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$9.36
Will Go Ahead Eagles win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$9.2
Will Kasımpaşa SK win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.52
Spread: FC Twente '65 (-1.5)backed Go Ahead Eagles · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$37.44
Will Fatih Karagümrük SK win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$35Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$10.35
Çaykur Rizespor vs. Antalyaspor: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$45Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$15
Estoril Praia vs. Casa Pia AC: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$29.6
Beşiktaş JK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+26.6%+$3.57
FC Alverca vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+33.3%+$9
FC Alverca vs. AVS Futebol: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$32.25
Moreirense FC vs. CD Nacional: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+38.9%+$16.52
Rams Başakşehir FK vs. Göztepe SK: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+31.6%+$10.08
All 13 picks, newest first.
Mls Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1266.7%8 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.08per pick75cpaid-11.8%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Mls — the 12 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Mls, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portland Timbers win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.16
Will Nashville SC vs. Minnesota United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+29.9%+$3.68
Will Minnesota United FC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+25%+$7.4
Will St. Louis City SC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+42.9%+$5.1
Will Sporting Kansas City vs. San Diego FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$3.52
Colorado Rapids SC vs. Los Angeles Galaxy: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$24.49
Will Charlotte FC vs. Austin FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+35.1%+$4.16
Will Austin FC win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+35.1%+$4.16
Will Real Salt Lake win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$12.24
Sporting Kansas City vs. San Diego FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST+26.6%+$9.87
Nashville SC vs. Minnesota United FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$11.9
Charlotte FC vs. Austin FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EST-100%-$24.42
All 12 picks, newest first.
Premier League Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1181.8%9 W · 2 L+0.8wins+0.08per pick74cpaid+10%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Wrexham AFC vs. Chelsea FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+47.1%+$14.08
Will Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+33.3%+$4
Newcastle United FC vs. Manchester United FC: O/U 4.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.52
Will Aston Villa FC vs. Chelsea FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$4.16
Will Manchester City FC win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$42Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$41.89
Spread: Manchester City FC (-2.5)backed Nottingham Forest FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+26.6%+$9.87
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$17Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+29.9%+$5.06
Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$27Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+35.1%+$9.62
Spread: Arsenal FC (-1.5)backed Brighton & Hove Albion FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+44.9%+$14.57
Will West Ham United FC win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12
Spread: Fulham FC (-1.5)backed West Ham United FC · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+29.9%+$11.04
All 11 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick71cpaid+12.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 9 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Karlsruher SC vs. SG Dynamo Dresden end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.84
Will SC Preußen Münster win on 2026-03-08?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+37%+$4.59
Hannover 96 vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$15.3
VfL Wolfsburg vs. Hamburger SV: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+49.3%+$18.15
RB Leipzig vs. FC Augsburg: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+51.5%+$19.04
Will 1. FSV Mainz 05 win on 2026-03-07?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$42Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+40.8%+$17.11
1. FC Heidenheim 1846 vs. TSG 1899 Hoffenheim: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$32Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+51.5%+$16.66
1. FC Nürnberg vs. TSV Fortuna 95 Düsseldorf: O/U 1.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$17.6
Will FC Schalke 04 vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld end in a draw?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+33.3%+$4
All 9 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT8100%8 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
La Liga — the 8 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NBA Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST650%3 W · 3 L-1.3wins-0.22per pick72cpaid-30.8%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
NBA — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NBA, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST580%4 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.06per pick74cpaid+9.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Serie A Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+2.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
Serie A — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Serie A, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Middle East Inactivelast resolved Mar 11, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.46per pick79cpaid-58.3%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
Middle East — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Commodities Inactivelast resolved Mar 24, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.32per pick68cpaid+48.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

World Politics Inactivelast resolved Mar 26, 2026, EDT2100%2 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.21per pick79cpaid+26.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
World Politics — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

NHL Inactivelast resolved Mar 5, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.20per pick70cpaid-32.4%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Hurricanes vs. Canucksbacked Hurricanes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST+35.1%+$13
Islanders vs. Ducksbacked Islanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$44.89
All 2 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved Mar 20, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.30per pick80cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Weather Inactivelast resolved Mar 10, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.33per pick67cpaid+49.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Weather — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by March 8?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 10, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$5.94
All 1 picks, newest first.
Lol Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Lol — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Lol, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
LoL: JD Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO5) - LPL Playoffsbacked Bilibili Gaming · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+37%+$12.69
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Al Fateh Saudi Club win on 2026-03-06?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+35.1%+$4.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Venezuela Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Venezuela — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Venezuela, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Trump announces new drug boat strike by March 7, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT+35.1%+$4.16
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.24per pick76cpaid+31.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will 'Kiss All The Time. Disco, Occasionally' - Harry Styles debut week album sales be at least 550k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$37Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 13, 2026, EDT+31.6%+$11.76
All 1 picks, newest first.
Valorant Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.2wins+0.22per pick78cpaid+28.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Valorant — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Valorant, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Valorant: All Gamers vs G2 Esports - Map 1 Winnerbacked G2 Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$12Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+28.2%+$3.52
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 8, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Auckland FC win on 2026-03-07?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)68c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$12.24
All 1 picks, newest first.
Dota2 Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.7wins-0.71per pick71cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Dota2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Dota2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stagebacked Tundra Esports · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$37Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST-100%-$36.92
All 1 picks, newest first.
Fifa International Inactivelast resolved Jun 17, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.8wins-0.76per pick76cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
Fifa International — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Fifa International, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Portugal win on 2026-06-17?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 17, 2026, EDT-100%-$29.91
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.