TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

La Liga · resolved market

Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Noof Yes, No
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
Polymarket published no figure
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$57,800

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $57,800 TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 88 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in La Liga
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xd4a7…94dabacked Yes28c15,331$4,293 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4,292.5710%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x209e…b542backed No72c15,300$11,016 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,2841100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x61ec…838fbacked Yes59c3,720$2,200 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,2005052%26 W · 24 L-8.1wins-0.16per pick68cpaid-24.6%equal weight38-0.11 edge/pick
0x2005…75eabacked Yes9c3,610$321 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$321.253,44943%1,484 W · 1,965 L+32.1wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-10.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd37a…2358backed No72c3,529$2,533 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$996.6892254.1%499 W · 423 L+1.6wins0.00per pick54cpaid+1.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfb20…3b5cbacked Yes39c3,304$1,288 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,288.4623152.8%122 W · 109 L+3.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+2.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd48a…6e90backed No73c2,130$1,555 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$575.1413054.6%71 W · 59 L-4.3wins-0.03per pick58cpaid-7.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x7ea5…de7bbacked Yes28c1,762$493 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$493.142,34348.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L+1.9wins0.00per pick48cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes14c1,249$172 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$171.5812821.1%27 W · 101 L-12.2wins-0.10per pick31cpaid-51.7%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xfe49…9c28backed No72c1,185$853 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$331.871050%5 W · 5 L-0.8wins-0.08per pick58cpaid+5.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x160b…4296backed Yes27c764.51$206 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$206.4250449.8%251 W · 253 L+7.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid-0.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed No47c710.6$337 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$373.769134.1%31 W · 60 L-1.2wins-0.01per pick35cpaid-30.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd6a3…9489backed No61c706.76$431 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.6469142.5%294 W · 397 L-21.4wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-14%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Yes9c634.7$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$58.3129038.6%112 W · 178 L-1.4wins0.00per pick39cpaid-27.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x4cd9…a643backed No47c632.72$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$335.857339.7%29 W · 44 L-3.9wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-11.7%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Yes42c543.15$231 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$230.584,74047%2,230 W · 2,510 L-23.9wins-0.01per pick48cpaid-10.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x18c4…f6dcbacked No43c540$232 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$307.86468.8%44 W · 20 L+1.3wins+0.02per pick67cpaid+4.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4202…fcdabacked Yes29c476.35$138 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$138.1420%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.45per pick45cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x01c7…e995backed Yes61c434.61$263 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$263.051,41945.6%647 W · 772 L-9.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-18.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x4986…aacbbacked Yes29c374.83$109 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$108.76045%27 W · 33 L+3.1wins+0.05per pick40cpaid+42.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe911…3d4ebacked Yes57c347.46$197 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$197.3483939.8%334 W · 505 L-21.0wins-0.02per pick42cpaid-15.4%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Yes28c345.82$97 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$96.8379133%261 W · 530 L-8.9wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-8.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x0a86…5664backed Yes29c303.45$88 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$884334.9%15 W · 28 L+1.6wins+0.04per pick31cpaid+34.9%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x881b…9893backed No72c295.21$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$82.21616.7%1 W · 5 L-1.4wins-0.23per pick39cpaid-76.9%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x2ea8…af03backed No44c273$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$152.881353.8%7 W · 6 L+1.1wins+0.09per pick45cpaid+19%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xe01c…7f6cbacked Yes28c272.63$76 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$76.34977.8%7 W · 2 L+1.9wins+0.21per pick56cpaid+26.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xe350…61f0backed Yes28c201$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$56.281040%4 W · 6 L-0.5wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-7.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfa01…f0a7backed Yes28c200$56 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$5642458%246 W · 178 L+2.3wins+0.01per pick57cpaid+1.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6bde…b181backed Yes27c200$54 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$541338.5%5 W · 8 L+1.7wins+0.13per pick26cpaid+36.7%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x4306…618abacked Yes54c185.19$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1004445.5%20 W · 24 L-2.8wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-24.7%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x664f…78f4backed No72c181.72$131 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$50.882100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.49per pick52cpaid+130.7%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe70c…c938backed Yes29c172.41$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$506645.5%30 W · 36 L+0.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed No42c166.56$70 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$96.0835145.6%160 W · 191 L+9.1wins+0.03per pick43cpaid+0.3%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x61d8…b596backed Yes61c164.34$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$100650%3 W · 3 L+0.4wins+0.06per pick44cpaid+12.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xed9d…444abacked Yes28c151.32$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.371428.6%4 W · 10 L-1.4wins-0.10per pick39cpaid-45.9%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0xa073…da6fbacked No72c149.23$107 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$41.78366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.2wins+0.08per pick59cpaid-4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x57ba…a7c7backed No72c145.4$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.714100%4 W · 0 L+1.5wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+64%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xad18…0b4fbacked No36c138.89$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$88.894344.2%19 W · 24 L+3.1wins+0.07per pick37cpaid+33.2%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x1813…4dfebacked No45c138.09$62 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$75.6528847.6%137 W · 151 L-4.6wins-0.02per pick49cpaid+2%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x8549…41f8backed Yes29c137.93$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$409034.4%31 W · 59 L+4.5wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+19.1%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x15c2…9062backed Yes28c137$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.3610%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.28per pick28cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8902…566fbacked Yes17c110$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.71040%4 W · 6 L+0.6wins+0.06per pick34cpaid+25.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xe48c…163abacked No46c108.15$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.1522553.8%121 W · 104 L+12.8wins+0.06per pick48cpaid+13.5%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe3ed…e29fbacked Yes14c103.89$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$14.59812.5%1 W · 7 L-2.5wins-0.31per pick44cpaid-83.1%equal weight42-0.08 edge/pick
0x2ecb…7645backed Yes11c102.41$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6915444.8%69 W · 85 L+0.3wins0.00per pick45cpaid-16%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc9e9…9ed3backed No72c102$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$28.56475%3 W · 1 L+0.1wins+0.03per pick72cpaid+4.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfc8c…8293backed Yes69c101.92$70 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$702369.6%16 W · 7 L+1.1wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x4512…5d41backed Yes29c100$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$297838.5%30 W · 48 L+4.0wins+0.05per pick33cpaid+18.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xf4d5…13eebacked No73c100$73 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$279276.1%70 W · 22 L+5.5wins+0.06per pick70cpaid+11.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xc516…3f8bbacked No77c100$77 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$232100%2 W · 0 L+1.0wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+212.3%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xaab6…607ebacked No72c100$72 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$2824546.9%115 W · 130 L-8.5wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa072…9e34backed No44c99.99$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.6926641.4%110 W · 156 L+15.2wins+0.06per pick36cpaid+2.2%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0x59dc…2a03backed No38c91.11$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$56.493240.6%13 W · 19 L+1.4wins+0.04per pick36cpaid-3.2%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x8ef7…1e3dbacked Yes29c89.66$26 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$267950.6%40 W · 39 L+0.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+1.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7c21…12bdbacked Yes29c86.67$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$25425%1 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.25per pick50cpaid-30.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0xbfe8…5832backed Yes29c86$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$24.94250%1 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.05per pick55cpaid-37.5%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xfcf1…99d3backed Yes56c81.19$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$45.455952.5%31 W · 28 L-5.2wins-0.09per pick61cpaid-15.4%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0x4f4d…ebdebacked No72c74.03$53 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.733470.6%24 W · 10 L+1.8wins+0.05per pick65cpaid+14%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x38c4…7c65backed No63c73.99$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.328672.1%62 W · 24 L+9.6wins+0.11per pick61cpaid+19.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0x576c…f218backed No71c69.98$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.299571.6%68 W · 27 L+6.7wins+0.07per pick64cpaid+14%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked No40c65.99$26 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.711,79851.4%924 W · 874 L+6.3wins0.00per pick51cpaid-2.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x83c2…790bbacked Yes31c65.71$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$20.0920%0 W · 2 L-1.0wins-0.50per pick50cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x4c8d…c1cbbacked Yes43c62.54$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27580%4 W · 1 L+1.1wins+0.23per pick57cpaid+38.8%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xc519…348abacked Yes27c60$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.110143.6%44 W · 57 L-2.4wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-14.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xbe3c…a835backed No30c58.57$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4123255.6%129 W · 103 L+18.5wins+0.08per pick48cpaid+17.6%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xfb9c…5a62backed Yes28c57.14$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$162740.7%11 W · 16 L-1.3wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x1b64…72eabacked Yes28c53.57$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$152832.1%9 W · 19 L-2.3wins-0.08per pick40cpaid-15.3%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x312d…edf7backed No72c53$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.841100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b69…3c00backed No73c52$38 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.041100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x9468…dc7dbacked Yes29c52$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.08875%6 W · 2 L+2.7wins+0.34per pick41cpaid+76%equal weight59+0.08 edge/pick
0x9734…8f5ebacked Yes29c51.72$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$153435.3%12 W · 22 L-3.9wins-0.11per pick47cpaid-31.9%equal weight43-0.07 edge/pick
0xf39a…fe47backed No67c51.66$35 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.8341348.7%201 W · 212 L-9.4wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.7%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf62d…e843backed Yes23c51.15$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1210%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.23per pick23cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes59c45.47$27 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$26.8117455.2%96 W · 78 L+0.4wins0.00per pick55cpaid-3.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3865…fcbebacked No55c45.36$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$20.366145.9%28 W · 33 L+1.1wins+0.02per pick44cpaid+14.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x2b34…b202backed Yes28c40$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.214044.3%62 W · 78 L-1.7wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-2.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xfc9a…e59bbacked No73c37$27 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.991100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Yes28c35.98$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.0732645.4%148 W · 178 L-3.7wins-0.01per pick47cpaid-4.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc66b…cc2dbacked No72c35$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$9.82100%2 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+65.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfb9d…d78ebacked No38c33.77$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$21.01250%1 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.22per pick28cpaid+32.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes63c31$20 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.6211947.1%56 W · 63 L+2.9wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-4.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x729f…8783backed No51c27$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$13.2366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.17per pick50cpaid+9.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x035b…3ca0backed No72c25$18 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7966.7%6 W · 3 L+0.6wins+0.07per pick60cpaid+15.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xb82f…9e1cbacked Yes65c23.08$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$151968.4%13 W · 6 L+1.3wins+0.07per pick62cpaid+11%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xcdbc…5238backed No72c23$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.441100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xadfb…c2efbacked No72c22.92$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.4248153.6%258 W · 223 L+16.7wins+0.03per pick50cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0xf877…77e1backed No72c17$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.768100%8 W · 0 L+2.2wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.8%equal weight57+0.07 edge/pick
0xf968…1228backed No72c15$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4.21100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.28per pick72cpaid+38.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.