La Liga · resolved market
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-03-04?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x720884b2b86d5ec751c60c214da74120c9620c2024c896554bd570963a417dc4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $124,374
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $124,374 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 125 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Yes | 12c | 31,758$3,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,752.83 | 4,753 | 47.1%2,238 W · 2,515 L | -21.3wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa1b3…0329backed Yes | 29c | 11,681$3,375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,375.41 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.09per pick | 42cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8627…5382backed Yes | 36c | 10,000$3,594 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,594.09 | 31 | 58.1%18 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 70c | 5,787$4,075 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,712.05 | 922 | 54.1%499 W · 423 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked No | 68c | 4,832$3,292 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,540.12 | 2,347 | 48.5%1,138 W · 1,209 L | +1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b62…2e59backed No | 71c | 4,000$2,840 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,159.97 | 57 | 42.1%24 W · 33 L | -3.4wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa196…5b78backed Yes | 31c | 3,095$958 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$958.42 | 167 | 40.1%67 W · 100 L | +2.4wins | +0.01per pick | 39cpaid | +1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked No | 64c | 2,649$1,701 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$947.86 | 3,461 | 43%1,489 W · 1,972 L | +31.4wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xada5…db70backed Yes | 29c | 2,515$729 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$729.35 | 96 | 40.6%39 W · 57 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c4…f6dcbacked No | 68c | 2,150$1,462 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$687.99 | 64 | 68.8%44 W · 20 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcf1…99d3backed No | 69c | 1,912$1,319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$592.68 | 59 | 52.5%31 W · 28 L | -5.2wins | -0.09per pick | 61cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed No | 70c | 1,671$1,168 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$502.8 | 1,421 | 45.7%649 W · 772 L | -9.2wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed No | 64c | 1,493$956 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$537.04 | 691 | 42.5%294 W · 397 L | -21.4wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -14%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 29c | 1,410$408 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$407.63 | 128 | 21.1%27 W · 101 L | -12.2wins | -0.10per pick | 31cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x14f7…232cbacked Yes | 22c | 1,409$310 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$310 | 12 | 16.7%2 W · 10 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd410…3a1bbacked No | 69c | 1,271$876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$394.38 | 213 | 55.9%119 W · 94 L | +5.7wins | +0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 71c | 1,017$725 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$292.55 | 1,798 | 51.4%924 W · 874 L | +6.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe18a…fd87backed Yes | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 223 | 35%78 W · 145 L | -10.7wins | -0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf439…bf9cbacked Yes | 32c | 1,000$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320 | 97 | 51.5%50 W · 47 L | +2.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdcfe…44b5backed No | 68c | 800$544 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$256 | 74 | 43.2%32 W · 42 L | -3.8wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5b64…eaf4backed Yes | 2c | 799.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.99 | 80 | 45%36 W · 44 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8de5…2b04backed Yes | 29c | 690$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.1 | 59 | 42.4%25 W · 34 L | -2.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf95a…d895backed Yes | 15c | 666.27$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.94 | 44 | 40.9%18 W · 26 L | +5.2wins | +0.12per pick | 29cpaid | +56.4%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x05d8…31cfbacked No | 68c | 649.8$442 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$207.44 | 57 | 64.9%37 W · 20 L | +3.7wins | +0.06per pick | 58cpaid | +3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4cd9…a643backed Yes | 14c | 545.75$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77.56 | 73 | 39.7%29 W · 44 L | -3.9wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1f62…76f6backed No | 70c | 500$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150 | 1,045 | 47.8%500 W · 545 L | +15.1wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefde…6505backed Yes | 29c | 495.99$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.24 | 326 | 45.4%148 W · 178 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x718e…c203backed Yes | 29c | 487.63$141 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$141.41 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd01c…7f9dbacked No | 70c | 453.47$317 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.04 | 890 | 50%445 W · 445 L | +24.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b18…0390backed Yes | 30c | 416.24$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -3.7wins | -0.17per pick | 53cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Yes | 27c | 370.37$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 70 | 24.3%17 W · 53 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 23cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe43…8f09backed No | 69c | 359.73$248 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.52 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 67cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x035b…3ca0backed No | 80c | 347.14$278 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.43 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +15.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d0c…a3b7backed No | 70c | 326.54$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.64 | 1,081 | 50.6%547 W · 534 L | +11.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc09a…bea0backed Yes | 33c | 302.94$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b85…bf37backed No | 66c | 301.39$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.47 | 143 | 42%60 W · 83 L | -5.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3cee…3f91backed Yes | 34c | 230.87$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.04 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.41per pick | 41cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3798…c20ebacked Yes | 30c | 209.97$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.63 | 30 | 40%12 W · 18 L | -3.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xffa9…eff1backed No | 80c | 207.63$166 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.53 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | -1.9wins | -0.14per pick | 76cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4865…904dbacked No | 70c | 207.59$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.28 | 31 | 64.5%20 W · 11 L | -0.8wins | -0.02per pick | 67cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x279a…ffc2backed Yes | 27c | 200.74$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 101 | 52.5%53 W · 48 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 44cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2a11…ef8ebacked No | 69c | 182.82$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$56.67 | 27 | 66.7%18 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.07per pick | 59cpaid | +9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 70c | 179.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9a6…1c3fbacked No | 68c | 179.57$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.46 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.8wins | +0.11per pick | 46cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f8c…bb53backed No | 72c | 178.3$128 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.92 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4542…0e60backed No | 72c | 166.85$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.72 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x576c…f218backed No | 71c | 159.98$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.09 | 95 | 71.6%68 W · 27 L | +6.7wins | +0.07per pick | 64cpaid | +14%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc59f…f632backed Yes | 32c | 158.73$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -1.1wins | -0.15per pick | 58cpaid | -38.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c38…3d15backed Yes | 32c | 156.25$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.8wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -30.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e2…c751backed No | 68c | 150$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48 | 59 | 61%36 W · 23 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c34…8dfabacked No | 68c | 147.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.06 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.6wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8088…24dabacked Yes | 31c | 143.15$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 63 | 49.2%31 W · 32 L | +2.7wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xffe7…471dbacked No | 70c | 142.86$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.86 | 148 | 52.7%78 W · 70 L | -10.9wins | -0.07per pick | 60cpaid | -16.8%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd7…8a4fbacked No | 72c | 142.48$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.89 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 71cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfd6…05cbbacked Yes | 30c | 135.59$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.68 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.14per pick | 60cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 31c | 120.55$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.29 | 174 | 55.2%96 W · 78 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9aa5…0f78backed Yes | 30c | 120$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x75ea…1616backed Yes | 35c | 119.66$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.88 | 44 | 56.8%25 W · 19 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7a49…d9f5backed No | 65c | 115.42$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.32 | 585 | 48%281 W · 304 L | +10.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x344b…f7fcbacked Yes | 24c | 112$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.2 | 119 | 47.1%56 W · 63 L | +2.9wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5eeb…01b2backed No | 68c | 111.55$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.73 | 156 | 43.6%68 W · 88 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc0…e57dbacked Yes | 23c | 108.7$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 104 | 31.7%33 W · 71 L | +8.7wins | +0.08per pick | 23cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x76cf…47d5backed Yes | 30c | 105$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.6 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.30per pick | 30cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2563…f946backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 138 | 44.9%62 W · 76 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7cdb…fe95backed Yes | 29c | 103.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +1.3wins | +0.13per pick | 47cpaid | +27.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd63d…8c40backed Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.1wins | -0.21per pick | 31cpaid | -76.7%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…9dcabacked Yes | 29c | 100$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29 | 45 | 40%18 W · 27 L | +2.0wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3fe…4a24backed Yes | 28c | 100$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28 | 40 | 60%24 W · 16 L | +3.8wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +16.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x87e8…5e6ebacked Yes | 33c | 90.91$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 110 | 56.4%62 W · 48 L | +1.7wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf680…2c59backed Yes | 29c | 86.21$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 57 | 50.9%29 W · 28 L | +6.1wins | +0.11per pick | 40cpaid | +43%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xfa1c…0144backed Yes | 35c | 85.93$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 29 | 58.6%17 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Yes | 21c | 76.03$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.92 | 413 | 23.2%96 W · 317 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 26cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc079…8accbacked No | 68c | 72.12$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.08 | 39 | 46.2%18 W · 21 L | +1.8wins | +0.05per pick | 42cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8c80…6f38backed Yes | 32c | 68.75$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 61 | 39.3%24 W · 37 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc9c2…f0a4backed Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 22 | 59.1%13 W · 9 L | -1.4wins | -0.06per pick | 65cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xce9e…10bebacked Yes | 31c | 64.52$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 90 | 56.7%51 W · 39 L | +3.9wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0157…d8dcbacked Yes | 30c | 63.5$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.05 | 142 | 33.8%48 W · 94 L | -9.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x88ff…78aebacked Yes | 16c | 63.13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.19per pick | 19cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Yes | 18c | 61.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.88 | 445 | 24.3%108 W · 337 L | -49.5wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -47.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed No | 65c | 61.15$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.61 | 1,529 | 38.5%588 W · 941 L | +8.9wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9c…5a62backed Yes | 30c | 53.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 27 | 40.7%11 W · 16 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0710…db3abacked No | 70c | 52$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +42.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbf73…d485backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddbc…6965backed Yes | 29c | 51.72$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 57 | 36.8%21 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 41cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3020…bc04backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 25 | 56%14 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 492 | 52.6%259 W · 233 L | +13.9wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x37fa…1136backed No | 69c | 50$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.5 | 41 | 65.9%27 W · 14 L | +3.8wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +22.5%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6c82…6150backed No | 68c | 50$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16 | 255 | 51.4%131 W · 124 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2809…0b89backed Yes | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 116 | 46.6%54 W · 62 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x614f…114dbacked Yes | 30c | 49.63$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 25 | 44%11 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x408b…3b91backed Yes | 33c | 48.48$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.18per pick | 43cpaid | -53.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13b5…2c2cbacked Yes | 29c | 48.28$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 65 | 44.6%29 W · 36 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70fd…ac40backed No | 70c | 48$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.32per pick | 68cpaid | +46.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee75…f59abacked No | 66c | 47.56$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.17 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +1.6wins | +0.20per pick | 55cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Yes | 29c | 44$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.76 | 232 | 50.4%117 W · 115 L | +11.2wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…78d9backed Yes | 29c | 41.38$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | +1.3wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | +14%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1989…2370backed Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2b34…b202backed No | 69c | 40$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.4 | 140 | 44.3%62 W · 78 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x389a…cf3dbacked Yes | 32c | 40$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.8 | 46 | 60.9%28 W · 18 L | +4.5wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9770…ae82backed Yes | 30c | 38.19$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.29 | 6 | 0%0 W · 6 L | -2.8wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Athletic Club win on 2026-03-04?this page
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol vs. Athletic Club end in a draw?No won
- Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-04?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.