TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x1989…2370

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
41
Categories scored
12
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: Australian A League, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category Australian A League at 58 out of 100; worst La Liga at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Feb 20, 2026, EST1942.1%8 W · 11 L+0.7wins+0.04per pick39cpaid+75.8%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 19 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UC Riverside Highlanders vs. Bakersfield Roadrunners (W)backed Bakersfield Roadrunners · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)58c$10Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$10.44
Tulane Green Wave vs. North Texas Mean Greenbacked Tulane Green Wave · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)45c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+122.2%+$34.1
South Dakota Coyotes vs. Denver Pioneersbacked South Dakota Coyotes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$24Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$23.94
Central Arkansas Bears vs. Stetson Hattersbacked Stetson Hatters · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)28c$19Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST-100%-$19.38
Albany Great Danes vs. NJIT Highlandersbacked NJIT Highlanders · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$12.96
Marshall Thundering Herd vs. Appalachian State Mountaineersbacked Marshall Thundering Herd · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$18Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+92.3%+$16.32
North Florida Ospreys vs. Stetson Hatters (W)backed North Florida Ospreys · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$11Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$11.27
Sacramento State Hornets vs. Eastern Washington Eagles (W)backed Sacramento State Hornets · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+92.3%+$12.48
Nevada Wolf Pack vs. Colorado State Rams (W)backed Nevada Wolf Pack · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$21.03
Lipscomb Bisons vs. Bellarmine Knightsbacked Lipscomb Bisons · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+49.3%+$6.93
Pacific Tigers vs. Washington State Cougarsbacked Pacific Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$14Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$14.1
Arkansas State Red Wolves vs. Texas State Bobcats (W)backed Texas State Bobcats · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$26Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$25.96
USC Upstate Spartans vs. Radford Highlanders (W)backed USC Upstate Spartans · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$34Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+480.9%+$164.23
Boston Terriers vs. Colgate Raiders (W)backed Boston Terriers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+79.2%+$11.05
Richmond Spiders vs. George Washington Revolutionaries (W)backed George Washington Revolutionaries · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$77Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+815.4%+$631.08
Troy Trojans vs. Louisiana-Monroe Warhawksbacked Louisiana-Monroe Warhawks · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$12.06
Creighton Bluejays vs. Connecticut Huskiesbacked Creighton Bluejays · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$65Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+809.1%+$523.68
Seton Hall Pirates vs. Xavier Musketeers (W)backed Xavier Musketeers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$35Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$34.5
Tulane Green Wave vs. Memphis Tigers (W)backed Memphis Tigers · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$29.99
All 19 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST520%1 W · 4 L-0.8wins-0.16per pick36cpaid-33.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST4100%4 W · 0 L+2.1wins+0.53per pick47cpaid+114%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

CS2 Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.12per pick45cpaid-34.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Mar 13, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.4wins-0.21per pick21cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST20%0 W · 2 L-0.9wins-0.44per pick44cpaid-100%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Athletic Club win on 2026-03-04?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$13Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$12.8
Will Real Sociedad de Fútbol win on 2026-03-04?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$22Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$22.4
All 2 picks, newest first.
Olympics Inactivelast resolved Feb 22, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.62per pick38cpaid+162%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Olympics — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Olympics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Winter Games 2026: Norway (-6.5) vs. USA (+6.5) gold medals?backed USA · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$13Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 22, 2026, EST+162%+$21.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 17, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$28Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST+104.1%+$29.58
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+91.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Juventus FC win on 2026-02-25?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$14Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+91.1%+$12.67
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 19, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Daniel Cameron be the Republican nominee for Senate in Kentucky?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$12Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT-100%-$11.61
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ligue 1 Inactivelast resolved Feb 21, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.31per pick31cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ligue 1 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ligue 1, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Toulouse FC vs. Paris FC: O/U 1.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$25Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 21, 2026, EST-100%-$24.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
NHL Inactivelast resolved Feb 19, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.36per pick36cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
NHL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NHL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
AHL: Syracuse Crunch vs. Belleville Senatorsbacked Belleville Senators · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$23Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 19, 2026, EST-100%-$23.4
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.