Australian A League · resolved market
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-02-25?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa4c691a2adab21a87d674aa5c770d35f6d29df7cf4ce11a50293ba5c95d97231
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Australian A Leagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $81,217
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $85,378
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $81,217 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 83 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Australian A League is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Australian A League | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x036c…178dbacked Yes | 60c | 27,625$16,701 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16,700.55 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -2.9wins | -0.41per pick | 55cpaid | -77.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…5e70backed No | 40c | 24,558$9,715 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14,842.8 | 466 | 44.8%209 W · 257 L | -23.0wins | -0.05per pick | 50cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed Yes | 3c | 10,875$290 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$290.22 | 24 | 29.2%7 W · 17 L | -3.1wins | -0.13per pick | 42cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1e29…9e66backed No | 40c | 6,708$2,666 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,042.2 | 45 | 51.1%23 W · 22 L | +1.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9fad…5a9fbacked Yes | 59c | 6,000$3,540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,539.99 | 120 | 55%66 W · 54 L | +12.6wins | +0.11per pick | 44cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x7681…ac03backed Yes | 4c | 3,870$155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.82 | 51 | 19.6%10 W · 41 L | +2.2wins | +0.04per pick | 15cpaid | +19.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0438…9d98backed No | 41c | 1,716$700 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,015.51 | 81 | 39.5%32 W · 49 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x34be…6797backed No | 39c | 1,331$519 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$811.91 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc8f3…9576backed Yes | 62c | 1,300$806 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$806 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.11per pick | 51cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa78e…74b0backed No | 39c | 1,273$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$776.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Yes | 4c | 901.25$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34 | 23 | 34.8%8 W · 15 L | -1.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -32.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x47eb…8195backed Yes | 61c | 871$531 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$531.31 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2abd…74ebbacked Yes | 63c | 808$509 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3acc…973dbacked No | 62c | 765$474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf0a8…0c57backed Yes | 61c | 715$436 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$436.15 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x13d6…926ebacked No | 41c | 700$287 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$413 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.06per pick | 36cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x26ad…990ebacked No | 37c | 646$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$406.98 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.13per pick | 37cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d22…da8bbacked No | 66c | 631$416 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.54 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Yes | 61c | 627$379 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$379.39 | 300 | 55.3%166 W · 134 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | +8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6813…39e6backed Yes | 38c | 608$231 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.04 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb0b1…4336backed No | 37c | 466$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$293.58 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.63per pick | 37cpaid | +170.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3e35…384fbacked Yes | 34c | 453$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.02 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Yes | 6c | 450.33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.2 | 106 | 33%35 W · 71 L | -5.4wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -30.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bb6…6d5fbacked Yes | 38c | 402$153 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.76 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Yes | 62c | 399.97$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.98 | 140 | 47.1%66 W · 74 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b47…9930backed Yes | 61c | 341$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed No | 39c | 332$129 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.52 | 104 | 48.1%50 W · 54 L | -3.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x43c9…47c1backed Yes | 63c | 309$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.67 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc461…e40abacked Yes | 60c | 301.3$181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$180.78 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.60per pick | 60cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb751…8d99backed No | 39c | 270$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$164.7 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.18per pick | 49cpaid | +45%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5243…a73cbacked Yes | 61c | 256$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.16 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.11per pick | 39cpaid | +212.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec92…1214backed No | 37c | 236$87 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$148.68 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.3wins | +0.65per pick | 35cpaid | +190.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1617…ec98backed Yes | 63c | 231$146 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.53 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1f68…2238backed Yes | 61c | 222$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Yes | 9c | 217.39$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.03 | 46 | 50%23 W · 23 L | +2.7wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbcf8…0657backed Yes | 61c | 204$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.44 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -46.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2fa4…9a4cbacked Yes | 61c | 200$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.20per pick | 70cpaid | -35.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6789…52f9backed No | 62c | 196$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.48 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d8e…7fe3backed Yes | 20c | 190.18$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.44 | 13 | 69.2%9 W · 4 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 60cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x86a2…02c0backed Yes | 34c | 175$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.5 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.34per pick | 34cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ece…35e8backed Yes | 34c | 172$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.23per pick | 28cpaid | +138.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b8…ac4cbacked No | 66c | 169$112 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.46 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a6f…deaebacked No | 39c | 166$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.61per pick | 39cpaid | +156.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x59f3…a7fabacked Yes | 61c | 166$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6f…06c4backed No | 40c | 126$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75.6 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +3.2wins | +0.40per pick | 35cpaid | +109.3%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xea9e…d3fbbacked No | 40c | 121.34$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.76 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | +3.5wins | +0.10per pick | 30cpaid | +52.7%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1989…2370backed No | 51c | 110$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.98 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +2.1wins | +0.53per pick | 47cpaid | +114%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0b34…ffc3backed Yes | 59c | 105.04$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.44 | 5 | 20%1 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.18per pick | 38cpaid | -52.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe9a9…7876backed No | 39c | 103.88$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.27 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdda5…830dbacked Yes | 32c | 103.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.07 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -47.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Yes | 10c | 103.1$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.25 | 149 | 51%76 W · 73 L | +4.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcc6d…1e14backed Yes | 62c | 98.74$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.22 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb702…b2a2backed Yes | 41c | 96.77$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.48per pick | 48cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3d5f…7e6fbacked No | 39c | 87.74$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.52 | 113 | 51.3%58 W · 55 L | +11.6wins | +0.10per pick | 41cpaid | +25.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x13a1…d9bcbacked Yes | 33c | 80.16$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.45 | 37 | 73%27 W · 10 L | +6.3wins | +0.17per pick | 56cpaid | +30.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5d2c…3ec7backed Yes | 62c | 75.66$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.91 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdb87…5742backed No | 73c | 74.04$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.99 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.27per pick | 73cpaid | +37%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c8e…cebfbacked Yes | 61c | 73.51$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.84 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.8wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed No | 39c | 71.26$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.65 | 149 | 55.7%83 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1fca…cfc3backed No | 39c | 65.33$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.85 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe505…fadbbacked No | 40c | 62.5$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.5 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.8wins | +0.08per pick | 29cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8717…7bfbbacked Yes | 64c | 61.22$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.88 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +73.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa23f…a64ebacked No | 39c | 53.95$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.91 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaa1…eb3abacked No | 62c | 49$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.62 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.38per pick | 62cpaid | +61.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked No | 52c | 47.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.79 | 478 | 50.8%243 W · 235 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Yes | 33c | 47.88$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.8 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | +6.1wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x639f…6b8dbacked Yes | 32c | 47.35$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.15 | 46 | 26.1%12 W · 34 L | -5.1wins | -0.11per pick | 37cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3d…b56cbacked Yes | 53c | 46.93$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.8wins | +0.13per pick | 44cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x75fa…38a0backed Yes | 74c | 42$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.74per pick | 74cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbed0…3c7dbacked Yes | 30c | 40.27$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 35 | 31.4%11 W · 24 L | -2.5wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked No | 42c | 40.18$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.21 | 21 | 47.6%10 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed Yes | 58c | 40.18$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.21 | 32 | 34.4%11 W · 21 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76ef…561cbacked No | 74c | 40$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.7wins | -0.24per pick | 57cpaid | -55%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5944…bd5bbacked Yes | 26c | 40$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.4 | 75 | 36%27 W · 48 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -26.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe84…54ddbacked Yes | 63c | 36.02$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.2wins | -0.62per pick | 62cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2326…78d9backed Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +163.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe720…0f1cbacked Yes | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 56cpaid | -32%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe93…8d0ebacked Yes | 63c | 32$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.63per pick | 63cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xefa5…b417backed No | 37c | 31$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.53 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +65%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf245…746bbacked No | 67c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.9 | 9 | 88.9%8 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.25per pick | 64cpaid | +41.8%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa559…6dbbbacked No | 60c | 27.72$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.1 | 37 | 54.1%20 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfb9c…5a62backed Yes | 61c | 26.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.8wins | -0.20per pick | 42cpaid | -26.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe9da…ed70backed Yes | 63c | 18.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 51 | 45.1%23 W · 28 L | -7.7wins | -0.15per pick | 60cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Australian A League and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-02-25?this page
- Will Central Coast Mariners FC win on 2026-02-25?Yes won
- Will Macarthur FC vs. Central Coast Mariners FC end in a draw?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.