TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0x36b8…ac4c

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
70
Categories scored
22
Categories below 50
13

Best Category: Weather, grading 55 out of 100 (+0.04 per pick).

Best Category Weather at 55 out of 100; worst Music at 46.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.9wins-0.07per pick53cpaid-15.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 13 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israel x Syria security agreement by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)40c$32Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$32
Will Saudi Arabia strike Iran by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)26c$173Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$172.64
Will Israel conduct military action against Iran by April 21, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$568Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 26, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$464.85
Will JD Vance talk to Iranian negotiators by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)41c$278Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 12, 2026, EDT+143.9%+$400.61
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on April 8, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$521Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$520.57
Israel x Syria security agreement by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$509Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$262.14
Israel strike on Yemen by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$774Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$435.6
US strikes Iraq by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$219Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 5, 2026, EST-100%-$219.39
Will Israel strike Lebanon on March 2, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$263Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+117.4%+$308.34
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$136.5
U.S. x Iran Military Engagement by June 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$315Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$314.72
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 1, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$354Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+51.5%+$182.24
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$282Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$282.1
All 13 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Aug 4, 2026, EDT1060%6 W · 4 L+1.5wins+0.15per pick45cpaid+64.6%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
Weather — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
CDC issues Level 4 warning by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$89Won — open this pick on its own pageAug 4, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$652.08
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$383Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$382.7
CDC issues Level 3 warning by December 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$187Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 18, 2026, EDT+40.8%+$76.56
Will Seattle have between 3 and 3.5 inches of precipitation in April?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$555Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$215.88
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$61Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$60.58
Another 7.0 or above earthquake by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$76Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$42.48
Will fewer than 70 tornadoes occur in the United States in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)31c$50Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$49.91
Will global temperature increase by between 1.05ºC and 1.09ºC in January 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$110Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+127.3%+$140
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$458Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST+49.3%+$225.39
Will there be at least 650 measles cases in the U.S. by January 31, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$45Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST-100%-$45.36
All 10 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1050%5 W · 5 L+1.0wins+0.10per pick40cpaid+115.3%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
AI — the 10 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will an Anthropic Claude model score at least 45% on Humanity’s Last Exam?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$203Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+233.3%+$472.5
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.75 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$137Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$137.06
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.2
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $640b and $650b on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$79Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$78.84
Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $650b and $660b on April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$74Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+733.3%+$545.6
Will "Safety" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)80c$742Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$742.4
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)71c$487Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$487.06
Will Alphabet be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)14c$83Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+614.3%+$512.56
Will "Denmark" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)77c$49Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+29.9%+$14.72
Will "Davos" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$510Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST+42.7%+$217.67
All 10 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 21, 2026, EDT757.1%4 W · 3 L+1.2wins+0.17per pick40cpaid+40.2%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
World Politics — the 7 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will United Left (BSP) win at least one seat in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$294Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+96.1%+$282.73
Will Progressive Bulgaria (PB) win between 90-94 seats in the 2026 Bulgarian parliamentary election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$178Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$177.5
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)35c$225Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT+184.3%+$415.57
Left-Wing Wave in French Mayoral Elections?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)64c$384Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+56.3%+$216
Will 'Deadline' - BlackPink debut week album sales be less than 300k?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$27Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$27
Will Keir Starmer say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$406Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$406.21
Will Keir Starmer say "Reform" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$105Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+244.8%+$257.73
All 7 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT520%1 W · 4 L-1.0wins-0.19per pick39cpaid-70.6%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
Music — the 5 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Us Politics Inactivelast resolved Apr 13, 2026, EDT366.7%2 W · 1 L+0.4wins+0.14per pick52cpaid-4.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Us Politics — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.21per pick54cpaid-52.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Premier League — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Movies Inactivelast resolved Mar 16, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.3wins+0.15per pick35cpaid+42.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Apr 3, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-24.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
UNCW Seahawks vs. Charleston Cougarsbacked Charleston Cougars · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$283Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 3, 2026, EDT-100%-$283.14
Spread: Southern Illinois Salukis (-3.5)backed Southern Illinois Salukis · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 20, 2026, EDT+51.5%+$184.96
All 2 picks, newest first.
South American Leagues Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.3wins-0.17per pick17cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
South American Leagues — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in South American Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Champions League Inactivelast resolved May 31, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-0.6wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Champions League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Space Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$241Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+138.1%+$332.34
All 1 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Mar 6, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.40per pick60cpaid+66.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Asian League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Najmah Saudi Club: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)60c$224Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST+66.7%+$149.6
All 1 picks, newest first.
Poker Inactivelast resolved Mar 1, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.4wins+0.38per pick62cpaid+61.3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
Poker — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Poker, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Patrik Antonius win at Hustler Casino on February 27?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)62c$167Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+61.3%+$102.22
All 1 picks, newest first.
Australian A League Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.34per pick66cpaid+51.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Australian A League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Australian A League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Macarthur FC win on 2026-02-25?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$112Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST+51.5%+$57.46
All 1 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Commodities — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike Al Zour Refinery by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$55Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$54.86
All 1 picks, newest first.
China Taiwan Inactivelast resolved May 4, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.1wins-0.13per pick13cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
China Taiwan — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in China Taiwan, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Hong Kong have between 130-140mm of precipitation in April?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$96Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 4, 2026, EDT-100%-$96.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
CS2 Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.16per pick16cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
CS2 — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in CS2, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Valve add Cache to the Map Pool by June 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$48Lost — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$47.84
All 1 picks, newest first.
Ukraine Inactivelast resolved Apr 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Ukraine — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ukraine, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Russia capture Kostyantynivka by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$118Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$117.75
All 1 picks, newest first.
La Liga Inactivelast resolved Feb 18, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.25per pick25cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
La Liga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$56Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$56
All 1 picks, newest first.
Macro Indicators Inactivelast resolved Apr 30, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.3wins-0.29per pick29cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Macro Indicators — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Macro Indicators, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will US GDP growth in Q1 2026 be greater than 3.5%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)29c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 30, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.71
All 1 picks, newest first.
IPO Inactivelast resolved Jun 12, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.52per pick52cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
IPO — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in IPO, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX's market cap be greater than $2.0T at market close on IPO day?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$465Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 12, 2026, EDT-100%-$464.88
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.