AI · resolved market
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x7f6dadade6357d3ce6681860d002bd3521554aba8b5acda912917b3db41c9549
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- AIevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $243,171
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $235,765
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $243,171 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
The 100 largest positions, of 203 wallets holding a qualified pick here — biggest first. This page details 100 at most, and the number beside it is the real one. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in AI is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in AI | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2e55…07acbacked Yes | 3c | 3,959$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 25cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfec9…b7c0backed Yes | 13c | 2,959$392 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$392.47 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +11.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507a…be1fbacked Yes | 4c | 2,629$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.71 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 18cpaid | -72.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3069…f8efbacked No | 79c | 2,389$1,896 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$492.47 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | +4.0wins | +0.10per pick | 51cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ae…bb88backed No | 78c | 2,115$1,647 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.91 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -25.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d8…8d55backed Yes | 14c | 1,600$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3acc…973dbacked Yes | 15c | 1,580$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.47 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.23per pick | 35cpaid | +78.3%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x94e4…534abacked Yes | 7c | 1,537$101 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.22 | 28 | 14.3%4 W · 24 L | +1.1wins | +0.04per pick | 10cpaid | +57.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f87…3929backed Yes | 14c | 1,531$221 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$220.97 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +1.2wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6b11…38e8backed Yes | 1c | 1,526$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.03 | 16 | 56.3%9 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee78…094fbacked Yes | 26c | 1,502$391 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$390.52 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa05b…8df1backed Yes | 22c | 1,498$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.56 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +47.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab21…4b87backed Yes | 22c | 1,444$320 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$320.02 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -2.3wins | -0.15per pick | 42cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0285…59d6backed No | 79c | 1,440$1,133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$306.72 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc6ca…a2b2backed Yes | 4c | 1,407$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.31per pick | 31cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a92…d2e9backed Yes | 22c | 1,389$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.58 | 10 | 70%7 W · 3 L | +1.8wins | +0.18per pick | 52cpaid | +105.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…588ebacked Yes | 15c | 1,371$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.67 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +2.4wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +31%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x722f…f17fbacked Yes | 14c | 1,368$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.52 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.13per pick | 29cpaid | +88.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x154e…ed0cbacked Yes | 15c | 1,323$198 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.45 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f5d…4a68backed Yes | 2c | 1,322$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4b8c…26fdbacked Yes | 14c | 1,254$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.75 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.4wins | +0.20per pick | 37cpaid | +84%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x858c…fb31backed Yes | 3c | 1,252$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.67 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa6cc…6afcbacked No | 74c | 1,250$925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$325 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d7c…a11bbacked Yes | 22c | 1,246$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$277.56 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | +27.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16a0…72f1backed Yes | 14c | 1,236$173 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$173.04 | 22 | 63.6%14 W · 8 L | +3.9wins | +0.18per pick | 46cpaid | +40.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1056…5b18backed Yes | 13c | 1,187$154 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$154.31 | 19 | 36.8%7 W · 12 L | -0.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbe62…6d76backed Yes | 11c | 1,178$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.58 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82aa…2393backed Yes | 13c | 1,114$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.82 | 29 | 31%9 W · 20 L | -2.4wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -35.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4061…f5ebbacked No | 78c | 1,092$852 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$240.24 | 16 | 25%4 W · 12 L | -2.5wins | -0.16per pick | 41cpaid | -52.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4bb8…eea6backed Yes | 15c | 1,078$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.7 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.9wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +47%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xea5a…e6aebacked Yes | 14c | 1,046$143 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$142.91 | 17 | 64.7%11 W · 6 L | +2.5wins | +0.15per pick | 50cpaid | +46%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0278…00e6backed Yes | 22c | 985$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.7 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.9wins | -0.17per pick | 45cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb25…5b6bbacked Yes | 18c | 979$176 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$175.88 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +2.0wins | +0.12per pick | 47cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3c90…17fbbacked Yes | 13c | 969$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.9 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -1.0wins | -0.11per pick | 44cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1cb…933ebacked Yes | 12c | 964$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.64 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +1.8wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdc3c…d42ebacked Yes | 22c | 931$205 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$204.82 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.1wins | -0.07per pick | 38cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbbe…f1d5backed Yes | 11c | 925$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.75 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.5wins | +0.09per pick | 50cpaid | +25.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xff5d…4e58backed Yes | 13c | 883$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.79 | 16 | 31.3%5 W · 11 L | -1.6wins | -0.10per pick | 41cpaid | -13%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x70e7…4a70backed Yes | 19c | 860$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.39 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -41.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x36b8…ac4cbacked Yes | 14c | 830$116 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$116.2 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.0wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +115.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd5b1…7754backed Yes | 14c | 813$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +42.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f3…be1dbacked Yes | 12c | 769$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.28 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.8wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe70…e8e9backed Yes | 22c | 769$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.18 | 10 | 50%5 W · 5 L | +1.9wins | +0.19per pick | 31cpaid | +53.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb83e…10fcbacked Yes | 13c | 753.59$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.88 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.5wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | +22.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc03c…98cabacked Yes | 21c | 746$157 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$156.66 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.21per pick | 21cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d93…7f30backed Yes | 15c | 743$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.48 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.4wins | -0.23per pick | 39cpaid | -75.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8d…fc01backed Yes | 15c | 743$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.68 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.8wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…92cabacked Yes | 14c | 741$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.74 | 18 | 22.2%4 W · 14 L | -3.9wins | -0.21per pick | 44cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xad46…0918backed Yes | 13c | 733$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.29 | 12 | 25%3 W · 9 L | -1.7wins | -0.14per pick | 39cpaid | -58.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5c51…a829backed No | 78c | 731$570 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.82 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 53cpaid | -1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x557a…9f70backed Yes | 15c | 729$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$109.35 | 19 | 68.4%13 W · 6 L | +5.5wins | +0.29per pick | 40cpaid | +93.8%equal weight | 64+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x1326…d13dbacked No | 78c | 724$565 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.28 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +3.0wins | +0.27per pick | 36cpaid | +99.5%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x3719…bd84backed Yes | 22c | 724$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.28 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -1.7wins | -0.21per pick | 34cpaid | -79.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x477a…2d8ebacked Yes | 10c | 720.02$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.14 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…4569backed Yes | 15c | 717$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.55 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.5wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12ef…f5cebacked Yes | 14c | 695$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.3 | 16 | 43.8%7 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 41cpaid | +28%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd824…528bbacked Yes | 22c | 687$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$151.14 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.09per pick | 51cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfb8…ec8dbacked Yes | 15c | 673$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$101.62 | 22 | 36.4%8 W · 14 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7270…add3backed Yes | 18c | 672$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$119.94 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e0…ad86backed Yes | 22c | 667$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$146.74 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57ab…434bbacked Yes | 22c | 660$145 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$145.2 | 23 | 30.4%7 W · 16 L | -3.9wins | -0.17per pick | 47cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccb…6c69backed No | 78c | 655$511 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.1 | 19 | 47.4%9 W · 10 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b92…7585backed No | 78c | 643$502 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.46 | 13 | 46.2%6 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +37.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe130…a432backed No | 78c | 632$493 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.04 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.8wins | -0.11per pick | 54cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc98…62ecbacked Yes | 22c | 630$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.6 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -13%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x22f2…90d7backed Yes | 14c | 629$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.81 | 35 | 40%14 W · 21 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x039f…1798backed Yes | 27c | 626.78$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -64.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x533d…e5ecbacked Yes | 13c | 618$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.34 | 20 | 45%9 W · 11 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +18.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0257…6beabacked Yes | 17c | 614$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.38 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xecb6…cfe8backed Yes | 13c | 602$78 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$78.26 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -1.1wins | -0.10per pick | 38cpaid | -36.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe24a…fc69backed No | 78c | 589$459 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$129.58 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -26.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8c42…1616backed Yes | 22c | 568$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.96 | 7 | 71.4%5 W · 2 L | +1.9wins | +0.27per pick | 44cpaid | +64.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x86a2…02c0backed Yes | 22c | 532$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.04 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +8.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd4fe…a37fbacked Yes | 4c | 530.22$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.04per pick | 4cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x848c…884ebacked Yes | 4c | 506.85$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.04per pick | 30cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba6f…8cc1backed Yes | 14c | 502$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.28 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.05per pick | 27cpaid | -34.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6eaa…4456backed Yes | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.3wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd956…f976backed Yes | 5c | 499.15$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e3e…6b65backed Yes | 14c | 495$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.3 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +49.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa565…ae14backed Yes | 16c | 490$79 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.13 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.16per pick | 16cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3087…f8fbbacked Yes | 15c | 489$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.35 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | -1.2wins | -0.08per pick | 41cpaid | -31.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa71c…d0a8backed Yes | 12c | 489$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.8wins | -0.07per pick | 48cpaid | -33.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x22ec…4477backed Yes | 13c | 484$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.92 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 40cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x917c…66f2backed Yes | 17c | 467.03$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x14ba…e6cebacked Yes | 14c | 453$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.42 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +2.9wins | +0.26per pick | 38cpaid | +81.2%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b8…0137backed Yes | 13c | 448$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.24 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | -1.0wins | -0.06per pick | 43cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x10ec…0dcfbacked No | 79c | 446$352 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.66 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2bef…1e38backed Yes | 11c | 444$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +16.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed0…0532backed Yes | 14c | 436$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.04 | 10 | 10%1 W · 9 L | -2.9wins | -0.29per pick | 39cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd2…ae40backed Yes | 11c | 430$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.3 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +45.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d05…305bbacked Yes | 13c | 428$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.64 | 21 | 23.8%5 W · 16 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 26cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf085…a01fbacked Yes | 12c | 427$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.09 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | +0.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb993…6e3abacked No | 78c | 422$329 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.84 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.2wins | +0.32per pick | 54cpaid | +78.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xcb9f…ee38backed Yes | 22c | 422$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.84 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +2.4wins | +0.20per pick | 47cpaid | +105.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xb976…c213backed Yes | 22c | 422$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.84 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0184…23f6backed Yes | 13c | 421$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54.73 | 21 | 66.7%14 W · 7 L | +5.5wins | +0.26per pick | 40cpaid | +88.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x4e9c…d1bebacked Yes | 15c | 421$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$61.2 | 19 | 31.6%6 W · 13 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5885…6562backed Yes | 14c | 417$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.6 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +1.6wins | +0.11per pick | 43cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c3…9cefbacked Yes | 15c | 417$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.55 | 17 | 35.3%6 W · 11 L | -1.8wins | -0.11per pick | 46cpaid | +8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…a13fbacked Yes | 12c | 406.76$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.84 | 22 | 45.5%10 W · 12 L | +1.7wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +48.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in AI and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 19 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?this page
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?Yes won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy explode?No won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 14?No won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 21?No won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 30?No won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by December 31?No won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by February 28?No won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by January 31?No won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by June 30?Yes won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?No won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 15?No won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 20?No won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 21?No won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 22?Yes won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by May 31?Yes won
- Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by November 30?No won
- Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?No won
- Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?Yes won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.