TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Wallet 0xcb25…5b6b

Rebuilt .

Summary

Qualified picks
91
Categories scored
19
Categories below 50
7

Best Category: World Politics, grading 58 out of 100 (+0.07 per pick).

Best Category World Politics at 58 out of 100; worst Ncaa Basketball at 44.

What is a Tail Score?

A mark out of 100, per Category. 50 means no edge at all — this wallet did about what the prices it paid implied it would. Above 50 it beat those prices; below 50 it did worse than them.

The scale does not move. 100 is a wallet beating the prices it paid by 0.45 per pick and 0 is losing to them by the same, on every wallet, on every page, in every month. So a grade you screenshot today still means what it meant when you took it, and two wallets can be put side by side.

Nobody reaches either end. Across every wallet TailMyPicks has scored, the marks run from roughly 5 to 87 — which is what a fixed ruler costs, and what buys the sentence above.

It is not a win rate. A wallet can win four Picks in five and still grade below 50, if the market was already pricing those outcomes at 90c — it paid for the wins rather than finding them. The vs expected and Avg entry columns below are what separate the two.

The mark is deliberately pulled toward 50 when there is little evidence. Three lucky Picks do not produce a high grade; several hundred consistent ones do. So a modest grade on thousands of Picks means something a high grade on twelve does not.

Because it is shrunk this way, a Category grade is a conservative reading. The headline figure for a wallet is its best Category, so it always understates how badly the wallet does in its worst one — which is why the table below is per Category and not one blended number.

Record by Category

Ordered by how much this wallet actually traded in each Category, not by score — so the Categories it plays most appear first whether they went well or badly. Open any row to see the picks its numbers were computed from — all of them.

CategoryQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
Middle East Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT2142.9%9 W · 12 L-0.8wins-0.04per pick47cpaid+20.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
Middle East — the 21 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Middle East, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Iranian regime survive U.S. military strikes?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$31Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+163.2%+$50.84
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)53c$448Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT+88.7%+$397.15
Will Israel conduct military action in Greater Beirut on March 26, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$1,187Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 30, 2026, EDT+37%+$439.02
Will Iran strike Iraq again in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$262Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 29, 2026, EDT+131.5%+$344.78
Will Hezbollah conduct military action against Israel on March 25, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$104Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 25, 2026, EDT-100%-$104.49
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 5, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)11c$31Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 8, 2026, EDT-100%-$30.58
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$21Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 6, 2026, EST-100%-$21
Hezbollah strike on Israel by March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)76c$762Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST-100%-$762.28
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in March 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$18Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$18.36
Will USD reach 1.7M Iranian rials by February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$52Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST-100%-$52.08
Iran strike on Qatar by February 28, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$30Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 1, 2026, EST+733.3%+$218.24
Will Israel strike ≤1 countries in February 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)51c$419Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+95.1%+$398.8
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$444Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST-100%-$444.08
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 20, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)48c$108Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 20, 2026, EST+108.3%+$117
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 15, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)38c$132Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 15, 2026, EST+163.2%+$215.14
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 14, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)47c$321Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 14, 2026, EST+112.8%+$361.46
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 6, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$539Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 8, 2026, EST-100%-$538.65
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 6, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$417.08
Will Israel strike Lebanon on February 3, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$338Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 5, 2026, EST-100%-$338
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$213Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 31, 2026, EST-100%-$212.52
Will Israel strike Gaza on January 30, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$162Lost — open this pick on its own pageJan 30, 2026, EST-100%-$162.4
All 21 picks, newest first.
AI Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1758.8%10 W · 7 L+2.0wins+0.12per pick47cpaid+35.2%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
AI — the 17 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in AI, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will xAI have a #1 AI model by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)49c$240Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+104.1%+$249.9
Will Google Gemini score at least 45% on the FrontierMath Benchmark?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)66c$791Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 13, 2026, EDT-100%-$791.34
Gemini 3.5 released by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)17c$100Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 19, 2026, EDT+488.2%+$487.21
Will the chopsticks catch SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 Superheavy booster?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$176Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$175.88
Will the Starship for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 achieve a successful splashdown?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$33Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT+100%+$33
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by April 21?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$253Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 22, 2026, EDT-100%-$253.44
Will Sabih Khan be the next CEO of Apple?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$764Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT+28.2%+$215.38
Will John Ternus be the next CEO of Apple?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)44c$92Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 20, 2026, EDT-100%-$92.4
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$129Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+132.6%+$170.43
Will Artemis II launch by April 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$273Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$272.7
Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 12 launch by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)52c$498Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$498.16
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$259Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 31, 2026, EDT+49.3%+$127.38
Will the Silicon Data H100 Index (SDH100RT) hit $2.50 (HIGH) by April 30, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)72c$372Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 28, 2026, EDT+38.9%+$144.76
Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)32c$691Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 28, 2026, EST+214%+$1,478.23
Will "Davos" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)25c$30Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 17, 2026, EST-100%-$29.63
Will "Microsoft" be said during the next episode of the All-In Podcast?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)70c$183Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 16, 2026, EST+42.9%+$78.3
Another critical Cloudflare incident by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)50c$85Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+100%+$84.5
All 17 picks, newest first.
Weather Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1435.7%5 W · 9 L+0.7wins+0.05per pick31cpaid+64.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Weather — the 14 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Weather, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will there be exactly 10 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)13c$140Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+669.2%+$936.12
Will there be exactly 7 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$116Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.71
Will there be 8 or more earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)46c$517Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 9, 2026, EDT-100%-$516.58
Named storm forms before hurricane season?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$252Lost — open this pick on its own pageJun 2, 2026, EDT-100%-$251.55
Will there be exactly 6 earthquakes of magnitude 7.0 or higher worldwide by June 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$17Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 21, 2026, EDT-100%-$17.49
Will Seattle have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in March?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)30c$181Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT+228.9%+$414.12
Will February 2026 be the 4th or lower hottest on record?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$477Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$476.56
Will global temperature increase by between 1.15ºC and 1.19ºC in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$66Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 11, 2026, EDT-100%-$66.33
Will 30 to 59 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)21c$16Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 9, 2026, EDT+376.2%+$60.83
Will Seattle have less than 3 inches of precipitation in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)18c$113Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 2, 2026, EST+455.6%+$513.32
Will there be at least 1,000 measles cases in the U.S. by February 28, 2026?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$139Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 27, 2026, EST-100%-$138.69
Will the U.S. flu hospitalization rate per 100,000 in Week 5 be between 60 and 70?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)23c$110Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 13, 2026, EST-100%-$109.71
Will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6.5 or higher worldwide by February 1?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$488Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 2, 2026, EST-100%-$488.4
Will Seattle have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in January?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$128Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 1, 2026, EST+75.4%+$96.75
All 14 picks, newest first.
World Politics Inactivelast resolved Jul 1, 2026, EDT1172.7%8 W · 3 L+2.6wins+0.24per pick49cpaid+84.9%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
World Politics — the 11 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in World Politics, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)69c$375Won — open this pick on its own pageJul 1, 2026, EDT+44.9%+$168.33
Will Nathalie Sinclair-Desgagné win the by-election for the seat of Terrebone in the House of Commons of Canada?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$359Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 14, 2026, EDT+33.3%+$119.5
Will turnout in the 2025 Honduran general election be between 55% and 60%?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)57c$220Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 10, 2026, EDT-100%-$219.75
Will the Social Democrats’ Popular Vote Margin of Victory in the 2026 Denmark Parliamentary Election be between 5% and 10%?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)55c$586Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 24, 2026, EDT+81.8%+$479.25
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party (RSP) win 150 or more seats in Nepal’s 2026 House of Representatives election?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$22Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 12, 2026, EDT+177.8%+$39.68
Will Starmer say "Conservative" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)67c$133Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST-100%-$133.33
Will Keir Starmer say "Mandelson" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)22c$63Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 11, 2026, EST+354.5%+$223.86
Will Keir Starmer say "Denmark" or "Greenland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$97Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+78.6%+$76.12
Will Keir Starmer say "Rules-based" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)12c$108Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST-100%-$108.36
Will Keir Starmer say "Dialogue" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$318Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+37%+$117.45
Will Keir Starmer say "Opportunity" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$78Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 4, 2026, EST+426.3%+$334.53
All 11 picks, newest first.
Movies Inactivelast resolved Aug 1, 2026, EDT650%3 W · 3 L+0.3wins+0.05per pick45cpaid-4.6%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Movies — the 6 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Movies, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Premier League Inactivelast resolved May 13, 2026, EDT475%3 W · 1 L+0.9wins+0.22per pick53cpaid+29.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
Premier League — the 4 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Premier League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

La Liga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST333.3%1 W · 2 L-0.8wins-0.27per pick60cpaid-55.6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
La Liga — the 3 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in La Liga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Real Oviedo: O/U 2.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)78c$417Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$417.3
Spread: Villarreal CF (-1.5)backed Villarreal CF · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)27c$156Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST-100%-$156.06
Levante UD vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 3.5backed Under · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)75c$503Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 18, 2026, EST+33.3%+$167.5
All 3 picks, newest first.
Commodities Inactivelast resolved Apr 9, 2026, EDT250%1 W · 1 L+0.5wins+0.24per pick26cpaid+51.5%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Commodities — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Commodities, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Iran strike Mina Al-Ahmadi Refinery by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)33c$238Won — open this pick on its own pageApr 9, 2026, EDT+203%+$483.74
Will Iran strike Ghawar Field by March 31?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$89Lost — open this pick on its own pageApr 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$88.92
All 2 picks, newest first.
Asian League Inactivelast resolved Feb 23, 2026, EST250%1 W · 1 L-0.4wins-0.19per pick69cpaid-37.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
Asian League — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Asian League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

Ncaa Basketball Inactivelast resolved Mar 23, 2026, EDT20%0 W · 2 L-1.4wins-0.68per pick68cpaid-100%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
Ncaa Basketball — the 2 picks behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Ncaa Basketball, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
San Diego Toreros vs. Pepperdine Wavesbacked Pepperdine Waves · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)79c$117Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 23, 2026, EDT-100%-$116.92
Morgan State Bears vs. South Carolina State Bulldogsbacked South Carolina State Bulldogs · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)56c$549Lost — open this pick on its own pageFeb 26, 2026, EST-100%-$549.36
All 2 picks, newest first.
Tweets Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.84per pick16cpaid+525%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
Tweets — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Tweets, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 17 to February 24, 2026?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)16c$58Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+525%+$304.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
Other European Leagues Inactivelast resolved Mar 7, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.64per pick36cpaid+177.8%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
Other European Leagues — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Other European Leagues, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Dundee FC vs. Motherwell FC: O/U 2.5backed Over · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)36c$199Won — open this pick on its own pageMar 7, 2026, EST+177.8%+$353.28
All 1 picks, newest first.
Space Inactivelast resolved Feb 25, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.58per pick42cpaid+138.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
Space — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Space, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will SpaceX have 11 or more launches in February?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)42c$431Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 25, 2026, EST+138.1%+$595.08
All 1 picks, newest first.
NFL Inactivelast resolved Feb 9, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.6wins+0.57per pick43cpaid+132.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
NFL — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in NFL, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will "Knee injury" be said at the Super Bowl?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)43c$221Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 9, 2026, EST+132.6%+$292.98
All 1 picks, newest first.
Music Inactivelast resolved May 16, 2026, EDT1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+37%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Music — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Music, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Australia be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)73c$494Won — open this pick on its own pageMay 16, 2026, EDT+37%+$182.87
All 1 picks, newest first.
Champions League Inactivelast resolved Feb 24, 2026, EST1100%1 W · 0 L+0.3wins+0.26per pick74cpaid+35.1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
Champions League — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Champions League, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Club Brugge advance to the round of 16?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)74c$175Won — open this pick on its own pageFeb 24, 2026, EST+35.1%+$61.36
All 1 picks, newest first.
Crypto Milestones Inactivelast resolved May 1, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.19per pick19cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Crypto Milestones — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Crypto Milestones, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will the Ethereum Volatility Index hit 110 by April 30?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)19c$115Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 1, 2026, EDT-100%-$115.33
All 1 picks, newest first.
Us Midterms Inactivelast resolved May 27, 2026, EDT10%0 W · 1 L-0.2wins-0.24per pick24cpaid-100%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
Us Midterms — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Us Midterms, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Abraham Enriquez be the Republican Nominee for TX-19?backed Yes · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)24c$77Lost — open this pick on its own pageMay 27, 2026, EDT-100%-$76.8
All 1 picks, newest first.
Bundesliga Inactivelast resolved Mar 4, 2026, EST10%0 W · 1 L-0.6wins-0.63per pick63cpaid-100%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
Bundesliga — the 1 pick behind this row

Every qualified pick this wallet made in Bundesliga, newest first — these are the picks the row above was computed from, not a sample of them. P/L held is what each pick would have been worth held to resolution, not cash this wallet withdrew. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in. A market name opens TailMyPicks’s own post-mortem of that market — who else was on it, and what they paid — and a result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody.

MarketEntrySizeResultResolvedReturnP/L held
Will Bayer 04 Leverkusen win on 2026-01-13?backed No · on Polymarket (opens in a new tab)63c$323Lost — open this pick on its own pageMar 4, 2026, EST-100%-$323.19
All 1 picks, newest first.

vs expected is how many more (or fewer) Picks this wallet won than the prices it paid implied it would. It is the column that tells a real edge apart from a record bought by backing favourites. Realizable edge is what that comes to per Pick for somebody copying the wallet, after the cost of getting in behind it. Avg entry is the average price it paid, so a strong record built on heavy favourites shows as one. ROI per pick counts every Pick equally rather than by size, which is how a record earned across many Picks is told apart from one carried by a few large ones. Days are shown in US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in — an American night game settles after midnight UTC, so any other zone would name the day after the one it was played on. Inactive means nothing has resolved in that Category recently. The score is kept and the wallet stays reachable here; it only leaves the default leaderboard.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.