World Politics · resolved market
Will Keir Starmer say "Denmark" or "Greenland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xb21be382d4d6ba6417ef0b3b91c73e426dbd216800a42ffa62c1cac392ef4fd6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- World Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,529
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,866
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,529 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 93 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in World Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in World Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x493b…1541backed Yes | 35c | 1,314$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$459.9 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0956…9aa4backed No | 56c | 1,228$688 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$540.32 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.10per pick | 57cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf825…2e4abacked No | 56c | 1,216$681 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$535.04 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.40per pick | 27cpaid | +208.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f68…21ecbacked Yes | 44c | 1,025$451 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$451 | 11 | 45.5%5 W · 6 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3d04…131dbacked Yes | 44c | 1,019$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$448.36 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.3wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x665e…b053backed Yes | 20c | 993$199 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$198.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -34.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd001…3ceabacked Yes | 46c | 871$401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.66 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +55.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeab9…2ff1backed Yes | 44c | 833$367 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$366.52 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.14per pick | 36cpaid | +31.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c65…5ad5backed No | 56c | 831$465 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$365.64 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.44per pick | 56cpaid | +78.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9ae…8598backed No | 56c | 798$447 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.12 | 5 | 100%5 W · 0 L | +2.7wins | +0.54per pick | 46cpaid | +150.3%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x863b…7c6fbacked Yes | 44c | 781$344 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$343.64 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.43per pick | 43cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa347…2a40backed No | 56c | 777$435 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.88 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.6wins | +0.32per pick | 48cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x647e…88c8backed No | 56c | 762$427 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.28 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -48.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe38e…bd77backed No | 65c | 760$494 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$266 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb555…83e5backed Yes | 44c | 741$326 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$326.04 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.42per pick | 42cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x204d…08cbbacked No | 56c | 710$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.4 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -1.1wins | -0.13per pick | 35cpaid | -62.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70e4…c76abacked Yes | 20c | 653$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$130.6 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6177…c22abacked Yes | 44c | 651$286 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$286.44 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb102…b9febacked Yes | 20c | 649$130 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -34%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x90ae…44adbacked Yes | 46c | 641$295 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$294.86 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +1.1wins | +0.12per pick | 43cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcff9…79eabacked No | 80c | 600$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f6…595cbacked No | 54c | 567$306 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$260.82 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 34cpaid | -53.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xae96…e1a2backed No | 65c | 554$360 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.35per pick | 65cpaid | +53.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83be…6f94backed No | 56c | 531$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$233.64 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +1.2wins | +0.13per pick | 53cpaid | +27%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc112…f582backed Yes | 44c | 490$216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$215.6 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.29per pick | 29cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0bfa…4578backed Yes | 46c | 487$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$224.02 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55f9…70ebbacked No | 45c | 470$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$258.5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfb4c…9f09backed No | 46c | 460$212 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$248.4 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 25cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84d6…bca9backed Yes | 44c | 454$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$199.76 | 15 | 26.7%4 W · 11 L | -1.3wins | -0.09per pick | 36cpaid | +12.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0ccb…6c69backed No | 56c | 440$246 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.6 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.9wins | +0.32per pick | 51cpaid | +93.5%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9c2e…e025backed Yes | 44c | 440$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$193.6 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c6c…26e0backed No | 54c | 440$238 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$202.4 | 3 | 100%3 W · 0 L | +1.7wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +135.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b36…7ea7backed No | 80c | 399$319 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4583…64f8backed No | 80c | 394$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.8 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.21per pick | 79cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2fc…122ebacked No | 80c | 393$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.6 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.20per pick | 80cpaid | +25%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66f2…2badbacked No | 54c | 373$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$171.58 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.7wins | -0.10per pick | 39cpaid | -48%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x70d5…3a73backed Yes | 44c | 367$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4744…e229backed No | 56c | 353$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.32 | 7 | 42.9%3 W · 4 L | -0.5wins | -0.07per pick | 49cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2fd…f0b5backed No | 54c | 350$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$161 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +73.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42a0…4d9abacked Yes | 46c | 350$161 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$161 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +49.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8697…4165backed Yes | 44c | 328$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144.32 | 9 | 33.3%3 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 44cpaid | -39.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1294…9151backed Yes | 46c | 326$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.96 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -1.0wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -30.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3af9…2cdbbacked No | 56c | 316$177 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.04 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8b44…63fbbacked Yes | 10c | 260.82$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.56 | 371 | 17.8%66 W · 305 L | -18.9wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x54ae…57e8backed No | 54c | 260$140 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.6 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb3c…0f07backed No | 80c | 255$204 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9778…1d7bbacked No | 54c | 255$138 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.3 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.6wins | +0.11per pick | 56cpaid | +94.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d63…0e2bbacked No | 80c | 254$203 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.8 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x87c3…faf2backed Yes | 55c | 250$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$137.5 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.32per pick | 32cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4ca…1383backed Yes | 12c | 248.06$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.77 | 449 | 21.2%95 W · 354 L | -21.7wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -24.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6643…bdddbacked Yes | 54c | 230$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.7wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71e8…bcc7backed Yes | 54c | 230$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.2 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.5wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f74…63c5backed Yes | 55c | 220$121 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$121 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8718…6741backed Yes | 44c | 212$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.28 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.08per pick | 42cpaid | +31.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xad53…ef24backed No | 21c | 202.18$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$160.05 | 990 | 17.2%170 W · 820 L | -148.8wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -61.5%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xed45…929dbacked Yes | 44c | 182$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80.08 | 11 | 27.3%3 W · 8 L | -2.0wins | -0.19per pick | 46cpaid | -43.6%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7975…d3f7backed No | 45c | 179$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.14 | 19 | 52.6%10 W · 9 L | +2.0wins | +0.10per pick | 42cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xea5a…e6aebacked Yes | 44c | 175$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 14 | 42.9%6 W · 8 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +62%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc5c8…e61bbacked No | 56c | 175$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$77 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.7wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb25…5b6bbacked No | 56c | 173$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.12 | 11 | 72.7%8 W · 3 L | +2.6wins | +0.24per pick | 49cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x465c…6e53backed No | 56c | 162$91 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.28 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | +0.4wins | +0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d4c…651fbacked No | 40c | 160$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$95.3 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.2wins | +0.59per pick | 41cpaid | +145.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1b9f…c0d4backed Yes | 44c | 138$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.72 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.2wins | -0.30per pick | 55cpaid | -63.2%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5a22…17a6backed No | 58c | 137.88$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.88 | 54 | 46.3%25 W · 29 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaaa2…c75fbacked Yes | 74c | 135.14$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 45 | 57.8%26 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc691…389cbacked No | 70c | 126$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.30per pick | 70cpaid | +43.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8433…6e0fbacked Yes | 44c | 126$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x466e…ed99backed Yes | 44c | 126$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.44 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -1.0wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x64a2…e4dabacked No | 57c | 121.01$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.01 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd9c…7133backed Yes | 58c | 110$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.8 | 36 | 72.2%26 W · 10 L | +6.8wins | +0.19per pick | 53cpaid | +37%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x163a…70a2backed No | 56c | 110$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.4 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.2wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcf00…353fbacked Yes | 33c | 107$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 51 | 21.6%11 W · 40 L | -2.4wins | -0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -56.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe29a…c56fbacked No | 25c | 100$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 8 | 25%2 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 27cpaid | -28.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x283f…7aabbacked Yes | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.15per pick | 48cpaid | -56.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0042…e62fbacked Yes | 44c | 98$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.12 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 30cpaid | -14.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9c1…0791backed Yes | 75c | 95.28$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.31 | 103 | 54.4%56 W · 47 L | +6.8wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc067…de1dbacked Yes | 63c | 95$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.85 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.49per pick | 49cpaid | -100%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5dd2…ae40backed Yes | 44c | 90$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.6 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.7wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +91.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf13d…9896backed No | 56c | 77$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.88 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -0.9wins | -0.13per pick | 41cpaid | -50.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xef65…a496backed Yes | 42c | 73.12$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.51 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.8wins | -0.40per pick | 40cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9ae4…d837backed No | 56c | 62$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.28 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +1.8wins | +0.30per pick | 54cpaid | +73%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc0b2…9d96backed Yes | 44c | 59$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.96 | 9 | 22.2%2 W · 7 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 29cpaid | -16.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6456…6c6cbacked Yes | 44c | 57.25$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.44per pick | 44cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5d6a…9952backed Yes | 45c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.5 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.6wins | -0.54per pick | 54cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8975…ffe6backed Yes | 63c | 45$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.35 | 110 | 69.1%76 W · 34 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 68cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x926c…a86bbacked No | 68c | 44.22$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.22 | 21 | 38.1%8 W · 13 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -31.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6587…4f63backed No | 54c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.24 | 18 | 38.9%7 W · 11 L | -0.6wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb2f4…1c9cbacked No | 63c | 33$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.34 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -15%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1cbd…0978backed Yes | 61c | 32.79$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | -0.01per pick | 68cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1aa1…d4c8backed Yes | 44c | 30$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.2 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.3wins | -0.32per pick | 57cpaid | -55.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1940…f54abacked Yes | 60c | 26.56$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | +1.1wins | +0.08per pick | 30cpaid | +27.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb35a…c452backed Yes | 43c | 25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.75 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -0.7wins | -0.09per pick | 9cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb40e…7cc9backed Yes | 50c | 25$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 444 | 28.8%128 W · 316 L | -67.6wins | -0.15per pick | 44cpaid | -51.6%equal weight | 34-0.14 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in World Politics and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 15 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Will Keir Starmer say "Denmark" or "Greenland" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?this page
- Will Keir Starmer say "Affordable" or "Affordability" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?No won
- Will Keir Starmer say "Ally" or "Allied" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Yes won
- Will Keir Starmer say "Constructive" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?No won
- Will Keir Starmer say "Dialogue" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?No won
- Will Keir Starmer say "International" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Yes won
- Will Keir Starmer say "Iran" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?No won
- Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 15+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Yes won
- Will Keir Starmer say "Opportunity" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?Yes won
- Will Keir Starmer say "Reform" 3+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?No won
- Will Keir Starmer say "Rules-based" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?No won
- Will Keir Starmer say "Thank you" 10+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions?No won
- Will Keir Starmer say "Trump" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?No won
- Will Keir Starmer say "Ukraine" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?No won
- Will Keir Starmer say "Venezuela" during the next Prime Minister's Questions?No won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.